Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-3   WIN (2/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.38 $2.38 40%
    EXA (2/10/3)-(2/10/4/3/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-10 $31.23 $19.23 160%
KEE-7   WIN (5/8/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $12.20 $2.20 22%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:401   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SICILIAN GRANDMA 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 15 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 30% 2.40 0.76 W
3  ENDLESS 3 3 62½ 63¼ 55 33½ 25 (adams l)HESS SARA 112 30.00 36.28  
4  SPIRITCATCHER 4 5 73½ 73¾ 65 44 35 (gorder k)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00 15.78  
8  ROCK THE NILE 7 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 23 46½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00 11.19  
2  LADY WITH A CAUSE 2 2 31½ 31½ 33 56 57½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 22% 3.60 2.81  
6  BIG JAVA 5 7 52 51¾ 43½ 68 614¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 14% 6.30 4.66  
7  WILDCAT DREAM 6 6 42 41½ 77 711½ 722¼ (salcedo ramon)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00 53.81  
SCR  VINTAGE               (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
 
KEE-2   10/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :454 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  KHANATE 9 1 4¾ 1nk   17 110½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 6.75  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MONGOLIAN SHOPPER by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
11  MR. FAVERSHAM 11 11 1113 1115   710 210½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 3.74  
  (by TONALIST out of WEIGHT NO MORE by PURE PRIZE)
4  TIZ MY HERO 4 10 55¼ 54¼   27 315¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 119 6.00 ★ 8.90 S
  (by BERNARDINI out of TIZ MY LADY by TIZNOW)
5  HEAD LAD 5 7 97¼ 86¾   68½ 416¼ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 ★ 8.28  
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of ENTICE by LURE)
3  STUNNEM 3 2 65¾ 97   810¼ 519 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 10% 9.50 7.77  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MYBABYBABYSBABY by AWESOME AGAIN)
12  CLOTH OF GOLD 12 9 76¼ 64¾   910¼ 619¾ (richard tobious)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 75.34  
  (by TAPIZAR out of SUMMER PLACE by SUPER SAVER)
1  PRETTY FAST 1 4 1nk 4¼   37½ 719¾ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 58.35  
  (by FAST ANNA out of NET by CURLIN)
6  MONEYSHOT 6 3 3.2 3.2   48 820 (puhich mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 11.40  
  (by FROSTED out of COOL BEANS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  GREAT RICHIE M 10 6 86¼ 75¾   1010¾ 920¾ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 5% 19.00 60.66  
  (by FAST ANNA out of GREAT EMMY M by LEMON DROP KID)
2  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS 2 5 2nk 2nk   58 1025¾ (englehart)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 67% 0.50 2.45  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  SILENT SPECTRE 8 8 107½ 1014   1115¾ 1132¾ (morey will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 10.99  
  (by FROSTED out of LIBERATED by UNBRIDLED)
7  LEAD FOOT 7 12 1215 1220   1225¾ 1261¼ (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 33.54  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LILY'S GIRL by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  GAGLIARDI               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LISTEN A. P. by A.P. INDY)
SCR  HEART HEADED               (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LA MALAGUENA by DIABLO)
SCR  WALDRIP               (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of FIANCEE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  WE MISS ARLINGTON               (divito jam)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHANEL NUMBER ONE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
KEE-3   10/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:103     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LIKE A SALTSHAKER 2 2 1½ 1nk   13 12¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 2.00 65% 0.50 3.19 W
10  SHACKLEFORD STRONG 9 1 32½ 32   23 22¾ (divito jam)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 7% 13.10 8.51 P
7  JUNIOR BUG 7 4 64¾ 65½   33 33 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 10.02  
4  CARAMEL CHIP 4 7 42½ 43½   54½ 45¼ (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 ★ 0.68  
5  ONE COOL DUDE 5 3 2½ 2nk   43½ 59¼ (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 8.00 23.90  
3  CASEYS MEMORY 3 10 1011¾ 99¾   79½ 611¾ (johnston la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 5% 19.00 15.23  
12  RISK PROFILE 10 6 85¾ 75¾   67½ 711¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 ★ 38.87  
6  OUT WORK'N 6 9 75¾ 86¾   810½ 818¾ (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 121 30.00 82.95  
