The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/13/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:234 :484 1:14 1:394   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APOLLO RISING 8 4 5 4 2½ 13 1(walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 10% 9.30 1.10 W
LEVY 7 8 8 8 7 47 2(moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 39% 1.60 6.21 P
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 6 9 913¼ 9 8 59 3(glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 7.88  
PUNCTUALITY 2 7 6 6 43 35 4(foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 6% 15.10 7.89  
SOUND DOCTRINE 5 3 32 3½ 1½ 23 511¼ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50 23% 3.30 4.63  
FAITH RUNNER 1 1 43 5 65 6612 (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 8.24  
COUSIN ODELL 4 2 2nk 2nk 53 713½ 727½ (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 111 30.00 66.97  
GOLDEN REIGN 3 6 1nk 1nk 32 815½ 828½ (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00 27.29  
SILVESTRE 9 5 7 7 910¾ 918½ 935 (cambray ignaci)CRUZ JUAN 122 30.00 65.31  
 
KEE-2   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
:224 :47 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY JOE JOE 1 5 21 21   2nk 1½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 3.62  
10  SPIN THE BOULEVARD 7 4 11 11   1nk 2½ (vanden berg )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 10.58  
GOOGOL JOKE 5 1 6 64   53 3(correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00 16% 5.40 4.49 S
AUGUSTINE RED 4 7 53 32   343 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 24% 3.20 2.61  
HEART HEADED 2 3 4 42   42 5(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 21.52  
COMMISSIONER OSCAR 3 6 7 78   769 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 38.52  
DEBT PAID 6 2 3 5   6711¾ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 3.00 39% 1.60 1.77  
SCR  KOBE W               (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
SCR  MCAVOY               (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MR BIG STUFF               (puhich mike)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 8.00    
 
KEE-3   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
:224 :461 1:114     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMARITA 5 1 2nk 1   15 112¾ (rodriguez jos)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 2.50 29% 2.40 3.34 W
INVALUABLE 6 6 6 5   25 212¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.60 26% 2.90 0.72 P
SHE DAZZLE 1 5 32 33   39 316½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 9.07  
IFIHADACHANCE 2 3 4 6   412 421¾ (pino michae)TORRES A 121 12.00 5.01  
FAIRY CAKES (GB) 4 2 1nk 2   513½ 531¾ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 123 4.50 21% 3.70 10.27  
HIGH SPEED 3 4 5 44   619½ 649¼ (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 36.64  
SCR  SHEZ RECKLESS               (rodriguez j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00    
SCR  SONADOR               (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
:223 :461 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE LIGHT 5 3 21 2½   11(asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 6.38  
FROSTED DEPARTURE 1 1 31 3   32(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 2.91  
ELITE FORCES 3 4 42 4   43(cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60 41% 1.40 2.50 S
GILCREASE 2 5 5 54   55 4(stall alber)LEPAROUX R 120 2.00 2.37  
FIT TO FLY 4 2 11 1½   2510¾ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 29% 2.40 3.59  
 
KEE-5   10/13/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
:231 :482 1:134 1:38   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE HIGH 5 1 2nk 2½ 2nk 12 1¼ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 11.07  
10  CONVERSING 10 6 7 6 7 62¼ (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 7% 13.20 2.82 P
SAGITTARIUS 8 5 31 4 3½ 22 3(walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00 20.06  
11  EQUAL PROTECTION 11 7 8 8 6 54(maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 7% 13.90 7.26  
PILKINGTON 9 9 4 3 5 45(diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 67.97  
FAYETTE SPIRIT 6 8 10 127 126 86(medina robe)TORRES A 121 4.00 21% 3.80 8.07  
WESTERN MOON 4 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 32 7(rodriguez gera)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 50.00 49.17  
GET AHEAD NOW 1 11 95 10 11 98(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00 52.30  
SMART UNCLE 3 3 5 5 4 79(thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 37% 1.70 2.55  
AUDEN 7 10 11 9 10 1110¼ 10(mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 12.00 4.72  
12  QUALIFIED 12 12 127 11 8 1010¼ 1111¼ (mott riley)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 7% 14.10 31.72  
FIREBALL FUN 2 4 6 7 9 1213¾ 1223¼ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 35.62  
SCR  CROSSING               (lauer michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
SCR  EARL OF DASSEL               (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00    
SCR  PROVISIONAL               (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
SCR  UTAH BEACH               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.00    
 
KEE-6   10/13/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
:242 :482 1:124 1:384   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUGE BIGLY 2 2 21 2½ 1nk 13 1(falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 1.41  
CODE RUNNER 1 1 42 3 3 23 2(caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 5.45 P
SWING LOW 8 8 75 7 6 48 312½ (sweezey kent)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 15.54  
KHOZAN'S SUCCESS 4 4 32 54 5 510 413¾ (lauer mich)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 23.70  
POPULIST 7 3 11 1½ 2nk 3515½ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 7% 12.50 6.54  
MY BARILEY 6 7 8 8 810¼ 712½ 617¼ (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 4.74  
AZURE SKY 5 5 6 65 7 813 722¾ (mendieta alejand)CASTANON L 121 20.00 41.46  
TELEPHONE TALKER 3 6 5 4 44 612 826¾ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 121 2.50 69% 0.40 4.26  
SCR  DREAM KEEPER               (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00    
SCR  IMPROBABLE STORY               (king l)TORRES A 116 30.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT J J               (brownfield clau)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 50.00    
 
