Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-1   WIN (9/4/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $43.72 $35.72 447%
    EXA (9/4/6/10)-(9/4/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  10-4 $121.09 $109.09 909%
KEE-4   WIN (10/12/5/3/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $21.56 $11.56 116%
KEE-7   WIN (1/5/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $18.66 $10.66 133%
KEE-8   WIN (3/11/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $10.60 $0.60 6%
    EXA (3/11/9/5/4)-(3/11/9/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-3 $24.67 $4.67 23%
    TRI (3/11/9/5/4)-(3/11/9/5/4)-(3/11/9/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  11-3-9 $46.93 $16.93 56%
    SFT (3/11/9/5/4)-(3/11/9/5/4)-(3/11/9/5/4)-(3/11/9/5/4) 120 $0.10 $12.00  11-3-9-4 $33.03 $21.03 175%
    DD (1/5/10/3)-(3/11/9/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-11 $56.85 $36.85 184%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:13 1:393   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) 8 3 1nk 2nk 2½ 1½ 1 (synnefias p)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 20.00 13% 6.90 20.86 W
FIGHT'N READY 3 2 8 8 78 3 2 (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 15% 5.50 1.68 P
AWAY FROM HOME 1 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 2½ 3 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 125 4.50 6.22  
UNWRAPPED 4 4 6 6 5 5 420¼ (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 9.37  
ROCKSTAR RED 7 6 5 32 3 4 525 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 26% 2.80 2.98  
EXEMPLIFIED 6 7 7 7 6 712½ 626½ (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 31.52  
SOLOMON VANDY 5 5 31 5 8 814½ 729¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 14% 6.00 15.17  
BIG SKIPPY 2 8 4 4 44 612 833¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 4.16  
SCR  CUORE D'ORO               (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 121 12.00    
SCR  TIZ THE COAST               (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
 
KEE-2   10/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:143 1:411   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GOOD FORTUNE 8 9 99 9 8 5¾ 1 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 123 2.50 5.64  
10  XYLOPHONE 10 5 63 42 6 4¼ 2 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 4.01  
CANDY ISLAND 1 2 1½ 31 3 2nk 3 (galloway k)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 15% 5.90 3.15 S
MISS MOON PIE 4 4 2½ 11 1½ 1nk 44 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 121 12.00 25.98  
CHOCTAW BINGO 5 6 42 21 2½ 3.2 5 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 32% 2.10 3.08  
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 3 1 3 5 52 6 6 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 20.00 45.81  
PELLETIER 2 8 74 6 7 7 77 (hernandez jav)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 62.34  
SEAWARD 6 7 8 7 42 8 812½ (hernandez javier)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 37.94  
KITTEN CALLS 9 10 10 10 9 9 921 (reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.91  
DRE ME LESS 7 3 53 8 1014¼ 10100 10100 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 30% 2.40 4.61  
 
KEE-3   10/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:242 :501 1:151 1:411   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORISKIT NOBISCUIT 2 1 31 6 44 1nk 1½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 2.30  
STANDOUTSENSATION 5 9 1½ 4 1½ 2nk 2½ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 11% 7.80 22.42 P
11  BUSINESS AS USUAL 9 6 2½ 2nk 3 32 35 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 14% 6.30 4.19 S
WHEN I LOOK AT YOU 6 3 4 1nk 2½ 4 49 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 50% 1.00 2.73  
MONEY WORKS 1 7 8 95 8 57 511 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 4.63  
IUKA MISS 7 4 7 5 65 68 613¼ (stall albert )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.44  
CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE 4 2 9 8 9 7 713¼ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00 12.00  
10  LIAM'S MESSAGE 8 5 6 3½ 54 813 827½ (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 18.23  
MOTHER FREEDOM 3 8 52 7 77 914 929 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 26.59  
SCR  UP ON THE EDGE               (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.50    
SCR  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00    
 
KEE-4   10/25/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:22 :45 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST SAY WHEN 2 1 3 32   2½ 1½ (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00 10% 8.80 9.78 W
DOUBLE CLUTCH 6 5 52 6   42 2½ (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 4.92  
TOWN BARBER 4 2 1½ 1½   1½ 32 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 12% 7.40 16.29 S
10  DONEGAL MISCHIEF 8 3 2½ 2½   31 4 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 26% 2.80 1.53  
SUMMER IN MALIBU 3 9 7 7   55 5 (combs bentle)TORRES A 121 6.00 7.25  
ELI'S PROMISE 7 10 8 8   6 6 (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 29.45  
ARABIAN PRINCE 1 8 9 10   9 78 (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 13.56  
CHIRINGO 5 7 10 9   77 8 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 8.86  
14  WESTERN COMMAND 10 6 6 5   8 9 (foley greg)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 6% 15.60 9.98  
12  FIRST DEFENDER 9 4 42 42   1012½ 1023¾ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 24% 3.20 15.36  
SCR  BENCH               (vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  GILDED RULER               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
SCR  HUNTERTOWN               (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
SCR  JUDGE DAVIS               (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00    
SCR  RUNNINGFORCASH               (anderson do)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
SCR  TRUST DADDY               (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00    
 
