Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $9.20 $3.20 53%
TDN-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    DD (2/5/7)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $15.80 $9.80 163%
TDN-3   PK3 (2/5/7)-(4/3)-(5/8/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00  5-3-8 $47.90 $29.90 166%
TDN-4   PK3 (4/3)-(5/8/4)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-8-4 $23.20 $5.20 29%
    PK4 (2/5/7)-(4/3)-(5/8/4)-(4/1/5) 54 $0.50 $27.00  5-3-8-4 $59.10 $32.10 119%
TDN-5   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $13.60 $7.60 127%
TDN-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $4.80 $0.80 20%
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  5-3 $3.30 $1.30 65%
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/2/6)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-2-5 $19.80 $1.80 10%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY BEAU   (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 16% 5.30 3.60 W
FALL CAMPAIGN   (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 2.80  
VAVITE   (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 15% 5.80 3.80 S
SKY   (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 4.50 4.60  
DANZING CHICK   (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 12.00 10.90  
PEARLINTHEROUGH   (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.00 35% 1.80 3.00  
DREAM TO WIN   (brown glenroy)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00 27.00  
 
TDN-2   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROSPECTIVE FORUM   (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 13% 6.50 1.80 W
PRINCESS HALIME   (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 1.80  
BLUSHING BETTY   (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 57% 0.70 1.40 S
JEN'S BATTLE   (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 8.00 15.90  
CEVICHE   (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 5.00 18.70  
 
TDN-3   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC MO   (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 36% 1.80 1.50 W
SPIN DOCTOR   (londono odin)HALDAR J 121 3.50 37% 1.70 1.90 P
JOES A ROCKIN   (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 ######  
MUSTANG WILLIE   (roque elis)PANAIJO JORGE 119 5.00 23.50  
THE MAN CAN   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 32.10  
ACCURATE   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 2.80  
NOTHINLASTSFOREVER   (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 70.20  
FU ROO   (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
TRAITOR AMONGST US   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 11.60  
 
TDN-4   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLA   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 2.00 48% 1.10 0.70 W
HONORABLE WOMAN   (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 8.00 10.80  
IMMORTALLOVE   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 115 3.50 24% 3.10 2.00 S
MISS EASY   (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 3.00 4.80  
COROMANDEL   (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 31.40  
CHARLOTTES WAY   (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 25.70  
 
TDN-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALK   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 15% 5.60 2.60 W
MISTERCHILLIWILLI   (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 4.50 12% 7.50 2.90 P
NAPA DUDE   (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 117 8.00 40.40  
FLAWLESS CAT   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 2.50 44% 1.30 0.80  
FEVER DREAM   (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 12.00 41.20  
MARSICO   (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 8.20  
 
TDN-6   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANGORITA   (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 2.00 18% 4.60 1.40 W
BELLAVALENCIA   (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.60 46% 1.20 0.90 P
ANGEL'S DESTINY   (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.50 3.60  
PRECISION PRADO   (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 12.20  
SCR  DANCING FOR MONEY   (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 2.50    
 
TDN-7   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALENDULA   (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 24% 3.20 0.80 W
OPULENT WAYS   (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 35% 1.80 2.00 P
COURTED   (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 28.20  
MANHATTAN LADY   (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 11.70  
SWEET BELEN   (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 19% 4.30 8.70  
NO SNIVELING   (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 6.70  
 
TDN-8   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE IN A FLASH   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 4.70  
CASUAL ATTIRE   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.50 23% 3.30 6.00 P
NEED TO KNOW BASIS   (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.80 31% 2.30 1.40 S
INTO GOLD   (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.00 16% 5.40 3.10  
BLAZING BURROUGHS   (dillion jimmy)PANAIJO JORGE 119 12.00 18.00  
CONDEMNATION   (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 3.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.