Handicappers' Race Results

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Prairie Meadows
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PRM-4   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
PRM-5   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 4.40
PRM-6   Win (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
PRM-7   Win (11/1/4/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $13.60 $13.60 3.60
PRM-8   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
PRM-9   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $24.20 $24.20 18.20
PRM-10   Win (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $18.40  

Simulator Race results

 
PRM-4   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.821K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE SOCK BILLY 3 2 3 21   1nk 1 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.50 34% 1.90 2.90 W
QUARTERNIGHT 2 5 5 4   33 2 (fett brandi)SALAZAR TERESA 114 5.00 7% 13.20 11.00 P
LET'S ROCK N ROLL 1 3 1½ 11   2nk 3 (dieter dalt)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 6.80  
MACH SWEDE 5 1 2½ 3   46 416 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 3.00 37% 1.70 0.40  
TAIL OF SAMSON 4 4 45 5   512½ 525¾ (donlin larry)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 8.00 35.70  
SCR  HANDSOME STRANGER               (clark r)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 1.80    
 
PRM-5   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:132     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XCARET 1 3 12 12 1 16 1 (guillory jr)ZIMMERMAN R 123 4.00 23% 3.40 3.20 W
RIOBELLA 4 2 34 4 33 4 2 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 118 2.50 51% 1.00 2.30 P
GIRL PRO 3 4 22 22 44 26 3 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 1.80 1.30  
WAR MUSIC 2 1 44 3 2 36 4 (donlin larr)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 3.20  
SCR  CARRY ON               (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.00    
 
PRM-6   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
See original race card.
:223 :46       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVER BOY 1 1 1 1   14 1 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 122 6.00 22% 3.50 1.30 W
MONTEREY PENINSULA 6 5 6 6   34 2 (martinez ke)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 20% 3.90 2.10 P
AWESOME FAMILY 3 6 5 5   4 3 (donlin larr)TRIANA JR 122 4.00 13% 6.90 6.90 S
GIANT GAMBLE 2 2 2 2   24 48 (donlin larry)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 15.00 23.20  
CAPTAIN DON 4 3 4 4   7 5 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 11.50  
KOSELIO 5 7 7 7   6 6 (jordan ja)JORDAN R 124 3.00 18% 4.50 7.80  
JAMES'S MOONSHINE 7 4 3 3   5 710¼ (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.00 8.60  
 
PRM-7   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Stallion Futurity Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 9:34
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALEBS LADY 1 5 1½ 1nk   11 1 (eikleberry kevi)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 3.50 14% 6.20 5.80 W
FREEDOM TO SPEED 3 6 53 4   21 2 (anderson do)DE CRUZ 118 30.00 24.80  
12  DAWSON'S STORM 11 1 7 5   5 3 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 120 15.00 41.30  
SECRET STRATEGY 2 10 1011¾ 1011   7 4 (chleborad lynn)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00 47.20  
11  DIALED IN TO WIN 10 2 42 3   31 54 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 3.00 55% 0.80 0.60  
STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN 5 7 8 6   43 6 (sims matthe)TRIANA JR 117 5.00 13.80  
KILLIAN 8 9 9 87   8 7 (mcshane david )JORDAN R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
SINCERELY MINE 6 11 1112¾ 1113   911¾ 8 (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 15.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
SPECIALSORTASTORM 9 3 3½ 2nk   6 9 (ashford ray)ZIMMERMAN R 118 8.00 16.90  
SURPRISE ROAD TRIP 7 8 6 99   1016¾ 1017¾ (guillory hen)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 20.00 29.50  
INCA STROLL 4 4 2½ 7   1119¾ 1133 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 117 10.00 8% 11.60 27.30  
SCR  MC COUGAR               (martin e)ZIMMERMAN R 120 4.00    
SCR  WAR HAWK               (young e)WETHEY JR 118 30.00    
 
PRM-8   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.263K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED WHITE AND LOUD 3 2 1 1   1 1nk (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 2.00 31% 2.20 1.00 W
A BRUSH OF LUCK 2 3 2 2   2 2nk (arceo salva)TRIANA JR 123 4.00 6.60  
UNCLE CHAD 4 4 44 3   3 3 (anderson do)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 26% 2.80 1.30 S
IT'S ALL ABOUT JOE 1 5 5 4   4 4 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 8.00 17% 4.80 9.00  
STORMIN' J. J. 5 1 3 5   514½ 537¾ (hemba br)FLETCHER D 123 10.00 16.00  
SCR  MILTON STREET               (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 12.00    
SCR  SHUT UP MAN               (jordan ja)JORDAN R 123 2.50    
 
PRM-9   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
See original race card.
:222 :461       1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE D'CAUSE 2 5 11 11   12 1 (ashford tristan)TOHILL S 120 8.00 19% 4.40 11.10 W
LUV MAP 1 2 3 21   22 2 (murphy swan)NOLL S 120 4.00 8.80  
WINZE 4 3 54 44   45 35 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 4.70  
ACELA EXPRESS 5 1 4 33   56 411 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 3.00 22% 3.50 1.90  
TRIBAL QUEEN 3 4 21 54   3 511 (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 29% 2.40 0.90  
SCR  IRON LOTUS               (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00    
 
PRM-10   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44.554K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:141     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAWLESS JOHN 3 1 18 110 1 13 1 (murphy swan)NOLL S 118 4.00 8.20  
MIDNIGHT RULES 2 6 38 210 2 23 2 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 5.00 13.10  
SUCCESSION (GB) 1 7 611¼ 513 6 57 3 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 118 6.00 1.40  
EVIL KNIEVEL 6 4 4 411 3 35 46 (wellington )DE CRUZ 123 2.00 23% 3.40 1.70  
JUSTICE ONCE 7 5 713¼ 715¾ 5 68 5 (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
NATIVE HELLRAISER 4 2 28 311 4 46 612¼ (mcshane david )JORDAN R 123 8.00 5% 19.00 31.30  
WELLER ROGUE 5 3 511 613¼ 7 711 715¾ (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 51% 1.00 6.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.