The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Belterra Park
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (3/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
BTP-2   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $5.40 -4.00
BTP-3   Win (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
BTP-4   Win (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
BTP-5   Win (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 9 1 0 $35.20 -4.00
BTP-6   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -0.60
BTP-7   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $2.80 -4.00
BTP-8   Win (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
:221 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT HURRICANE 3 5 4 32   2½ 1(claire alexis)MCKEE J 123 2.00 44% 1.30 2.20 W
SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN 7 7 6 6   53 2(langemeier )CORREA L 122 6.00 18.30  
THATSAFACTJACK 2 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 3(cahill f)BUSH V 123 4.00 9% 9.80 2.80 S
BAYTOWN WARRIOR 8 3 1nk 2nk   3½ 4(mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 123 5.00 20% 4.10 1.60  
ALL JOKES ASIDE 1 1 33 4   42 5(meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 3.50 11.40  
DAY IN THE COUNTRY 4 8 810¾ 810¾   67 66 (meredith charles)OUZTS W 123 20.00 54.90  
TENPAK 6 6 7 710¾   8710¼ (hernandez javi)MARCANO Y 118 6.00 10.00  
EL GAVILAN 5 4 5 5   79 811¼ (fernandez kelly)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 25.10  
SCR  DASH OF FIRE               (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 125 15.00    
 
BTP-2   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
:23 :471 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATUS SYMBOL 5 5 3 2nk   11(fernandez edwar)PANAIJO JORGE 123 3.50 1.70  
BEEBLEGEE 4 2 54 4   34 2(silva fernand)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.00 11.50  
LA LA ANGEL 1 4 4 3   43(tomlinson e)BUSH V 121 4.50 18.70  
CONGRATS JENSEN 2 3 2½ 1nk   24(cline rober)CORREA L 121 3.00 25% 3.10 2.00  
THE LAST APPLE 3 1 1½ 5   513½ 555¾ (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.00 45% 1.20 1.50  
 
BTP-3   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:251 :494 1:141 1:273   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PONDERED 7 4 11 1 110 15 1(caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 3.50 16% 5.10 3.70 W
EXPLOSIVE SKIES 4 1 21 2 210 25 2(patrick gary)MCKEE J 121 5.00 1.70  
TOTAL SMOKESHOW 1 5 42 4 414 39 3(calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 121 2.50 29% 2.40 3.10 S
DISHIN' IT OUT 5 2 7 7 515 54(patrick gary)OUZTS W 121 10.00 5.80  
AWESOME MARINA 2 7 6 64 314 49 510¼ (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 121 6.00 17.20  
PLEASANT SKY 3 6 5 5 718 617¼ 629¼ (margolis stephen)ELLIOTT JANE 121 4.50 28% 2.50 5.10  
DOGWOODS BECCA 6 3 31 3 617 718¾ 731½ (scott l)CANUTO THIAGO 124 12.00 23.60  
SCR  DELTA WISHES               (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00    
 
BTP-4   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:251 :492 1:143 1:271   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WETZEL 5 3 43 3 3 31 1(cline rober)CORREA L 117 3.50 25% 3.00 1.70 W
WEEKENDER 4 5 3 21 2 21 2(smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 29% 2.40 1.20 P
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 7 1 11 11 1 11 34 (bennett c)MCKEE J 120 4.50 6.40  
HONOR THE D 6 2 5 4 45 46 412½ (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00 23.60  
PALACE TEMPTATION 2 8 6 65 611 510½ 516 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 117 8.00 16.90  
HEIDI'S SINATRA 8 4 88 88 711 612 616½ (haehn r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00 79.70  
ROAD TO MUSIC CITY 1 6 21 5 510 713 720½ (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
MURRY SPUR 3 7 76 76 812 814½ 824 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00 23% 3.30 12.30  
SCR  DYNAMIC REACH               (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00    
 
BTP-5   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
:243 :492 1:15 1:413   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN CHEMIN 3 2 22 2 21 1½ 1½ (cline c)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 16.60  
RECOGNIZE ME 2 1 12 1 11 2½ 2½ (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 117 4.00 27% 2.70 1.40 P
CARIBBEAN NIGHT 1 4 44 4 4 36 39 (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.00 49% 1.00 0.50 S
11  LOTTA ROSES 4 3 33 3 3 47 413¾ (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 12.00 7.70  
SCR  LUCKY SHORE               (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 122 12.00    
SCR  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50    
SCR  LIAM'S LASS               (reed r)COLON H 120 5.00    
SCR  HOT HEELS               (fletcher kevi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
SCR  WICKED INTENT               (caramori caio)REYES R 120 10.00    
SCR  BLUE NEITH               (watkins m)FELIX E 120 12.00    
SCR  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS               (simms jr)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
 
BTP-6   09/30/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
:233 :481 1:124 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICKY DESIRE 5 6 33 32 12 13 1(lobo h)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 70% 0.40 0.70 W
MISS MOON PIE 3 1 2 21 22 23 2(beck rowe)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 6.30  
BUCKEYE BLING 4 2 5 5 510½ 48 311¼ (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 123 3.00 3.20 S
DIALED INNA 1 4 44 43 4 3416½ (watkins m)REYES FRANK 123 6.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
LA ROSA 7 7 1 11 3 5522 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 9.20  
PARFAIT 2 5 66 6 615½ 614½ 622¼ (hamm timothy)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.50 24.20  
MEGAN'S NOEL 6 3 7 77 718 716½ 722½ (grubbs l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00 19.10  
 
BTP-7   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
:223 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY IT AIN'T SO 2 3 3 2   11 1(smith larry)OUZTS W 120 8.00 0.40  
FLY FLY AWAY 3 2 2nk 3   31 2(cahill f)BUSH V 120 4.50 29% 2.50 2.40 P
HINK'S PALADIN 4 1 1nk 1   21 3(johnston rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 6.80  
ERIC THE SALESMAN 1 4 47 46   44(calcano a)REYES R 120 10.00 22% 3.50 8.10  
SCR  MAJOR WAGER               (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 3.50    
SCR  LYRICAL POET               (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 2.50    
SCR  FUNKY MUSIC               (fletcher kevi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  EASILY INFLUENCED               (brafford michel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
SCR  NO COMMISSION               (figueroa cesar)MARCANO Y 115 10.00    
SCR  BREAKTHROUGH               (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 122 4.00    
 
BTP-8   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
:222 :461       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST KITTEN 3 4 2nk 2½   12 1(meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 2.50 63% 0.60 1.00 W
10  JOLIE RULER 9 2 7 6   52(ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00 19.80  
ERV'S WENCH 4 9 9 9   735 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.00 6% 14.40 3.20 S
MY TOMMY LEE 1 8 8 7   44(sands shane)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00 24.80  
KNOT WILD 7 6 5 5   65(sandy s)MCKEE J 123 8.00 20.40  
SUPORB 8 1 3½ 3½   22 68 (hernandez javi)MARCANO Y 116 5.00 4.60  
FUTURE FLAY 5 5 6 8   911 713 (esquivel je)CORREA L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 47.80  
SIS BOOM BOB 6 7 1nk 1½   3814 (esquivel jesus)COLON H 121 4.50 10% 8.50 5.80  
MERRY OF SOUL 2 3 41 4   89 916¼ (thomas mark)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00 32.40  
SCR  WHISKEY SIS               (nocero carmino)REYES FRANK 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.