The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - October 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $8.00 -6.00
MVR-2   Win (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
MVR-3   Win (3/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -5.60
MVR-4   Win (9/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
MVR-5   Win (2/1/8/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $20.00 -10.00
MVR-6   Win (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 6.00
MVR-7   Win (2/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
MVR-8   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
:233 :481 1:014     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGNELLO CITY 5 3 4 4   115 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 3.00  
SOMETHING ON TAP 4 4 3 31   325 (murillo-rodrig)HALDAR J 123 15.00 6% 16.40 9.10 P
MY HOMBRE 1 6 1½ 1nk   2310½ (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 45% 1.20 1.30 S
R CLIFFHANGER 2 5 2½ 2nk   4412¼ (melancon paul)BRACHO A 126 10.00 10.10  
WHY KENNY WHY 6 1 54 6   6515¼ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 5.50  
MY TICKET 7 2 78 710¼   7615½ (cline c)DIAZ I 126 6.00 24% 3.20 5.20  
BALU 3 7 6 5   5716 (morelos mateo)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 12.00 26.60  
SCR  FATHER FRANK               (haehn r)PAUCAR E 123 3.50    
SCR  RAISE YOU ONE               (doering mark)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
 
MVR-2   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
:231 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVVY LAYLA 7 1 4 1nk   1½ 1(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 45% 1.20 2.70 W
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 1 4 1½ 2nk   2½ 2(johnson l)FELICIANO R 126 5.00 6.60  
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 4 5 31 4¼   42 3(urieta joha)CORREA L 126 6.00 8.70  
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 5 2 7 6   64(zielinski richa)BRACHO A 126 2.50 3.80  
ZELIG 2 7 5 5   55(johnson l)DIAZ I 126 3.50 15% 5.80 1.50  
UPTOWN GUY 3 3 2½ 3.2   32 6(casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 17.80  
KEEN ON YOU 6 6 6 7   7714¼ (cundiff waylon)MOJICA JR 126 8.00 11% 8.40 13.30  
 
MVR-3   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
:233 :473 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE TOY GUNS 3 4 3½ 2nk   11(tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 50% 1.00 0.20 W
ORLEANS STORM 5 5 5 4   52(tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 8.00 13.60  
CHECK THE FACTS 8 2 41 5   63(kerr n)MOJICA JR 121 3.50 15% 5.50 11.50 S
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 1 6 75 6   43 410¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 ######  
ORVILLE B 7 1 1nk 3.2   2512 (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00 12% 7.70 5.80  
CHILTEPIN 4 3 2nk 1nk   3613¾ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 121 4.00 7.90  
MUSIC GEM 2 8 86 8   810¼ 723¾ (figueroa )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 20.00 ######  
JOHN PHILIP 6 7 63 7   7826¼ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
 
MVR-4   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
:231 :472 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITESSE 4 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 19% 4.30 1.60 W
EGG NOG 2 5 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 20.00 39.70  
MORE MUCHO 7 1 3 3   32 3½ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 124 8.00 6% 15.90 4.10 S
TESTED POSITIVE 6 3 5 6   44 4(morzan j)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 14.80  
PINKY TUSCADERO 3 8 43 43   55(smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00 14% 6.40 6.00  
LA REINA DEL NORTE 1 7 7 84   66(trevino stephen )DIAZ I 124 5.00 5.70  
RIVERVIEW STEVIE 8 2 6 5   776 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 3.00 38% 1.70 4.30  
YEGUITA QUEEN 5 6 85 7   88(urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00 11.50  
SCR  LELAWALA               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   10/24/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
:244 :474 1:123 1:262   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMBLE STRIP RON 7 6 74 8 7 41¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 9.00  
GOING IN STYLE 9 10 8 4 2½ 22¼ (bailey r)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 20.00 12.80  
EXONERATED PREZ 2 1 1½ 2nk 31 33 3(tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 38% 1.60 15.10 S
FIRST SONG 4 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 142 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 3.10  
10  MASTER OF WAR 10 8 9 108 10 88 53 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 4.50 4.70  
SUSIE'S KID 1 3 63 6 65 67 6(rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 24% 3.20 11.30  
ROMANTIC COWBOY 3 4 3½ 3 5 55 7(ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
BLUNDER 5 9 108 98 8 78(urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 20.00 32.00  
PATIO PARTY 8 7 5 5 44 98 912 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 7% 13.40 5.00  
KING OF TRUTH 6 5 42 73 9 1011½ 1016¼ (adams l)HESS SARA 119 20.00 5% 19.00 71.70  
 
MVR-6   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
:22 :454       1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER THE HILLS 3 8 7 5   2nk 1(pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 8% 12.20 5.00 W
ENERGIZER 8 1 2 2½   1nk 2(treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 68% 0.50 2.70 P
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN 9 4 3 33   4311 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00 7.10  
CUGINE 1 10 89 8   7411 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 22.00  
HAPPILEA 6 2 6 7   8512¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 6.60  
MASTER 4 6 1 1½   33 614¾ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 75.80  
SMOKEY LEE 7 9 913 1011¾   1010¾ 716¼ (cundiff way)CORREA L 124 12.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
GINS AND TINS 2 7 5 65   6817¼ (weaver cassondra)FELICIANO R 124 5.00 14.80  
10  RACARINO 10 5 44 4   5917¾ (melancon paul)BRACHO A 124 15.00 4.60  
MUNI MUNI SLEW 5 3 1013½ 911½   91018¾ (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 3.90  
 
MVR-7   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
:232 :471 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOR BEARER 2 5 111 1   116 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 121 3.00 46% 1.20 3.70 W
WAR ON THE RIVER 7 2 312½ 2   226 (flores christian)DIAZ I 121 4.50 13% 6.50 14.90 P
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 1 8 615 68   58 37 (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00 5.40  
INDY CARR 4 6 513½ 56   44(tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 5.70  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 3 3 413½ 32   34 59 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 121 20.00 5% 19.00 65.30  
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 8 1 816¼ 7   69 612¼ (weaver cassondra)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 0.90  
NOSEY POWER 5 7 716 89   810½ 713 (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 25.00  
FACTUM'S PRIDE 6 4 211 4   710 818¾ (kerr n)PAUCAR E 123 6.00 15% 5.80 11.90  
SCR  PLAYING BALL               (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
:223 :462 1:00     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE NEST 1 6 12 1½   11 1(zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 26% 2.80 1.30 W
HARTSTEIN 5 3 22 2½   21 2(atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 23% 3.40 6.90 P
MARQUITOS M 3 7 614 614   53(rettele richar)HALDAR J 123 20.00 39.50  
PRESSLEY RIDGE 4 5 56 47   46 4(pappada a)HOUGHTON D 123 1.60 29% 2.40 1.80  
NIKAO 2 4 3 3   35(vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 15.00 22.30  
MY BUDDY MICAH 7 1 715 718   714 616¾ (doering mark)DIAZ I 123 15.00 19.80  
FORMYBOYS 6 2 4 57   613½ 725 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00 3.80  
SCR  IPPOLITO'S WONDER               (casalinova tina)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
SCR  NO MAS CERVEZA               (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.