The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Belterra Park
Friday - September 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (8/9/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $20.40 -8.00
BTP-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -1.80
BTP-3   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $30.20 $30.20 26.20
BTP-4   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -0.20
BTP-5   Win (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
BTP-6   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
BTP-7   Win (2/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80
BTP-8   Win (2/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.40 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/29/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
:234 :48 1:134 1:411   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHOOLMASTER (GER) 3 4 7 7 4 12 1(manning j)MURGIA A 121 10.00 9.20  
SATURDAY LONG LEGS 8 7 6 4 32 22 2(frazier matt)COLON H 121 3.50 29% 2.50 3.70 P
LASTLY 2 3 5 6 7 48 3(hiles a)MCKEE J 124 2.50 0.90  
POGOERIACH 7 5 4 2½ 2nk 34 4(o'donnell marcus)OUZTS W 124 5.00 6.00  
ODE TO GERSHWIN 6 9 912½ 9 8 6512¼ (gallagher willi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 12.00 13% 6.90 62.70  
HEZMORETHANREADY 9 8 8 8 9 810¾ 613½ (house gary)GILLIGAN JACK 121 4.50 17% 4.70 5.90  
PIRATE MARMALADE 1 2 11 3 6 910¾ 714¼ (perez)GIRON ALEJANDRO 121 15.00 69.60  
MONEY AGENT 5 6 32 5 5 710½ 814¼ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 121 6.00 14.00  
OPERATORE PAZZO 4 1 21 1½ 1nk 5914½ (frazier matt)AYALA ISAIAS 121 20.00 17% 4.70 55.30  
 
BTP-2   09/29/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:251 :494 1:15 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETURNONINVESTMENT 2 5 44 4 2 11 1(greenhill jeff)LEBRON VICTOR 119 1.40 43% 1.30 0.10 W
CAT CORN 5 1 2 2 4 32(thomas mark)MCKEE J 119 3.50 13.10  
ORFANO 3 3 1 1 1 21 3(waltz brian)BRACHO A 119 3.00 35% 1.80 3.80 S
CONSTITUTION COAL 1 4 3 3 3 4412½ (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 119 5.00 23.00  
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 4 2 5 5 58 511½ 512¾ (barker scott )JIMENEZ J 119 6.00 48.20  
 
BTP-3   09/29/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:223 :47 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTUM'S PRIDE 1 3 11 11   14 1(kerr n)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 15.00 27% 2.80 14.10 W
C V JERSEY BEE 4 5 42 21   24 2(melancon paul)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 4.00 0.30  
PAYMASTER GENERAL 5 1 21 32   35 3(barker w)CANUTO THIAGO 121 2.00 4.50  
R CLIFFHANGER 2 4 5 42   4414¼ (melancon paul)MARCANO Y 119 8.00 27% 2.80 24.40  
DISCO MUSIC 3 2 32 53   5518¼ (krummen monic)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.00 4.70  
SCR  FATHER FRANK               (mcvickers l)CORREA L 121 3.50    
 
BTP-4   09/29/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
:224 :463       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS FOXANN 1 2 23 2   13 1(chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 123 2.50 48% 1.10 0.90 W
WATER FIGHT 2 4 4 48   32(mendieta ale)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 3.00 2.00  
HAPPYSECRET 5 1 13 1   23 39 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 15% 5.50 2.70 S
CORIMA 4 3 34 33   49 415 (jurado luis)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 8.00 20.50  
MISS SOVELIA 3 5 5 512   515 522¼ (quezada inoce)JIMENEZ J 123 6.00 14.80  
SCR  MOMMA RIO               (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 123 4.50    
 
BTP-5   09/29/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
:25 :501 1:15 1:411   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE TIME 1 3 44 3 32 1½ 13 (esquivel je)CORREA L 119 2.50 15% 5.80 2.60 W
KATIE GOT LUCKY 2 2 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 23 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 8.00 1.20  
DARTIGA 6 4 21 2½ 2½ 33(waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.50 20% 4.00 7.80 S
SHAKIN IT UP BABY 5 6 78 77 511½ 4413¼ (douglass devaru)PANAIJO JORGE 119 15.00 3.70  
TIZ BIZ 7 5 33 4 4 510½ 520 (brafford c)MURGIA A 122 20.00 15.40  
SYLLABUS 3 1 55 65 613½ 715½ 626¼ (dominguez lu)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 15.00 25.00  
BIA BOLT RUNNER 4 7 65 5 714½ 615½ 726½ (melancon paul)MCKEE J 122 6.00 42% 1.40 10.10  
SCR  IN OPEN COURT               (kendall elise)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00    
SCR  MARYHADALITTLELAM               (young r)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
SCR  SWEET BABY RAY               (reed r)FELIX E 122 3.50    
SCR  TEQUILA EMPIRE               (bright derrick)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
 
BTP-6   09/29/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
:234 :474 1:134 1:264   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALTH MISSION 3 3 58 5 11 11 1¼ (patrick gary)OUZTS W 124 2.50 9% 10.30 1.00 W
SUPER UNISON 2 2 2nk 1nk 21 21 2¼ (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 3.00 41% 1.40 1.50 P
GRASSROOTS 6 6 45 34 3 3311½ (adams l)MARCANO Y 117 4.50 5.10  
MASQUERADE BALL 5 4 34 4 512½ 517 430 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 12.90  
ONE SOCK BILLY 1 1 1nk 2nk 4 414½ 535 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 8.00 30.20  
A. P. AVATAR 4 5 6 614¾ 620½ 623 635½ (pinzon maria)CANUTO THIAGO 119 3.50 22% 3.60 13.10  
 
BTP-7   09/29/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
:24 :481 1:133 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORESTES 8 6 43 5 5 56 1½ (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 121 2.50 12% 7.10 3.90 W
FUNSTRUCK 2 2 3 33 2 22 2½ (olivo k)MCKEE J 121 4.50 32% 2.10 7.60 P
ICE VORTEX 1 1 11 12 1 12 3(perez manny)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 12.40  
ICE AXE 7 5 53 44 3 342 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50 10% 9.30 1.00  
SOMOS 4 4 21 22 4 452 (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 124 4.00 25% 3.00 6.20  
SERPA 5 7 7 78 6 68 6(shifflett chery)CANUTO THIAGO 124 6.00 18.60  
FLINT EAST WOULD 6 8 812¾ 814 710¼ 711 7(kerrick )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 116 10.00 18.80  
ANCIENT MAN 3 3 6 6 811¾ 812 813¼ (hughes w)COLON H 124 20.00 8.00  
 
BTP-8   09/29/2023 3300ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
:224 :471       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLAS 3 6 58 5   2nk 1(mott riley)MCKEE J 121 3.50 3.20  
MAGGIE E 1 1 35 3   32(huffman pat)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.50 53% 0.90 0.50 P
CREATIVE WHIT 2 3 2½ 1   1nk 3(cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00 33.00  
MARTZ CREEK MUSIC 4 4 45 4   4412 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 121 12.00 45.70  
WITCHING HOUR 6 5 6 6   6514¾ (danner kelsey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.50 14% 6.10 5.20  
TRANQUIL TIMES 5 2 1½ 2   5615½ (fernandez kell)MARCANO Y 119 5.00 10% 9.10 7.10  
SCR  CAIRO WINNER               (gotera carlo)REYES FRANK 121 12.00    
SCR  CANCERFREE KIDS               (hester hal)STRANDBERG MALLORY 121 20.00    
SCR  CAPTIVE STAR               (cline rober)CORREA L 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.