Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Prairie Meadows
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-8   EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2 $19.20 $7.20 60%
    DD (7/5/4)-(5/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  7-3 $20.00 $2.00 11%
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(7/5/4)-(5/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50  5/6-2/7-3 $14.20 $0.70 5%

Simulator Race results

 
PRM-4   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:154     1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE SINCERE 6 6 6 6 2nk 1 1 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 118 2.50 20% 3.90 0.60 W
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
HOP AWAY HOTTIE 2 5 3.2 3½ 3.2 2 2 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 113 4.50 2.60  
  (by SOCK HOP out of BLEW ME AWAY by INDY KING)
CAN'T MAKE ME 5 3 4 2½ 1nk 3 310 (mcshane davi)SALAZAR TERESA 119 1.80 40% 1.50 8.70 S
  (by NATIVE RULER out of CAN'T BUY CLASS by KITTEN'S JOY)
MOLLY BYE O 4 2 2nk 1½ 5¾ 410½ 429½ (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.00 5.90  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of STEAL THE SUGAR by CORONADO'S QUEST)
KAMEA 3 1 5 5 6 617 537 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 118 8.00 18.60  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of GIZZY by MALABAR GOLD)
BLITZED 1 4 1nk 4¾ 4¾ 513 641¼ (leapley e)ZIMMERMAN R 124 12.00 13% 7.00 30.40  
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of KRISTEN BLITZEN by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
PRM-5   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.263K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:133     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE 3 6 611 510½ 55 55 1 (martin e)BIRZER E 123 3.50 2.30  
COLORFUL NATIVE 1 4 1 15 11 1 2 (jacquot gene)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 4.00 11.30  
A BRUSH OF LUCK 6 2 34 37 31 3 3 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 123 8.00 15% 5.60 9.20 S
JUST JOHNNY 2 3 2 25 42 2 4 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 125 6.00 11.30  
UNCLE CHAD 5 5 58 4 21 44 5 (anderson )DE CRUZ 123 2.00 43% 1.30 0.70  
IT'S ALL ABOUT JOE 4 1 48 611½ 68 610 617½ (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 3.00 15% 5.50 14.70  
 
PRM-6   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:08
See original race card.
:233 :472 :592     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE MY HUCKLEBERRY 5 1 12 1   15 112¼ (loy dew)DE CRUZ 119 2.00 25% 2.90 1.40 W
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of K J'S SWEETATER by PRIMARY SUSPECT)
LOVE AMPLIFIED 3 2 22 3   36 212¼ (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 2.50 3.90  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
FREE WILL 1 4 33 2   25 315¼ (chleborad lynn)ZIMMERMAN R 119 8.00 1.90  
  (by BLAME out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
DALUSIA 2 5 5 4   49 421 (tibbitts dave)TOHILL S 124 4.00 16% 5.10 4.90  
  (by LAURIE'S ROCKET out of BELIEVE ME by IT'S TRUE)
KONA KONNECT 4 3 4 57   512 527¼ (offolter j)ERAMIA E 119 6.00 25% 2.90 10.80  
  (by LIAISON out of KONA KAT by MOUNTAIN CAT)
SCR  CZECHITOUT               (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of POLITICAL ACT by POLITICAL FORCE)
 
PRM-7   07/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEASIDE BOY 6 6 52 32 1nk 1 1 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 2.00 34% 1.90 1.30 W
BUMPERDOO 1 1 31 42 41 2 2 (arnett g)TOHILL S 123 10.00 10.70  
HARD ATTACK 3 4 6 6 54 55 3 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 123 3.00 17% 4.80 7.20 S
BROADWAY PETE 5 5 2½ 2½ 3½ 3 4 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00 11.60  
MEGATAP 4 3 42 5 6 67 512 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 125 3.50 19% 4.30 1.30  
DAVIDIC LINE 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 4 614½ (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 6.00 11.60  
SCR  CANADIAN GAME               (martin wil)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 12.00    
 
PRM-8   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44.554K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OURPEPPERMINTCANDY 3 1 1½ 1nk   13 1 (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 3.00 19% 4.30 1.80 W
BATTER UP BETTY 2 5 5 2nk   23 2 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 118 2.00 12% 7.20 2.90 P
LUCKYHOTSTUFF 1 4 42 4   46 310½ (arnett g)BIRZER E 125 6.00 10.10  
ARCHAIC 6 3 2½ 3.2   36 414¾ (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50 5.30  
ROCKETS SISTER 5 6 6 5   510 521¾ (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 123 2.50 48% 1.10 2.00  
ADD IT ALL UP 4 2 3½ 6   611 622¼ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 45.40  
 
PRM-9   07/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:134     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNING ALEX'SBAND 1 3 3 3 2nk 1 14 (martinez )TRIANA JR 120 10.00 17.30  
ALLO ENRY 3 2 1½ 11 1nk 2 24 (flores osc)ERAMIA E 123 3.00 27% 2.80 1.50 P
BACKGATE RED 2 1 712½ 714 7 6 312¼ (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 8.00 7.70  
WHISKEY WEDNESDAY 7 7 611 66 6 79 414¾ (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 18% 4.50 3.10  
BIG PINES SANDY 5 6 5 52 4 4 515¾ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 6.10  
MAHOMES 6 5 2½ 21 3 3 620¾ (clark r)CORBETT W 122 6.00 8% 12.00 5.50  
ALLEN'S ROCKET 4 4 4 4 5 58 727½ (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.00 21% 3.80 8.30  
 
PRM-10   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:52
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIRBY KAYE 1 5 5 53   53 1¾ (von do)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 12.00 1.70  
  (by LEA out of THIS IS HOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
TRUE EMOTION 6 4 4 3½   3 2¾ (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 1.80 45% 1.20 1.10 P
  (by MCCRAKEN out of BLAGEUSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
HOODWICKED 4 1 1nk 2nk   1 3 (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 116 10.00 24.30  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BABY IT'S MINE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
JILL'S LEMON DROP 2 3 31 4   2 4 (dieter da)TRIANA JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
  (by JAVA'S WAR out of LEMON DROP BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
DELTA MOON 5 2 2nk 1nk   4 5 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 124 2.50 31% 2.30 9.60  
  (by ORB out of LECOMPASS by ORIENTATE (GB))
LUCKY GIN 3 6 6 611   611 613½ (offolter )DE CRUZ 119 8.00 4.90  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SLOW GIN by PULPIT)
SCR  BOTITA               (garcia ama)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 3.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of NESSO by ROMAN RULER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.