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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Keeneland
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

KEE-2			WIN	(5/3/7/12/2)						5	$2.00	$10.00	3		$18.10			$8.10				81%
KEE-3			DD	(5/3/7/12/2)-(12/7/10/1)						20	$1.00	$20.00	3-7		$34.13			$14.13				71%
KEE-4			WIN	(2/3)						2	$2.00	$4.00	2		$7.00			$3.00				75%
			EXA	(2/3)-(2/3)						2	$1.00	$2.00	2-3		$8.76			$6.76				338%
			DD	(12/7/10/1)-(2/3)						8	$1.00	$8.00	7-2		$13.53			$5.53				69%
			PK3	(5/3/7/12/2)-(12/7/10/1)-(2/3)						40	$0.50	$20.00	3-7-2		$49.13			$29.13				146%
KEE-7			WIN	(8/9/2/12)						4	$2.00	$8.00	2		$9.14			$1.14				14%
			EXA	(8/9/2/12)-(8/9/2/12/11)						16	$1.00	$16.00	2-11		$54.84			$38.84				243%
KEE-9			WIN	(7/6/4)						3	$2.00	$6.00	4		$7.06			$1.06				18%
			EXA	(7/6/4)-(7/6/4)						6	$1.00	$6.00	4-7		$7.86			$1.86				31%
			TRI	(7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4)						6	$0.50	$3.00	4-7-6		$12.22			$9.22				307%
			PK3	(8/9/2/12)-(9/7/8/3)-(7/6/4)						48	$0.50	$24.00	2-7-4		$25.31			$1.31				5%
KEE-10			WIN	(11/5/10/2/3)						5	$2.00	$10.00	3		$90.12			$80.12				801%
			DD	(7/6/4)-(11/5/10/2/3)						15	$1.00	$15.00	4-3		$152.69			$137.69				918%
			PK3	(9/7/8/3)-(7/6/4)-(11/5/10/2/3)						60	$0.50	$30.00	7-4-3		$327.45			$297.45				992%
			PK4	(8/9/2/12)-(9/7/8/3)-(7/6/4)-(11/5/10/2/3)						240	$0.50	$120	2/13/14-1/4/5/7/11/14-4-3		$1249			$1129				941%

Simulator Race results


KEE-1			10/21/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	GOOD	Claiming ($62.5K)					Purse ($78K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	COMISKEY PARK									(hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121						4.50						7.88
3	VULCAN									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						4.00						1.54
7	THEALLIGATORHUNTER									(padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121						6.00		13%		6.50		5.32	S
2	CALL ME MIDNIGHT									(desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						20.00						11.80
5	MAC DADDY TOO									(casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121						1.60		44%		1.30		2.15
1	JOHNNY UNLEASHED									(foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121						30.00						30.40
4	COLD AS HELL									(lukas wayn)TORRES A 121						2.50		14%		6.30		9.03

KEE-2			10/21/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	GOOD	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($47K)			2		F		PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	READY FOR TROUBLE									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						6.00		20%		4.00		8.05	W
4	FASTA LAVISTA BABY									(scherer mariann)LANERIE J 119						8.00						18.33
10	PLEASINGLY									(moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						15.00						14.00
5	DANCING NANCY									(brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119						1.20		44%		1.30		0.82
8	WRECK IT RUBY									(holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119						30.00						63.52
11	LOVEYA LOVEYA MORE									(ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119						20.00						48.11
2	THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT									(mcentee paul)AYALA ISAIAS 119						30.00		5%		19.00		48.78
9	LINDSEY (GB)									(wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						8.00						12.77
1	WIND CHASIN									(howey quinn)CANNON DECLAN 119						20.00						19.45
7	RED SUN DRESS									(ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119						6.00		10%		9.20		7.03
6	REDHEADEDSTRANGER									(nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 119						30.00						58.81
12	CARPE OSTENTO (GB)									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00		5%		19.00		9.44
SCR	LADLE									(murphy conor)GRAHAM J 119						20.00
SCR	MARGARET'S LADY									(west ethan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						12.00
SCR	SERENE WATERS									(meah m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119						6.00
SCR	TALKIN IN CURSIVE									(vosler e)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119						20.00

KEE-3			10/21/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($43K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	BOURBON FEVER									(casse no)SANTANA JR 121						6.00		28%		2.60		1.60	W
4	SPANISH DOUBLOON									(casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						10.00						11.09
5	SOLEVO									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121						10.00						20.41
12	BACK TO REALITY									(hartman chri)TORRES A 121						5.00		39%		1.60		7.25
6	THE BIG MOZZ									(donjuan sergio)STEVENS C 119						30.00						52.97
8	COLONEL BARTON									(puhich mik)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124						15.00						50.56
3	MR. COMMANDER									(king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						20.00						40.12
10	GOD OF WINE									(morrison mike)MACHADO LUAN 121						15.00		7%		14.40		21.22
11	SHOCKWAVE									(joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121						12.00						7.50
1	CHARTED									(waltz brian)COURT K 124						12.00		5%		19.00		14.66
2	KINGMAKER									(moquett ronald)PRAT FLAVIEN 124						1.60		★				2.74
SCR	AMANWALKSINTOABAR									(stidham micha)VELAZQUEZ R 121						10.00
SCR	BAD BOY FOR LIFE									(howey quinn)CANNON DECLAN 121						20.00
SCR	FEELING FREE									(stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124						10.00
SCR	RUNANDSCORE									(o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 121						8.00
SCR	TRIPLE OPTION									(cook b)BEJARANO R 124						15.00

