Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belterra Park
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-3   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $9.40 $3.40 57%
Simulator Race results
 
BTP-1   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:221 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MIDNIGHT HURRICANE 3 5 43¼ 32   2½ 11¾ (claire alexis)MCKEE J 123 2.00 44% 1.30 2.20 W
8  SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN 7 7 68¾ 67¾   53 21¾ (langemeie)CORREA L 122 6.00 18.30  
2  THATSAFACTJACK 2 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 32¾ (cahill f)BUSH V 123 4.00 9% 9.80 2.80 S
9  BAYTOWN WARRIOR 8 3 1nk 2nk   3½ 43½ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 123 5.00 20% 4.10 1.60  
1  ALL JOKES ASIDE 1 1 33 42¼   42 54½ (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 3.50 11.40  
4  DAY IN THE COUNTRY 4 8 810¾ 810¾   67 66 (meredith charles)OUZTS W 123 20.00 54.90  
6  TENPAK 6 6 78¾ 710¾   89¼ 710¼ (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 6.00 10.00  
5  EL GAVILAN 5 4 54¾ 56¾   79 811¼ (fernandez kel)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 25.10  
SCR  DASH OF FIRE               (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 125 15.00    
 
BTP-2   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:23 :471 :60     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STATUS SYMBOL 5 5 31½ 2nk   12½ 12¾ (fernandez edw)PANAIJO JORGE 123 3.50 1.70  
4  BEEBLEGEE 4 2 54 43¾   34 22¾ (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.00 11.50  
1  LA LA ANGEL 1 4 43½ 33½   45½ 34¼ (tomlinson e)BUSH V 121 4.50 18.70  
2  CONGRATS JENSEN 2 3 2½ 1nk   22½ 45¼ (cline rob)CORREA L 121 3.00 25% 3.10 2.00  
3  THE LAST APPLE 3 1 1½ 55¼   513½ 555¾ (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.00 45% 1.20 1.50  
 
BTP-3   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:141 1:273   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PONDERED 7 4 11 11½ 110 15 12½ (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 3.50 16% 5.10 3.70 W
4  EXPLOSIVE SKIES 4 1 21 21½ 210 25 22½ (patrick gary)MCKEE J 121 5.00 1.70  
1  TOTAL SMOKESHOW 1 5 42 42½ 414 39 39¼ (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 121 2.50 29% 2.40 3.10 S
5  DISHIN' IT OUT 5 2 77¼ 75½ 515 59¼ 49½ (patrick gary)OUZTS W 121 10.00 5.80  
2  AWESOME MARINA 2 7 64¾ 64 314 49 510¼ (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 121 6.00 17.20  
3  PLEASANT SKY 3 6 54½ 53½ 718 617¼ 629¼ (margolis steph)ELLIOTT JANE 121 4.50 28% 2.50 5.10  
7  DOGWOODS BECCA 6 3 31 31½ 617 718¾ 731½ (scott anthony)CANUTO THIAGO 124 12.00 23.60  
SCR  DELTA WISHES               (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00    
 
BTP-4   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:143 1:271   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WETZEL 5 3 43 32½ 33½ 31 12¼ (cline rob)CORREA L 117 3.50 25% 3.00 1.70 W
4  WEEKENDER 4 5 31½ 21 21½ 21 22¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 29% 2.40 1.20 P
7  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE 7 1 11 11 11½ 11 34 (bennett c)MCKEE J 120 4.50 6.40  
6  HONOR THE D 6 2 53½ 43½ 45 46 412½ (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00 23.60  
1  PALACE TEMPTATION 2 8 64½ 65 611 510½ 516 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 117 8.00 16.90  
8  HEIDI'S SINATRA 8 4 88 88 711 612 616½ (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00 79.70  
2  ROAD TO MUSIC CITY 1 6 21 53½ 510 713 720½ (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
3  MURRY SPUR 3 7 76 76 812 814½ 824 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00 23% 3.30 12.30  
SCR  DYNAMIC REACH               (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00    
 
