Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (9/4/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-2   Win (5/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (7/11/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (10/12/5/3/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (7/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (9/5/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (1/5/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (3/11/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   10/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CUORE D'ORO         (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 121 12.00    
2  AWAY FROM HOME Sep24 Jan13 Nov18 Oct16 Sep23 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 125 4.50    
3  BIG SKIPPY Sep16         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00    
4  FIGHT'N READY Sep25 Jul21 Jun02 Apr14 Feb18 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
5  UNWRAPPED Sep24 Jul23 Jun22 May21   (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00    
6  SOLOMON VANDY Sep09 Mar01 Oct15 Sep16 Aug27 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  TIZ THE COAST Sep16 Aug23 Oct05 Aug31 Aug05 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
8  EXEMPLIFIED Oct15 Sep28 Aug28     (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
9  ROCKSTAR RED Aug23 Jul16 Jul02 Jun02 May07 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
10  THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) Oct15 Apr14 Feb26     (synnefias pan)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 20.00 13% 6.90    
 
KEE-2   10/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY ISLAND Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 Jul19 Jun24 (galloway kha)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 15% 5.90    
2  PELLETIER Sep20 Sep02 Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 (hernandez javie)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
3  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Sep20 Sep02 Aug05 Jul23 Jul13 (faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 20.00    
4  MISS MOON PIE Sep30 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 Jun21 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 121 12.00    
5  CHOCTAW BINGO Oct08 Sep17 Aug28 Jun06 May06 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 32% 2.10    
6  SEAWARD Oct03 Sep14 Aug16 Aug05 Jul26 (hernandez javier)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
7  DRE ME LESS Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 May20 May02 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
8  MY GOOD FORTUNE Sep29 Jul26 Jul06 May23 Dec08 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 123 2.50 ★    
9  KITTEN CALLS Sep12 Jul18 May29 Mar11 Feb18 (reed eric )RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  XYLOPHONE Aug15 May11 Apr30 Mar31 Mar10 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
 
KEE-3   10/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($69K) 2 F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY WORKS         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
2  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT Sep30 Sep03 Aug06     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00    
3  MOTHER FREEDOM         (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  UP ON THE EDGE Sep20 Aug11 Jul16     (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.50    
5  CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE Aug18         (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00    
6  STANDOUTSENSATION Sep27 Aug28 Aug01     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 11% 7.80    
7  WHEN I LOOK AT YOU Sep27         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF Sep20 Aug11 Jul16 Jun10   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00    
9  IUKA MISS Sep14 Jul22       (stall m)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  LIAM'S MESSAGE Aug31 Aug12 Jun25 May27 May12 (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
11  BUSINESS AS USUAL Sep13         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
KEE-4   10/25/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BENCH         (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
2  ARABIAN PRINCE Sep22 Sep13 Jul23 Jun23 May19 (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
3  JUST SAY WHEN Sep02 Dec17 Nov20 Sep11 Jul14 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00 10% 8.80    
4  SUMMER IN MALIBU Sep22 Aug26 Aug03 Apr15 Apr01 (combs bentley)TORRES A 121 6.00    
5  TOWN BARBER Oct02 Aug27 Jul16     (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 12% 7.40    
6  CHIRINGO Sep13 Aug20 Jul23 May13 Apr16 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
7  DOUBLE CLUTCH Mar08 Jan28 Oct29 Sep05 Aug05 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00    
8  ELI'S PROMISE Aug20 Jul31 Jun25 May28 Apr20 (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  RUNNINGFORCASH Aug07 Jul02 Jun09 May20 Apr08 (anderson doug)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
10  DONEGAL MISCHIEF Jul28         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  GILDED RULER Jul15 May19 Mar10 Dec31 Feb05 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
12  FIRST DEFENDER Mar19 Feb18 Jan21     (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  TRUST DADDY Jun23 May19 Apr21 Dec02 Nov20 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00    
14  WESTERN COMMAND Sep13 Aug11 Jun18 May20 Mar16 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  JUDGE DAVIS Sep13 Aug20 Jun25 Jun02 Apr13 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00    
SCR  HUNTERTOWN Sep20 Aug30 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREETWHEREYOULIVE         (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
2  DIVINE TREASURE         (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
3  TARIFA         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
4  NOTA BELLE Oct12         (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
5  YES TO CHAMPAGNE Sep27         (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 13% 6.80    
6  LIFE ADVICE Sep16         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★    
7  SNOW DANCE Sep25 Sep03 Aug20 Jul23   (rice kevin)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 59% 0.70    
8  REGULATORY RISK Sep16         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  SCENIC BEAUTY         (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  WAGGLE PASS         (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
11  IDALOU Sep27         (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  THORPEDO ANNA         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  LOOKSTER Aug26         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
14  CIRCLING (IRE) Oct06         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
SCR  BERNAR MOSA         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  ROUND THE TOWN Jun11 May04       (servis c)TORRES A 119 12.00    
 
