Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - October 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (1/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/4)-(1/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/4)-(1/9/4)-(1/9/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/9/4)-(7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/9/4)-(7/2/6)-(3/8/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(3/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(3/8/7/6)-(9/5/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/6)-(9/5/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/6)-(9/5/4/8)-(2/1/8/3/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (9/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/8)-(9/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/8)-(9/5/4/8)-(9/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/4/8)-(2/1/8/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4/8)-(2/1/8/3/6)-(8/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/1/8/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/3/6)-(2/1/8/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/3/6)-(2/1/8/3/6)-(2/1/8/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/8/3/6)-(8/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/3/6)-(8/3/7)-(2/7/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/7)-(8/3/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7)-(8/3/5/6/7)-(8/3/5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/7)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7)-(2/7/8/3)-(4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/3)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY HOMBRE Jul20 Jul05 Jun19 May25 May10 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
R CLIFFHANGER Oct06 Sep29       (melancon paul)BRACHO A 126 10.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of STORMY MAY by BAD STORM COMIN')
BALU Jun14         (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 12.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of WHAT A TWIT by UNBRIDLED MAN)
SOMETHING ON TAP Oct05 Sep14 Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 123 15.00 6% 16.40    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  RAISE YOU ONE Oct05 Aug28 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 (doering ma)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
SCR  FATHER FRANK Sep07 Aug19       (haehn r)PAUCAR E 123 3.50    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of HOLY HABIT by HOLY BULL)
AGNELLO CITY Oct05 Aug22 Jul26 Jun12 May25 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 3.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of HERE'S TO ROSE by MAGNA GRADUATE)
WHY KENNY WHY Oct05 Sep14 Aug28 Aug08 Jul20 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
MY TICKET Oct05 Sep14 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 (cline c)DIAZ I 126 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
 
MVR-2   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun07 May20 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 126 5.00    
ZELIG Sep28 Aug21 Jul12 Jun05 Jan09 (johnson l)DIAZ I 126 3.50 15% 5.80    
UPTOWN GUY Oct05 Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Jan28 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00    
UNIDENTIFIED MAN Sep28 Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 Jul03 (urieta jo)CORREA L 126 6.00    
JACK'S ADVANTAGE Oct02 Aug31 Aug03 Jul18 Jun27 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 2.50    
KEEN ON YOU Oct05 Sep27 Sep10 Aug18 Aug09 (cundiff waylon)MOJICA JR 126 8.00 11% 8.40    
SAVVY LAYLA Oct10 Sep27 Sep18 Aug22 Jul27 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-3   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GOSPEL OF MARK Sep28 Aug24 Jul27 Jul04 May31 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
MUSIC GEM Sep13 Aug30 Aug18 May31 Apr24 (figuero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 20.00    
LITTLE TOY GUNS Sep13 Aug30 Jul25 Jul04 Feb16 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
CHILTEPIN Oct02 Aug30 Aug12 Jul27 Jul05 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 121 4.00    
ORLEANS STORM Sep27 Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 Jul17 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
JOHN PHILIP Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 Aug22 Dec14 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
ORVILLE B Oct05 Sep14 Aug28 Jul05   (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00 12% 7.70    
CHECK THE FACTS Oct02 Sep07 Aug19     (kerr n)MOJICA JR 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-4   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA REINA DEL NORTE Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Oct18 Sep27 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
SCR  LELAWALA Oct01 Aug21 Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
EGG NOG Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Aug15 Jul18 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 124 20.00    
PINKY TUSCADERO Oct05 Sep22 Aug10 Jul05 Jun10 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00 14% 6.40    
MITESSE Sep14 Jul20 Jul03 May30 May10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
YEGUITA QUEEN Oct10 Sep28 Sep12 Aug31 Aug11 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00    
TESTED POSITIVE Oct10 Sep24 Aug31 Aug18 Jul29 (morzan)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00    
MORE MUCHO Oct03 Sep07 Aug14 Jul04 Jun10 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
RIVERVIEW STEVIE Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 Aug24 Jan11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 3.00 38% 1.70    
 
MVR-5   10/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSIE'S KID Oct06 Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
EXONERATED PREZ Oct02 Sep13 Aug22 Jul20 Jun12 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 38% 1.60    
ROMANTIC COWBOY Sep28 Aug26 Jun24 May11 Dec03 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST SONG Sep28 Aug26 Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
BLUNDER Jul26 Jul05 May29 May06 Mar06 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
KING OF TRUTH Sep28 Sep06 Jul29 Jul01 Sep05 (adams l)HESS SARA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUMBLE STRIP RON Oct09 Sep25 Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
PATIO PARTY Sep26 Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 Jun14 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 7% 13.40    
GOING IN STYLE Oct06 Sep26 Sep18 Aug20 Aug04 (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 20.00    
10  MASTER OF WAR Oct06 Sep18 Aug28 Aug03 Jul24 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 4.50    
 
MVR-6   10/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUGINE Oct04 Sep12 Aug17 Aug01 Jul11 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
GINS AND TINS Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 Aug09 Jul17 (weaver cassondr)FELICIANO R 124 5.00    
OVER THE HILLS Oct10 Sep17 Aug21 Jul31 Jun21 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 8% 12.20    
MASTER Sep27 Sep13 Aug31 Aug14 Jul27 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
MUNI MUNI SLEW Sep13 Aug12 Aug03 Jul14 Jun04 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
HAPPILEA Sep27 Aug16 Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
SMOKEY LEE Sep02 Aug11 Jul16 May31 Apr19 (cundiff w)CORREA L 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
ENERGIZER Sep04 Jul16 Jun11 May16 May08 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 68% 0.50    
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Oct07 Sep01 Jul16 Jul08 Jun23 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
10  RACARINO Sep22 Jul26 Jul09 May31 Apr16 (melancon paul)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Oct06 Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 Aug01 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00    
COLOR BEARER Oct02 Sep13 Aug30 Aug08 Jul20 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
LITTLE RONS ROCKET Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 Apr12 Mar14 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
INDY CARR Sep27 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Apr12 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 121 8.00    
SCR  PLAYING BALL Sep07 Aug30 Jul27 Jul13 Jul04 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 20.00    
NOSEY POWER Sep27 Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 Jul20 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
FACTUM'S PRIDE Sep29         (kerr n)PAUCAR E 123 6.00 15% 5.80    
WAR ON THE RIVER Oct02 Aug28 Aug08     (flores christi)DIAZ I 121 4.50 13% 6.50    
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Oct02 Aug30 Jul27 Dec30 Nov30 (weaver cassond)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00    
 
MVR-8   10/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE NEST         (zielinski richa)STANLEY O 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of WITHOUT A SOUND by THUNDER GULCH)
NIKAO Sep14 Aug31 Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
  (by ALWAYS WILDCATIN' out of MADAME ROYALE by LUHUK)
MARQUITOS M Sep21 Aug28 Aug08 Jul20   (rettele rich)HALDAR J 123 20.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
PRESSLEY RIDGE Sep14 Aug28       (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 123 1.60 29% 2.40    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BABY COLLETTE by PADDY O'PRADO)
HARTSTEIN         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
SCR  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Oct11 Jul05 Jun14 May25 May10 (casalinova ti)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
FORMYBOYS Oct05 Sep14       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
MY BUDDY MICAH Oct05 Sep14 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 (doering mark)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
SCR  NO MAS CERVEZA         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
  (by VAQUERO out of HOLY HAREM by HOLY BULL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.