KEE-5   10/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:12     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TARIFA 3 7 4 4   11 16 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 2.83  
  (by BERNARDINI out of KITE BEACH by AWESOME AGAIN)
REGULATORY RISK 8 2 3½ 31   3 26 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.35 P
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SNOW DANCE 7 3 2nk 1nk   21 3 (rice kevin)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 59% 0.70 2.17 S
  (by COMMISSIONER out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
NOTA BELLE 4 6 8 74   46 410 (lobo paulo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 12.06  
  (by AUDIBLE out of COULD BE MAGIC by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
YES TO CHAMPAGNE 5 5 7 8   7 516 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 13% 6.80 10.62  
  (by MITOLE out of GLENCOE CHURCH by CAPOTE)
14  CIRCLING (IRE) 12 9 6 6   5 617 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 16.24  
  (by MUNNINGS out of CIRCLE OF ROSSETTI by BERNARDINI)
SCENIC BEAUTY 9 8 10 10   811 718¾ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.52  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of LUCKY COVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
STREETWHEREYOULIVE 1 12 11 129   1113¼ 819¼ (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 46.11  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MY ROYALTY by STREET SENSE)
LIFE ADVICE 6 4 1nk 2nk   68 920¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 10.80  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ERVSAYSLETHERGO by HOLD ME BACK)
10  WAGGLE PASS 10 10 9 9   1013 1022½ (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 26.25  
  (by DIALED IN out of ROSSEZZA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  IDALOU 11 1 5 52   911 1125 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 22.36  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ESTELLINE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
DIVINE TREASURE 2 11 12 11   1216¼ 1231¾ (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 82.71  
  (by COIL out of DEVILISH DIVA by BOOS (FR))
SCR  BERNAR MOSA               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ROUGHING by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  LOOKSTER               (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SEA LEVEL DRIVE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  ROUND THE TOWN               (servis john )TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JEANNE'S SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  THORPEDO ANNA               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SATAVES by UNCLE MO)
 
KEE-6   10/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:16 1:392   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOZEN DIAMONDS 2 1 1 1½ 11 13 1 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 14.97  
YATTA 8 8 7 6 5 23 2 (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.54 P
GIGI'S WORLD 7 5 65 74 8 6 3 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 30.00 66.73  
RAINING SUGAR 3 2 43 52 63 5 45 (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 7.79  
ASK AMANDA 5 4 54 42 42 4 5 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50 18% 4.70 5.37  
LEUCADIA 1 6 3 3 3 33 6 (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 34.82  
KAMIKAZE UMAGI 6 9 8 8 9 7 7 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00 48.31  
10  MO SENSE 9 7 97 9 7 8 8 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 7% 14.40 10.66  
SMOOTH WAVES 4 3 2 2½ 21 9 9 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 27% 2.70 1.34  
SCR  SWEETCATHERINEROSE               (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  UMEBOSHI               (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :454 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT TIME 3 6 5 4   3½ 1nk (morey will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00 5% 19.00 8.33 W
W W CANDY 5 10 12 10   63 2nk (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 121 20.00 35.14  
ANGKOR 4 5 2nk 2nk   1nk 3 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 22% 3.60 6.30 S
NELSON AVENUE 6 8 6 5   4 4 (stidham micha)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 6.34  
10  DUCALE 8 2 8 6   52 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 17% 5.00 8.85  
VITTORIO 1 7 1nk 1nk   2nk 6 (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 35% 1.90 4.28  
14  EMBRACE (IRE) 12 12 11 127   10 7 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 44.62  
FAN CLUB 2 9 10 11   8 8 (forster grant)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00 74.48  
12  CONDEMN 10 4 7 8   11 99 (drury j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 2.22  
11  MAJOR BLUE 9 3 31 31   7 1010½ (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 30.00 20.87  
DETERMINEDLY 7 11 9 95   9 1112¼ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 10.28  
13  SWING SHIFT (GB) 11 1 4 7   1211¾ 1220¼ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 79.84  
SCR  RAISE CAIN               (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
SCR  SANTOS DUMONT               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:144 1:261   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WEYHILL ROAD 11 7 43 44 32 1nk 1 (mcgaughey cla)CANNON DECLAN 121 2.50 29% 2.40 4.30 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CATCH THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
NATION 3 10 96 87 8 5 2 (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 34% 1.90 3.05 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WELCOME SPEECH by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
HEART N SOUL 9 2 11 1 11 2nk 3 (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 9% 9.80 4.41 S
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALESSANDRA by NOTIONAL)
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 4 1 3 33 4 4 4 (michael brian)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 3.15  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
AS ONE DOES 6 3 65 5 6 6 5 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 19.18  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MOUNT KELLETT by EMPIRE MAKER)
10  CROSSING 10 4 21 2 21 3 6 (combs bentle)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 31.67  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
LITTLE NICK (NZ) 8 11 118 11 9 9 7 (vaccarezza c)TORRES A 121 20.00 35.82  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GHOST FLOWER by FORLI)
12  EGYPTIAN KING 12 8 5 6 5 7 89 (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00 32.40  
  (by SKY MESA out of PEARL OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
COMMAND' ORO 5 5 7 76 76 8 911 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 5% 18.30 10.64  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of C. S. INCHARGE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
MOESAHANDFUL 1 9 107 108 10 1012¾ 1018½ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 15.21  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of TIZAHANDFUL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
ADDED MISCHIEF 2 12 1210 1210½ 1214¼ 1216¾ 1119¾ (wilkes r)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 30.86  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ADDED UNTO YOU by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
TEXAS TOAST 7 6 86 97 1112¾ 1115¾ 1220 (bicknell whitn)ELLIOTT JANE 124 50.00 71.79  
  (by TEXAS RED out of CREDENTIAL by VALID APPEAL)
SCR  MISSIONAIRE               (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DIVINITE by MR. SIDNEY)
SCR  MO SATURDAYS               (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MIGHTY KATHERINE by SEEKING THE DIA)
SCR  MOHEGAN               (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of SUPER PHOEBE by MALABAR GOLD)
SCR  STONKS               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HOW UNUSUAL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.