Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/2)-(1/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/2)-(1/9/8/2)-(1/9/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/8/2)-(4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/9/8/2)-(4/1)-(5/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/2)-(2/7/8/4/3) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/7/8/4/3)-(3/7/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/7/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/4/3)-(2/7/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/4/3)-(2/7/8/4/3)-(2/7/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/4/3)-(3/7/5)-(6/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(6/1)-(4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(4/1)-(1/8/6/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARTIGA Aug29 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 Mar31 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
2  MIDNIGHT XO Aug26 Aug01 Jun08 Mar18 Feb18 (hancock dan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  WILL VIRGINIA DARE Sep02 Aug10 Jul21 Apr06 Feb01 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 15.00    
4  ARRINGTON Sep03 Aug27 Jul20 Jun29 May30 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 121 3.50    
5  LADY BIRD KISSES Sep08 Aug29 Jul27 Jul14 Jul05 (royal mad)CORREA L 121 8.00    
6  BIRD SET FREE Aug29 Aug05 Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 (pitts c)AYALA ISAIAS 124 12.00    
7  AMATTEROFPRINCIPLE Aug31 Aug10 Jul13     (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50    
8  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Aug14 Jul29 Jul09 Jan16 Jan01 (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 121 10.00 10% 9.10    
9  CAPTIVE STAR Aug29 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 May12 (cline robert)MARCANO Y 116 6.00 33% 2.00    
 
BTP-2   09/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH POWERED Aug05 Jul22 Jul07 Jun08 May25 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50 14% 5.90    
2  DUDLEY Aug23 Aug05 Jul19 Jun30 Jun14 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00    
3  RIVER BOY Aug30 Aug17 Jul08 Jun15 Apr13 (claire alexis)MCKEE J 119 2.00    
4  HARD LIGHTING Aug18 Aug04 Jul13 Apr21 Jan25 (mendieta alej)PANAIJO JORGE 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  DOWN HOME KITTEN Aug23 Jul21 Jul08 Jun17 May25 (anderson susa)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.00    
6  RUBINSTEIN Aug18 Jul22 Jul01 Jun07 May19 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
 
BTP-3   09/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAY MISCHIEF Aug31 Aug13 Jul06 May31 Apr13 (campbell joel)REYES FRANK 122 4.50    
2  FAST ROY Sep02 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun24 (short thomas)OUZTS W 122 1.80 21% 3.80    
3  NOTION Aug18 Jul21 Feb17 Dec26 Nov24 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 119 4.00    
4  HECTOR B Sep06 Aug19 Aug03 Jul22 Jul02 (ramos rafael)REYES R 122 5.00    
5  GREENSFELDER Aug31 Aug12 Aug03 Jul19 Jul07 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
BTP-4   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEESSE May05 Apr28 Apr15 Mar15 Feb25 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 20.00    
2  GET CLEAR Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Aug18 Jul19 (sands shane)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
3  BIA BOLT RUNNER Aug31 Aug23 Aug02 Mar11 Feb22 (melancon paul)MCKEE J 123 6.00 8% 10.90    
4  WANNAGOCAMPING Sep08 Aug31 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 8.00 10% 9.30    
5  THREE POINT KUZ Aug31 Aug18 Aug01 Jun22 Jun03 (morelos mate)MARCANO Y 118 20.00    
6  CORIMA Aug30 Aug18 Jul07 Jun22 May17 (jurado lui)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 20.00    
7  PRETTY HEART Aug31 Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 Jun07 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 121 5.00 19% 4.30    
8  MISS MATCHMAKER Jul26 Apr05 Feb23 Feb01 Jan05 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 4.00 14% 5.90    
9  LUCKY SHORE Aug18 Aug04 Jul26 Jul07 Mar18 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.50    
10  SHE'S A KEEPER Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 Jun10 (esquivel )CORREA L 123 2.50    
 
BTP-5   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K S GERALDINE Aug29 Jun13 Jun22 May30   (douglass devarus)HESS SARA 116 12.00    
2  AWESOME MARINA Sep02 Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 Apr08 (ramos rafael)REYES R 121 3.50    
3  SIPSEY         (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 42% 1.40    
4  RUNNETH OVER Aug19 Jun12       (bates l)BUSH V 121 8.00    
5  PARTY NEVER ENDS Aug22 Aug05 Jun30 Jun13 May22 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 2.50 9% 9.90    
SCR  SOUTHERN MESA Aug29 Aug05 Jul21 Sep14   (royal madely)MARCANO Y 116 15.00    
7  PEPPER SWEET Aug26 Jun08 Jun28 Jun02 May11 (douglass deva)PANAIJO JORGE 121 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
BTP-6   09/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPLIT THE WICKETS Jul11 Jun20 Mar16 Jan20 Sep05 (van thom)LEBRON VICTOR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROGUE ELEMENT Sep02 Aug11 Jul20 Jun24 Jun02 (hiles a)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
3  BULLBRIAR Aug23 Jul19 Jul03 Jun10 May09 (guida ant)CORREA L 117 12.00    
SCR  MODIFIER Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 Jul06 Jun14 (perez manny)COLON H 116 5.00    
SCR  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Aug29 Aug05 Jun17 May27 May16 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.00 52% 0.90    
6  BLESS THE KITTEN Aug16 Jul01 Jun01 May20 Apr15 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
7  COMMANDANDCONTROL Aug18 Jun16 May31 May06 Apr23 (corrigan jim)OUZTS W 118 6.00    
 
BTP-7   09/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELL CONNECTED Aug12 Jul19 Jun14 Apr15 Mar10 (march william)BUSH V 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
2  D'MONEY HONEY Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 3.00    
3  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Aug12 Jul08 Jun08 May19 Apr27 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 10.00    
4  MASAI MAN Sep03 Aug08 Jul16 Jul04 Jun24 (ginter raymond )HEARD TYLER 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  HILLBILLY LOGIC Sep02 Aug23 Aug02 Jul14 Jun20 (howard anne)MCKEE J 122 8.00    
6  TIME HEIST Aug13 Jul26 Jul15 Jun21 Apr09 (watkins m)REYES FRANK 120 5.00    
SCR  ORB OF THE BORO Sep01 Aug15 Jul26 Jun22 Jun15 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
 
BTP-8   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMAND CENTRAL Aug27 Aug09 Aug03 Jun25 Jun14 (meraz antonio)FELIX E 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  AVIANO Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 May14 Apr27 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 121 5.00    
3  INDOCUMENTADO Aug23 Aug01 Jul15 Jun21 Jun09 (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 121 8.00    
4  J W RUCKUS Sep01 Aug15 Jul27 Mar31 Feb23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 6.00    
SCR  JOHNNY'S MOMENT Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 Jun08 May12 (warpool shane)MILLER CHASE 117 10.00    
6  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Sep05 Aug23 Jul20 Jul06 Mar15 (caramori caio)REYES R 121 6.00 9% 9.80    
7  DRAFT CAPITAL Aug23 Aug12 Jul27 Feb10 Dec29 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  TARTINI Jul27 Jun09 May06 Apr15 Mar11 (morey william)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
9  SUBDUED Sep01 Aug17 Aug01 Jul14 Jun21 (hiles a)MCKEE J 123 3.00    
SCR  CAROM Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 Jul08 Jun21 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.