Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $10.40 $6.40 160%
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  5-3 $17.40 $15.40 770%
BTP-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $5.00 $1.00 25%
    DD (3/5)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00  5-1 $16.80 $12.80 320%
BTP-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $25.20 $19.20 320%
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/1)-(3/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  5-1-3 $47.25 $41.25 688%
BTP-4   PK3 (2/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-3-3 $16.65 $7.65 85%
BTP-5   EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $13.50 $7.50 125%
    PK4 (2/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/4/8)-(4/6/2) 54 $0.50 $27.00  1-3-3/6-1/4/5 $34.45 $7.45 28%
    PK5 (3/5)-(2/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/4/8)-(4/6/2) 108 $0.50 $54.00  5-1-3-3/6-1/4/5 $134.70 $80.70 149%

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:571         :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTSLEWTHEM 5 3 1 1   1 1 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 23% 3.30 4.20 W
PROTEST 3 5 4 2   2 2 (claire alexis)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 42% 1.40 2.90 P
JAHEZ 1 4 5 4   45 32 (fernandez edw)PANAIJO JORGE 124 3.00 0.60  
FORT STROOPE 2 1 3 3   35 4 (short thomas)MARCANO Y 116 6.00 6.50  
ISLAND CURRENCY 4 2 2 5   513 515¼ (rhoden carlto)LEBRON VICTOR 124 15.00 31.90  
SCR  DANG IT CAIN               (delong ben)JIMENEZ J 121 5.00    
SCR  SILVER BULL               (foley greg)MCKEE J 121 4.00    
 
BTP-2   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:15 1:274   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALTH MISSION 1 1 3 4 4 2nk 1 (patrick gary)OUZTS W 124 3.00 27% 2.80 1.50 W
CARNACK ON TOUR 5 2 21 2nk 2nk 1nk 2 (douglass deva)PANAIJO JORGE 121 4.00 4.20  
LIDIA'S PRAYER 4 4 42 3½ 3½ 4 3 (ramos rafael)REYES R 121 1.80 2.30  
WAYLAID 2 3 11 1nk 1nk 3.2 4 (ward wesley )CRUZ JUAN 124 3.50 36% 1.80 6.10  
JACKPOT BOY 3 5 5 5 5 5 513¾ (perez manny)COLON H 124 4.50 4.20  
 
BTP-3   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOPPING 3 6 4¾ 1½   1½ 1¾ (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 4.50 25% 2.90 4.00 W
VENICE BEACH 1 4 2nk 3   3 2¾ (esquivel )CORREA L 124 2.50 16% 5.20 4.70 P
GAMBLER 5 2 6 66   43 31 (bush s)BUSH V 124 3.50 8.70  
BEACH FRONT 6 1 5 56   54 4 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.00 19% 4.20 5.40  
NO COMMISSION 2 5 3½ 2½   2½ 5 (figueroa ces)MARCANO Y 119 3.00 1.20  
UNCAPTURED PULSE 4 3 1nk 44   64 6 (roque elis)PANAIJO JORGE 124 6.00 5.90  
 
BTP-4   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:233 :473       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
E STREET ANGEL 3 2 21 21   11 1 (douglass devarus)HESS SARA 119 2.50 43% 1.30 0.30 W
C V THUNDER 1 4 11 11   21 2 (hernandez javi)REYES R 124 10.00 11.00  
ANCIENT BROWN 2 7 7 5   33 3 (donjuan sergi)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 10.00 14.00  
ABOUNDING 5 3 5 74   44 4 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 6.00 9.10  
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 7 5 4 3   5 5 (haehn r)BUSH V 124 3.50 12% 7.40 7.40  
CHARGAREE 4 6 6 4   67 610½ (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 6.00 23% 3.30 22.30  
SHEZA HOOT 6 1 31 63   77 712¾ (roque elis)PANAIJO JORGE 124 5.00 13.30  
SCR  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL               (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 119 4.50    
 
