Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (5/3/7/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (12/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-5   Win (9/6/12/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-7   Win (8/9/2/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (9/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-10   Win (11/5/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY UNLEASHED Sep20 Jun01 Apr26 Apr08 Feb17 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00    
2  CALL ME MIDNIGHT Sep29 Jul30 Jul01 Jun04 Nov26 (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
3  VULCAN Sep20 Aug04 Jun30 May05 Mar17 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00    
4  COLD AS HELL Mar24 Mar12 Feb25 Feb05 Jan15 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 121 2.50 14% 6.30    
5  MAC DADDY TOO Sep29 Jul09 Jun18 May19 Apr16 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.60 44% 1.30    
6  COMISKEY PARK Aug01 Jul08 Jun14 May25 Apr30 (hernandez a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
7  THEALLIGATORHUNTER Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 Jun21 May27 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
KEE-2   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIND CHASIN Aug19         (howey quinn)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
2  THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Sep18 Aug24 Aug02 Jul11   (mcentee paul)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  READY FOR TROUBLE Sep27 Aug01       (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
4  FASTA LAVISTA BABY Sep27 Sep03 Aug05     (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
5  DANCING NANCY Aug20 Jul20       (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.20 44% 1.30    
6  REDHEADEDSTRANGER Aug20 May12       (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 30.00    
7  RED SUN DRESS Sep27         (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 10% 9.20    
8  WRECK IT RUBY Sep20 Aug20 Aug01 May27 May12 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00    
9  LINDSEY (GB) Sep10 Aug20       (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
10  PLEASINGLY Aug28         (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
11  LOVEYA LOVEYA MORE Sep21         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00    
12  CARPE OSTENTO (GB)         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SERENE WATERS         (meah m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
SCR  TALKIN IN CURSIVE         (vosler eug)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 20.00    
SCR  LADLE Aug15 Jul07       (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  MARGARET'S LADY Sep20 Aug23 Aug02     (west w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
 
KEE-3   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARTED Oct02 Sep08 May16 Feb08 Jan18 (waltz brian)COURT K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  KINGMAKER Jan13 Aug11 Jun05 Apr24 Mar19 (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 ★    
3  MR. COMMANDER Oct02 Sep22 Aug21 Jul21 Jul01 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
4  SPANISH DOUBLOON Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 Oct15 Sep08 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00    
5  SOLEVO Sep20 Apr22       (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00    
6  THE BIG MOZZ Aug20 Jul21 Jun01 Jan04 Nov19 (donjuan sergio)STEVENS C 119 30.00    
7  BOURBON FEVER Sep22 Jul14 Jun25 Jun01   (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 28% 2.60    
8  COLONEL BARTON Sep24 Aug04 Apr29 Apr16 Mar12 (puhich mike)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 15.00    
SCR  BAD BOY FOR LIFE         (howey quinn)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
10  GOD OF WINE Jan21 Oct03       (morrison mike)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 7% 14.40    
11  SHOCKWAVE Sep25 Sep09 Mar25 Dec03 Oct08 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
12  BACK TO REALITY Sep24 Aug18       (hartman chris)TORRES A 121 5.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  FEELING FREE         (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00    
SCR  TRIPLE OPTION Sep22 Nov09 Sep29 Sep13 Aug21 (cook b)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
SCR  AMANWALKSINTOABAR Mar15 Feb04 Jan07 Dec26 Nov27 (stidham michael)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00    
SCR  RUNANDSCORE Oct08 Sep21 Mar18 Mar04 Feb17 (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 121 8.00    
 
KEE-4   10/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DO YOU LOVE ME Sep07 Aug14 Jul11 Jun21 May22 (bourke john)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
2  OEUVRE Sep07 Jul26 May21 May05 Apr15 (block chris)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 59% 0.70    
3  SWEET DANI GIRL Aug06 Jul08 Jun04 May05 Mar26 (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 10% 8.50    
4  ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) Sep17 Aug02 Jul03 Jun03   (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
5  BRAGANZA Sep01 Jul21 Jun03 Apr27 Feb23 (kenneally eddie)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
SCR  LADY HIDEAWAY Sep15 Aug06 Jul02 Jun04 Apr16 (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS Aug10 Jul01 May29 Mar10 Dec28 (west w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
SCR  VIAREGGIO (IRE) Sep07 Jul01 May29 Apr21   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00    
SCR  BUTTERBEAN Jul07 Jun09 May19 Apr29 Mar17 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
 
KEE-5   10/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEDAZZLE 'EM         (engler jef)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
2  BEST OF ALL         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
3  IRINA'S CHARM Sep16         (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 8% 11.00    
4  MAXISUPERFLY         (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
5  CLEOPATRA SELENE Sep16         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00    
6  AUNT FANNIE         (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  MARCO SUNSET         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
8  DENIM AND PEARLS         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
9  SWEET GAL OF MINE Sep16         (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
10  SUMMERINTAHOE         (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  LITTLE JAMIE         (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
12  SHEZTHEFACTOR Sep27         (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  BERNAR MOSA         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  CITY SHACK         (burdess terry)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 30.00    
SCR  IN JUST MY HEELS         (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Perryville Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERIFYING Aug26 Jul08 Jun11 May06 Apr08 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.00 44% 1.30    
2  CONFIDENCE GAME May06 Feb25 Jan21 Nov26 Oct12 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 4.50    
3  POST TIME Sep22 Dec03 Oct27 Oct07   (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  RAISE CAIN Sep24 Aug06 Jul08 Jun11 May06 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
5  DR. VENKMAN Sep02 Jul21       (glatt mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  LOYAL COMPANY Sep23 Aug13 Jul08 Jun03 Apr28 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
 
