Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/1)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/6/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/6/5/3)-(11/1/4/6/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PRM-6   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(11/1/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/3)-(11/1/4/6/8)-(4/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-7   WIN (11/1/4/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/1/4/6/8)-(11/1/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/1/4/6/8)-(11/1/4/6/8)-(11/1/4/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/1/4/6/8)-(4/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/1/4/6/8)-(4/5/1)-(4/6/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(4/6/2)-(5/6/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-10   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.821K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S ROCK N ROLL Jun17 May28 May13     (dieter da)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
2  QUARTERNIGHT Jun25 Jun17 May28 May12 Sep24 (fett brandi)SALAZAR TERESA 114 5.00 7% 13.20    
3  ONE SOCK BILLY Jul15 Jun26 May28 May13 Aug06 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  HANDSOME STRANGER Jul15 May28 Sep30 Aug15 Jul31 (clark r)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 1.80    
5  TAIL OF SAMSON Jun26 May28 Aug13 Jul23 Jun30 (donlin lar)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 8.00    
6  MACH SWEDE Jun25 Jun05 May26 May13 Jul29 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
PRM-5   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XCARET Jul01 Jun05 May21 Feb15 Jan13 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
2  WAR MUSIC Jul01 Jun17 May28 Apr14 Mar19 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 123 5.00    
SCR  CARRY ON Jul10 Jun25 Jun09 May14 Apr26 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.00    
4  GIRL PRO Jul01 Jun11 Apr21 Feb25 Feb10 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 1.80    
5  RIOBELLA Jun17 May29 Jan27 Jan08 Nov21 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
PRM-6   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVER BOY Jul14 Jun25 Jun04 May12 Apr15 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  GIANT GAMBLE Jul03 Jun16 May28 Mar11 Feb25 (donlin lar)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 15.00    
3  AWESOME FAMILY Jul03 Jun18 Apr01 Feb25 Feb11 (donlin la)TRIANA JR 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
4  CAPTAIN DON Jul03 Jun18 May28 May12 Apr15 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
5  KOSELIO Jun18 May19 May06 Apr29 Apr15 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  MONTEREY PENINSULA Jul23 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr21 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  JAMES'S MOONSHINE Jul02 May06 Apr21 Mar11 Sep03 (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.00    
 
PRM-7   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Stallion Futurity Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALEBS LADY Jul07 May06 Apr15     (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 3.50 14% 6.20    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of LADY OF HONOR by ALGORITHMS)
2  SECRET STRATEGY Jun24         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of GRANDMA ANNIE by EDDINGTON)
3  FREEDOM TO SPEED         (anderson )DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SPEEDY GIA by GIACOMO)
4  INCA STROLL Jul08         (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 117 10.00 8% 11.60    
  (by STROLL out of INCA JEWEL by TIGER TALK)
5  STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN Jul16 Jun10 Apr26     (sims matt)TRIANA JR 117 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MISS GRIDLEY by STREET BOSS)
6  SINCERELY MINE Jul08 Jun12       (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
7  SURPRISE ROAD TRIP Jul08 Jun23       (guillory h)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PRETTY SURPRISE by CONGRATS)
8  KILLIAN Jul01         (mcshane davi)JORDAN R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STROLL out of LAUNCH LIGHT LADY by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
9  SPECIALSORTASTORM Jun23         (ashford)GONCALVES R 118 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of IMSORTASPECIAL by BIG BROWN)
SCR  MC COUGAR Jul08 Jun12       (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 120 4.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SHE'S EXTREME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  DIALED IN TO WIN Jul08 Jun11       (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
  (by DIALED IN out of CHOSEN ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
12  DAWSON'S STORM Jul08 Jun23 Jun04     (fett brandi)CORBETT W 120 15.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  WAR HAWK         (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 30.00    
  (by LOST TREASURE out of FOREVER SUNSHINE by WHITNEY TOWER)
 
PRM-8   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.263K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S ALL ABOUT JOE Jul16 Jun16 Jun05 May20 Oct02 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
2  A BRUSH OF LUCK Jul16 Jun16 May13 Sep26 Sep11 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 123 4.00    
SCR  SHUT UP MAN Jul10 Jun26 Jun16 Jun03 May19 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 123 2.50    
4  RED WHITE AND LOUD Jul10 Jun16 May12 Sep25 Sep02 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
5  UNCLE CHAD Jul16 Jun17 Jun05 May19 Jul18 (anderson )DE CRUZ 123 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  MILTON STREET Jul10 Jul03 Jun16 May27 Oct02 (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 12.00    
7  STORMIN' J. J. Jun16 May29 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 (hemba )FLETCHER D 123 10.00    
 
PRM-9   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUV MAP Jul14 Jun02 May19 Apr29 Apr01 (murphy swan)NOLL S 120 4.00    
2  MAGGIE D'CAUSE Jun10 May16       (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 8.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  IRON LOTUS Jul09 Jun16 May15 May05 Apr23 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00    
4  TRIBAL QUEEN Jul02 Jun04 Jan20 Dec03 Oct27 (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
5  WINZE Jul14 May26 Aug08 Jul24 Jul15 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50    
6  ACELA EXPRESS Jul14 Jun03 May13 Mar28 Feb24 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
PRM-10   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44.554K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUCCESSION (GB) Jul17 May13 Sep30 Sep03 Jul30 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 118 6.00    
2  MIDNIGHT RULES Jul10 Jul03 Jun18 Jun05 May19 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 5.00    
3  LAWLESS JOHN Jul10 Jun18 May26 May13 Sep19 (murphy swan)NOLL S 118 4.00    
4  NATIVE HELLRAISER Jul15 Jun18 May26 Oct01 Sep16 (mcshane davi)JORDAN R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WELLER ROGUE Jul03 May14 Mar30 Mar06 Feb04 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 51% 1.00    
6  EVIL KNIEVEL Jun30 May26 May13 Sep16 Aug26 (wellingto)DE CRUZ 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
7  JUSTICE ONCE Jul03 May26 Apr27 Apr06 Oct07 (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.