BTP-5   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:15 1:413   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GRAN CHEMIN 3 2 22 21½ 21 1½ 1½ (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 16.60  
8  RECOGNIZE ME 2 1 12 11½ 11 2½ 2½ (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 117 4.00 27% 2.70 1.40 P
4  CARIBBEAN NIGHT 1 4 44 42½ 44½ 36 39 (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.00 49% 1.00 0.50 S
11  LOTTA ROSES 4 3 33 31½ 34½ 47 413¾ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 12.00 7.70  
SCR  LUCKY SHORE               (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 122 12.00    
SCR  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50    
SCR  LIAM'S LASS               (reed r)COLON H 120 5.00    
SCR  HOT HEELS               (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00    
SCR  WICKED INTENT               (caramori caio)REYES R 120 10.00    
SCR  BLUE NEITH               (watkins m)FELIX E 120 12.00    
SCR  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS               (simms jr)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
 
BTP-6   09/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:124 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  QUICKY DESIRE 5 6 33 32 12 13 15¼ (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 70% 0.40 0.70 W
3  MISS MOON PIE 3 1 21½ 21 22 23 25¼ (beck ro)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 6.30  
4  BUCKEYE BLING 4 2 54½ 53½ 510½ 48 311¼ (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 123 3.00 ★ 3.20 S
1  DIALED INNA 1 4 44 43 46½ 37½ 416½ (watkins m)REYES FRANK 123 6.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
7  LA ROSA 7 7 11½ 11 36½ 59½ 522 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 9.20  
2  PARFAIT 2 5 66 65½ 615½ 614½ 622¼ (hamm timothy)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.50 24.20  
6  MEGAN'S NOEL 6 3 76½ 77 718 716½ 722½ (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00 19.10  
 
BTP-7   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:223 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SAY IT AIN'T SO 2 3 31½ 21½   11 11½ (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 8.00 0.40  
7  FLY FLY AWAY 3 2 2nk 31½   31 21½ (cahill f)BUSH V 120 4.50 29% 2.50 2.40 P
9  HINK'S PALADIN 4 1 1nk 11½   21 32½ (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00 6.80  
3  ERIC THE SALESMAN 1 4 47 46   46½ 46¼ (calcano carlos)REYES R 120 10.00 22% 3.50 8.10  
SCR  MAJOR WAGER               (meah m)HEARD TYLER 120 3.50    
SCR  LYRICAL POET               (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 2.50    
SCR  FUNKY MUSIC               (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  EASILY INFLUENCED               (brafford mich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
SCR  NO COMMISSION               (figueroa ces)MARCANO Y 115 10.00    
SCR  BREAKTHROUGH               (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 122 4.00    
 
BTP-8   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:222 :461       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FIRST KITTEN 3 4 2nk 2½   12 12¾ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 2.50 63% 0.60 1.00 W
10  JOLIE RULER 9 2 73¼ 65¾   55½ 22¾ (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00 19.80  
4  ERV'S WENCH 4 9 95¼ 97¼   77½ 35 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.00 6% 14.40 3.20 S
1  MY TOMMY LEE 1 8 84¾ 76¼   44½ 45¾ (sands shane)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00 24.80  
8  KNOT WILD 7 6 52½ 55½   66½ 55¾ (sandy s)MCKEE J 123 8.00 20.40  
9  SUPORB 8 1 3½ 3½   22 68 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 116 5.00 4.60  
5  FUTURE FLAY 5 5 62¾ 86¼   911 713 (esquivel )CORREA L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 47.80  
7  SIS BOOM BOB 6 7 1nk 1½   33½ 814 (esquivel jesus)COLON H 121 4.50 10% 8.50 5.80  
2  MERRY OF SOUL 2 3 41 43½   89 916¼ (thomas mark)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 10.00 32.40  
SCR  WHISKEY SIS               (nocero carmino)REYES FRANK 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.