KEE-6   10/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEUCADIA Sep20 Aug31       (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
2  DOZEN DIAMONDS Aug31 Jul21 Jun11     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
SCR  SWEETCATHERINEROSE Sep13 Aug20       (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
4  RAINING SUGAR Sep14 Aug04       (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
5  SMOOTH WAVES Oct06 Sep10 Aug06 Jul07 Jun11 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
6  ASK AMANDA Oct01         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
7  KAMIKAZE UMAGI Sep10 Jun29       (west w)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00    
8  GIGI'S WORLD Sep13 Aug30 Aug19     (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 30.00    
9  YATTA Sep30 Sep07 Aug12 Jul07   (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
10  MO SENSE Sep29 Aug10       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  UMEBOSHI Oct15 Sep14 Jul22     (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITTORIO Sep16 Aug13 Jul08 May27 Apr20 (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 35% 1.90    
2  FAN CLUB Jan07 Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 Aug06 (forster t)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00    
3  NIGHT TIME Sep18 Aug11 Mar23 Mar11 Feb04 (morey willia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SANTOS DUMONT Sep21 Aug05 Jun30 May27 Jul04 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
5  ANGKOR Sep29 Aug05 May21 May03 Mar25 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
6  W W CANDY Sep29 Sep05 Aug20 Jul27 Jun27 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 121 20.00    
7  NELSON AVENUE Jan14 Dec11 Oct15 Aug18   (stidham michael)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 ★    
8  DETERMINEDLY Sep23 Jul23 Jun04 Apr07 Feb18 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  RAISE CAIN Oct21 Sep24 Aug06 Jul08 Jun11 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
10  DUCALE Apr16         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
11  MAJOR BLUE Sep20 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 30.00    
12  CONDEMN Oct02 Apr23 Mar16     (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00    
13  SWING SHIFT (GB) Nov06 Aug17 Jul02 Apr02 Mar02 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
14  EMBRACE (IRE) Jun01 May06 Apr16 Nov23 Oct08 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
 
KEE-8   10/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOESAHANDFUL Mar19 Feb18       (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
2  ADDED MISCHIEF         (wilkes r)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
3  NATION         (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
4  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK Sep30 Aug27 Jun22 May21 Apr20 (michael brian)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  COMMAND' ORO Sep14 Aug11       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 5% 18.30    
6  AS ONE DOES Sep10 Nov12 Oct18 Sep03   (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
7  TEXAS TOAST Jul14 Jun18       (bicknell whitney)ELLIOTT JANE 124 50.00    
8  LITTLE NICK (NZ) Sep02 Aug19       (vaccarezza car)TORRES A 121 20.00    
9  HEART N SOUL Aug31 May20 May13     (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 9% 9.80    
10  CROSSING Sep10 Aug27 Aug01 May26 May11 (combs bentley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00    
11  WEYHILL ROAD Sep10 Aug24 Jul01 May20 Mar11 (mcgaughey claud)CANNON DECLAN 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
12  EGYPTIAN KING Oct02 Oct19 Sep21     (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00    
SCR  MISSIONAIRE Sep30 Sep03 Apr27 Mar18 Jan28 (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
SCR  MO SATURDAYS Sep02 Jun22 May04 Feb02 Oct30 (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
SCR  MOHEGAN         (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
SCR  STONKS Sep10 Jul29 Jun09 May19 Apr09 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.