Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-3   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $9.40 $3.40 57%

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT HURRICANE   (claire alexis)MCKEE J 123 2.00 44% 1.30 2.20 W
SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN   (langemeie)CORREA L 122 6.00 18.30  
THATSAFACTJACK   (cahill f)BUSH V 123 4.00 9% 9.80 2.80 S
BAYTOWN WARRIOR   (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 123 5.00 20% 4.10 1.60  
ALL JOKES ASIDE   (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 3.50 11.40  
DAY IN THE COUNTRY   (meredith charles)OUZTS W 123 20.00 54.90  
TENPAK   (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 6.00 10.00  
EL GAVILAN   (fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 25.10  
SCR  DASH OF FIRE   (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 125 15.00    
 
BTP-2   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATUS SYMBOL   (fernandez edw)PANAIJO JORGE 123 3.50 1.70  
BEEBLEGEE   (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.00 11.50  
LA LA ANGEL   (tomlinson e)BUSH V 121 4.50 18.70  
CONGRATS JENSEN   (cline rob)CORREA L 121 3.00 25% 3.10 2.00  
THE LAST APPLE   (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.00 45% 1.20 1.50  
 
BTP-3   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PONDERED   (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 3.50 16% 5.10 3.70 W
EXPLOSIVE SKIES   (patrick gary)MCKEE J 121 5.00 1.70  
TOTAL SMOKESHOW   (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 121 2.50 29% 2.40 3.10 S
DISHIN' IT OUT   (patrick gary)OUZTS W 121 10.00 5.80  
AWESOME MARINA   (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 121 6.00 17.20  
PLEASANT SKY   (margolis steph)ELLIOTT JANE 121 4.50 28% 2.50 5.10  
DOGWOODS BECCA   (scott anthony)CANUTO THIAGO 124 12.00 23.60  
SCR  DELTA WISHES   (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00    
 
BTP-4   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WETZEL   (cline rob)CORREA L 117 3.50 25% 3.00 1.70 W
WEEKENDER   (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 29% 2.40 1.20 P
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE   (bennett c)MCKEE J 120 4.50 6.40  
HONOR THE D   (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00 23.60  
PALACE TEMPTATION   (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 117 8.00 16.90  
HEIDI'S SINATRA   (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00 79.70  
ROAD TO MUSIC CITY   (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
MURRY SPUR   (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00 23% 3.30 12.30  
SCR  DYNAMIC REACH   (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00    
 
BTP-5   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN CHEMIN   (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 16.60  
RECOGNIZE ME   (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 117 4.00 27% 2.70 1.40 P
CARIBBEAN NIGHT   (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.00 49% 1.00 0.50 S
11  LOTTA ROSES   (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 12.00 7.70  
SCR  LUCKY SHORE   (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 122 12.00    
SCR  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50    
SCR  LIAM'S LASS   (reed r)COLON H 120 5.00    
SCR  HOT HEELS   (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
SCR  WICKED INTENT   (caramori caio)REYES R 120 10.00    
SCR  BLUE NEITH   (watkins m)FELIX E 120 12.00    
SCR  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS   (simms jr)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
 
BTP-6   09/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICKY DESIRE   (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 70% 0.40 0.70 W
MISS MOON PIE   (beck ro)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 6.30  
BUCKEYE BLING   (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 123 3.00 3.20 S
DIALED INNA   (watkins m)REYES FRANK 123 6.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
LA ROSA   (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 9.20  
PARFAIT   (hamm timothy)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.50 24.20  
MEGAN'S NOEL   (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00 19.10  
 
BTP-7   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY IT AIN'T SO   (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 8.00 0.40  
FLY FLY AWAY   (cahill f)BUSH V 120 4.50 29% 2.50 2.40 P
HINK'S PALADIN   (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 6.80  
ERIC THE SALESMAN   (calcano carlos)REYES R 120 10.00 22% 3.50 8.10  
SCR  MAJOR WAGER   (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 3.50    
SCR  LYRICAL POET   (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 2.50    
SCR  FUNKY MUSIC   (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  EASILY INFLUENCED   (brafford mich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
SCR  NO COMMISSION   (figueroa ces)MARCANO Y 115 10.00    
SCR  BREAKTHROUGH   (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 122 4.00    
 
BTP-8   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST KITTEN   (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 2.50 63% 0.60 1.00 W
10  JOLIE RULER   (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00 19.80  
ERV'S WENCH   (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.00 6% 14.40 3.20 S
MY TOMMY LEE   (sands shane)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00 24.80  
KNOT WILD   (sandy s)MCKEE J 123 8.00 20.40  
SUPORB   (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 116 5.00 4.60  
FUTURE FLAY   (esquivel )CORREA L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 47.80  
SIS BOOM BOB   (esquivel jesus)COLON H 121 4.50 10% 8.50 5.80  
MERRY OF SOUL   (thomas mark)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00 32.40  
SCR  WHISKEY SIS   (nocero carmino)REYES FRANK 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.