Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $16.68 $10.68 178%
CD-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $5.84 $1.84 46%
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4-1 $34.46 $30.46 762%
CD-6   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.64 $1.64 27%
    DD (6/1/4)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-3 $11.03 $2.03 23%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CATHERINE BLAZE   (leonard i)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 5% 19.00 7.34 W
5  MALIBU SMART   (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 2.15  
1  BIG DIG   (drury thoma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 38% 1.60 1.62 S
4  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL   (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 10.00 37% 1.70 11.34  
3  PROUD PERFORMER   (king l)TORRES A 115 20.00 34.11  
2  MIKITA   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 2.50  
SCR  SALSALITA VERDE   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 1.80    
 
CD-2   09/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ARDEN'S ASSAULT   (davis chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 1.83  
7  FAST GAL   (porter michael)COURT K 118 6.00 4.98  
2  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF   (o'connor rober)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 18% 4.70 10.41 S
6  MAZOKU   (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00 14% 6.10 13.43  
5  JACKIE'S SPIRIT   (vaccarezza ca)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.00 44% 1.30 1.50  
3  FLORIS   (duvall william)ELLIOTT JANE 121 10.00 36.59  
1  ATHENAIS   (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50 8.13  
 
CD-3   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ZING   (claire ale)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 66% 0.50 1.92 W
1  BRITTLE AND YOO   (ewing michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.95 P
2  VITAEMI   (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 3.00 2.95  
3  HASHTAG WINNER   (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 2.28  
6  KLOEPATRA   (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 4.86  
SCR  GUANA CAY   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 1.40    
 
CD-4   09/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FIELD LASS   (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 5.64  
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
15  NEOM BEACH   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 43% 1.30 1.67 P
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GIANT'S CAUSEY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  BIG DREAMER   (mott rile)TORRES A 119 4.00 18% 4.50 7.07 S
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIND ERASER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  LEGAL DECEIVER   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 13.66  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LEGAL MIND by BELLAMY ROAD)
13  TOASTED ROLL   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 ★ 5.10  
  (by FROSTED out of HONEY MUFFIN by CANDY RIDE)
11  SAVE THE MISCHIEF   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 12.85  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SAVED BY THE SWELL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  ADRASTEIA   (bogle fergus)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 63.44  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
4  INNOCENT NYGHT   (michael brian)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 10% 9.00 19.94  
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
10  SMILING ELLIE   (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 7.02  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
1  GOLDEN STORM   (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 15.00 21.14  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of PULPITS STORM by PULPIT)
8  MISS PEARL HART   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 36.08  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of REUNION by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  BARAYE   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PALACE DREAMS by FREUD)
SCR  DESTINY STAR   (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MAUI MISTRESS   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WATERWAY RUN by ARCH)
SCR  SILVER MAJESTY   (maker michae)TORRES A 114 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SCORECARD by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  WALK STREET   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of PASTIME by LONHRO (AUS))
 
CD-5   09/28/2023 6270ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RIVALRY   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.60 32% 2.10 1.01 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of OUR LOVE TAP by TAPIT)
5  ICE TIME   (sharp joe)TORRES A 115 10.00 16.91  
  (by KEEN ICE out of SIRENUSA by TIZNOW)
1  MOUNT CRAIG   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 31% 2.20 1.67 S
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
3  TIZ WICKED STRONG   (baker james)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 9.82  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
2  FAST CHAD   (mccarthy micha)CHUAN MARTIN 120 10.00 29.59  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of AWESOME BELLA by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  HARBOUR BRIDGE   (wismer gle)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 15% 5.60 5.24  
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
 
CD-6   09/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WASHINGTON'S UNION   (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50 20% 4.10 2.82 W
2  EXEMPLIFIED   (simms ma)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 8.49  
6  TRICOLOUR   (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 2.61  
7  GO CATS   (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 11% 8.20 5.11  
4  GOLDEN FLASH   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 37% 1.70 2.95  
5  SILVER RALEIGH   (beckman whitwort)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 5.55  
SCR  CURLINS INCHARGE   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 3.00    
 
CD-7   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DASH ATTACK   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 2.00 2.63  
6  TWILIGHT BLUE   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 64% 0.60 1.73 P
1  KING FURY   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 122 4.00 2.74  
4  KITTANSETT   (lobo pau)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 4.13  
2  NOTARY   (hernandez armando)FELIX E 126 10.00 5% 19.00 8.09  
SCR  INJUNCTION   (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 122 3.00    
 
CD-8   09/28/2023 7920ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HE'S GOT SWAGGER   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 1.85  
14  THE PRINCE'S SPUR   (bauer philip)TORRES A 117 5.00 48% 1.10 1.42 P
8  IDRATHERBEBLESSED   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 24% 3.20 4.77 S
6  MAASAI WARRIOR   (leonard i)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 5% 19.00 6.61  
11  JUST A PHOTO   (ramirez lui)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 9.25  
4  DEVIL'S HARVEST   (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 20.35  
SCR  SWORE   (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D   (wilkes r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  KING CURLIN   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
SCR  IRISH ACES   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  HILLIARD   (maker mic)TORRES A 122 4.00    
SCR  CLEVER THOUGHT   (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50    
SCR  TULCHAN   (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
SCR  ALWAYS ABOVE   (nihei michelle)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.