Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $16.68 $16.68 10.68
CD-2   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.66  
CD-3   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $5.84 $5.84 1.84
CD-4   Win (15/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $13.28  
CD-5   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.02 $4.02  
CD-6   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.64 $7.64 1.64
CD-7   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $7.26  
CD-8   Win (14/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $5.70  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:132 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATHERINE BLAZE 6 6 6 6 55 4 1nk (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 5% 19.00 7.34 W
MALIBU SMART 5 2 4 43 6 5 2nk (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 2.15  
BIG DIG 1 5 5 5 3 1nk 3¼ (drury thomas )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 38% 1.60 1.62 S
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 4 4 21 2 21 2nk 4 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 10.00 37% 1.70 11.34  
PROUD PERFORMER 3 1 11 1 11 3.2 5 (king l)TORRES A 115 20.00 34.11  
MIKITA 2 3 3 3 4 6 68 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 2.50  
SCR  SALSALITA VERDE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 1.80    
 
CD-2   09/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:103     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARDEN'S ASSAULT 4 1 12 13   13 12 (davis christ)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 1.83  
FAST GAL 7 3 6 57   4 22 (porter michael)COURT K 118 6.00 4.98  
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 2 5 22 23   33 3 (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 18% 4.70 10.41 S
MAZOKU 6 7 43 3   23 4 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00 14% 6.10 13.43  
JACKIE'S SPIRIT 5 2 33 4   56 5 (vaccarezza carl)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.00 44% 1.30 1.50  
FLORIS 3 4 7 711¾   614 618½ (duvall e)ELLIOTT JANE 121 10.00 36.59  
ATHENAIS 1 6 54 611½   716½ 729¼ (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50 8.13  
 
CD-3   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:122 1:374   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZING 4 1 3 32 2nk 1 1 (claire alexi)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 66% 0.50 1.92 W
BRITTLE AND YOO 1 4 1½ 1½ 3½ 2 2 (ewing a)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.95 P
VITAEMI 2 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 32 36 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 3.00 2.95  
HASHTAG WINNER 3 2 5 5 4 4 4 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 2.28  
KLOEPATRA 5 5 4 4 59 516½ 536¾ (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 4.86  
SCR  GUANA CAY               (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 1.40    
 
CD-4   09/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:22 :443       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIELD LASS 4 1 11 1   15 1 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 5.64  
15  NEOM BEACH 11 4 21 2   25 2 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 43% 1.30 1.67 P
BIG DREAMER 5 2 43 4   36 3 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.00 18% 4.50 7.07 S
LEGAL DECEIVER 2 9 9 910½   611 411¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 13.66  
13  TOASTED ROLL 10 8 32 33   4 511¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 5.10  
11  SAVE THE MISCHIEF 9 11 1111½ 1013   712 613¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 12.85  
ADRASTEIA 7 7 78 710   813 714 (bogle fergus)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 63.44  
INNOCENT NYGHT 3 6 6 5   510 815¼ (michael brian)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 10% 9.00 19.94  
10  SMILING ELLIE 8 10 89 810½   915½ 920 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 7.02  
GOLDEN STORM 1 3 1010 1113½   1018 1022¾ (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 15.00 21.14  
MISS PEARL HART 6 5 54 69   1120 1131 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 36.08  
SCR  BARAYE               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50    
SCR  DESTINY STAR               (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
SCR  MAUI MISTRESS               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
SCR  SILVER MAJESTY               (maker michael )TORRES A 114 10.00    
SCR  WALK STREET               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
CD-5   09/28/2023 6270ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:114 1:364   1:561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVALRY 6 2 1 1½ 1½ 15 1 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.60 32% 2.10 1.01 W
ICE TIME 5 4 4 54 34 3 2 (sharp joe)TORRES A 115 10.00 16.91  
MOUNT CRAIG 1 3 2 2½ 2½ 25 36 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 31% 2.20 1.67 S
TIZ WICKED STRONG 3 5 5 4 44 4 46 (baker james)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 9.82  
FAST CHAD 2 6 6 612 616½ 513½ 512 (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 120 10.00 29.59  
HARBOUR BRIDGE 4 1 3 3 5 617 629½ (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 15% 5.60 5.24  
 
CD-6   09/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:124 1:382   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WASHINGTON'S UNION 2 2 2 21 2½ 13 1 (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50 20% 4.10 2.82 W
EXEMPLIFIED 1 5 3 32 3 3 2 (simms mark)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 8.49  
TRICOLOUR 5 4 43 5 54 4 3 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 2.61  
GO CATS 6 3 53 42 4 57 412 (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 11% 8.20 5.11  
GOLDEN FLASH 3 1 1 11 1½ 23 512½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 37% 1.70 2.95  
SILVER RALEIGH 4 6 66 66 6 611½ 620¼ (beckman whitworth)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 5.55  
SCR  CURLINS INCHARGE               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 3.00    
 
CD-7   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:104 1:35   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASH ATTACK 4 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 12 1 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 2.00 2.63  
TWILIGHT BLUE 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 22 2 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 64% 0.60 1.73 P
KING FURY 1 3 45 57 58 5 34 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 4.00 2.74  
KITTANSETT 3 5 33 3 45 4 45 (lobo paulo)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 4.13  
NOTARY 2 4 55 4 3 35 5 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 126 10.00 5% 19.00 8.09  
SCR  INJUNCTION               (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 122 3.00    
 
CD-8   09/28/2023 7920ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:153 1:412 2:062 2:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HE'S GOT SWAGGER 4 44 5 4 32 1½ 12 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 1.85  
14  THE PRINCE'S SPUR 6 5 34 3 1½ 2½ 22 (bauer a)TORRES A 117 5.00 48% 1.10 1.42 P
IDRATHERBEBLESSED 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 31 34 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 24% 3.20 4.77 S
MAASAI WARRIOR 2 6 67 54 45 4 4 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 5% 19.00 6.61  
11  JUST A PHOTO 5 3 44 6 5 59 527½ (ramirez luis )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 9.25  
DEVIL'S HARVEST 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 615½ 644 6100 (diodoro robertin)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 20.35  
SCR  SWORE               (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D               (wilkes r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
SCR  IRISH ACES               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  HILLIARD               (maker micha)TORRES A 122 4.00    
SCR  CLEVER THOUGHT               (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50    
SCR  TULCHAN               (delacour ar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
SCR  ALWAYS ABOVE               (nihei michelle)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.