Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-3   WIN (2/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.38 $2.38 40%
    EXA (2/10/3)-(2/10/4/3/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-10 $31.23 $19.23 160%
KEE-7   WIN (5/8/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $12.20 $2.20 22%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SICILIAN GRANDMA   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 30% 2.40 0.76 W
3  ENDLESS   (adams l)HESS SARA 112 30.00 36.28  
4  SPIRITCATCHER   (gorder k)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00 15.78  
8  ROCK THE NILE   (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00 11.19  
2  LADY WITH A CAUSE   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 22% 3.60 2.81  
6  BIG JAVA   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 14% 6.30 4.66  
7  WILDCAT DREAM   (salcedo ramon)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00 53.81  
SCR  VINTAGE   (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
 
KEE-2   10/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  KHANATE   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 6.75  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MONGOLIAN SHOPPER by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
11  MR. FAVERSHAM   (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 3.74  
  (by TONALIST out of WEIGHT NO MORE by PURE PRIZE)
4  TIZ MY HERO   (vance d)LANERIE J 119 6.00 ★ 8.90 S
  (by BERNARDINI out of TIZ MY LADY by TIZNOW)
5  HEAD LAD   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 ★ 8.28  
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of ENTICE by LURE)
3  STUNNEM   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 10% 9.50 7.77  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MYBABYBABYSBABY by AWESOME AGAIN)
12  CLOTH OF GOLD   (richard tobious)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 75.34  
  (by TAPIZAR out of SUMMER PLACE by SUPER SAVER)
1  PRETTY FAST   (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 58.35  
  (by FAST ANNA out of NET by CURLIN)
6  MONEYSHOT   (puhich mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 11.40  
  (by FROSTED out of COOL BEANS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  GREAT RICHIE M   (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 5% 19.00 60.66  
  (by FAST ANNA out of GREAT EMMY M by LEMON DROP KID)
2  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS   (englehart)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 67% 0.50 2.45  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  SILENT SPECTRE   (morey will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 10.99  
  (by FROSTED out of LIBERATED by UNBRIDLED)
7  LEAD FOOT   (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 33.54  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LILY'S GIRL by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  GAGLIARDI   (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LISTEN A. P. by A.P. INDY)
SCR  HEART HEADED   (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LA MALAGUENA by DIABLO)
SCR  WALDRIP   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of FIANCEE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  WE MISS ARLINGTON   (divito jam)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHANEL NUMBER ONE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
KEE-3   10/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LIKE A SALTSHAKER   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 2.00 65% 0.50 3.19 W
10  SHACKLEFORD STRONG   (divito jam)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 7% 13.10 8.51 P
7  JUNIOR BUG   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 10.02  
4  CARAMEL CHIP   (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 ★ 0.68  
5  ONE COOL DUDE   (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 8.00 23.90  
3  CASEYS MEMORY   (johnston la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 5% 19.00 15.23  
12  RISK PROFILE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 ★ 38.87  
6  OUT WORK'N   (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 121 30.00 82.95  
8  READY PURSUIT   (gonzalez rein)GILLIGAN JACK 121 50.00 96.19  
1  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW   (mendieta aleja)CASTANON L 121 50.00 64.50  
SCR  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP   (alessi ja)CORREA L 118 30.00    
 
KEE-4   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KILLSHAVE BEAUTY   (mckeever andr)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00 17.24  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of FIGURE OF BEAUTY by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  PENDULUM   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 31% 2.20 2.79 P
  (by STREET BOSS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
14  TURINO   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 20% 4.00 6.31 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of INTENSIFY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
1  I'M A MESS   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.37  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JULIA TUTTLE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  PURR FACTOR   (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 12.00 30.85  
  (by THE FACTOR out of FRESH FELINE by KITTEN'S JOY)
12  CARINA NEBULA   (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 10.12  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DAISY DEVINE by KAFWAIN)
2  WINSOME BEAUTY   (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 8.02  
  (by UPSTART out of MAZEL TOV by MAZEL TRICK)
5  MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA   (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 74.69  
  (by UNKNOWN out of GOT IT MADE by UNCLE MO)
10  FUN LOVING   (oliver victo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 14.41  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
6  COLONIAL ROSE   (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 15% 5.90 2.82  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COLBY CAKES by SCAT DADDY)
11  MAYBE MAGIC   (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 30.00 5% 19.00 61.73  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ITERATION by WILD AGAIN)
15  SHOW ME THE CANDY   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 12% 7.30 18.43  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MINER'S CAT by MINESHAFT)
SCR  FLORIBUNDA   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ROSE MINE by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  HIGH FASHION KATE   (minnock g)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of IN THE ROUGH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  JUST PRADA   (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of NOTAPRADAPRICE by PADDY O'PRADO)
SCR  SEA DANCER   (morey william)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50    
  (by MASTERY out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
 