8  READY PURSUIT 8 5 98¼ 109¾   913 919 (gonzalez rein)GILLIGAN JACK 121 50.00 96.19  
1  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW 1 8 52¾ 55   1016½ 1033 (mendieta aleja)CASTANON L 121 50.00 64.50  
SCR  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP               (alessi ja)CORREA L 118 30.00    
 
KEE-4   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :49 1:14 1:253   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KILLSHAVE BEAUTY 3 1 11½ 11½ 11½ 12½ 14 (mckeever andr)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00 17.24  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of FIGURE OF BEAUTY by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  PENDULUM 7 7 43 43 43 34 24 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 31% 2.20 2.79 P
  (by STREET BOSS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
14  TURINO 11 10 65¼ 64½ 64½ 55 34½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 20% 4.00 6.31 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of INTENSIFY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  I'M A MESS 1 4 53¼ 54 54 44 45½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.37  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JULIA TUTTLE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  PURR FACTOR 6 5 31½ 32 32 22½ 55½ (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 12.00 30.85  
  (by THE FACTOR out of FRESH FELINE by KITTEN'S JOY)
12  CARINA NEBULA 10 9 86¾ 86½ 76½ 77½ 66 (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 10.12  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DAISY DEVINE by KAFWAIN)
2  WINSOME BEAUTY 2 2 107¾ 97 98½ 88 78¾ (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 8.02  
  (by UPSTART out of MAZEL TOV by MAZEL TRICK)
5  MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA 4 3 76¼ 75½ 1010½ 911 811¾ (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 74.69  
  (by UNKNOWN out of GOT IT MADE by UNCLE MO)
10  FUN LOVING 8 8 21½ 21½ 21½ 66½ 912¼ (oliver victo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 14.41  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
6  COLONIAL ROSE 5 6 119¼ 119 1111 1011½ 1012½ (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 15% 5.90 2.82  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COLBY CAKES by SCAT DADDY)
11  MAYBE MAGIC 9 11 1211¼ 1210½ 1213½ 1213½ 1114½ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 30.00 5% 19.00 61.73  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ITERATION by WILD AGAIN)
15  SHOW ME THE CANDY 12 12 97¾ 108 87 1113 1215½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 12% 7.30 18.43  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MINER'S CAT by MINESHAFT)
SCR  FLORIBUNDA               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ROSE MINE by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  HIGH FASHION KATE               (minnock g)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of IN THE ROUGH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  JUST PRADA               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of NOTAPRADAPRICE by PADDY O'PRADO)
SCR  SEA DANCER               (morey william)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50    
  (by MASTERY out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
 
KEE-5   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  INTERMITTENT FAST 4 2 2½ 11½   14 16½ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50 25% 3.10 2.11 W
10  LITTLE SASS 9 1 31 21½   24 26½ (demeritte larry)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 32.36  
3  BACK ON TRACK 3 7 73½ 43½   34½ 310¾ (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 7.42  
2  SHY SHY 2 8 42 53½   47 410¾ (robertson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 43% 1.30 3.16  
6  GO MARGIE GO 5 6 86½ 89¾   610 512¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 7.31  
7  ADIOS MUCHACHAS 6 9 911½ 911¾   710½ 614¼ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00 9% 10.60 8.26  
8  TOO FAST FOR YOU 7 3 52½ 66   59 714½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.32  
1  WILD BOUT HILARY 1 5 1½ 32½   811½ 827 (tracy tan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 18.40  
9  AFTERNEATH 8 4 62½ 76¼   915 951¾ (lightner mary)LANERIE J 120 15.00 22.34  
SCR  STEALTHESPOTLIGHT               (williams )TORRES A 120 12.00    
 
KEE-6   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:123 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LILAC GIRL 5 2 44½ 44 42½ 1½ 1¾ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 27% 2.60 1.54 W
1  MAKE THE BOYS WINK 1 6 89½ 87½ 76¼ 52½ 2¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 6.91  
3  UP AND DOWN 3 3 68 65½ 53½ 42 3¾ (motion gra)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 47% 1.10 2.88 S
7  SECRET STATEMENT 7 4 11 1½ 1nk 3½ 41¾ (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 44.50  
10  SAKE (FR) 10 10 910½ 98½ 97¾ 95¼ 53¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00 32.37  
