Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (2/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-3   Win (2/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (8/14/6/15/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (2/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (3/5/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (5/8/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (6/8/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   10/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SICILIAN GRANDMA Sep03 Aug11 May20 Mar03 Jan26 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 30% 2.40    
2  LADY WITH A CAUSE Sep29 Aug11 Jun11 Apr20 Mar16 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  ENDLESS Sep23 Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 (adams l)HESS SARA 112 30.00    
4  SPIRITCATCHER Aug24 Aug04 Jul26 Jun24 Jun08 (gorder kel)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  VINTAGE Aug28 Jul30 Jun04 May11 Apr15 (englehart jef)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00    
6  BIG JAVA Jul15 May03 Mar25 Feb26 Feb12 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
7  WILDCAT DREAM Sep27 Aug31 Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 (salcedo ramon)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00    
8  ROCK THE NILE Aug31 Aug01 Jul08 Jun21 May13 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00    
 
KEE-2   10/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY FAST Jul08         (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
2  WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS Sep20         (englehart j)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 67% 0.50    
3  STUNNEM Sep14 Aug26       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 10% 9.50    
4  TIZ MY HERO Sep21 Jul15 Jun24 Jun04   (vance d)LANERIE J 119 6.00 ★    
5  HEAD LAD Aug24 Jul29       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 ★    
6  MONEYSHOT Sep21 Aug05       (puhich mike)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
7  LEAD FOOT Sep21 Aug13 Jul21 Jul01   (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
8  SILENT SPECTRE         (morey willia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
9  KHANATE Sep03 Aug10       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
10  GREAT RICHIE M         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  MR. FAVERSHAM         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
12  CLOTH OF GOLD         (richard tobious)GRAHAM J 119 30.00    
SCR  WALDRIP Sep20         (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  GAGLIARDI         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
SCR  HEART HEADED         (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
SCR  WE MISS ARLINGTON         (divito james)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
 
KEE-3   10/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Sep25 Sep07 Sep01 Aug17 Aug02 (mendieta alejand)CASTANON L 121 50.00    
2  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Sep17 Aug23 Jul05 May14 Mar10 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 2.00 65% 0.50    
3  CASEYS MEMORY Aug14 Jul31 Jun19 May27 Apr29 (johnston lane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CARAMEL CHIP Sep23 Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 ★    
5  ONE COOL DUDE Sep22 Aug17 Jul14 Dec30 Nov25 (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 8.00    
6  OUT WORK'N Sep08 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun16 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 121 30.00    
7  JUNIOR BUG Sep17 May25 Mar26 Dec30 Dec08 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
8  READY PURSUIT Aug12 Mar24 Mar15 Feb25 Feb02 (gonzalez reina )GILLIGAN JACK 121 50.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP Sep20 Sep06 Mar10 Feb22 Jan11 (alessi jame)CORREA L 118 30.00    
10  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun04 (divito james)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 7% 13.10    
SCR  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Sep06 Jul14 Oct29 Aug31 Aug13 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
12  RISK PROFILE Sep17 Aug04 Jun24 May19 Apr20 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 ★    
 
KEE-4   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M A MESS Sep07         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
2  WINSOME BEAUTY Aug18 Jul16       (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
3  KILLSHAVE BEAUTY         (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  HIGH FASHION KATE Sep23 Aug20 Aug04     (minnock g)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
5  MARSHAMARSHAMARSHA         (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
6  COLONIAL ROSE Aug26 Jul23       (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 15% 5.90    
7  PURR FACTOR         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 12.00    
8  PENDULUM Sep03         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  JUST PRADA         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
10  FUN LOVING Sep02 Aug13       (oliver victori)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
11  MAYBE MAGIC Jul23         (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  CARINA NEBULA Sep02 Aug06       (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
SCR  SEA DANCER Sep10 Aug13 Jul07     (morey e)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50    
14  TURINO Sep13         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
15  SHOW ME THE CANDY Sep10         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  FLORIBUNDA Sep13         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
 