KEE-7   10/13/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:23 :473 1:12 1:35   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHESTDISTINCTION 5 7 7 6 84 71nk (schultz lindsay)RENDON JAIRO 126 3.00 45% 1.20 2.44 W
11  INJUNCTION 9 5 2 21 2½ 21 2nk (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.09 P
ACCREDIT 1 1 1 11 1½ 11 3½ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 126 4.00 13% 7.00 5.51 S
10  BEATBOX 8 2 43 5 5 43 3½ (devaux cherie)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00 11% 7.90 25.54 S
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 7 9 8 74 63 651 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 4.64  
FUERTEVENTURA 2 6 3 42 42 31 6(thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 8.80  
TIZ THE BOMB 6 10 9 9 11 107(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 8.58  
12  GRAY'S FABLE 10 8 54 32 31 58(lynch brian )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 16.51  
PLAY ACTION PASS 4 4 64 8 7 895 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 12.80  
HOZIER 3 3 106 10 9 910(brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 126 12.00 14.67  
14  GREYES CREEK 11 11 11 11 105 111112¼ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 12.00 10% 9.40 28.90  
SCR  DREAMS OF TOMORROW               (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00    
SCR  ENGLISH TAVERN               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  GOODIE GOOMER               (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
SCR  KING VEGA (GB)               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50    
SCR  PORTFOLIO COMPANY               (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
 
KEE-8   10/13/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:44
:241 :502 1:154 1:41   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTRICATE 6 4 53 5 6 1½ 1(walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 18% 4.60 2.17 W
CARARRA 4 3 21 2½ 1nk 2½ 2(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 8.39  
GENETICS 2 10 63 7 5 76 3(mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 20% 4.00 1.59 S
10  AMY Z 7 6 42 31 3½ 3410¼ (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 30.00 43.79  
ARIJANA'S PEARL 3 1 3 4 4 55 510¼ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 9% 10.10 14.08  
11  PLUMERIA 8 5 8 62 7 6610¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 10.00 18% 4.70 9.80  
13  AMERICA'S VOW 10 8 10 9 8 8716¾ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 16.60  
12  REMEMBERING 9 7 9 83 9 912 820 (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 9.11  
GRAND PRAIRIE GAL 5 9 7 105 10 1013 920¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 53.35  
SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN 1 2 11 1½ 2nk 41020½ (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 34.14  
SCR  COWGIRL CHARM               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
SCR  ENIGMATIC               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  FORESEEN               (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  LOOKSTER               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
SCR  MOTHER FREEDOM               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  SAVANNAMARIE               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
KEE-9   10/13/2023 7920ft TURF FIRM Sycamore Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
:25 :502 1:151 1:402 2:042 2:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD ACT (IRE) 3 74 7 7 7 51¾ (appleby charles)SPENCER P 118 3.50 38% 1.70 2.88 W
CELLIST 6 1½ 1 11 12 12 2¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 17.03 P
11  LIMITED LIABILITY 11 53 6 64 6 631 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 6.33  
10  RED RUN 10 42 4 4 3 22 4(maker mich)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 17.20  
TAWNY PORT 5 33 3 43 32 5(clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 5.10  
RED KNIGHT 2 1010 10 9 76(maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50 13% 6.60 3.48  
THERAPIST 4 85 8 8 8 875 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 15% 5.60 11.59  
HIGHEST HONORS 1 63 5 5 5 98(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 10% 8.60 9.14  
13  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY 12 1210¾ 1210¾ 1210¼ 1210¼ 119(maker micha)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 46.63  
KITODAN 8 99 9 10 1010(foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 38.10  
CHANNEL MAKER 7 2½ 2 21 22 43 118 (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00 15.54  
ANOTHER MYSTERY 9 1111 11 1110¼ 1210¾ 1210½ (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 30.00 69.36  
SCR  BEACON HILL               (matz r)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00    
SCR  BRITAIN'S KITTEN               (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
SCR  FOREIGN RELATIONS               (murphy cono)LEPAROUX R 123 30.00    
SCR  ME AND MR. C               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
 
KEE-10   10/13/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
:23 :463 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER DAD 1 5 1½ 1   1½ 1hd (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 6.00 26% 2.90 2.73 W
10  PALACE KITTEN 8 2 6 5   2½ 2hd (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 2.97  
LEADER OF MEN 7 4 9 97   33(moquett ro)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 30.86  
NEPOTISM 3 8 4 4   44(asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00 5.68  
HERD IMMUNITY 2 9 7 8   66 5(tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 5.00 7% 12.40 8.31  
WOKE UP IN LOVE 6 7 8 75   7611 (johnston d)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00 61.03  
11  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) 9 1 5 2   55 712½ (englehart jef)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.50 37% 1.70 7.46  
READY TO ROLL 5 6 3 64   911 816¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 22.74  
EMERALD EXPRESS 4 3 2½ 32   89 918 (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 6% 15.60 3.85  
SCR  HUEY ATTACK               (rodriguez j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 30.00    
SCR  JUMPMASTER               (synnefias panagi)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.