Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - September 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (9/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/7)-(9/2/8/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/7)-(9/2/8/10/7)-(9/2/8/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/8/7)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/2/8/7)-(5/3)-(6/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(6/1)-(3/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(3/4/1)-(8/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(8/3)-(5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/9/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/9/3)-(8/9/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(5/2)-(1/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/4/5)-(12/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(12/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (12/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/9/6)-(12/9/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (12/9/6)-(12/9/7/6)-(12/9/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVENGE TOUR Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 Jul12 Jun22 (short travis)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
1A  ROYALLY FLUSHED Sep05 Aug18 Jul12 Jun23   (short tr)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
2  ENGLISH BOBBY         (claire alexis)MCKEE J 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SOMETHING FIERCE by VALIANT NATURE)
3  ZHU DADDY Jul19         (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 10.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ARGENTA by MINESHAFT)
4  AGENT KOSTA Aug26         (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 119 10.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CREATIVE ELEMENT by CREATIVE CAUSE)
5  SWAYBACK JACK Sep09         (nocero ca)CORREA L 119 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PERFECT SEVEN by SMART STRIKE)
6  CHEESESTEAK Aug19         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PRETTY PHILLY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  VALERIE BLUE Jul06         (engler jeff)OUZTS W 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAPTANA by TAPIT)
8  GAPPER Sep13 Aug26 Aug15     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 3.50 8% 12.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE GIRL by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
9  REZASROLEX Aug26         (morey e)FELIX E 119 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SISTER CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  ONORE Aug18 Jul29 Jun23     (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 ★    
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
 
BTP-2   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY PIT Sep13 Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 Jul07 (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.00    
2  FIRING RANGE Sep13 Aug23 Jul12 Jun17 May22 (esquivel jesu)PANAIJO JORGE 120 5.00    
3  MISTER CHARMING Aug13 Jul16 Jun22 Jun04 Apr13 (spagnola ida)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  MONKEY ZONE Sep14 Aug12 Jul19 Jul07 Jun24 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 115 3.00    
5  MIDNIGHT J J Sep06 Aug04 Jul07 Jun13 May27 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
BTP-3   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS ILL DEFEND Sep07 Aug15 Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  UNCAPTURED PULSE Sep16 Sep07 Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 (roque elis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 4.00    
SCR  CHROMIUM Jan05 Dec12 Dec04 Oct11 Sep27 (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 5.00    
4  GIANT TRICK Dec12         (rhoden carlto)LEBRON VICTOR 124 8.00    
5  REVOLUTIONARY ROAD Sep07 Aug09 Jul29 Jul07 Nov30 (alessi james)MURGIA A 124 4.50    
6  RISKY BOY Aug30 Aug13 Aug03 Jul16 Jun25 (spagnola ida)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
BTP-4   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABIGAIL G Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 123 5.00 15% 5.90    
2  EASY IS GOOD May26 May12 Apr28 Feb01 Jan13 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
3  SOULSTONE Sep07 Aug15 Aug04 Jul19 Jun14 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
4  ANN KOR Aug15 Aug04 Jul08 Dec22 Dec07 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  LA DAME DE FER Jul26 Jun29 Jun10 May26 May12 (james gerald)PANAIJO JORGE 119 3.50    
6  LITTLE MIAMI Sep02 Aug11       (langemeie)CORREA L 119 10.00    
7  THREE POINT KUZ Sep15 Aug31 Aug18 Aug01 Jun22 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 6.00    
 
BTP-5   09/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORGLO Aug05 Jul08 Jun22 Jun08 May17 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
SCR  WHISKEY SIS Sep09 Aug11 Aug01 Jul15 Jun30 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
2  GIN N SIN Sep14 Aug11 Jul05 May31 May14 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 116 12.00    
3  I LIKEM Aug16 Jul27 Mar11 Feb10 Jan14 (shetron phyllis)BUSH V 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ADDISON Sep06 Aug15 Aug05 Jul27 Jul08 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 5.00    
5  ENDLESS Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 Jun10 (adams l)HESS SARA 116 10.00    
6  SHE'S A KEEPER Sep15 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 (esquivel jesus)COLON H 121 8.00    
SCR  CARLIE Q BLUE Aug27 Jul26 Nov02 Sep28 Aug16 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 2.00    
8  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Aug19 Aug01 Jul07 Apr01 Mar09 (knippenbe)CORREA L 121 3.50 6% 15.80    
9  AZAMANA EMPIRE Sep01 Aug11 Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  PRANCIPANTS Sep03 Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul12 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 123 4.50 68% 0.50    
 
BTP-6   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAITHFUL KING Sep09 Aug05 Jul19 Jun06 May14 (watkins m)MCKEE J 120 3.00    
2  RAF Aug23 Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 Mar30 (jarvis kathy)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Sep13 Sep02 Jul13 Jun08 May27 (howard d)REYES R 121 10.00    
4  AGENT COOPER Aug26 Aug17 Aug03 Jun30 May05 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50    
5  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Jul26 May19 Apr27 Feb23 Jan12 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
6  MCGRAW Aug12 Jul29 Jul06 Jun02 Oct25 (bush s)MURGIA A 121 5.00    
 
BTP-7   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AND I KNOW Aug10 Jul01 Jun22 May27 Apr18 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 4.50 67% 0.50    
2  TRAUMARAMA Aug16 Jul21 Jul01 Jun21 Oct05 (patrick gary)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
3  SENTIMENTALJOURNEY Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jun24 May29 (west etha)CORREA L 121 8.00    
4  STARSHIP NUGGET Sep07 Aug19 Jul26 Jul12 Dec26 (figueroa cesa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 9% 10.50    
5  GENERAL GINNY Sep14 Aug26 Aug15 Jul21 Jul08 (dillion jimmy)PANAIJO JORGE 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Aug29 Aug10 May02 Apr06 Mar28 (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 121 12.00    
7  MORNING LINE NEWS Sep02 Aug15 Jul27 Jul01 Jun22 (hernandez javi)REYES R 121 10.00    
 
BTP-8   09/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIAMS LAD Sep06 Aug04 Jul12 Jun20 May13 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00    
2  LOLAS BEAU Aug18 Jul21 Jun21 Jun01 Apr01 (guerrero sa)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 20.00    
SCR  WAYNE'S LEGEND Aug02 Sep07       (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
4  WARRIOR'S PLACE Aug22 Jul13       (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
5  RED CHEEKS Jul13 May31       (lobo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 6.00    
6  HABITUS (GB) Sep09 Aug02 Jun30 May20 Apr01 (shifflett cheryl)HESS SARA 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  NEAP TIDE Sep09 Aug18 Jun09 May25   (watkins m)MCKEE J 120 6.00 ★    
8  CANTSTOPTHEFUN Sep10 Jul26 Jul13 Jun17 May20 (shifflet)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 20.00    
9  PAINTSVILLE Sep09 Aug31 Aug10 Nov30 Oct19 (melancon paul)PEREZ E 124 6.00 5% 17.60    
10  MYTHOMANIA Aug02 Jun09 Mar31 Feb02 Jan11 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 115 5.00    
SCR  CANBOULAY         (lynch a)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
12  SOUTHERN BREEZE Sep01 Aug16 Oct16 Jul17 Jul01 (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  NEVER SORRY Sep09 Jul01 Jun15 May19   (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 120 15.00    
SCR  ORESTES Sep08 Aug06       (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 120 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.