KEE-5   10/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD BOUT HILARY Aug25 Jul21       (tracy tanne)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
2  SHY SHY Sep13 Sep02 Aug12     (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
3  BACK ON TRACK Sep11 Aug23 Jul30     (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  STEALTHESPOTLIGHT Aug06 Jul07 Apr29     (williams ma)TORRES A 120 12.00    
5  INTERMITTENT FAST Aug13 Jun21 May26 Apr28   (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50 25% 3.10    
6  GO MARGIE GO Sep29 Aug10       (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
7  ADIOS MUCHACHAS Aug26         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00 9% 10.60    
8  TOO FAST FOR YOU Sep14 Aug02 Jun30 May11   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  AFTERNEATH Sep02 Aug11 Jul13 May12   (lightner mary)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
10  LITTLE SASS Sep27 Jun17       (demeritte larry)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00    
 
KEE-6   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE THE BOYS WINK Sep10 Aug13 Jul09 Apr19 Mar16 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
2  GRACE DARLING (IRE) Sep16 Mar11 Feb16     (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
3  UP AND DOWN Sep10 Jun25 May19 Apr19 Sep01 (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 47% 1.10    
4  CLEVER JOKE Jul23 May12 Mar09 Dec03 Aug28 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LILAC GIRL Sep09 Apr23 Feb25     (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 27% 2.60    
6  WHISKEY LULLABY Sep03 Jul07 Oct14 Sep18 Aug19 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 8.00    
7  SECRET STATEMENT Sep21 May05 Apr07 Mar02 Dec31 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
8  PAINT ME PERFECT Aug29 Jul20 Jun24 Apr19 Feb26 (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 120 30.00    
9  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Sep09 Aug13 Apr08 Mar11 Feb05 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
10  SAKE (FR) Sep18 Aug24 May20 Apr13 Dec21 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STAR FORTRESS (IRE)         (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00    
12  LEMON BOMB Sep09 Jul31 Jun24 Oct30 Oct08 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  LAKESIDE MUSIC Jun29         (spicer t)LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00    
SCR  EMPIRICAL VIEW Sep02 Aug04 Jul09     (divito jame)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION Aug31 Aug05 Jun25 May17 Apr19 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA Sep09 Aug11 Jul15 Nov05 Aug21 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
 
KEE-7   10/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRY HURRY Aug19 Jun30 Jun11 Mar16 Feb17 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  FIGHTERTOWN Sep30 Aug06 Jun15 May21 Feb26 (mason ingrid)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  SEVEN FLAT Aug19 Jul21 Jun02 May13 Apr26 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
4  SPEED WARNING Sep04 Aug03 Jul02 Jun02 Mar16 (engler jeff)FELIX E 118 15.00 10% 9.10    
5  INEXORABLE Sep14 Jul30 Sep25 Jul16 Jun25 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
6  MADISON LUVS DUKE Sep10 Aug27 Jul14 Jun24 Jun02 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00    
7  LONG CROW Sep20 Aug26 Aug04 Jun24 May26 (shorter aar)TORRES A 121 12.00    
8  SANT' ANTIMO Sep20 Aug26 Jul31 Jun29   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
9  PIKE PLACE Sep12 Aug04 Jun12 May23 Mar24 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
10  MASTER GAME Sep20 Jul21 Jun22 May11 Apr15 (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
SCR  DOG RED Aug19 Jul19 Jun18 May28 Apr26 (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTTERFLY QUEEN Sep16         (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
2  MISHKA         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
3  EXTREMELY GRUNTLED Sep03         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
4  SIMPLY STRIKING Aug18 Jul22       (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOYFUL IMAGE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
6  LUZ DIVINA Sep23 Sep02       (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
7  CAIRO STREET Sep13 Aug13 Jul07     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 ★    
8  AURACULOUS Aug31 Jul31       (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
9  QUEEN LEXI Sep27 Sep16       (short thomas)EMIGH A 119 30.00    
10  SPIRITUAL LADY Sep09 Aug02       (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 10% 9.00    
11  LA SCALONETA Sep16         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00    
12  PULA Aug26         (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY Aug13 May26       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
SCR  ADELLEGATOR Sep13 Aug18       (davis christoph)ORTIZ JR 119 30.00    
SCR  SAVANNAMARIE Sep03 Jul22 Jun16     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  MISS HARMONIC Sep21         (forster t)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.