Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (9/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.40  
KEE-2   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.60  
KEE-3   Win (8/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.64 $7.64 1.64
KEE-4   Win (1/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.72 $3.72  
KEE-5   Win (4/8/7/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $10.68 $10.68 0.68
KEE-6   Win (11/8/5/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $178.24  
KEE-7   Win (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $17.62  
KEE-8   Win (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $17.08 $17.08 9.08
KEE-9   Win (1/4/7/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.84 $4.84  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :46       1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIRBORNE ELITE 4 4 31 2   1 1 (vaccarezza car)TORRES A 121 12.00 4.70  
SUNSET TOWN 1 3 21 4   2 2 (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 3.50 7.62 P
10  BATTLE BORN 9 6 6 6   4 311¾ (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 39.83  
GO CATS 7 7 9 7   57 412¼ (davis christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 21.85  
DREAMWITHINADREAM 3 5 5 54   6 512½ (hiles a)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5.14  
DARIO 6 1 7 8   8 616 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.41  
JUL QUIST 5 8 4 3   7 716¾ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00 25.18  
LOTS OF MISCHIEF 2 9 8 96   911½ 823 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 6% 15.00 20.12  
DERRICK 8 2 11 1   35 925¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 66% 0.50 1.09  
SCR  VALUABLE CARGO               (miller f)COURT K 121 30.00    
 
KEE-2   10/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:244 :502 1:16 1:412   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURBE 1 5 6 6 5 1½ 11 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 1.30  
RIPERTON 2 1 11 1nk 1½ 2½ 21 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 120 4.00 19% 4.20 5.08 P
PEIGNOIR 4 4 3 4 4 33 3 (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 8.55  
FLOORED 3 6 5 5 6 44 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.79  
SHOW OFF 6 3 42 31 3 6 5 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.60 56% 0.80 2.40  
UMEBOSHI 5 2 21 2nk 2½ 5 6 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 20.45  
 
KEE-3   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOLANDA WHO 4 3 32 4   22 1½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 11% 8.00 2.82 W
10  SHIP IT 9 2 63 11   12 2½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00 5.06 P
MISS FOXANN 1 8 5 5   54 32 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 123 8.00 14.25  
LIAM'S LASS 8 6 76 7   7 4 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
GORMLEYESQUE 7 1 2½ 31   43 5 (delong ben)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 65% 0.50 5.20  
BEACH KITTEN 6 5 1½ 21   33 6 (miller jerome)PETERSON FERRIN 121 30.00 32.16  
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 5 9 8 65   6 7 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 123 10.00 9.32  
GIN N SIN 3 7 9 911   910¼ 88 (faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 30.00 38.68  
SUNDAY GRACE 2 4 4 89   810 914½ (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 2.42  
SCR  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME               (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.60    
 
KEE-4   10/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:14 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT WOLF 1 3 1½ 12 12 16 111 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 53% 0.90 0.86 W
THE GATEKEEPER (IRE) 4 2 4 3 32 26 211 (ward a)LANERIE J 124 8.00 10% 8.90 4.12 P
11  MO MOVES 8 6 3 54 43 4 312 (medina robert)TORRES A 121 30.00 36.55  
MY UNCLE FRANK 2 5 2½ 22 22 37 412½ (vanden brit)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 12% 7.40 5.66  
JAY BIRD 5 4 52 4 6 510 516 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 20.00 42.45  
HONOR GOLD 3 9 7 6 54 711½ 616¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 10.16  
12  COAL BOSS 9 1 9 9 9 813 717½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00 33.06  
EXEMPLIFIED 6 7 64 7 8 913 819¼ (simms mark)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 8.64  
GOLDEN FLASH 7 8 8 8 76 610½ 920¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00 26.87  
SCR  GENERATION (GB)               (orantes r)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
SCR  GORDY'S LABEL               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 12.00    
SCR  TEXCOCO               (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 121 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:211 :442 :561     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVEN STREET 4 4 42 42   1nk 1¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 35% 1.80 4.34 W
MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE 9 6 53 5   2nk 2¼ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 7% 13.90 4.97 P
MARK OF THE Z 5 8 7 8   4¼ 3½ (rodriguez jos)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 8% 12.00 8.99 S
CLOUDY 8 12 8 74   6 4½ (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00 18% 4.60 5.31  
EVAN SING 6 11 10 10   93 5¾ (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.50 4.13  
12  GO BEARS GO (IRE) 12 2 11 11   10 6 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 7.92  
BIZ BIZ BUZZ 2 7 9 9   83 7 (trombetta m)LEPAROUX R 125 10.00 21.76  
TUT'S REVENGE 3 10 12 12   7 8 (stuart shea)TORRES A 121 20.00 26.64  
11  JUST MIGHT 11 1 31 2nk   3.2 9 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 20.31  
PLANE TALK 7 3 21 1nk   5¾ 10 (robertson )SANTANA JR 121 15.00 8% 10.90 34.75  
10  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 10 9 6 63   128 1111½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 18.11  
BODENHEIMER 1 5 11 3½   116 1214½ (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 123 8.00 14.72  
SCR  ARREST ME RED               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
SCR  MILES AHEAD               (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.00    
SCR  OUTLAW KID               (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  PAYNE               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.50    
 