KEE-4			10/21/2023		5280ft	TURF	RC10	GOOD	Allowance					Purse ($140K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	OEUVRE									(block chri)CORRALES GERARDO 122						4.00		59%		0.70		2.50	W
3	SWEET DANI GIRL									(vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ LUIS 124						4.50		10%		8.50		1.79	P
1	DO YOU LOVE ME									(bourke john)MACHADO LUAN 122						15.00						15.15
4	ADAAY IN ASIA (GB)									(clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 122						3.00						1.94
5	BRAGANZA									(kenneally edd)VELAZQUEZ R 122						15.00						5.82
SCR	BUTTERBEAN									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						4.00
SCR	LADY HIDEAWAY									(wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 122						12.00
SCR	TAKNTOTHECLEANERS									(west ethan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122						8.00
SCR	VIAREGGIO (IRE)									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.00

KEE-5			10/21/2023		4290ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($100K)			2		F		PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	DENIM AND PEARLS									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						6.00						1.75
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAJESTIC PRESENCE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
9	SWEET GAL OF MINE									(mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 119						4.00		26%		2.80		2.33	P
		(by DIALED IN out of SO SWEETITIZ by GRAND SLAM)
5	CLEOPATRA SELENE									(correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119						20.00						60.84
		(by BERNARDINI out of CLEOPATRA'S CHARM by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3	IRINA'S CHARM									(d'amato phili)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						10.00		8%		11.00		5.61
		(by JUSTIFY out of STRIKE CHARMER by SMART STRIKE)
1	BEDAZZLE 'EM									(engler j)SANTANA JR 119						12.00						19.35
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JENDA'S AGENDA by PROUD CITIZEN)
6	AUNT FANNIE									(wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.50		20%		4.00		9.83
		(by UNCLE MO out of IVORY EMPRESS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
10	SUMMERINTAHOE									(ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 119						30.00		5%		19.00		53.35
		(by TAPIT out of TOSSUP by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
12	SHEZTHEFACTOR									(hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119						10.00		20%		4.10		15.58
		(by THE FACTOR out of MY LUCKY SPELL by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
11	LITTLE JAMIE									(medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 119						15.00						52.37
		(by COLLECTED out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
7	MARCO SUNSET									(mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119						10.00						46.73
		(by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2	BEST OF ALL									(brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00						10.76
		(by UNKNOWN out of BEST PERFORMANCE by BROKEN VOW)
4	MAXISUPERFLY									(foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119						12.00						60.64
		(by OPTIMIZER out of FIREFLY by WOODMAN)
SCR	BERNAR MOSA									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119						15.00
		(by BERNARDINI out of ROUGHING by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR	CITY SHACK									(burdess terry)ORTIZ ALVIN 119						30.00
		(by TEMPLE CITY out of HAVANA STROLL by STROLL)
SCR	IN JUST MY HEELS									(moquett r)LEPAROUX R 119						20.00
		(by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of HIGH HEELS by E DUBAI)

KEE-6			10/21/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC11	FAST	Perryville					Purse ($250K)			3		ALL		PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	RAISE CAIN									(colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00						6.44
		(by VIOLENCE out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
5	DR. VENKMAN									(glatt mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118						3.50		27%		2.70		1.26	P
		(by GHOSTZAPPER out of THEORY OF CHANGE by ARCHARCHARCH)
3	POST TIME									(russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118						15.00		5%		19.00		7.42	S
		(by FROSTED out of VIELSALM by FAIRBANKS)
6	LOYAL COMPANY									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						12.00						14.52
		(by FROSTED out of ENRICHMENT by FISCAL)
1	VERIFYING									(cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120						1.00		44%		1.30		1.78
		(by JUSTIFY out of DIVA DELITE by REPENT)
2	CONFIDENCE GAME									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122						4.50						12.99
		(by CANDY RIDE out of EBLOUISSANTE by BERNARDINI)