KEE-7   10/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME KEEPER Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 May02 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 121 20.00    
2  SINGLE DOT YAHT Sep21 Jul16 Jun11 Sep21   (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DISSOLVED Aug26 Jul30       (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
4  PERFECT UPSTART Sep23 May11 Mar10 Jan13 Nov16 (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
5  MALIBU SPRINGS Sep28 Sep03 Apr16     (sweezey kent)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
6  BEN FRANKLIN Sep23         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50    
7  ROYAL COURT Jun13 Mar05 Jan01 Mar12 Feb12 (molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 124 30.00    
8  MOUNT CRAIG Sep28 Aug11 Jul14 May02 Mar23 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 55% 0.80    
9  FURIOUS ANGER Sep23 Mar11       (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
10  MY SANCTUARY Sep10 Aug12 Jan07 Nov26 Oct15 (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
11  ALEXANDER HELIOS Aug06 Jun25 Nov04 Oct07 Aug13 (joseph saffie )GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 ★    
12  CREATE TROUBLE Sep21 Jul21 Jun11 Oct30 Sep17 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANCIENT MAN Sep29 Aug17 Jun07 May04 Apr13 (hughes w)CANUTO THIAGO 124 50.00    
SCR  GAME WARDEN Oct06 Sep15 Jun02 May02 Feb26 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
 
KEE-8   10/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVELY PRINCESS Aug27 Jul08 May27 Apr22 Nov25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
2  BALI BELLE Mar25 Mar02 Feb02 Jan05 Dec07 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
3  NOT SO CLOSE Aug17 Jul01 May05 Mar11 Feb12 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EVER SMART Sep13 Aug05 Jun18 May20 Apr29 (drysdale neil)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
SCR  POCA MUCHA Sep07 Aug11 Jul13 Jun15 Oct21 (mott i)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00    
6  SEISAI (IRE) Sep10 Jul23 Jun18 Apr30 Apr01 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00    
7  SINFILTRE Sep09 Aug06 Jul01 May27 Apr16 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
8  SISTER LOU ANN Sep07 Aug17 Jul01 Apr12 Oct20 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  HAUGHTY Sep09 Aug02 Jul02 May06 Aug20 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 43% 1.40    
10  WALKATHON Aug31 Jun04 May14 Apr22 Feb13 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
SCR  FANCY MARTINI Sep15 Aug06 Jul01 May18 Mar02 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
12  STRONG ODOR Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 May26 May12 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
13  FAST AND FEMININE Sep30 Sep09 Aug01 Jul08 Jun21 (snipes randy)STEVENS C 117 30.00    
SCR  FRAGRANT Sep20 Aug06 Jul06 May29 May08 (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
 
KEE-9   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Lexus Raven Run Purse ($350K) 3 F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY POO Aug25 Aug06 Jul08 Jun03 Apr29 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  SIMPLY STATED Sep11 Aug18 Aug08 Jun22 Jun02 (beattie m)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  NOM DE PLUME Aug05 Feb03 Dec11     (lobo h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00    
4  VAHVA Aug25 Jul08 May05 Apr07 Feb18 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  APPLE PICKER Sep16 Aug13 Jun18 May25 Oct28 (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 15.00    
6  DAZZLING BLUE Sep02 Jul08 May19 Dec26 Nov16 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 28% 2.50    
7  ALVA STARR Sep02 Jul08 May27 May05 Sep07 (brinkman bre)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 28% 2.50    
8  LADY RADLER Sep23 Aug07 Jun18 May13 Apr22 (campbell michael)CASTANON L 118 5.00    
9  ANCIENT PEACE Sep24 Jul22 Jun03 Apr29 Apr08 (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
 
KEE-10   10/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLTORUN Aug04 Jun23 May02 Apr08 Feb25 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
2  LEGAL ATTACK (GB) Jun20 May25 Mar30     (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 13% 6.90    
3  ZOOMBIE Sep18 Jul03 Jun05 Oct04 Sep15 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  ZATIP Sep10 Aug01 Jul01     (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00    
5  AXTHELM Sep07 Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 Dec26 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
6  OF THE MOMENT Sep27 Oct23 Sep27 Sep03 Aug12 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
7  B D VALESKI Sep22 Aug11 Jun23 May19 Apr21 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 123 8.00    
SCR  COUNTERSTRIKE Sep09 Aug11 Jun23 May19 Mar10 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 5.00    
9  SAMBURU (GB) Aug19 Jun04 May07 Feb04 Jan01 (sweezey kent)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00    
10  GREGORY'S PRIDE Jul21 Jun23 May29 Apr21 Feb05 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00 14% 6.20    
11  FAUCI Aug24 Jul28 Oct27 Sep02 Jul29 (antonacci ph)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.