The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $17.76 -6.00
KEE-2   Win (5/3/7/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $18.10 $18.10 8.10
KEE-3   Win (12/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
KEE-4   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 3.00
KEE-5   Win (9/6/12/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $5.50 -10.00
KEE-6   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $14.88 -6.00
KEE-7   Win (8/9/2/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.14 $9.14 1.14
KEE-8   Win (9/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.42 $6.42 -1.58
KEE-9   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.06 $7.06 1.06
KEE-10   Win (11/5/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $90.12 $90.12 80.12
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:222 :454 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COMISKEY PARK 6 2 33 32   31½ 1¼ (hernandez a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 4.50 7.88  
3  VULCAN 3 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00 1.54  
7  THEALLIGATORHUNTER 7 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 31¾ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00 13% 6.50 5.32 S
2  CALL ME MIDNIGHT 2 6 69¼ 47   44 43 (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 11.80  
5  MAC DADDY TOO 5 5 59 611   510 56¼ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.60 44% 1.30 2.15  
1  JOHNNY UNLEASHED 1 4 45 59½   611 621 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00 30.40  
4  COLD AS HELL 4 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 121 2.50 14% 6.30 9.03  
 
KEE-2   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 1:32
:224 :47 :60     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  READY FOR TROUBLE 3 6 41½ 4¾   11 11¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 20% 4.00 8.05 W
4  FASTA LAVISTA BABY 4 11 73¾ 63¼   33 21¼ (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 119 8.00 18.33  
10  PLEASINGLY 10 2 2nk 1½   21 33¼ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 14.00  
5  DANCING NANCY 5 7 62¼ 51¾   44½ 46¾ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.20 44% 1.30 0.82  
8  WRECK IT RUBY 8 9 87¼ 83¾   89½ 510¼ (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00 63.52  
11  LOVEYA LOVEYA MORE 11 5 3½ 2½   56 611¾ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 48.11  
2  THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT 2 4 51¾ 73¼   77½ 712¼ (mcentee paul)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 48.78  
9  LINDSEY (GB) 9 1 107¾ 94¾   911 812½ (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 12.77  
1  WIND CHASIN 1 3 1nk 3½   66 913¼ (howey quinn)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 19.45  
7  RED SUN DRESS 7 10 1210 105¾   1013 1017½ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 10% 9.20 7.03  
6  REDHEADEDSTRANGER 6 12 97¼ 116¼   1115 1121½ (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 30.00 58.81  
12  CARPE OSTENTO (GB) 12 8 118 128¾   1222 1243 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 9.44  
SCR  LADLE               (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  MARGARET'S LADY               (west w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
SCR  SERENE WATERS               (meah m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
SCR  TALKIN IN CURSIVE               (vosler eug)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
:223 :47 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOURBON FEVER 7 1 2½ 11   13 15¼ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 28% 2.60 1.60 W
4  SPANISH DOUBLOON 4 9 53 73   33 25¼ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 11.09  
5  SOLEVO 5 6 64 52½   43¼ 36 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 20.41  
12  BACK TO REALITY 11 2 32 31½   23 47 (hartman chris)TORRES A 121 5.00 39% 1.60 7.25  
6  THE BIG MOZZ 6 11 96¼ 95   65¾ 57½ (donjuan sergio)STEVENS C 119 30.00 52.97  
8  COLONEL BARTON 8 10 106¾ 84½   75¾ 67¾ (puhich mike)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 15.00 50.56  
3  MR. COMMANDER 3 4 1½ 21   53¾ 714¾ (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 40.12  
10  GOD OF WINE 9 3 117¼ 1010   1010¾ 818¼ (morrison mike)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 7% 14.40 21.22  
11  SHOCKWAVE 10 5 84¼ 42   86¼ 925 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 7.50  
1  CHARTED 1 7 74¼ 1112   1113¼ 1028¾ (waltz brian)COURT K 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.66  
2  KINGMAKER 2 8 42 62½   97¾ 1131½ (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 ★ 2.74  
SCR  AMANWALKSINTOABAR               (stidham michael)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00    
SCR  BAD BOY FOR LIFE               (howey quinn)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  FEELING FREE               (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00    
SCR  RUNANDSCORE               (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 121 8.00    
SCR  TRIPLE OPTION               (cook b)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/21/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:231 :471 1:113 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OEUVRE 2 3 32½ 42 32 11 11¾ (block chris)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 59% 0.70 2.50 W
3  SWEET DANI GIRL 3 2 21½ 21 2nk 21 21¾ (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 10% 8.50 1.79 P
1  DO YOU LOVE ME 1 1 11½ 11 1nk 31 32¾ (bourke john)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 15.15  
4  ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) 4 4 54 53½ 53¾ 44 48¾ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 1.94  
5  BRAGANZA 5 5 42½ 32 43½ 56 510¼ (kenneally eddie)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 5.82  
SCR  BUTTERBEAN               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
SCR  LADY HIDEAWAY               (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS               (west w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
SCR  VIAREGGIO (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00    
 