8  PAINT ME PERFECT 8 8 79 77 87¾ 74½ 63½ (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 30.00 74.48  
6  WHISKEY LULLABY 6 1 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 74¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 8.00 13.29  
9  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) 9 7 56½ 55½ 66 85 85 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 11.17  
4  CLEVER JOKE 4 11 1011 1010 109¼ 106¼ 96¼ (catalano wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 29.27  
2  GRACE DARLING (IRE) 2 9 1112½ 1110¼ 1110¼ 117¾ 106¼ (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 18.60  
12  LEMON BOMB 11 5 33 32½ 32 63½ 119 (kenneally edd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 ★ 7.83  
SCR  EMPIRICAL VIEW               (divito ja)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA               (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE MUSIC               (spicer james )LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00    
SCR  STAR FORTRESS (IRE)               (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRY HURRY 1 7 43½ 21 1½ 12½ 13½ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10 W
10  MASTER GAME 10 6 75¾ 84½ 63 34 23½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 7.09  
2  FIGHTERTOWN 2 2 22½ 32 2½ 22½ 37 (mason ingrid)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.50 17% 4.80 5.33 S
8  SANT' ANTIMO 8 9 96¾ 53 53 44 47 (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.50 19% 4.20 4.33  
5  INEXORABLE 5 5 85¾ 94½ 84¾ 65½ 59 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00 24% 3.10 2.59  
7  LONG CROW 7 3 54 74 74½ 88¼ 69¼ (shorter a)TORRES A 121 12.00 39.47  
9  PIKE PLACE 9 4 33½ 42½ 31½ 54½ 79½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 44.44  
6  MADISON LUVS DUKE 6 10 109¾ 107 106¼ 78 810 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 6.30  
3  SEVEN FLAT 3 8 64¼ 63½ 95¼ 99¼ 912¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 15.89  
4  SPEED WARNING 4 1 12½ 11 42½ 1011¾ 1020 (engler jeff)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 10% 9.10 26.35  
SCR  DOG RED               (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:141 1:26   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAIRO STREET 7 5 31 31½ 31 2½ 1¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 ★ 10.44  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TAYLOR STREET by STREET SENSE)
6  LUZ DIVINA 6 4 2½ 21 2½ 1½ 2¼ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 48% 1.10 2.59 P
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DIVINA LUZ by WILD EVENT)
1  BUTTERFLY QUEEN 1 1 42½ 53 42½ 33 31¾ (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 17.57  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MAJESTIC MONARCH by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
2  MISHKA 2 10 118¼ 96½ 106½ 86 42½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 4.91  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GOLD DUST WOMAN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  AURACULOUS 8 7 84¾ 85 84½ 75½ 53¾ (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 4.50 21% 3.80 3.30  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BONITA BAY by BERNARDINI)
11  LA SCALONETA 11 11 96¼ 74 64 55 66½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00 28.11  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GOLDEN STATE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
12  PULA 12 9 52½ 63 53 65 76¾ (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 32.17  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CONQUEST SUPERSTEP by SUPER SAVER)
4  SIMPLY STRIKING 4 2 1½ 11 1½ 43½ 87½ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 5% 19.00 42.17  
  (by ENTICED out of SPEIGHTSY HEART by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  QUEEN LEXI 9 12 1210¼ 129¼ 1210½ 1110 98¾ (short thomas)EMIGH A 119 30.00 ######  
  (by KLIMT out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
5  JOYFUL IMAGE 5 8 64 42½ 74 98½ 1011¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 10.46  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BO'S IMAGE by TAPIT)
10  SPIRITUAL LADY 10 6 106¾ 116¾ 96 109 1111¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 10% 9.00 6.71  
  (by NYQUIST out of SPIRIT LETS HEARIT by GIROLAMO)
3  EXTREMELY GRUNTLED 3 3 74½ 106¾ 1110 1213 1217 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 17.19  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MAG'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  ADELLEGATOR               (davis christo)ORTIZ JR 119 30.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of J. A. CURLIN by CURLIN)
SCR  MISS HARMONIC               (forster t)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SPEED SEEKER by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
SCR  SAVANNAMARIE               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LENAMARIE by PAYNTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.