The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (9/4/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $43.72 $43.72 35.72
KEE-2   Win (5/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $13.28 -8.00
KEE-3   Win (7/11/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.60 -8.00
KEE-4   Win (10/12/5/3/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $21.56 $21.56 11.56
KEE-5   Win (7/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $7.66 -8.00
KEE-6   Win (9/5/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $31.94 -8.00
KEE-7   Win (1/5/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $18.66 $18.66 10.66
KEE-8   Win (3/11/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 0.60

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/25/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:233 :474 1:13 1:393   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) 8 3 1nk 2nk 2½ 1½ 1(synnefias pan)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 20.00 13% 6.90 20.86 W
FIGHT'N READY 3 2 8 8 78 32(stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 15% 5.50 1.68 P
AWAY FROM HOME 1 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 2½ 3(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 125 4.50 6.22  
UNWRAPPED 4 4 6 6 5 5420¼ (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 9.37  
ROCKSTAR RED 7 6 5 32 3 4525 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 26% 2.80 2.98  
EXEMPLIFIED 6 7 7 7 6 712½ 626½ (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 31.52  
SOLOMON VANDY 5 5 31 5 8 814½ 729¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 14% 6.00 15.17  
BIG SKIPPY 2 8 4 4 44 612 833¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 4.16  
SCR  CUORE D'ORO               (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 121 12.00    
SCR  TIZ THE COAST               (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
 
KEE-2   10/25/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
:233 :484 1:143 1:411   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GOOD FORTUNE 8 9 99 9 8 5¾ 1(hartman chris)LANERIE J 123 2.50 5.64  
10  XYLOPHONE 10 5 63 42 6 4¼ 2(hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 4.01  
CANDY ISLAND 1 2 1½ 31 3 2nk 3(galloway kha)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 15% 5.90 3.15 S
MISS MOON PIE 4 4 2½ 11 1½ 1nk 44 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 121 12.00 25.98  
CHOCTAW BINGO 5 6 42 21 2½ 3.2 5(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 32% 2.10 3.08  
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 3 1 3 5 52 66(faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 20.00 45.81  
PELLETIER 2 8 74 6 7 777 (hernandez javie)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 62.34  
SEAWARD 6 7 8 7 42 8812½ (hernandez javier)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 37.94  
KITTEN CALLS 9 10 10 10 9 9921 (reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.91  
DRE ME LESS 7 3 53 8 1014¼ 10100 10100 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 30% 2.40 4.61  
 
KEE-3   10/25/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 F PT- 2:04
:242 :501 1:151 1:411   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORISKIT NOBISCUIT 2 1 31 6 44 1nk 1½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 2.30  
STANDOUTSENSATION 5 9 1½ 4 1½ 2nk 2½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 11% 7.80 22.42 P
11  BUSINESS AS USUAL 9 6 2½ 2nk 3 32 35 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 14% 6.30 4.19 S
WHEN I LOOK AT YOU 6 3 4 1nk 2½ 449 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 50% 1.00 2.73  
MONEY WORKS 1 7 8 95 8 57 511 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 4.63  
IUKA MISS 7 4 7 5 65 68 613¼ (stall m)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.44  
CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE 4 2 9 8 9 7713¼ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00 12.00  
10  LIAM'S MESSAGE 8 5 6 3½ 54 813 827½ (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 18.23  
MOTHER FREEDOM 3 8 52 7 77 914 929 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 26.59  
SCR  UP ON THE EDGE               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.50    
SCR  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00    
 
KEE-4   10/25/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
:22 :45 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST SAY WHEN 2 1 3 32   2½ 1½ (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00 10% 8.80 9.78 W
DOUBLE CLUTCH 6 5 52 6   42 2½ (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 4.92  
TOWN BARBER 4 2 1½ 1½   1½ 32 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 12% 7.40 16.29 S
10  DONEGAL MISCHIEF 8 3 2½ 2½   31 4(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 26% 2.80 1.53  
SUMMER IN MALIBU 3 9 7 7   55 5(combs bentley)TORRES A 121 6.00 7.25  
ELI'S PROMISE 7 10 8 8   66(divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 29.45  
ARABIAN PRINCE 1 8 9 10   978 (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 13.56  
CHIRINGO 5 7 10 9   77 8(weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 8.86  
14  WESTERN COMMAND 10 6 6 5   89(foley greg)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 6% 15.60 9.98  
12  FIRST DEFENDER 9 4 42 42   1012½ 1023¾ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 24% 3.20 15.36  
SCR  BENCH               (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  GILDED RULER               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
SCR  HUNTERTOWN               (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
SCR  JUDGE DAVIS               (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00    
SCR  RUNNINGFORCASH               (anderson doug)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
SCR  TRUST DADDY               (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00    
 
