Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Rosa
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SR-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/2/5)-(2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SR-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(2/1)-(5/4/7/1/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SR-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/4/7/1/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/4/7/1/3)-(6/3/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SR-4   WIN (5/4/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/1/3)-(5/4/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/1/3)-(5/4/7/1/3)-(5/4/7/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/4/7/1/3)-(6/3/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/1/3)-(6/3/1)-(6/4/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SR-5   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(6/4/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(6/4/7/5)-(9/3/5/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SR-6   WIN (6/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/7/5)-(9/3/5/8/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/5)-(9/3/5/8/2)-(9/2/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SR-7   WIN (9/3/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/8/2)-(9/3/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/8/2)-(9/3/5/8/2)-(9/3/5/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (9/3/5/8/2)-(9/2/5/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
SR-8   WIN (9/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/6)-(9/2/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/6)-(9/2/7/5/6)-(9/2/7/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SR-1   08/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG GIFT Jul02 Jun02 May04 Apr15 Mar24 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  DANGEROUS ILLUSION Jul28 Jun18 May28 May06 Apr14 (france re)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 1.80 17% 4.70    
3  SUE GENEROUS Jul23 Jun25 Jun17 May26 Apr29 (guerrero emili)HERRERA HUGO 120 12.00    
4  BIG FAME Jul02 May13 Apr14 Mar31 Sep18 (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.50    
5  MOONSHINE CAT Jun18 May28 May06 Mar25 Mar05 (lagrone selwyn)FLORES P 125 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
SR-2   08/05/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY BIRD Jul21 Jun18 Feb19 Jan06 Dec09 (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 122 5.00    
2  DANCING BONBON Jul08 Jun16 May26 Apr16 Mar25 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  RIVIERA SUNRISE Jul21 Jul02 Jun09 May27 Oct14 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  MORO FIRST CLASS Jul22 Jun23 May27 Apr28 Mar25 (rubin ho)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00    
5  JAYS ANGEL Jul23 Jun25 Jun09 May27 May21 (franko daniel)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  WESTERN TOWN Jul07 Oct28 Sep25 Sep05 Jun24 (miller b)FLORES P 122 10.00    
 
SR-3   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G'S LAST CHANCE Jul07 Jun23 May13 Apr23 Apr02 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
2  EL BERRINCHES Jul29 May29 May05 Apr09 May22 (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 125 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE Jun24 Jun11 May29 Apr28 Apr15 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00    
SCR  TIZ A THRILL Jul08 Jun10 May20 May05 Apr14 (baker wa)AMERICANO MANUEL 115 10.00    
SCR  MEDAL ICE Jul21 Jun10 May20 Apr30 Apr14 (lenzini mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.60    
 
SR-4   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY IS Jun30 Jun09 May14 Jul23 Jul03 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 125 10.00 9% 10.30    
2  NOBLE HEARTED Jun09 May04 Jan13 Nov20 Oct30 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00    
3  WHATWASTHENISNOW Jul07 Jun09 May21 Apr29 Apr14 (miranda e)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 20.00 5% 18.40    
4  BIG JOLT Jun30 May26 May04 Apr07 Mar11 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
5  ELEGANCE CODE Jun30 Jun03 May20 Apr21 Mar26 (paldanius shel)ALVARADO T 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  MISSING PENNY Jun09 May07 Apr07 Mar04 Feb11 (lenz)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 12.00    
7  HERSABIGGIRL Jun23 Jun04 Apr19 Mar27 Mar12 (badilla )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
8  ZAFFERANA Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr07 Mar11 (badilla man)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 10.00    
9  AMANDA ROSE Jun30 May07 Apr21 Mar31 Feb26 (bellasis tim)HERRERA HUGO 123 6.00    
10  OAT MILK LATTE Jul08 Jun09 May04 Mar11 Feb19 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00    
 
