Handicappers' Race Results
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Belterra Park
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BTP-1   Win (1/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
BTP-2   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $2.80  
BTP-3   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $3.40  
BTP-4   Win (2/7/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $11.40  
BTP-5   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $14.60  
BTP-6   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
BTP-7   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 1.20
BTP-8   Win (1/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $22.00  
Simulator Race results
 
BTP-1   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
See original race card.
1:37         1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARTIGA 1 1 32½ 32½ 21 13 14½ (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.50 35% 1.80 0.60 W
8  TOTAL SMOKESHOW 8 7 55 54 43½ 34 24½ (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 121 10.00 10% 9.10 5.30 P
7  AMATTEROFPRINCIPLE 7 4 43½ 43½ 32 45½ 35¼ (johnston rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50 16.70  
2  MIDNIGHT XO 2 3 66 76½ 68 69 47 (hancock dana)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 30.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
9  CAPTIVE STAR 9 5 21½ 21 11 23 58½ (cline c)MARCANO Y 116 6.00 33% 2.00 8.20  
6  BIRD SET FREE 6 6 77 65½ 55 57½ 69 (pitts c)AYALA ISAIAS 124 12.00 11.30  
4  ARRINGTON 4 8 88 99½ 78½ 714 719½ (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 121 3.50 8.30  
5  LADY BIRD KISSES 5 9 98½ 88½ 89½ 815 820½ (royal madel)CORREA L 121 8.00 32.00  
3  WILL VIRGINIA DARE 3 2 11½ 11 9100 9100 9100 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 15.00 28.50  
 
BTP-2   09/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:124 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RIVER BOY 3 2 2½ 2½ 11½ 13½ 17¼ (claire alexis)MCKEE J 119 2.00 0.40  
1  HIGH POWERED 1 5 510 512 56½ 33½ 27¼ (anderson susan )LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50 14% 5.90 4.60 P
4  HARD LIGHTING 4 4 34½ 36 45 43¾ 38½ (mendieta alejan)PANAIJO JORGE 120 3.00 55% 0.80 4.00 S
6  RUBINSTEIN 5 3 46 49 35 55¼ 411¾ (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 5.00 15.50  
2  DUDLEY 2 1 1½ 1½ 21½ 23½ 513 (salcedo ramon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00 12.00  
SCR  DOWN HOME KITTEN               (anderson susan )CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.00    
 
BTP-3   09/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :462       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOTION 3 4 21 2½   12 12¾ (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 119 4.00 0.70  
5  GREENSFELDER 5 3 32 45   44 22¾ (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50 40% 1.50 5.90 P
2  FAST ROY 2 5 53 33½   34 36 (short thomas)OUZTS W 122 1.80 21% 3.80 1.90 S
4  HECTOR B 4 2 42 56   55 46½ (ramos rafael)REYES R 122 5.00 8.40  
1  SUNDAY MISCHIEF 1 1 11 1½   22 510 (campbell joel)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 12.10  
 
BTP-4   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
1:362         1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LUCKY SHORE 9 8 44½ 38 26 23 11¼ (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 123 3.50 4.70  
10  SHE'S A KEEPER 10 9 13½ 16 16 13 21¼ (esquivel je)CORREA L 123 2.50 3.90  
7  PRETTY HEART 7 7 23½ 26 36 35 32½ (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00 19% 4.30 4.80 S
3  BIA BOLT RUNNER 3 6 109¾ 1013¼ 1016¼ 811 42¾ (melancon paul)MCKEE J 123 6.00 8% 10.90 3.30  
4  WANNAGOCAMPING 4 3 97¾ 911¾ 814 710 53½ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 8.00 10% 9.30 11.40  
1  DEESSE 1 4 55½ 710¾ 611½ 57½ 63¾ (dominguez lu)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 20.00 37.00  
5  THREE POINT KUZ 5 1 65½ 59½ 510 46 74¼ (morelos mateo)MARCANO Y 118 20.00 51.20  
8  MISS MATCHMAKER 8 10 76 49½ 49 68½ 87 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 4.00 14% 5.90 8.60  
6  CORIMA 6 2 34 69¾ 713 913 99¼ (jurado luis)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 20.00 43.70  
2  GET CLEAR 2 5 87½ 810¾ 916 1016 1010 (sands shane)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 23% 3.40 4.10  
 