KEE-5   10/25/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:08
:223 :462 1:12     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TARIFA 3 7 4 4   11 16 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 2.83  
REGULATORY RISK 8 2 3½ 31   326 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.35 P
SNOW DANCE 7 3 2nk 1nk   21 3(rice kevin)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 59% 0.70 2.17 S
NOTA BELLE 4 6 8 74   46 410 (lobo h)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 12.06  
YES TO CHAMPAGNE 5 5 7 8   7516 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 13% 6.80 10.62  
14  CIRCLING (IRE) 12 9 6 6   5617 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 16.24  
SCENIC BEAUTY 9 8 10 10   811 718¾ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.52  
STREETWHEREYOULIVE 1 12 11 129   1113¼ 819¼ (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 46.11  
LIFE ADVICE 6 4 1nk 2nk   68 920¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 10.80  
10  WAGGLE PASS 10 10 9 9   1013 1022½ (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 26.25  
11  IDALOU 11 1 5 52   911 1125 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 22.36  
DIVINE TREASURE 2 11 12 11   1216¼ 1231¾ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 82.71  
SCR  BERNAR MOSA               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  LOOKSTER               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
SCR  ROUND THE TOWN               (servis c)TORRES A 119 12.00    
SCR  THORPEDO ANNA               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
 
KEE-6   10/25/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 3:40
:241 :494 1:16 1:392   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOZEN DIAMONDS 2 1 1 1½ 11 13 1(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 14.97  
YATTA 8 8 7 6 5 23 2(motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.54 P
GIGI'S WORLD 7 5 65 74 8 63(evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 30.00 66.73  
RAINING SUGAR 3 2 43 52 63 545 (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 7.79  
ASK AMANDA 5 4 54 42 42 45(motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50 18% 4.70 5.37  
LEUCADIA 1 6 3 3 3 33 6(walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 34.82  
KAMIKAZE UMAGI 6 9 8 8 9 77(west w)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00 48.31  
10  MO SENSE 9 7 97 9 7 88(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 7% 14.40 10.66  
SMOOTH WAVES 4 3 2 2½ 21 99(maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 27% 2.70 1.34  
SCR  SWEETCATHERINEROSE               (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  UMEBOSHI               (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/25/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:221 :454 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT TIME 3 6 5 4   3½ 1nk (morey willia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00 5% 19.00 8.33 W
W W CANDY 5 10 12 10   63 2nk (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 121 20.00 35.14  
ANGKOR 4 5 2nk 2nk   1nk 3(bauer a)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 22% 3.60 6.30 S
NELSON AVENUE 6 8 6 5   44(stidham michael)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 6.34  
10  DUCALE 8 2 8 6   52 5(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 17% 5.00 8.85  
VITTORIO 1 7 1nk 1nk   2nk 6(mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 35% 1.90 4.28  
14  EMBRACE (IRE) 12 12 11 127   107(drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 44.62  
FAN CLUB 2 9 10 11   88(forster t)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00 74.48  
12  CONDEMN 10 4 7 8   1199 (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 2.22  
11  MAJOR BLUE 9 3 31 31   71010½ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 30.00 20.87  
DETERMINEDLY 7 11 9 95   91112¼ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 10.28  
13  SWING SHIFT (GB) 11 1 4 7   1211¾ 1220¼ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 79.84  
SCR  RAISE CAIN               (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
SCR  SANTOS DUMONT               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/25/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
:241 :493 1:144 1:261   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WEYHILL ROAD 11 7 43 44 32 1nk 1(mcgaughey claud)CANNON DECLAN 121 2.50 29% 2.40 4.30 W
NATION 3 10 96 87 8 52(motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 34% 1.90 3.05 P
HEART N SOUL 9 2 11 1 11 2nk 3(weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 9% 9.80 4.41 S
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 4 1 3 33 4 44(michael brian)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 3.15  
AS ONE DOES 6 3 65 5 6 65(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 19.18  
10  CROSSING 10 4 21 2 21 36(combs bentley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 31.67  
LITTLE NICK (NZ) 8 11 118 11 9 97(vaccarezza car)TORRES A 121 20.00 35.82  
12  EGYPTIAN KING 12 8 5 6 5 789 (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00 32.40  
COMMAND' ORO 5 5 7 76 76 8911 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 5% 18.30 10.64  
MOESAHANDFUL 1 9 107 108 10 1012¾ 1018½ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 15.21  
ADDED MISCHIEF 2 12 1210 1210½ 1214¼ 1216¾ 1119¾ (wilkes r)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 30.86  
TEXAS TOAST 7 6 86 97 1112¾ 1115¾ 1220 (bicknell whitney)ELLIOTT JANE 124 50.00 71.79  
SCR  MISSIONAIRE               (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
SCR  MO SATURDAYS               (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
SCR  MOHEGAN               (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
SCR  STONKS               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.