KEE-7			10/21/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($100K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SINGLE DOT YAHT									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121						8.00		5%		19.00		3.57	W
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of ROTE by TIZNOW)
11	ALEXANDER HELIOS									(joseph saffi)GEROUX FLORENT 121						15.00		★				14.04	P
		(by CAIRO PRINCE out of CASHMERE by PHONE TRICK)
3	DISSOLVED									(casse no)SANTANA JR 121						10.00						6.27
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of SWEET DREAMS by TRICK ME)
8	MOUNT CRAIG									(moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						4.00		55%		0.80		4.35
		(by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
6	BEN FRANKLIN									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121						4.50						4.01
		(by CITY OF LIGHT out of INVENTIVE by DIXIE UNION)
5	MALIBU SPRINGS									(sweezey kent)PRAT FLAVIEN 121						6.00						11.95
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of MARQUEE MISS by COWBOY CAL)
1	GAME KEEPER									(lukas wayn)TORRES A 121						20.00						13.00
		(by HONOR CODE out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10	MY SANCTUARY									(wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						20.00						80.62
		(by TEMPLE CITY out of MY BELONGING by BELONG TO ME)
12	CREATE TROUBLE									(walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 121						12.00		5%		19.00		7.45
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of NO CURFEW by UNACCOUNTED FOR)
9	FURIOUS ANGER									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121						3.50		13%		6.60		12.02
		(by VIOLENCE out of BLOSSOM SPECIAL by INTELLO)
4	PERFECT UPSTART									(barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 121						30.00						97.58
		(by UPSTART out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
7	ROYAL COURT									(molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 124						30.00						61.77
		(by TIZNOW out of MRS. NORRIS by BERNARDINI)
SCR	ANCIENT MAN									(hughes w)CANUTO THIAGO 124						50.00
		(by ZIVO out of BRAND ENHANCEMENT by GIROLAMO)
SCR	GAME WARDEN									(joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						12.00
		(by TAPIT out of GLORY AND POWER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)

KEE-8			10/21/2023		5610ft	TURF	RC10	GOOD	Allowance					Purse ($130K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	SINFILTRE									(pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122						4.50		26%		2.90		2.21	W
6	SEISAI (IRE)									(devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 124						10.00						11.37
10	WALKATHON									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122						8.00						8.62
3	NOT SO CLOSE									(casse no)SANTANA JR 122						6.00		5%		19.00		4.46
9	HAUGHTY									(brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						4.00		43%		1.40		3.40
8	SISTER LOU ANN									(joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 124						6.00		5%		19.00		3.53
12	STRONG ODOR									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122						30.00						31.94
2	BALI BELLE									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122						20.00						46.27
13	FAST AND FEMININE									(snipes randy)STEVENS C 117						30.00						77.95
SCR	EVER SMART									(drysdale nei)GEROUX FLORENT 122						20.00
SCR	FANCY MARTINI									(sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122						15.00
SCR	FRAGRANT									(reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 122						20.00
SCR	LOVELY PRINCESS									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						5.00
SCR	POCA MUCHA									(mott i)ACHARD ALEX 122						15.00

KEE-9			10/21/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC13	FAST	Lexus Raven Run					Purse ($350K)			3		F		PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	VAHVA									(devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118						3.00		19%		4.20		2.53	W
		(by GUN RUNNER out of HOLIDAY SOIREE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7	ALVA STARR									(brinkman b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						2.00		28%		2.50		0.90	P
		(by LORD NELSON out of SITTIN AT THE BAR by INTO MISCHIEF)
6	DAZZLING BLUE									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						4.50		28%		2.50		7.77	S
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of BLUE VIOLET by CURLIN)
5	APPLE PICKER									(russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118						15.00						25.33
		(by CONNECT out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
1	LILY POO									(mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 118						20.00						14.87
		(by TAPITURE out of COOL MOVES by HOLD ME BACK)
8	LADY RADLER									(campbell micha)CASTANON L 118						5.00						9.67
		(by KANTHAROS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9	ANCIENT PEACE									(lynch br)SANTANA JR 118						10.00						12.50
		(by WAR FRONT out of DECEPTIVE VISION by A.P. INDY)
SCR	NOM DE PLUME									(lobo h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118						20.00
		(by UNCLE MO out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR	SIMPLY STATED									(beattie m)SAEZ LUIS 118						10.00
		(by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SHARP AND SASSY by SHARP FROSTY)

KEE-10			10/21/2023		3630ft	TURF	RC10	GOOD	Allowance					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	ZOOMBIE									(walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 121						30.00		5%		19.00		44.06	W
1	WILLTORUN									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121						8.00						6.07
5	AXTHELM									(joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121						3.50		23%		3.40		1.83	S
7	B D VALESKI									(foley greg)GRAHAM J 123						8.00						11.81
10	GREGORY'S PRIDE									(d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121						10.00		14%		6.20		4.28
2	LEGAL ATTACK (GB)									(vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						15.00		13%		6.90		31.10
4	ZATIP									(motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 121						15.00						11.49
11	FAUCI									(antonacci )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						2.00		26%		2.90		2.97
9	SAMBURU (GB)									(sweezey kent)ACHARD ALEX 121						20.00						38.76
6	OF THE MOMENT									(williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						20.00						50.75
SCR	COUNTERSTRIKE									(ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121						5.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.