Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.52 $3.52  
KEE-2   Win (2/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $15.50  
KEE-3   Win (2/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.38 $8.38 2.38
KEE-4   Win (8/14/6/15/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $36.48  
KEE-5   Win (2/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.22 $6.22  
KEE-6   Win (3/5/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.08 $5.08  
KEE-7   Win (5/8/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 2.20
KEE-8   Win (6/8/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $22.88  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:401   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SICILIAN GRANDMA 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 15 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 30% 2.40 0.76 W
ENDLESS 3 3 6 6 55 3 25 (adams l)HESS SARA 112 30.00 36.28  
SPIRITCATCHER 4 5 7 7 65 44 35 (gorder kel)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00 15.78  
ROCK THE NILE 7 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 23 4 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00 11.19  
LADY WITH A CAUSE 2 2 3 3 33 56 5 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 22% 3.60 2.81  
BIG JAVA 5 7 52 5 4 68 614¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 14% 6.30 4.66  
WILDCAT DREAM 6 6 42 4 77 711½ 722¼ (salcedo ramon)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00 53.81  
SCR  VINTAGE               (englehart jef)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
 
KEE-2   10/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :454 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHANATE 9 1 4¾ 1nk   17 110½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 6.75  
11  MR. FAVERSHAM 11 11 1113 1115   710 210½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 3.74  
TIZ MY HERO 4 10 5 5   27 315¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 119 6.00 8.90 S
HEAD LAD 5 7 9 8   6 416¼ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 8.28  
STUNNEM 3 2 6 97   810¼ 519 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 10% 9.50 7.77  
12  CLOTH OF GOLD 12 9 7 6   910¼ 619¾ (richard tobious)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 75.34  
PRETTY FAST 1 4 1nk 4¼   3 719¾ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 58.35  
MONEYSHOT 6 3 3.2 3.2   48 820 (puhich mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 11.40  
10  GREAT RICHIE M 10 6 8 7   1010¾ 920¾ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 5% 19.00 60.66  
WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS 2 5 2nk 2nk   58 1025¾ (englehart j)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 67% 0.50 2.45  
SILENT SPECTRE 8 8 10 1014   1115¾ 1132¾ (morey willia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 10.99  
LEAD FOOT 7 12 1215 1220   1225¾ 1261¼ (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 33.54  
SCR  GAGLIARDI               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
SCR  HEART HEADED               (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
SCR  WALDRIP               (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  WE MISS ARLINGTON               (divito james)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
 
KEE-3   10/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:103     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKE A SALTSHAKER 2 2 1½ 1nk   13 1 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 2.00 65% 0.50 3.19 W
10  SHACKLEFORD STRONG 9 1 3 32   23 2 (divito james)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 7% 13.10 8.51 P
JUNIOR BUG 7 4 6 6   33 33 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 10.02  
CARAMEL CHIP 4 7 4 4   5 4 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 0.68  
ONE COOL DUDE 5 3 2½ 2nk   4 5 (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 8.00 23.90  
CASEYS MEMORY 3 10 1011¾ 9   7 611¾ (johnston lane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 5% 19.00 15.23  
12  RISK PROFILE 10 6 8 7   6 711¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 38.87  
OUT WORK'N 6 9 7 8   810½ 818¾ (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 121 30.00 82.95  
READY PURSUIT 8 5 9 10   913 919 (gonzalez reina )GILLIGAN JACK 121 50.00 96.19  
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW 1 8 5 55   1016½ 1033 (mendieta alejand)CASTANON L 121 50.00 64.50  
SCR  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP               (alessi jame)CORREA L 118 30.00    
 
KEE-4   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :49 1:14 1:253   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILLSHAVE BEAUTY 3 1 1 1 1 1 14 (mckeever andrew)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00 17.24  
PENDULUM 7 7 43 43 43 34 24 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 31% 2.20 2.79 P
14  TURINO 11 10 6 6 6 55 3 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 20% 4.00 6.31 S
I'M A MESS 1 4 5 54 54 44 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.37  
PURR FACTOR 6 5 3 32 32 2 5 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 12.00 30.85  
12  CARINA NEBULA 10 9 8 8 7 7 66 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 10.12  
WINSOME BEAUTY 2 2 10 97 9 88 7 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 8.02  
MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA 4 3 7 7 1010½ 911 811¾ (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 74.69  
10  FUN LOVING 8 8 2 2 2 6 912¼ (oliver victori)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 14.41  
COLONIAL ROSE 5 6 11 119 1111 1011½ 1012½ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 15% 5.90 2.82  
11  MAYBE MAGIC 9 11 1211¼ 1210½ 1213½ 1213½ 1114½ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 30.00 5% 19.00 61.73  
15  SHOW ME THE CANDY 12 12 9 108 87 1113 1215½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 12% 7.30 18.43  
SCR  FLORIBUNDA               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  HIGH FASHION KATE               (minnock g)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
SCR  JUST PRADA               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  SEA DANCER               (morey e)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50    
 
