Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Santa Rosa
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SR-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.60 $1.60 27%

Simulator Race results

 
SR-1   08/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:254 :511 1:153 1:282   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUE GENEROUS 2 1 1 1 12 11 1nk (guerrero emili)HERRERA HUGO 120 12.00 9.50  
BIG GIFT 1 3 44 43 43 21 2nk (specht steve)ALVARADO T 122 2.00 24% 3.10 0.90 DQ↓3
MOONSHINE CAT 4 2 33 2 22 31 3.15 (lagrone selwyn)FLORES P 125 2.50 33% 2.10 1.60 P
BIG FAME 3 4 2 3 33 4 4 (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.50 3.70  
SCR  DANGEROUS ILLUSION               (france re)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 1.80 17% 4.70    
 
SR-2   08/05/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:223 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAYS ANGEL 5 2 2½ 2   2 1¾ (franko daniel)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.50 19% 4.30 2.80 W
MORO FIRST CLASS 4 6 4 54   45 2¾ (rubin ho)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00 12.90  
DANCING BONBON 2 3 1½ 1   1 3 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 2.50 22% 3.60 1.60 S
JERSEY BIRD 1 4 5 43   3 4 (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 122 5.00 7.10  
RIVIERA SUNRISE 3 5 6 66   6 5 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 33% 2.00 2.40  
WESTERN TOWN 6 1 3½ 32   56 6 (miller b)FLORES P 122 10.00 11.30  
 
SR-3   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:24 :472 :60     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL BERRINCHES 2 2 11 1½   1 1 (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 125 2.50 50% 1.00 0.80 W
HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE 3 1 3 2½   3 2 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00 3.20  
G'S LAST CHANCE 1 3 21 3½   2 3 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 2.00 21% 3.80 1.30 S
SCR  MEDAL ICE               (lenzini mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.60    
SCR  TIZ A THRILL               (baker wa)AMERICANO MANUEL 115 10.00    
 
SR-4   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:132 1:26   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OAT MILK LATTE 9 7 7 75 6 2 1¾ (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00 2.80  
ZAFFERANA 7 8 8 86 8 5 2¾ (badilla man)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 10.00 20.00  
AMANDA ROSE 8 9 911¼ 98 9 9 3 (bellasis tim)HERRERA HUGO 123 6.00 4.40  
HAPPY IS 1 2 1nk 11 1½ 1 43 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00 9% 10.30 4.00  
BIG JOLT 4 3 32 32 32 3 54 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 125 5.00 24% 3.20 12.10  
WHATWASTHENISNOW 3 1 2nk 21 2½ 4 66 (miranda e)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 20.00 5% 18.40 17.10  
ELEGANCE CODE 5 6 6 6 7 6 7 (paldanius shel)ALVARADO T 123 4.00 29% 2.50 4.70  
HERSABIGGIRL 6 5 5 5 5 7 8 (badilla )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 6.00 10% 8.60 7.70  
NOBLE HEARTED 2 4 4 4 42 8 911¼ (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00 9.70  
SCR  MISSING PENNY               (lenz)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 12.00    
 
SR-5   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:222 :463 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION COACH 4 1 2nk 11   11 1 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 120 4.50 2.60  
  (by COACH BOB out of UNION TWIST by UNIONIZE)
STREET TIGER 2 5 32 32   21 2 (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 5.00 4.80  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of POGONIP by STREET SENSE)
CRYPTO CRUSH 3 4 4 43   4 3 (mccanna tim)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 3.00 28% 2.60 2.30 S
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CRYPTOBULLET by BERNARDINI)
BIG CATTY 1 2 1nk 21   33 4 (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 8.00 20% 4.00 7.50  
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of CHATTY CATTY by GRAZEN)
CANDY LITZ 6 3 5 6   6 512 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 12.00 8.90  
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SMOOTHE AS CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
ABOVE THE FOLD 5 6 65 5   5 612¼ (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 3.50 29% 2.50 3.10  
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of SHE WOLF by STORM WOLF)
SCR  BROADWAY TIGER               (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 120 4.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FINISH RICH IN NYC by GOTHAM CITY)
SCR  LAKERVILLE ROSE               (davis c)FLORES P 120 20.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of TOPS IMAGE by HE'S TOPS)
 
SR-6   08/05/2023 3300ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:223 :463       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTWARD BREEZE 1 7 8 7   54 1hd (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 125 5.00 4.00  
HARBOR'S ROSE 2 5 5 5   3 2hd (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 8.00 5.10  
SWEET LAYLA RAE 4 8 6 63   4 3.15 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 4.50 25% 3.00 8.20 S
BLUEBERRY MUFFIN 8 2 1nk 1½   1½ 41 (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 12.00 18.20  
ANNA'S MUSIC 6 3 2nk 2½   2½ 53 (galvin bre)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.80 39% 1.60 1.60  
ASSUREDLY 3 4 7 8   87 6 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00 12.50  
BET DE VRON 5 1 31 4   7 7 (taylor faith)ALVARADO T 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
TWO TWELVE 7 6 42 3   6 8 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00 10% 8.80 5.00  
 
SR-7   08/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Luther Burbank Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:56
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:12 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASCENDANCY 8 5 65 5 31 2½ 1 (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 55% 0.80 1.80 W
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TENSAS PUNCH by WAR FRONT)
EVER SMART 2 3 32 21 11 1½ 2 (drys)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 2.50 15% 5.60 1.70 P
  (by BROKEN VOW out of RIGGED SMART by SMART STRIKE)
ASSIGNATION 5 8 88 88 6 65 33 (sherman s)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 15.00 28.50  
  (by BERNARDINI out of TRYST by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
UNDISTURBED 6 1 43 4 42 43 43 (badilla manue)OROZCO IRVING 123 15.00 11.60  
  (by LEA out of WINIKINS by COZZENE)
CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE 7 7 55 64 7 5 5 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of TIMEZONE by PULPIT)
MADEIRA WINE 4 6 1 11 21 3 6 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 123 6.00 6% 14.50 4.90  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MADERA DANCER by RAHY)
COUNCILWOMAN JILLY 3 9 911 910½ 9 9 711¼ (hobson simon)DURAN F 121 30.00 27.10  
  (by ROI CHARMANT out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
10  BELLEO'S FOREST 9 4 76 76 8 8 811½ (galvin bre)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 20.00 34.70  
  (by FOREST COMMAND out of MISSBELLEO'S CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TAM'S LITTLE ANGEL 1 2 2 32 54 7 912½ (specht st)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 15.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
  (by TAMARANDO out of ANGEL DIANE by LUCKY PULPIT)
SCR  CHANCERY WAY               (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 5.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of THIS MEANS WAR by WAR CHANT)
 
SR-8   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:221 :46 :572     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELCONDOR 7 1 1 1½   11 1hd (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 125 6.00 9.40  
MY BUCKET LIST 9 6 6 52   4 2hd (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 122 2.50 68% 0.50 0.70 P
MISCHIEVOUS PIRATE 3 3 3 2½   21 31 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.50 6.50  
BEGIN AGAIN 5 7 4 3   32 4 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
NORDIC SEA 6 5 7 79   6 5 (bautista )MARTINEZ CATALINO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 28.20  
WESTERN SIERRA 2 2 2 42   5 66 (stortz marcia)ALVARADO T 125 3.00 7% 13.90 4.50  
DRAW SOME 8 4 54 67   7 7 (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 122 20.00 24.70  
MISCHIEF'S THIRSTY 1 9 810¼ 810   812 812¾ (mcdonald me)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00 23.60  
LUCKY DIABLO 4 8 911¼ 912   916 917½ (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00 29.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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