Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(5/4/6)-(4/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(4/5/2)-(7/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(7/5/4)-(5/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(5/3/2)-(3/4/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/4/7/6)-(7/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (3/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/6)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-10   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLITZED Jun19 Sep30 Aug06 Jul01 Jun04 (leapley e)ZIMMERMAN R 124 12.00 13% 7.00    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of KRISTEN BLITZEN by SMOKE GLACKEN)
HOP AWAY HOTTIE Jun09 Apr23 Mar16     (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 113 4.50    
  (by SOCK HOP out of BLEW ME AWAY by INDY KING)
KAMEA Jun30 Jun16 May26 May12 Sep29 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 118 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of GIZZY by MALABAR GOLD)
MOLLY BYE O Jul03 Jun16 May27 May12 Sep29 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of STEAL THE SUGAR by CORONADO'S QUEST)
CAN'T MAKE ME Jul03 Jun19 May27 Oct02 Sep24 (mcshane davi)SALAZAR TERESA 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of CAN'T BUY CLASS by KITTEN'S JOY)
BE SINCERE Jun30 Jun09 May26 May12 Sep29 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by ALTERNATION out of INSINCERELY YOURS by FLATTER)
 
PRM-5   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.263K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLORFUL NATIVE Jun26 Jun05 Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 (jacquot gene)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 4.00    
JUST JOHNNY Jun16 May27 May19 Sep26 Sep11 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 125 6.00    
MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE Jun17 May21 Sep23 Aug19 Jul24 (martin e)BIRZER E 123 3.50    
IT'S ALL ABOUT JOE Jun16 Jun05 May20 Oct02 Sep12 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 3.00 15% 5.50    
UNCLE CHAD Jun17 Jun05 May19 Jul18 Jun04 (anderson )DE CRUZ 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
A BRUSH OF LUCK Jun16 May13 Sep26 Sep11 Aug20 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 123 8.00 15% 5.60    
 
PRM-6   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE WILL Jun24 Jun05 Apr02 Mar02 Jan27 (chleborad lynn)ZIMMERMAN R 119 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
DALUSIA         (tibbitts dave)TOHILL S 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
  (by LAURIE'S ROCKET out of BELIEVE ME by IT'S TRUE)
LOVE AMPLIFIED Jun24 May28       (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 2.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
KONA KONNECT         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 119 6.00 25% 2.90    
  (by LIAISON out of KONA KAT by MOUNTAIN CAT)
BE MY HUCKLEBERRY Jun24 May28 Apr28 Apr15   (loy dew)DE CRUZ 119 2.00 25% 2.90    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of K J'S SWEETATER by PRIMARY SUSPECT)
SCR  CZECHITOUT Jun05         (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of POLITICAL ACT by POLITICAL FORCE)
 
PRM-7   07/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUMPERDOO Jun11 May29 Apr05 Mar17 Jan25 (arnett g)TOHILL S 123 10.00    
SCR  CANADIAN GAME Oct06 Sep22 Jan23     (martin wil)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 12.00    
DAVIDIC LINE Jun12 Apr01 Mar10 Feb05 Jan11 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 6.00    
HARD ATTACK Jun12 May29 Mar25 Feb24 Jan21 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
MEGATAP Jun18 Jun02 May20 Mar19 Feb05 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
BROADWAY PETE Jun12 May27 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00    
SEASIDE BOY Jun02 Apr28 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
PRM-8   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44.554K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKYHOTSTUFF Jun25 Jun19 May28 May12 Mar26 (arnett g)BIRZER E 125 6.00    
BATTER UP BETTY Jun25 Jun04 Oct01 Aug26 Jul01 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 118 2.00 12% 7.20    
OURPEPPERMINTCANDY Jun09 May26       (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
ADD IT ALL UP Jun25 May28 May20 Oct02 Sep25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00    
ROCKETS SISTER Jun25 Jul15 Jun10 May12   (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
ARCHAIC Jun30 Jun09       (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50    
 
PRM-9   07/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNING ALEX'SBAND Jun23 Jun04 May21 Oct01 Sep23 (martinez )TRIANA JR 120 10.00    
BACKGATE RED Jun17 May26 May06 Apr28 Apr16 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 8.00    
ALLO ENRY Jun12 May06 Apr16 Mar30 Mar11 (flores osc)ERAMIA E 123 3.00 27% 2.80    
ALLEN'S ROCKET Jun11 May21 Oct01 Aug29 Aug08 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
BIG PINES SANDY Jul02 May26 May13 Nov19 Nov12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
MAHOMES Jun23 Jun04 May20 Oct02 Aug29 (clark r)CORBETT W 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Jun18 Jun02 Oct01 Sep04 Aug13 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
PRM-10   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIRBY KAYE Jan21         (von do)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 12.00    
  (by LEA out of THIS IS HOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
JILL'S LEMON DROP Jun24 May13 Jul29     (dieter da)TRIANA JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAVA'S WAR out of LEMON DROP BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
LUCKY GIN         (offolter )DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SLOW GIN by PULPIT)
SCR  BOTITA Feb08 Jan06       (garcia ama)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 3.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of NESSO by ROMAN RULER)
HOODWICKED         (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 116 10.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BABY IT'S MINE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
DELTA MOON Jun24 Jun05 Apr28 Apr15 Apr01 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by ORB out of LECOMPASS by ORIENTATE (GB))
TRUE EMOTION Jun24 May28 Apr29 Mar02 Jan27 (anderson doug)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of BLAGEUSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.