KEE-5   10/21/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:08
:223 :461 1:122     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DENIM AND PEARLS 8 4 1nk 2nk   12 1hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 1.75  
9  SWEET GAL OF MINE 9 1 41¼ 64½   43 2hd (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 26% 2.80 2.33 P
5  CLEOPATRA SELENE 5 9 73¼ 43   22 3¼ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00 60.84  
3  IRINA'S CHARM 3 7 31 54   53¼ 4¾ (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 8% 11.00 5.61  
1  BEDAZZLE 'EM 1 12 95¼ 86½   75¼ 53¼ (engler jef)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 19.35  
6  AUNT FANNIE 6 8 116½ 108¾   97¾ 65¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 20% 4.00 9.83  
10  SUMMERINTAHOE 10 3 2nk 1nk   33 77¼ (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 53.35  
12  SHEZTHEFACTOR 12 2 51¼ 32   64¾ 88¼ (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 20% 4.10 15.58  
11  LITTLE JAMIE 11 6 105½ 98½   109¾ 910 (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 52.37  
7  MARCO SUNSET 7 5 62¼ 76   87¼ 1013¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 10.00 46.73  
2  BEST OF ALL 2 11 1212 1217¾   1216¼ 1114¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 10.76  
4  MAXISUPERFLY 4 10 83¾ 118¾   1113¼ 1216½ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 60.64  
SCR  BERNAR MOSA               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  CITY SHACK               (burdess terry)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 30.00    
SCR  IN JUST MY HEELS               (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Perryville Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
:223 :453 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RAISE CAIN 4 1 41½ 41¾   2nk 1nk (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 6.44  
5  DR. VENKMAN 5 5 3½ 3.2   1nk 2nk (glatt mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 27% 2.70 1.26 P
3  POST TIME 3 6 64½ 63¾   42½ 31¼ (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 15.00 5% 19.00 7.42 S
6  LOYAL COMPANY 6 4 52 52¼   53½ 46¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 14.52  
1  VERIFYING 1 3 1nk 1nk   31½ 59¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.00 44% 1.30 1.78  
2  CONFIDENCE GAME 2 2 2nk 2nk   65½ 616¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 12.99  
 
KEE-7   10/21/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:234 :483 1:133 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SINGLE DOT YAHT 2 1 64 64¼ 55¼ 33½ 1nk (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.57 W
11  ALEXANDER HELIOS 11 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 12 2nk (joseph saffie )GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 ★ 14.04 P
3  DISSOLVED 3 4 32 32 43¼ 43½ 31 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 6.27  
8  MOUNT CRAIG 8 9 107½ 107¼ 87¼ 56½ 46¾ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 55% 0.80 4.35  
6  BEN FRANKLIN 6 12 1210½ 1210¾ 109¾ 77¾ 57¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 4.01  
5  MALIBU SPRINGS 5 10 1½ 1½ 1nk 22 69½ (sweezey kent)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 11.95  
1  GAME KEEPER 1 2 85½ 96¼ 97¾ 910¾ 713¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 121 20.00 13.00  
10  MY SANCTUARY 10 5 74½ 74¼ 76¼ 89¾ 813¾ (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 80.62  
12  CREATE TROUBLE 12 8 53 52¼ 33 66¾ 914½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.45  
9  FURIOUS ANGER 9 11 118½ 119¾ 1210¾ 1113¼ 1016½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.50 13% 6.60 12.02  
4  PERFECT UPSTART 4 7 42½ 42 65¾ 1012¾ 1118¾ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00 97.58  
7  ROYAL COURT 7 6 96½ 85¾ 1110¼ 1218¾ 1228¾ (molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 124 30.00 61.77  
SCR  ANCIENT MAN               (hughes w)CANUTO THIAGO 124 50.00    
SCR  GAME WARDEN               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
 
