Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-3   WIN (8/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.64 $1.64 27%
    EXA (8/5/9)-(8/5/9/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-10 $15.83 $6.83 76%
KEE-5   WIN (4/8/7/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $10.68 $0.68 7%
    EXA (4/8/7/5/9)-(4/8/7/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-9 $35.75 $15.75 79%
    TRI (4/8/7/5/9)-(4/8/7/5/9)-(4/8/7/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-9-5 $166.15 $136.15 454%
    SFT (4/8/7/5/9)-(4/8/7/5/9)-(4/8/7/5/9)-(4/8/7/5/9) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-9-5-8 $216.92 $204.92 1708%
KEE-8   WIN (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $17.08 $9.08 114%
    EXA (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-3 $23.14 $11.14 93%
KEE-9   DD (4/1/3/7)-(1/4/7/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-1 $29.01 $9.01 45%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :46       1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIRBORNE ELITE 4 4 31 2   1 1 (vaccarezza c)TORRES A 121 12.00 4.70  
SUNSET TOWN 1 3 21 4   2 2 (asmussen )TORRES A 121 3.50 7.62 P
10  BATTLE BORN 9 6 6 6   4 311¾ (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 39.83  
GO CATS 7 7 9 7   57 412¼ (davis christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 21.85  
DREAMWITHINADREAM 3 5 5 54   6 512½ (hiles a)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5.14  
DARIO 6 1 7 8   8 616 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.41  
JUL QUIST 5 8 4 3   7 716¾ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00 25.18  
LOTS OF MISCHIEF 2 9 8 96   911½ 823 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 6% 15.00 20.12  
DERRICK 8 2 11 1   35 925¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 66% 0.50 1.09  
SCR  VALUABLE CARGO               (miller f)COURT K 121 30.00    
 
KEE-2   10/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:244 :502 1:16 1:412   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURBE 1 5 6 6 5 1½ 11 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 1.30  
RIPERTON 2 1 11 1nk 1½ 2½ 21 (lobo paul)TORRES A 120 4.00 19% 4.20 5.08 P
PEIGNOIR 4 4 3 4 4 33 3 (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 8.55  
FLOORED 3 6 5 5 6 44 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.79  
SHOW OFF 6 3 42 31 3 6 5 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.60 56% 0.80 2.40  
UMEBOSHI 5 2 21 2nk 2½ 5 6 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 20.45  
 
KEE-3   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOLANDA WHO 4 3 32 4   22 1½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 11% 8.00 2.82 W
10  SHIP IT 9 2 63 11   12 2½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00 5.06 P
MISS FOXANN 1 8 5 5   54 32 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 123 8.00 14.25  
LIAM'S LASS 8 6 76 7   7 4 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
GORMLEYESQUE 7 1 2½ 31   43 5 (delong b)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 65% 0.50 5.20  
BEACH KITTEN 6 5 1½ 21   33 6 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 121 30.00 32.16  
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 5 9 8 65   6 7 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 123 10.00 9.32  
GIN N SIN 3 7 9 911   910¼ 88 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 30.00 38.68  
SUNDAY GRACE 2 4 4 89   810 914½ (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 2.42  
SCR  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME               (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.60    
 
KEE-4   10/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:14 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT WOLF 1 3 1½ 12 12 16 111 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 53% 0.90 0.86 W
THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) 4 2 4 3 32 26 211 (ward a)LANERIE J 124 8.00 10% 8.90 4.12 P
11  MO MOVES 8 6 3 54 43 4 312 (medina rober)TORRES A 121 30.00 36.55  
MY UNCLE FRANK 2 5 2½ 22 22 37 412½ (vanden br)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 12% 7.40 5.66  
JAY BIRD 5 4 52 4 6 510 516 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 20.00 42.45  
HONOR GOLD 3 9 7 6 54 711½ 616¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 10.16  
12  COAL BOSS 9 1 9 9 9 813 717½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00 33.06  
EXEMPLIFIED 6 7 64 7 8 913 819¼ (simms ma)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 8.64  
GOLDEN FLASH 7 8 8 8 76 610½ 920¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.87  
SCR  GENERATION (GB)               (orantes r)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
SCR  GORDY'S LABEL               (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 12.00    
SCR  TEXCOCO               (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 121 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:211 :442 :561     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVEN STREET 4 4 42 42   1nk 1¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 35% 1.80 4.34 W
MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE 9 6 53 5   2nk 2¼ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 7% 13.90 4.97 P
MARK OF THE Z 5 8 7 8   4¼ 3½ (rodriguez j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 8% 12.00 8.99 S
CLOUDY 8 12 8 74   6 4½ (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00 18% 4.60 5.31  
EVAN SING 6 11 10 10   93 5¾ (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.50 4.13  
12  GO BEARS GO (IRE) 12 2 11 11   10 6 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 7.92  
BIZ BIZ BUZZ 2 7 9 9   83 7 (trombetta)LEPAROUX R 125 10.00 21.76  
TUT'S REVENGE 3 10 12 12   7 8 (stuart sh)TORRES A 121 20.00 26.64  
11  JUST MIGHT 11 1 31 2nk   3.2 9 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 20.31  
PLANE TALK 7 3 21 1nk   5¾ 10 (robertso)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 8% 10.90 34.75  
10  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 10 9 6 63   128 1111½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 18.11  
BODENHEIMER 1 5 11 3½   116 1214½ (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 123 8.00 14.72  
SCR  ARREST ME RED               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
SCR  MILES AHEAD               (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.00    
SCR  OUTLAW KID               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  PAYNE               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.50    
 