KEE-5   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERMITTENT FAST 4 2 2½ 1   14 1 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50 25% 3.10 2.11 W
10  LITTLE SASS 9 1 31 2   24 2 (demeritte larry)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 32.36  
BACK ON TRACK 3 7 7 4   3 310¾ (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 7.42  
SHY SHY 2 8 42 5   47 410¾ (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 43% 1.30 3.16  
GO MARGIE GO 5 6 8 8   610 512¾ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 7.31  
ADIOS MUCHACHAS 6 9 911½ 911¾   710½ 614¼ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00 9% 10.60 8.26  
TOO FAST FOR YOU 7 3 5 66   59 714½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.32  
WILD BOUT HILARY 1 5 1½ 3   811½ 827 (tracy tanne)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 18.40  
AFTERNEATH 8 4 6 7   915 951¾ (lightner mary)LANERIE J 120 15.00 22.34  
SCR  STEALTHESPOTLIGHT               (williams ma)TORRES A 120 12.00    
 
KEE-6   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:123 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILAC GIRL 5 2 4 44 4 1½ 1¾ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 27% 2.60 1.54 W
MAKE THE BOYS WINK 1 6 8 8 7 5 2¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 6.91  
UP AND DOWN 3 3 68 6 5 42 3¾ (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 47% 1.10 2.88 S
SECRET STATEMENT 7 4 11 1½ 1nk 3½ 4 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 44.50  
10  SAKE (FR) 10 10 910½ 9 9 9 5 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00 32.37  
PAINT ME PERFECT 8 8 79 77 8 7 6 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 120 30.00 74.48  
WHISKEY LULLABY 6 1 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 7 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 8.00 13.29  
BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) 9 7 5 5 66 85 85 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 11.17  
CLEVER JOKE 4 11 1011 1010 10 10 9 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 29.27  
GRACE DARLING (IRE) 2 9 1112½ 1110¼ 1110¼ 11 10 (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 18.60  
12  LEMON BOMB 11 5 33 3 32 6 119 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7.83  
SCR  EMPIRICAL VIEW               (divito jame)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE MUSIC               (spicer t)LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00    
SCR  STAR FORTRESS (IRE)               (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRY HURRY 1 7 4 21 1½ 1 1 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10 W
10  MASTER GAME 10 6 7 8 63 34 2 (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 7.09  
FIGHTERTOWN 2 2 2 32 2½ 2 37 (mason ingrid)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.50 17% 4.80 5.33 S
SANT' ANTIMO 8 9 9 53 53 44 47 (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.50 19% 4.20 4.33  
INEXORABLE 5 5 8 9 8 6 59 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00 24% 3.10 2.59  
LONG CROW 7 3 54 74 7 8 6 (shorter aar)TORRES A 121 12.00 39.47  
PIKE PLACE 9 4 3 4 3 5 7 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 44.44  
MADISON LUVS DUKE 6 10 10 107 10 78 810 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 6.30  
SEVEN FLAT 3 8 6 6 9 9 912¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 15.89  
SPEED WARNING 4 1 1 11 4 1011¾ 1020 (engler jeff)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 10% 9.10 26.35  
SCR  DOG RED               (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:141 1:26   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIRO STREET 7 5 31 3 31 2½ 1¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 10.44  
LUZ DIVINA 6 4 2½ 21 2½ 1½ 2¼ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 48% 1.10 2.59 P
BUTTERFLY QUEEN 1 1 4 53 4 33 3 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 17.57  
MISHKA 2 10 11 9 10 86 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 4.91  
AURACULOUS 8 7 8 85 8 7 5 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 4.50 21% 3.80 3.30  
11  LA SCALONETA 11 11 9 74 64 55 6 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00 28.11  
12  PULA 12 9 5 63 53 65 7 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 32.17  
SIMPLY STRIKING 4 2 1½ 11 1½ 4 8 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 5% 19.00 42.17  
QUEEN LEXI 9 12 1210¼ 12 1210½ 1110 9 (short thomas)EMIGH A 119 30.00 ######  
JOYFUL IMAGE 5 8 64 4 74 9 1011¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 10.46  
10  SPIRITUAL LADY 10 6 10 11 96 109 1111¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 10% 9.00 6.71  
EXTREMELY GRUNTLED 3 3 7 10 1110 1213 1217 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 17.19  
SCR  ADELLEGATOR               (davis christoph)ORTIZ JR 119 30.00    
SCR  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
SCR  MISS HARMONIC               (forster t)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
SCR  SAVANNAMARIE               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.