Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - October 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-2   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.40 $1.40 23%
MVR-6   WIN (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $12.00 $6.00 100%
    EXA (8/3/7)-(8/3/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-8 $55.80 $31.80 133%
MVR-7   WIN (2/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $9.40 $1.40 18%
    EXA (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-8 $112.40 $88.40 368%
    DD (8/3/7)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $109.60 $85.60 357%
MVR-8   EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $22.80 $10.80 90%
    DD (2/7/8/3)-(4/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $32.60 $8.60 36%
    PK3 (8/3/7)-(2/7/8/3)-(4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-2-1 $89.00 $71.00 394%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:014     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGNELLO CITY 5 3 4 4   1 15 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 3.00  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of HERE'S TO ROSE by MAGNA GRADUATE)
SOMETHING ON TAP 4 4 3 31   3 25 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 123 15.00 6% 16.40 9.10 P
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
MY HOMBRE 1 6 1½ 1nk   2 310½ (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 45% 1.20 1.30 S
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
R CLIFFHANGER 2 5 2½ 2nk   4 412¼ (melancon paul)BRACHO A 126 10.00 10.10  
  (by BIRDRUN out of STORMY MAY by BAD STORM COMIN')
WHY KENNY WHY 6 1 54 6   6 515¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 5.50  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
MY TICKET 7 2 78 710¼   7 615½ (cline c)DIAZ I 126 6.00 24% 3.20 5.20  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
BALU 3 7 6 5   5 716 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 12.00 26.60  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of WHAT A TWIT by UNBRIDLED MAN)
SCR  FATHER FRANK               (haehn r)PAUCAR E 123 3.50    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of HOLY HABIT by HOLY BULL)
SCR  RAISE YOU ONE               (doering ma)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
 
MVR-2   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
See original race card.
:231 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVVY LAYLA 7 1 4 1nk   1½ 1 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 45% 1.20 2.70 W
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 1 4 1½ 2nk   2½ 2 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 126 5.00 6.60  
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 4 5 31 4¼   42 3 (urieta jo)CORREA L 126 6.00 8.70  
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 5 2 7 6   6 4 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 2.50 3.80  
ZELIG 2 7 5 5   5 5 (johnson l)DIAZ I 126 3.50 15% 5.80 1.50  
UPTOWN GUY 3 3 2½ 3.2   32 6 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 17.80  
KEEN ON YOU 6 6 6 7   7 714¼ (cundiff waylon)MOJICA JR 126 8.00 11% 8.40 13.30  
 
MVR-3   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE TOY GUNS 3 4 3½ 2nk   1 1 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 50% 1.00 0.20 W
ORLEANS STORM 5 5 5 4   5 2 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 8.00 13.60  
CHECK THE FACTS 8 2 41 5   6 3 (kerr n)MOJICA JR 121 3.50 15% 5.50 11.50 S
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 1 6 75 6   43 410¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 ######  
ORVILLE B 7 1 1nk 3.2   2 512 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00 12% 7.70 5.80  
CHILTEPIN 4 3 2nk 1nk   3 613¾ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 121 4.00 7.90  
MUSIC GEM 2 8 86 8   810¼ 723¾ (figuero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 20.00 ######  
JOHN PHILIP 6 7 63 7   7 826¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
 