KEE-6   10/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:122     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COZEE RAGS 10 4 82 62   3 13 (michael bria)CALLEJA ANDRES 109 30.00 88.12  
  (by UNION RAGS out of ROSEE IS COZEE by COZZENE)
SWEET VIOLET 6 5 12 9   5 23 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 13.37  
  (by VIOLENCE out of PRIVATE SUITE by PRIVATE TERMS)
NANDINA 1 8 1nk 1nk   11 3 (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 43.29  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SPINNERET by MINER'S MARK)
11  LITE IT UP LOUIE 11 3 3½ 3.2   21 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 33% 2.10 4.41  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FLAT OUT GITTIN IT by FLAT OUT)
HAPPY TALK 9 7 104 8   74 55 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 3.89  
  (by ARROGATE out of CHATTERTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SHILOH'S MISTRESS 7 6 6 5   4 6 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 14.59  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of AHH by SAINT LIAM)
STEAMPUNK 4 11 5 4   63 7 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.94  
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAM by STATE CRAFT)
SWEET SUNSHINE 8 2 2nk 2nk   8 810½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 22% 3.50 6.40  
  (by HARD SPUN out of EMBOLDENED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
GRINNING 3 10 9 12   98 913 (mott rile)TORRES A 119 6.00 11.63  
  (by BERNARDINI out of TICKLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
FINAL DRAFT 2 9 4 116   10 1016½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 7.44  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DOWNWIND by CURLIN)
RUBY QUEEN 5 12 114 105   11 1121¼ (moquett ronald)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 17% 4.80 4.28  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of RADIANT RUBY by TALE OF THE CAT)
12  ABUNDANT LIFE 12 1 72 7   1211¾ 1224 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.01  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CALISTOGA by CLAIM)
SCR  BERNAR MOSA               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ROUGHING by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  BEST OF ALL               (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BEST PERFORMANCE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  MARCO SUNSET               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MONEY WORKS               (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of MONEYBRU by TALK IS MONEY)
 
KEE-7   10/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC13 GOOD Franklin Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:21 :44 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONY ANN 7 1 4 55   22 1¼ (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 7.81  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of NEVER EVER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
CARAVEL 1 5 3 33   32 2¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 25% 3.10 0.72 P
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 3 7 7 7   5 31 (breen kell)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 43.20  
  (by TAPIZAR out of PAY DAY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) 4 3 1nk 2nk   12 4 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 10% 8.60 6.91  
  (by NATIONAL DEFENSE out of THAMES PAGEANT by DANSILI (GB))
WAKANAKA (IRE) 2 8 810 8   7 5 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 4.73  
  (by UNKNOWN out of STORYLINE by KODIAC (GB))
BAY STORM 5 4 55 4   6 6 (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 124 4.50 14% 6.00 6.40  
  (by KANTHAROS out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
LINGUISTIC 6 6 67 68   8 7 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 61.32  
  (by FLATTER out of TRANSLATOR by STRAVINSKY)
B G WARRIOR 8 2 2nk 1nk   4 8 (andrade hugo)RAMOS D 118 30.00 44.13  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  STAR GUEST (GB)               (appleby charles)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of USHERETTE by STAGE DOOR JOHNNY)
 
KEE-8   10/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:101     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR BOB 7 3 53 52   4 1hd (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.54 W
BOURBON BASH 3 6 6 4   2 2hd (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 10% 8.80 1.75 P
PENSACOLA 6 2 3 1½   1 3¼ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 3.75  
YOU AIN'T POPPN 1 8 8 8   56 42 (walsh br)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 23% 3.30 5.59  
TALKIN' CASH 4 4 1½ 2½   3 5 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 38% 1.60 3.37  
BILLY JACK 5 1 2½ 3½   66 613 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 8.00 13.90  
OLD ALLIANCE 8 7 7 65   710½ 721½ (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 29.15  
LARRY THE POET 2 5 43 7   813½ 826 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 113 30.00 51.21  
 
KEE-9   10/15/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:132 1:382 2:031 2:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R CALLI KIM 1 10 10 98 8 32 1 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 40% 1.50 1.42 W
CREATIVE CAIRO 4 32 32 32 22 2 2 (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 20.59  
SAND AND SEA 6 1½ 11 1 12 1 3 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 6% 15.00 18.48 S
SHE'S GONE 7 85 87 7 10 6 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 37.79  
11  MALLEYMOO 10 64 76 87 5 54 5 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5.38  
GOOD AMERICAN (GB) 5 5 4 43 44 44 66 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00 2.86  
SABALENKA 3 98 98 10 9 8 7 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 29% 2.50 8.49  
10  BRAVO KITTEN 9 42 5 65 6 7 8 (joseph saffi)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.29  
AMANI'S IMAGE 8 2½ 21 2 34 98 914½ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00 28.68  
LUCY'S CAKES FLY 2 7 6 55 76 10 1014¾ (stuart sh)TORRES A 124 50.00 49.94  
SCR  HIGHLAND GRACE               (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  SKRATCH KAT               (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  STIR CRAZY               (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.