KEE-6   10/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:122     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COZEE RAGS 10 4 82 62   3 13 (michael brian)CALLEJA ANDRES 109 30.00 88.12  
SWEET VIOLET 6 5 12 9   5 23 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 13.37  
NANDINA 1 8 1nk 1nk   11 3 (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 43.29  
11  LITE IT UP LOUIE 11 3 3½ 3.2   21 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 33% 2.10 4.41  
HAPPY TALK 9 7 104 8   74 55 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 3.89  
SHILOH'S MISTRESS 7 6 6 5   4 6 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 14.59  
STEAMPUNK 4 11 5 4   63 7 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.94  
SWEET SUNSHINE 8 2 2nk 2nk   8 810½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 22% 3.50 6.40  
GRINNING 3 10 9 12   98 913 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 6.00 11.63  
FINAL DRAFT 2 9 4 116   10 1016½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 7.44  
RUBY QUEEN 5 12 114 105   11 1121¼ (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 17% 4.80 4.28  
12  ABUNDANT LIFE 12 1 72 7   1211¾ 1224 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.01  
SCR  BERNAR MOSA               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  BEST OF ALL               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
SCR  MARCO SUNSET               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  MONEY WORKS               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC13 GOOD Franklin Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:21 :44 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONY ANN 7 1 4 55   22 1¼ (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 7.81  
CARAVEL 1 5 3 33   32 2¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 25% 3.10 0.72 P
TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 3 7 7 7   5 31 (breen kelly )CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 43.20  
TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) 4 3 1nk 2nk   12 4 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 10% 8.60 6.91  
WAKANAKA (IRE) 2 8 810 8   7 5 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 4.73  
BAY STORM 5 4 55 4   6 6 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 4.50 14% 6.00 6.40  
LINGUISTIC 6 6 67 68   8 7 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 61.32  
B G WARRIOR 8 2 2nk 1nk   4 8 (andrade hugo)RAMOS D 118 30.00 44.13  
SCR  STAR GUEST (GB)               (appleby charles)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
KEE-8   10/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:101     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR BOB 7 3 53 52   4 1hd (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.54 W
BOURBON BASH 3 6 6 4   2 2hd (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 10% 8.80 1.75 P
PENSACOLA 6 2 3 1½   1 3¼ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 3.75  
YOU AIN'T POPPN 1 8 8 8   56 42 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 23% 3.30 5.59  
TALKIN' CASH 4 4 1½ 2½   3 5 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 38% 1.60 3.37  
BILLY JACK 5 1 2½ 3½   66 613 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 8.00 13.90  
OLD ALLIANCE 8 7 7 65   710½ 721½ (stidham mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 29.15  
LARRY THE POET 2 5 43 7   813½ 826 (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 113 30.00 51.21  
 
KEE-9   10/15/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:132 1:382 2:031 2:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R CALLI KIM 1 10 10 98 8 32 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 40% 1.50 1.42 W
CREATIVE CAIRO 4 32 32 32 22 2 2 (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 20.59  
SAND AND SEA 6 1½ 11 1 12 1 3 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 6% 15.00 18.48 S
SHE'S GONE 7 85 87 7 10 6 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 37.79  
11  MALLEYMOO 10 64 76 87 5 54 5 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5.38  
GOOD AMERICAN (GB) 5 5 4 43 44 44 66 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00 2.86  
SABALENKA 3 98 98 10 9 8 7 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 29% 2.50 8.49  
10  BRAVO KITTEN 9 42 5 65 6 7 8 (joseph saffie )GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.29  
AMANI'S IMAGE 8 2½ 21 2 34 98 914½ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00 28.68  
LUCY'S CAKES FLY 2 7 6 55 76 10 1014¾ (stuart shea)TORRES A 124 50.00 49.94  
SCR  HIGHLAND GRACE               (tagg barclay)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  SKRATCH KAT               (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  STIR CRAZY               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.