Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $74.00  
TDN-2   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.60  
TDN-3   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-4   Win (5/3/4/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 0.80
TDN-5   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-6   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 1.40
TDN-7   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 5.20
TDN-8   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  QUARANTINA 4 4 42¾ 42   21½ 1½ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 36.00  
5  TAKE CHARGE CHLOE 5 1 2nk 11   11½ 2½ (skeens jeremy)MARCANO Y 118 2.00 18% 4.60 1.50 P
1  SHE'S REDNECKER 1 3 32½ 32   31½ 31¾ (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 121 1.80 39% 1.60 2.20 S
6  TYRONA 6 2 1nk 21   41¾ 42 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 2.40  
2  YEGUITA QUEEN 2 6 66¾ 66   65¾ 56¼ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 119 12.00 40.00  
3  LOFTHOUSE 3 5 52¾ 53   54¾ 69½ (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 11% 8.50 4.50  
 
TDN-2   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:144     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SERENDIPITOUS 2 3 11 1½ 11 13 13¾ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 3.30  
7  MARVIN'S EXPRESS 7 2 21 2½ 21 23 23¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 7.30  
4  KARAMEL CORN 4 6 52¾ 42 32½ 34½ 34 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 19% 4.40 1.30 S
6  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER 6 1 42½ 52¼ 43 55½ 45¾ (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 81.00  
5  DAWN'S LIGHT 5 5 64¾ 64¼ 67 66 56 (cowans william )BRACHO A 119 3.00 39% 1.60 6.70  
3  ACCURATE 3 4 32½ 32 54½ 44½ 69½ (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 4.90  
1  SAMMY DA BULL 1 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 16% 5.20 6.90  
 
TDN-3   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AFLEET O ME 4 6 32 22   22½ 12¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.00 32% 2.20 1.20 W
3  FAST AS FAST CAN B 3 4 12 12   12½ 22¼ (guidry terra)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 16% 5.30 4.70 P
5  YOU'RE OUT 5 1 43 34   34½ 33¼ (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 18% 4.50 1.90 S
6  KETTLE KING 6 3 66 54¼   47 44¾ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 11.60  
2  OXBOW'S RIDE 2 7 54½ 66¼   613 512 (patton luke)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 41.70  
1  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 1 5 22 44   511½ 612½ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 5.00 8.60  
7  THE GOSPEL OF MARK 7 2 712 713¼   724 721¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00 19.00  
 
TDN-4   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Catlaunch Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:114 1:394   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  RELISH THE RIDE 10 10 911 813½ 68 1nk 13½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 117 12.00 5% 19.00 4.40 W
4  EXCITEMENT 3 3 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 23½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 113 5.00 7% 14.30 5.80 P
7  FIRST SONG 6 1 21 2½ 2½ 3½ 34¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 117 4.50 6.80  
6  MANGA MAN 5 9 1012 1017½ 812 611½ 410¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 117 12.00 78.10  
3  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 2 4 32 34½ 34½ 47½ 515½ (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 13% 6.50 2.10  
9  DR. ZARNETT 8 6 74 46 58 510½ 620¼ (meyers shane)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 6.60  
5  ROMANTIC COWBOY 4 2 53½ 57 45 713 720¼ (mcdonald james)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 55% 0.80 3.00  
2  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 1 7 64 68 79 820 828¾ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 15.00 58.90  
8  VENTURE ON 7 8 87 79½ 912½ 927 933¾ (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 117 10.00 5% 19.00 36.60  
10  DANES HEART 9 5 42½ 916½ 1019½ 1036 1044½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 117 12.00 58.10  
SCR  RED HEAD KID               (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 117 15.00    
 
TDN-5   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KHALFANI 4 1 21½ 2nk   1nk 11 (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 15% 5.80 1.30 W
5  TUFF ATTACK 5 3 11½ 1nk   2nk 21 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 13.30 P
1  CALL WEST 1 6 612 57½   54½ 31 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 2.50 6.30  
2  UNIDENTIFIED MAN 2 4 43 42½   31½ 41¼ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 9.90  
3  UNCLEJACKOMO 3 5 510 68½   65½ 52½ (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 7.00  
6  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) 6 2 31½ 31½   42½ 63¼ (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 56% 0.80 1.70  
 
TDN-6   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MASAI MAN 4 3 32 21   2½ 12 (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 34% 1.90 1.70 W
4  OTIS OTIS OTIS 3 1 12 11   1½ 22 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 41% 1.40 1.30 P
6  HAGLER 5 2 45 44   33½ 32¾ (ginter raymond )BRACHO A 119 5.00 4.10  
1  MAKING ME CRAZY 1 5 58½ 59   510 48½ (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 12.00 11.50  
3  ZELIG 2 4 22 34   48 59¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 5.70  
SCR  HOLY SAINT               (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80    
 
TDN-7   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CITY SIGNS 3 2 21 1½   13½ 16¾ (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 15% 5.60 3.60 W
1  BAREFOOT BEACH 1 3 33 42½   23½ 26¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 2.50 48% 1.10 2.00 P
5  COSTUME JEWELRY 5 5 57½ 54   55 39½ (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 3.50  
4  SURE FIRE READY 4 4 46½ 32   44½ 410½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 2.40  
2  SCARLETT'S AWISH 2 1 11 2½   34½ 513 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 4.90  
SCR  CAN I GO TOO               (urieta johan)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50    
 
TDN-8   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STEALTH MODE 7 1 32½ 31½   3½ 11¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 14% 6.10 1.10 W
2  NEXT GENERATION 2 4 22½ 2½   1½ 21¼ (cowans william )BRACHO A 119 2.00 54% 0.80 2.50 P
4  SPICE ICE 4 7 78¾ 66½   43½ 35¾ (calderon ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00 18.90  
3  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 3 2 12½ 1½   2½ 47¼ (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00 4.70  
1  SUGAR LOVES IT 1 6 44½ 42½   54½ 58¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 112 3.00 5.20  
5  MAYBE FRANKY 5 5 54¾ 54   66 69¼ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 27.20  
6  BODE'S ROSE 6 3 67¾ 76½   710½ 713½ (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.