Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - September 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (8/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/6)-(8/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/6)-(8/4/9/6)-(8/4/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/9/6)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/6)-(2/3)-(1/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/2)-(1/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(1/6)-(6/8/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(6/8/1)-(2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(2/4/8/7)-(2/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/7)-(2/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/7)-(2/4/8/7)-(2/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/7)-(2/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/8)-(2/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/9/8)-(2/9/8)-(2/9/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIRATE MARMALADE Aug31 Aug20 Jul26     (per)GIRON ALEJANDRO 121 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  LASTLY Jul28 Jul16       (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 2.50    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SUPPOSEDLY by POLISH NUMBERS)
3  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Sep20 Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 (manning j)MURGIA A 121 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHIORI by TWIRLING CANDY)
4  OPERATORE PAZZO         (frazier matt)AYALA ISAIAS 121 20.00 17% 4.70    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of SWITCHBOARD by FAPPIANO)
5  MONEY AGENT Aug31 Aug16 Jul23 Jun25 Jun08 (perez manny)REYES FRANK 121 6.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of QUEST TO PEAK by DISTANT VIEW)
6  ODE TO GERSHWIN Sep08         (gallagher wil)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 12.00 13% 6.90    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of SUMMER SONG by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
7  POGOERIACH Sep01 Aug11 Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 (o'donnell marcus)OUZTS W 124 5.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of FLOWERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  SATURDAY LONG LEGS Sep01 Jul26 Jul13 May14 Apr29 (frazier matt)COLON H 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
9  HEZMORETHANREADY Sep06 Aug18 Jul30 Jul07 May30 (house gary)GILLIGAN JACK 121 4.50 17% 4.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROCKADELIC by BERNARDINI)
 
BTP-2   09/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSTITUTION COAL Sep21 Jul06 Jun02 May08 Mar30 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 119 5.00    
2  RETURNONINVESTMENT Aug09 Jun24 Jun02 May06 Apr18 (greenhill jef)LEBRON VICTOR 119 1.40 43% 1.30    
3  ORFANO Aug31 Jul24 Dec19 Nov16 Oct10 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 119 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Sep14 Aug11 Jul05 Jun14 Mar29 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 6.00    
5  CAT CORN Sep14 Sep01 Aug19 Aug09 Jul22 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 119 3.50    
 
BTP-3   09/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTUM'S PRIDE         (kerr randy)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 15.00 27% 2.80    
2  R CLIFFHANGER         (melancon pau)MARCANO Y 119 8.00 27% 2.80    
3  DISCO MUSIC Sep07 Aug19 Jul22     (krummen mon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.00    
4  C V JERSEY BEE Jul23         (melancon pau)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 4.00    
SCR  FATHER FRANK Sep07 Aug19       (mcvickers)CORREA L 121 3.50    
6  PAYMASTER GENERAL Aug09 Jul22 Jul05 Jun01 May18 (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 121 2.00    
 
BTP-4   09/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS FOXANN Aug31 Aug01 Jul08 Jun14 May31 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  WATER FIGHT Sep13 May26 May03 Apr02 Mar17 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 3.00    
3  MISS SOVELIA Jun14 May31 May19 Apr26 Mar16 (quezada ino)JIMENEZ J 123 6.00    
4  CORIMA Sep15 Aug30 Aug18 Jul07 Jun22 (jurado lui)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 8.00    
SCR  MOMMA RIO Aug31 Feb09 Jan12 Dec09   (jurado luis)MOJICA JR 123 4.50    
6  HAPPYSECRET Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
BTP-5   09/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE TIME Sep01 Jul27 Jul05 Jun08 May08 (esquivel )CORREA L 119 2.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  MARYHADALITTLELAM Sep04 Aug17 Jun25 Jun10   (young r)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
3  KATIE GOT LUCKY Aug02 Jul15 Feb03 Dec14 Oct28 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 8.00    
SCR  SWEET BABY RAY Aug31 Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 May31 (reed r)FELIX E 122 3.50    
5  SYLLABUS Sep08 Aug18 Jul26 Jun24 Jun08 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 15.00    
6  BIA BOLT RUNNER Sep15 Aug31 Aug23 Aug02 Mar11 (melancon paul)MCKEE J 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
7  SHAKIN IT UP BABY Sep07 Aug02 Jul18 Jul03 May30 (douglass deva)PANAIJO JORGE 119 15.00    
8  DARTIGA Sep15 Aug29 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
9  TIZ BIZ Aug12 Aug01 Jun17 May27 Apr29 (brafford michelle )MURGIA A 122 20.00    
SCR  TEQUILA EMPIRE Sep08 Aug27 Aug02 Jul25 Jun25 (bright derric)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
SCR  IN OPEN COURT Sep03 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun13 (kendall elise)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00    
 
BTP-6   09/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE SOCK BILLY Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun26 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 8.00    
2  SUPER UNISON Jul29 Jun18 May19 Apr20 Mar17 (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  STEALTH MISSION Sep16 Aug17 Aug02 Jun22 Jun07 (patrick gary)OUZTS W 124 2.50 9% 10.30    
4  A. P. AVATAR Sep13 Jun30 Jun17 Jun03 May26 (pinzon maria)CANUTO THIAGO 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  MASQUERADE BALL Aug31 Jul27 Jul06 Jun07 May11 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
6  GRASSROOTS Sep13 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jul01 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 117 4.50    
 
BTP-7   09/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE VORTEX Aug10 Jul12 Jun07 May21 Sep25 (perez manny)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of WHITE BULLET by LAWYER RON)
2  FUNSTRUCK         (olivo k)MCKEE J 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by UNIFIED out of HI SUGAR by JUMP START)
3  ANCIENT MAN Aug17 Jun07 May04 Apr13 Mar05 (hughes w)COLON H 124 20.00    
  (by ZIVO out of BRAND ENHANCEMENT by GIROLAMO)
4  SOMOS Sep01 Jul17       (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INCONCLUSIVE by INCLUDE)
5  SERPA Jul06 Jun17 May20 May06   (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 124 6.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of NORTHERN EXCURSION by CORONADO'S QUEST)
6  FLINT EAST WOULD Aug20 Jul22       (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 116 10.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of PRINCESS AUBREY by ATTICUS)
7  ICE AXE Sep08 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May18 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.50 10% 9.30    
  (by BERNARDINI out of YOU GO WEST GIRL by MR. GREELEY)
8  ORESTES Sep08 Aug06       (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 121 2.50 12% 7.10    
  (by ATREIDES out of PUCKER UP PHYLLIS by LEMON DROP KID)
 
BTP-8   09/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANCERFREE KIDS Sep16 Aug30 Aug04     (hester h)STRANDBERG MALLORY 121 20.00    
2  MAGGIE E Sep14 Aug30 Jul29 Jun27 Oct11 (huffman pat)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  CAPTIVE STAR Sep15 Aug29 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 (cline rob)CORREA L 121 6.00    
4  CREATIVE WHIT Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 May27 May11 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00    
5  CALLAS Aug28 Jun25       (mott riley)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
6  MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Dec11 Nov17 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 121 12.00    
SCR  CAIRO WINNER Aug30 Aug09 Aug02 Jul17 Jun26 (gotera car)REYES FRANK 121 12.00    
8  TRANQUIL TIMES Sep16 Aug29 Aug05 Jul21 Jun30 (fernandez ke)MARCANO Y 119 5.00 10% 9.10    
9  WITCHING HOUR (FR) Sep08 Aug22 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 (danner kelsey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.50 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.