BTP-5   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:22 :444       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY DIAMOND 3 1 11 1   15 1 (bush s)BUSH V 121 4.50 38% 1.70 1.00 W
  (by CORFU out of MY MOM SANTINA by STREET BOSS)
KATNAPPING 1 5 3 3   37 2 (aguirre juan)MARCANO Y 119 12.00 6% 15.70 11.40 P
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
SKI SLOPE 2 2 21 2   25 38 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 121 8.00 10.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of HER MAJESTY'S FLAG by MIDSHIPMAN)
AADYA 6 6 59 612   513 4 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 5.00 2.70  
  (by PROTONICO out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
ARAYA 4 4 4 411½   413 511½ (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 6.00 29% 2.40 4.20  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LILLY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
CRYSTAL M 5 3 69 512   615 614½ (crumley jevon)OUZTS W 121 12.00 8.00  
  (by GIO PONTI out of OVERNIGHTSENSATION by BERTRANDO)
SCR  ACCEPT THE OUTCOME (IRE)               (sisterson jack)MOJICA JR 121 2.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SILENT THOUGHTS by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  MOONLIT MAGIC               (vaughan edward)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TOY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
BTP-6   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NUEVO AMANECER 3 3 1½ 1   1 110¼ (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50 0.90  
  (by MASTERY out of MIDNIGHT SWINGER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
TWO MORE SHOTS 4 1 4 2   2 210¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.00 34% 1.90 1.40 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
KING BUKELE 1 4 2½ 32   3 316 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 120 3.50 6.00  
  (by OUTWORK out of SUPER CUB by OLD TRIESTE)
GLAZED 5 2 3 45   416½ 438¾ (donjuan serg)MARCANO Y 115 6.00 11.20  
  (by TAPRIZE out of PADDYDUNALOT by MORE THAN READY)
CHAPS KNIGHT 2 5 517½ 520   524½ 547¼ (radosevic)CORREA L 120 8.00 25% 3.00 12.10  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ITSABEAUTIFULTHING by HOUSTON)
SCR  RACHMAN               (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00    
  (by SQUADRON A out of HARD BOW by OXBOW)
 
BTP-7   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN DIAMOND 7 4 4 3.2   2nk 1 (hartman chris)MCKEE J 120 4.00 9% 9.80 1.30 W
CALTHA 3 2 21 1nk   1nk 2 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 8.00 15.10  
BUCKEYE BLING 4 5 6 6   31 3 (greenhill jef)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 20% 4.10 2.20 S
ABITIBI 5 8 5 5   5 42 (esquivel jesus)COLON H 120 4.50 25% 3.00 9.60  
PRINCESSTAPITURE 8 1 31 2nk   4 5 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 9.00  
I'M LEGIT 6 3 8 88   7 69 (melancon paul)BUSH V 120 8.00 35.50  
ABIGAIL LEE 2 6 7 7   6 711 (waltermire br)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00 36.80  
BLEST LIFE 1 7 11 4   8 813¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 19% 4.10 4.50  
 
BTP-8   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:22 :45       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'VE BEEN THINKIN 4 3 31 32   43 1½ (reed r)MCKEE J 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.20 W
TRANQUIL TIMES 1 5 11 12   1 2½ (fernandez ke)MARCANO Y 119 4.50 4.70  
BLOSSOM DIVA 3 6 64 55   6 32 (galindo-to)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 8.00 3.50  
CANCERFREE KIDS 6 8 78 68   5 4 (hester h)STRANDBERG MALLORY 121 10.00 23.60  
ARTEMUS SWEETHEART 7 9 910 7   77 54 (bush s)MOJICA JR 124 3.50 24% 3.20 3.40  
CREATIVE WHIT 2 4 21 22   2 6 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 8.00 11.30  
BASEBALL PEGGE 8 2 4 4   3 7 (crawford ge)JIMENEZ J 121 6.00 18.80  
LA FURIA 5 7 8 914   916 818¼ (hancock dan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00 23% 3.40 24.50  
BERRY 9 1 5 812   815 919¼ (fernandez)CORREA L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.