MVR-4   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITESSE 4 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 19% 4.30 1.60 W
EGG NOG 2 5 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 20.00 39.70  
MORE MUCHO 7 1 3 3   32 3½ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 8.00 6% 15.90 4.10 S
TESTED POSITIVE 6 3 5 6   44 4 (morzan)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 14.80  
PINKY TUSCADERO 3 8 43 43   5 5 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00 14% 6.40 6.00  
LA REINA DEL NORTE 1 7 7 84   6 6 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 5.00 5.70  
RIVERVIEW STEVIE 8 2 6 5   7 76 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 3.00 38% 1.70 4.30  
YEGUITA QUEEN 5 6 85 7   8 8 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00 11.50  
SCR  LELAWALA               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   10/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:244 :474 1:123 1:262   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMBLE STRIP RON 7 6 74 8 7 4 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 9.00  
GOING IN STYLE 9 10 8 4 2½ 2 2¼ (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 20.00 12.80  
EXONERATED PREZ 2 1 1½ 2nk 31 33 3 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 38% 1.60 15.10 S
FIRST SONG 4 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 1 42 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 3.10  
10  MASTER OF WAR 10 8 9 108 10 88 53 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 4.50 4.70  
SUSIE'S KID 1 3 63 6 65 67 6 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 24% 3.20 11.30  
ROMANTIC COWBOY 3 4 3½ 3 5 55 7 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
BLUNDER 5 9 108 98 8 7 8 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 20.00 32.00  
PATIO PARTY 8 7 5 5 44 98 912 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 7% 13.40 5.00  
KING OF TRUTH 6 5 42 73 9 1011½ 1016¼ (adams l)HESS SARA 119 20.00 5% 19.00 71.70  
 
MVR-6   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:22 :454       1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER THE HILLS 3 8 7 5   2nk 1 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 8% 12.20 5.00 W
ENERGIZER 8 1 2 2½   1nk 2 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 68% 0.50 2.70 P
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN 9 4 3 33   4 311 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 7.10  
CUGINE 1 10 89 8   7 411 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 22.00  
HAPPILEA 6 2 6 7   8 512¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 6.60  
MASTER 4 6 1 1½   33 614¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 75.80  
SMOKEY LEE 7 9 913 1011¾   1010¾ 716¼ (cundiff w)CORREA L 124 12.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
GINS AND TINS 2 7 5 65   6 817¼ (weaver cassondr)FELICIANO R 124 5.00 14.80  
10  RACARINO 10 5 44 4   5 917¾ (melancon paul)BRACHO A 124 15.00 4.60  
MUNI MUNI SLEW 5 3 1013½ 911½   9 1018¾ (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 3.90  
 
MVR-7   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOR BEARER 2 5 111 1   1 16 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 121 3.00 46% 1.20 3.70 W
WAR ON THE RIVER 7 2 312½ 2   2 26 (flores christi)DIAZ I 121 4.50 13% 6.50 14.90 P
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 1 8 615 68   58 37 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00 5.40  
INDY CARR 4 6 513½ 56   4 4 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 5.70  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 3 3 413½ 32   34 59 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 121 20.00 5% 19.00 65.30  
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 8 1 816¼ 7   69 612¼ (weaver cassond)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 0.90  
NOSEY POWER 5 7 716 89   810½ 713 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 25.00  
FACTUM'S PRIDE 6 4 211 4   710 818¾ (kerr n)PAUCAR E 123 6.00 15% 5.80 11.90  
SCR  PLAYING BALL               (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:00     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE NEST 1 6 12 1½   11 1 (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 26% 2.80 1.30 W
  (by TWINSPIRED out of WITHOUT A SOUND by THUNDER GULCH)
HARTSTEIN 5 3 22 2½   21 2 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 23% 3.40 6.90 P
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
MARQUITOS M 3 7 614 614   5 3 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 123 20.00 39.50  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
PRESSLEY RIDGE 4 5 56 47   46 4 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 123 1.60 29% 2.40 1.80  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BABY COLLETTE by PADDY O'PRADO)
NIKAO 2 4 3 3   3 5 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 15.00 22.30  
  (by ALWAYS WILDCATIN' out of MADAME ROYALE by LUHUK)
MY BUDDY MICAH 7 1 715 718   714 616¾ (doering mark)DIAZ I 123 15.00 19.80  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
FORMYBOYS 6 2 4 57   613½ 725 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00 3.80  
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
SCR  IPPOLITO'S WONDER               (casalinova ti)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
SCR  NO MAS CERVEZA               (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
  (by VAQUERO out of HOLY HAREM by HOLY BULL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.