KEE-5   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  INTERMITTENT FAST   (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50 25% 3.10 2.11 W
10  LITTLE SASS   (demeritte larry)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 32.36  
3  BACK ON TRACK   (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 7.42  
2  SHY SHY   (robertson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 43% 1.30 3.16  
6  GO MARGIE GO   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 7.31  
7  ADIOS MUCHACHAS   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00 9% 10.60 8.26  
8  TOO FAST FOR YOU   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.32  
1  WILD BOUT HILARY   (tracy tan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 18.40  
9  AFTERNEATH   (lightner mary)LANERIE J 120 15.00 22.34  
SCR  STEALTHESPOTLIGHT   (williams )TORRES A 120 12.00    
 
KEE-6   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LILAC GIRL   (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 27% 2.60 1.54 W
1  MAKE THE BOYS WINK   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 6.91  
3  UP AND DOWN   (motion gra)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 47% 1.10 2.88 S
7  SECRET STATEMENT   (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 44.50  
10  SAKE (FR)   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00 32.37  
8  PAINT ME PERFECT   (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 30.00 74.48  
6  WHISKEY LULLABY   (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 8.00 13.29  
9  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 11.17  
4  CLEVER JOKE   (catalano wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 29.27  
2  GRACE DARLING (IRE)   (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 18.60  
12  LEMON BOMB   (kenneally edd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 ★ 7.83  
SCR  EMPIRICAL VIEW   (divito ja)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  LAKESIDE MUSIC   (spicer james )LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00    
SCR  STAR FORTRESS (IRE)   (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRY HURRY   (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10 W
10  MASTER GAME   (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 7.09  
2  FIGHTERTOWN   (mason ingrid)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.50 17% 4.80 5.33 S
8  SANT' ANTIMO   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.50 19% 4.20 4.33  
5  INEXORABLE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00 24% 3.10 2.59  
7  LONG CROW   (shorter a)TORRES A 121 12.00 39.47  
9  PIKE PLACE   (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 44.44  
6  MADISON LUVS DUKE   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 6.30  
3  SEVEN FLAT   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 15.89  
4  SPEED WARNING   (engler jeff)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 10% 9.10 26.35  
SCR  DOG RED   (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAIRO STREET   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 ★ 10.44  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TAYLOR STREET by STREET SENSE)
6  LUZ DIVINA   (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 48% 1.10 2.59 P
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DIVINA LUZ by WILD EVENT)
1  BUTTERFLY QUEEN   (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 17.57  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MAJESTIC MONARCH by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
2  MISHKA   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 4.91  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GOLD DUST WOMAN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  AURACULOUS   (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 4.50 21% 3.80 3.30  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BONITA BAY by BERNARDINI)
11  LA SCALONETA   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00 28.11  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GOLDEN STATE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
12  PULA   (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 32.17  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CONQUEST SUPERSTEP by SUPER SAVER)
4  SIMPLY STRIKING   (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 5% 19.00 42.17  
  (by ENTICED out of SPEIGHTSY HEART by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  QUEEN LEXI   (short thomas)EMIGH A 119 30.00 ######  
  (by KLIMT out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
5  JOYFUL IMAGE   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 10.46  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BO'S IMAGE by TAPIT)
10  SPIRITUAL LADY   (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 10% 9.00 6.71  
  (by NYQUIST out of SPIRIT LETS HEARIT by GIROLAMO)
3  EXTREMELY GRUNTLED   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 17.19  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MAG'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  ADELLEGATOR   (davis christo)ORTIZ JR 119 30.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of J. A. CURLIN by CURLIN)
SCR  MISS HARMONIC   (forster t)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SPEED SEEKER by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
SCR  SAVANNAMARIE   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LENAMARIE by PAYNTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.