SR-5   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CATTY Jul07 Jun24 Jun10     (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of CHATTY CATTY by GRAZEN)
2  STREET TIGER         (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of POGONIP by STREET SENSE)
3  CRYPTO CRUSH Jun24 Jun10       (mccanna tim)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CRYPTOBULLET by BERNARDINI)
SCR  LAKERVILLE ROSE Jul23         (davis c)FLORES P 120 20.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of TOPS IMAGE by HE'S TOPS)
5  UNION COACH         (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 120 4.50    
  (by COACH BOB out of UNION TWIST by UNIONIZE)
6  ABOVE THE FOLD         (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of SHE WOLF by STORM WOLF)
SCR  BROADWAY TIGER         (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 120 4.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FINISH RICH IN NYC by GOTHAM CITY)
8  CANDY LITZ         (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 12.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SMOOTHE AS CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
SR-6   08/05/2023 3300ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTWARD BREEZE May20 Jun12 May14 Apr08 Feb11 (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 125 5.00    
2  HARBOR'S ROSE Sep30 Sep10 Aug07 Jun11   (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 8.00    
3  ASSUREDLY Jul09 Jun25 May14     (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00    
4  SWEET LAYLA RAE Jun23 May26 May13     (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
5  BET DE VRON Jan29 Jan14 Dec11 Nov25 Aug12 (taylor faith)ALVARADO T 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ANNA'S MUSIC Jul02 Jun04 May13 Apr22 Mar31 (galvin bre)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.80 39% 1.60    
7  TWO TWELVE Jul29 Jun18 May29 Apr14 Mar09 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00 10% 8.80    
8  BLUEBERRY MUFFIN Jul09 May28 May07 Apr16 Jul22 (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 12.00    
 
SR-7   08/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Luther Burbank Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHANCERY WAY Jul22 Jun11 Apr29 Feb19 Jan28 (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 5.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of THIS MEANS WAR by WAR CHANT)
2  TAM'S LITTLE ANGEL Jun24 Jun02 Apr29 Mar12 Jan28 (specht st)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of ANGEL DIANE by LUCKY PULPIT)
3  EVER SMART Jun18 May20 Apr29 Dec03 Oct15 (drys)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 2.50 15% 5.60    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of RIGGED SMART by SMART STRIKE)
4  COUNCILWOMAN JILLY Jul09 Jun23 May28 May07 Apr21 (hobson simon)DURAN F 121 30.00    
  (by ROI CHARMANT out of STARLET SKY by SKYWALKER)
5  MADEIRA WINE Jul09 Jun24 May20 Apr30 Apr08 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 123 6.00 6% 14.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MADERA DANCER by RAHY)
6  ASSIGNATION Jul09 Jun11 Aug28 Aug06 Jun25 (sherman s)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of TRYST by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
7  UNDISTURBED Jun11 May20 Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 (badilla manue)OROZCO IRVING 123 15.00    
  (by LEA out of WINIKINS by COZZENE)
8  CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE Jun24 Jun11 May20 Apr29 Mar26 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of TIMEZONE by PULPIT)
9  ASCENDANCY Jul22 Jun24 Jun02 May20 Apr29 (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TENSAS PUNCH by WAR FRONT)
10  BELLEO'S FOREST Jul09 Feb19 Jan28 Jan08 Dec10 (galvin bre)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
  (by FOREST COMMAND out of MISSBELLEO'S CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
SR-8   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEF'S THIRSTY Sep23         (mcdonald me)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00    
2  WESTERN SIERRA Jul02 Jun24 May27 May04 Apr14 (stortz marcia)ALVARADO T 125 3.00 7% 13.90    
3  MISCHIEVOUS PIRATE Nov12 Oct22       (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
4  LUCKY DIABLO         (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00    
5  BEGIN AGAIN         (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NORDIC SEA         (bautista )MARTINEZ CATALINO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ELCONDOR Feb04         (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 125 6.00 ★    
8  DRAW SOME         (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 122 20.00    
9  MY BUCKET LIST Jul23 Jun24 May27 May06 Apr15 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 122 2.50 68% 0.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.