Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/1)-(3/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(3/4/8)-(4/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(4/6/2)-(5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/3)-(5/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/4/1/7)-(4/7/5/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/7)-(4/7/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/9)-(4/7/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/9)-(4/7/5/9)-(4/7/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAHEZ Sep09 Sep02 Jul19 Jun03 May20 (fernandez edw)PANAIJO JORGE 124 3.00    
2  FORT STROOPE Jul20 Jul06 Oct11 Aug24   (short thomas)MARCANO Y 116 6.00    
3  PROTEST         (claire alexis)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 42% 1.40    
4  ISLAND CURRENCY Sep09 Jun15 May11 Dec21 Dec05 (rhoden carlto)LEBRON VICTOR 124 15.00    
5  OUTSLEWTHEM Sep06 Aug17 Jul01 Jun09 May20 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  DANG IT CAIN Sep03 Jul26 Jul12 Jul02 May20 (delong ben)JIMENEZ J 121 5.00    
SCR  SILVER BULL Jul07 Jun15 Mar04 Jan21 Dec16 (foley greg)MCKEE J 121 4.00    
 
BTP-2   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEALTH MISSION Aug17 Aug02 Jun22 Jun07 Dec14 (patrick gary)OUZTS W 124 3.00 27% 2.80    
2  WAYLAID Jan26 Feb25       (ward wesley )CRUZ JUAN 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
3  JACKPOT BOY Sep04 Aug17 Jul13 Jul05 Jun15 (perez manny)COLON H 124 4.50    
4  LIDIA'S PRAYER Aug31 Aug05 Jun16 May20 Mar28 (ramos rafael)REYES R 121 1.80    
5  CARNACK ON TOUR Aug31 Aug17 Aug02 Jul06 Jun10 (douglass deva)PANAIJO JORGE 121 4.00    
 
BTP-3   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENICE BEACH Aug23 Jul29 Jun29 May22 Apr27 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
2  NO COMMISSION Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun30 (figueroa ces)MARCANO Y 119 3.00    
3  TOPPING Aug23 Aug09 Jun23 Jun09 May19 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
4  UNCAPTURED PULSE Sep07 Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 Jul11 (roque elis)PANAIJO JORGE 124 6.00    
5  GAMBLER Aug15 Aug02 May19 Sep12 Aug22 (bush s)BUSH V 124 3.50    
6  BEACH FRONT Aug23 Aug12 Aug02 Jul19 Jul07 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
BTP-4   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C V THUNDER Sep07 Aug19 Aug12 Jul21 Jul05 (hernandez javi)REYES R 124 10.00    
2  ANCIENT BROWN Aug23 Jul21 Jul10 Jun07 May05 (donjuan sergi)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 10.00    
3  E STREET ANGEL Aug16 Aug05 Aug01 Jul15 Nov11 (douglass devarus)HESS SARA 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  CHARGAREE Aug12 Apr15 Mar13 Feb21 Feb06 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
5  ABOUNDING Aug03 Jul21 Jul12 Jun15 May11 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 6.00    
SCR  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Jul05 Jun10 May05 Apr26 Mar17 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 119 4.50    
7  SHEZA HOOT Aug23 Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 Jul07 (roque elis)PANAIJO JORGE 124 5.00    
8  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Aug10 Jul07 Jun21 May13 Apr11 (haehn r)BUSH V 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
 
BTP-5   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOONLIT MAGIC Jul20 Feb22       (vaughan edward)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TOY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
2  KATNAPPING         (aguirre juan)MARCANO Y 119 12.00 6% 15.70    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
3  SKI SLOPE Mar25 Feb09 Dec07 Nov22 Nov02 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 121 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of HER MAJESTY'S FLAG by MIDSHIPMAN)
4  WHISKEY DIAMOND Aug31 Aug03 Jul05 Oct29 Oct10 (bush s)BUSH V 121 4.50 38% 1.70    
  (by CORFU out of MY MOM SANTINA by STREET BOSS)
SCR  ACCEPT THE OUTCOME (IRE) Aug23 Jun10 Apr15 Feb16   (sisterson jack)MOJICA JR 121 2.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SILENT THOUGHTS by GALILEO (ARG))
6  ARAYA Sep07 Jul21 Nov30 Oct28 Oct12 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 6.00 29% 2.40    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LILLY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  CRYSTAL M Oct31 Oct05 Sep01     (crumley jevon)OUZTS W 121 12.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of OVERNIGHTSENSATION by BERTRANDO)
8  AADYA Aug16 Jul29       (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
BTP-6   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING BUKELE Sep02 Jul30       (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 120 3.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUPER CUB by OLD TRIESTE)
SCR  RACHMAN         (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00    
  (by SQUADRON A out of HARD BOW by OXBOW)
3  CHAPS KNIGHT         (radosevic)CORREA L 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ITSABEAUTIFULTHING by HOUSTON)
4  NUEVO AMANECER Aug30 Aug13 Jul21 Jun23 Jun06 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50    
  (by MASTERY out of MIDNIGHT SWINGER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  TWO MORE SHOTS Jul29 Jul03       (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  GLAZED Aug31 Aug17       (donjuan serg)MARCANO Y 115 6.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of PADDYDUNALOT by MORE THAN READY)
 
BTP-7   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLEST LIFE Aug12 Jul21 Jun29 Jun01 May12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 19% 4.10    
2  ABIGAIL LEE Jul19 Jun15 May22 Apr12 Jun29 (waltermire br)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
3  CALTHA Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 Jun03 Apr15 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 8.00    
4  BUCKEYE BLING Aug16 Jul22 Jun23 Jan19 Dec15 (greenhill jef)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
5  ABITIBI Aug23 Jul07 Jun11 May04 Apr12 (esquivel jesus)COLON H 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
6  I'M LEGIT Aug17 Jul19 Jun15 Jun07 Sep08 (melancon paul)BUSH V 120 8.00    
7  NORTHERN DIAMOND Aug16 Jan25 Dec29 Sep28 Sep02 (hartman chris)MCKEE J 120 4.00 9% 9.80    
8  PRINCESSTAPITURE Aug12 Jul14 May11 Apr13 Mar04 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
 
BTP-8   09/16/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANQUIL TIMES Aug29 Aug05 Jul21 Jun30   (fernandez ke)MARCANO Y 119 4.50    
2  CREATIVE WHIT Aug19 Aug05 May27 May11 Oct06 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 8.00    
3  BLOSSOM DIVA Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 Jun01 (galindo-to)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 8.00    
4  I'VE BEEN THINKIN Jul21 Jul07 Jun20 May07 Apr05 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
5  LA FURIA         (hancock dan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00 23% 3.40    
6  CANCERFREE KIDS Aug30 Aug04       (hester h)STRANDBERG MALLORY 121 10.00    
7  ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Aug29 Jul29 Jul12 Jun17 May26 (bush s)MOJICA JR 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
8  BASEBALL PEGGE Mar15         (crawford ge)JIMENEZ J 121 6.00    
9  BERRY         (fernandez)CORREA L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.