KEE-8   10/21/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
:23 :47 1:114 1:362   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SINFILTRE 4 4 53½ 63¼ 42½ 2nk 13¾ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 26% 2.90 2.21 W
6  SEISAI (IRE) 3 5 31½ 41½ 31½ 1nk 23¾ (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00 11.37  
10  WALKATHON 7 8 97¼ 97¼ 86½ 53½ 35¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 8.62  
3  NOT SO CLOSE 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 3½ 46¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.46  
9  HAUGHTY 6 6 21 2½ 2½ 41½ 511¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 43% 1.40 3.40  
8  SISTER LOU ANN 5 3 63½ 53 64½ 65½ 612¼ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.53  
12  STRONG ODOR 8 7 42½ 31½ 53 76 712¾ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00 31.94  
2  BALI BELLE 1 2 85¾ 74¾ 75½ 87 813½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 46.27  
13  FAST AND FEMININE 9 9 75½ 85¾ 97 910 917 (snipes randy)STEVENS C 117 30.00 77.95  
SCR  EVER SMART               (drysdale neil)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
SCR  FANCY MARTINI               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
SCR  FRAGRANT               (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
SCR  LOVELY PRINCESS               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
SCR  POCA MUCHA               (mott i)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00    
 
KEE-9   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Lexus Raven Run Purse ($350K) 3 F PT- 5:16
:223 :452 1:10     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VAHVA 2 4 41½ 31½   21½ 1½ (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 19% 4.20 2.53 W
7  ALVA STARR 5 3 1½ 11   11½ 2½ (brinkman bre)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 28% 2.50 0.90 P
6  DAZZLING BLUE 4 5 62½ 52½   37½ 313 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 28% 2.50 7.77 S
5  APPLE PICKER 3 7 75 76   610 413½ (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 15.00 25.33  
1  LILY POO 1 6 52½ 63   48½ 514 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 14.87  
8  LADY RADLER 6 1 31 41½   59 619½ (campbell michael)CASTANON L 118 5.00 9.67  
9  ANCIENT PEACE 7 2 2½ 21   711½ 720¾ (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 12.50  
SCR  NOM DE PLUME               (lobo h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00    
SCR  SIMPLY STATED               (beattie m)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
 
KEE-10   10/21/2023 3630ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
:22 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ZOOMBIE 3 3 11 11½   11½ 11½ (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00 44.06 W
1  WILLTORUN 1 8 31 32   32 21½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 6.07  
5  AXTHELM 5 4 21 21½   21½ 32 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 23% 3.40 1.83 S
7  B D VALESKI 7 5 84¼ 85¾   44½ 42¾ (foley greg)GRAHAM J 123 8.00 11.81  
10  GREGORY'S PRIDE 9 2 94¾ 95¾   54½ 53 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00 14% 6.20 4.28  
2  LEGAL ATTACK (GB) 2 10 52 53   64¾ 63¾ (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 13% 6.90 31.10  
4  ZATIP 4 9 62¼ 63¼   75¾ 74½ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00 11.49  
11  FAUCI 10 7 105¼ 106¾   87¾ 86½ (antonacci ph)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 26% 2.90 2.97  
9  SAMBURU (GB) 8 1 41½ 42   97¾ 99¼ (sweezey kent)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00 38.76  
6  OF THE MOMENT 6 6 72¾ 73¾   109¼ 1010½ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 50.75  
SCR  COUNTERSTRIKE               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.