Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(5/4/1)-(4/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/5/3)-(5/3/4/11/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/3/4/11/8)-(6/4/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/3/4/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/11/8)-(5/3/4/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/11/8)-(5/3/4/11/8)-(5/3/4/11/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/11/8)-(6/4/5)-(4/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/5)-(1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(1/3)-(2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S REDNECKER Aug08 Jul18 Mar26 Feb25 Jan27 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 121 1.80 39% 1.60    
2  YEGUITA QUEEN Sep12 Aug31 Aug11 Apr14 Mar03 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
3  LOFTHOUSE Jul25 Jun09 Mar16 Feb12 Jan29 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 11% 8.50    
4  QUARANTINA Sep07 Aug22 Jul25 Jun21 Feb20 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  TAKE CHARGE CHLOE Sep04 Aug08 Jul27 Jul29 Jul13 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 118 2.00 18% 4.60    
6  TYRONA Sep04 Aug10 Jul03 Jun20 Jun07 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
 
TDN-2   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMMY DA BULL Sep07 Jul31 Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 16% 5.20    
2  SERENDIPITOUS Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jun21 Jun01 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
3  ACCURATE Sep20 Aug14 Jul18 Jun13 May24 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
4  KARAMEL CORN Sep07 Aug15 Aug03 Jul18 Jun07 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 19% 4.40    
5  DAWN'S LIGHT May06 Dec01 Nov12 Sep22   (cowans willia)BRACHO A 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Sep20 Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Nov12 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
7  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Aug29 Jul15 Jun07 May26 Mar21 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
 
TDN-3   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Sep18 Aug10 Jul19 Jun20 Jun06 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 5.00    
2  OXBOW'S RIDE Sep18 Aug24 Aug10 Jul10 Jun20 (patton luke)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00    
3  FAST AS FAST CAN B Sep18 Jul27 Jul06 Apr25 Mar21 (guidry ter)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 16% 5.30    
4  AFLEET O ME Sep18 Aug24 Aug10 Jul17 Jun20 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.00 32% 2.20    
5  YOU'RE OUT Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 Jul06 Jun02 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
6  KETTLE KING Sep18 Aug24 Jul10 Jun20 Dec01 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00    
7  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Aug24 Jul27 Jul04 May31 Apr12 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00    
 
TDN-4   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Catlaunch Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED HEAD KID Sep13 Aug26 Aug11 Jan26 Jan12 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 117 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COMPLIMENT TREE by FLATTER)
2  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Aug28 Jul31 Jul18 Jul05 Jun24 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 15.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of FLY GOLD AIR by TACTICAL ADVANTAGE)
3  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Aug07 Jul10 Jun15 May06 Dec03 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
4  EXCITEMENT Aug26 Aug10 Jul22 Jun14 Nov30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 113 5.00 7% 14.30    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
5  ROMANTIC COWBOY Aug26 Jun24 May11 Dec03 Oct31 (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 55% 0.80    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOVER by LOUIS QUATORZE)
6  MANGA MAN Jul31 Jul11 May23 May08 Jan11 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 117 12.00    
  (by KINGSHIP out of SLIGO KNOWS by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
7  FIRST SONG Aug26 Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 May31 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 117 4.50    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MINI MOSTEST by ATTICUS)
8  VENTURE ON Jun24 May23 Mar21 Dec14 Nov15 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ADDED EDGE out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
9  DR. ZARNETT Sep14 Aug26 Aug03 Jun24 May24 (meyers sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ENGLATERRA by JOHANNESBURG)
10  DANES HEART Sep13 Aug30 Jul27 Jul04 Jun14 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 117 12.00    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of HOPEFUL HEART by LOST SOLDIER)
11  RELISH THE RIDE Sep13 Aug26 Jun24 May31 May06 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of CRYPTOS' BEST by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
 
TDN-5   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL WEST Aug30 Aug17 Jul31 Jun24 Jun07 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 2.50    
2  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 Jul03 Jun24 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00    
3  UNCLEJACKOMO Sep13 Jul27 Jul10 Jun10 May30 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
4  KHALFANI Sep14 Aug30 Aug08 Jul03 Jun10 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 15% 5.80    
5  TUFF ATTACK Aug30 Aug08 Jul20 Jul03 Jun10 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Aug17 Jul26 Jul06 Jun06 May22 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 56% 0.80    
 
TDN-6   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKING ME CRAZY Sep13 Apr25 Mar28 Mar09 Feb20 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
SCR  HOLY SAINT Sep07 Aug21 Aug03 Jul03 Jun15 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80    
3  ZELIG Aug21 Jul12 Jun05 Jan09 Nov28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
4  OTIS OTIS OTIS Sep07 Aug21 Jul26 Jul04 Jun05 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  MASAI MAN Sep15 Sep03 Aug08 Jul16 Jul04 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 34% 1.90    
6  HAGLER Sep14 Aug25 Aug18 Aug05 Jul27 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
 
TDN-7   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREFOOT BEACH Sep07 Aug14 Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  SCARLETT'S AWISH May24 May03 Apr13 Dec30 Dec13 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00    
3  CITY SIGNS Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 Jun06 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
4  SURE FIRE READY Sep07 Aug15 Jul17 Jun27 May23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00    
5  COSTUME JEWELRY Sep07 Aug14 Jul26 May25 May16 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
SCR  CAN I GO TOO Aug14 Jul24 Jul04 Jun13 May25 (urieta joh)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50    
 
TDN-8   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR LOVES IT Aug28 Aug02 Jun20 Jun01 May15 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 112 3.00    
2  NEXT GENERATION Aug28 Jul07 Jun17 Sep12 Aug10 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 119 2.00 54% 0.80    
3  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS May25 May10 Apr27 Mar23 Jan31 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00    
4  SPICE ICE Aug28 Aug14 Jul05 Jun19 Jun02 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
5  MAYBE FRANKY Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul07 Jun17 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
6  BODE'S ROSE Mar02 Jan03 Nov28 Oct26 Oct05 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  STEALTH MODE Sep04 Aug03 Jul04 Jun05 May25 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.