BTP-5   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K S GERALDINE 1 3 11 11   11 11½ (douglass devarus)HESS SARA 116 12.00 6.30  
5  PARTY NEVER ENDS 5 2 21 21   21 21½ (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 2.50 9% 9.90 0.50 P
7  PEPPER SWEET 6 1 66¼ 67½   34 32¼ (douglass devaru)PANAIJO JORGE 121 4.50 21% 3.70 6.20 S
2  AWESOME MARINA 2 4 45 36   44 42½ (ramos rafael)REYES R 121 3.50 5.60  
4  RUNNETH OVER 4 5 55¼ 57   56 59¼ (bates l)BUSH V 121 8.00 23.00  
3  SIPSEY 3 6 35 46   66¼ 614 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 42% 1.40 7.60  
SCR  SOUTHERN MESA               (royal madelyn)MARCANO Y 116 15.00    
 
BTP-6   09/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
1:394         1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPLIT THE WICKETS 1 4 43 42 42½ 11½ 15¼ (van thomas)LEBRON VICTOR 121 6.00 5% 19.00 2.80 W
3  BULLBRIAR 3 3 53 55 53½ 43 25¼ (guida antho)CORREA L 117 12.00 18.50  
6  BLESS THE KITTEN 4 2 2½ 2nk 11 21½ 37¼ (grubbs l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 20% 4.10 1.90 S
7  COMMANDANDCONTROL 5 5 31½ 31½ 21 33 49 (corrigan jim)OUZTS W 118 6.00 6.20  
2  ROGUE ELEMENT 2 1 1½ 1nk 32½ 57 514¾ (hiles a)MCKEE J 121 3.50 1.30  
SCR  ENGLISH CHALLENGE               (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  MODIFIER               (perez manny)COLON H 116 5.00    
 
BTP-7   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MASAI MAN 4 2 32½ 32½   1nk 11¼ (ginter jr)HEARD TYLER 122 4.50 45% 1.20 1.60 W
1  WELL CONNECTED 1 4 11 11½   3.2 21¼ (march william)BUSH V 120 2.50 18% 4.70 1.10 P
2  D'MONEY HONEY 2 3 21 21½   2nk 32¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 3.00 5.40  
6  TIME HEIST 5 1 44 44   44¼ 46¼ (watkins m)REYES FRANK 120 5.00 5.70  
3  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) 3 5 58½ 59   57¾ 59¼ (bahena ismael)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00 14.40  
SCR  HILLBILLY LOGIC               (howard anne)MCKEE J 122 8.00    
SCR  ORB OF THE BORO               (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
 
BTP-8   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
1:364         1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  INDOCUMENTADO 3 4 73¼ 31½ 41¼ 1nk 11 (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 121 8.00 10.00  
9  SUBDUED 8 7 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk 21 (hiles a)MCKEE J 123 3.00 7.80  
8  TARTINI 7 6 42 41¾ 31 3½ 31½ (morey e)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00 15% 5.70 1.00 S
2  AVIANO 2 3 63 62¼ 62¾ 51¼ 41½ (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 121 5.00 24.20  
7  DRAFT CAPITAL 6 5 31½ 52¼ 52¼ 61¾ 53 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 42.40  
4  J W RUCKUS 4 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 4¾ 63¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 6.00 11.40  
6  DIGITAL SOFTWARE 5 8 85¼ 72¾ 73¼ 73¼ 73½ (caramori caio)REYES R 121 6.00 9% 9.80 11.00  
1  COMMAND CENTRAL 1 2 53 84¼ 86¼ 86¼ 87¾ (meraz antonio)FELIX E 121 2.50 48% 1.10 2.30  
SCR  CAROM               (anderson susan )LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.50    
SCR  JOHNNY'S MOMENT               (warpool shane)MILLER CHASE 117 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.