Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $9.20 $3.20 53%
TDN-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    DD (2/5/7)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $15.80 $9.80 163%
TDN-3   PK3 (2/5/7)-(4/3)-(5/8/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00  5-3-8 $47.90 $29.90 166%
TDN-4   PK3 (4/3)-(5/8/4)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-8-4 $23.20 $5.20 29%
    PK4 (2/5/7)-(4/3)-(5/8/4)-(4/1/5) 54 $0.50 $27.00  5-3-8-4 $59.10 $32.10 119%
TDN-5   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $13.60 $7.60 127%
TDN-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $4.80 $0.80 20%
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  5-3 $3.30 $1.30 65%
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/2/6)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-2-5 $19.80 $1.80 10%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :463 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAY BEAU 5 4 54¾ 44½   2½ 12 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 16% 5.30 3.60 W
3  FALL CAMPAIGN 3 5 22½ 23½   1½ 22 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 2.80  
7  VAVITE 7 2 66¼ 65¼   53½ 33½ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 15% 5.80 3.80 S
4  SKY 4 3 42¾ 33½   41½ 44½ (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 4.50 4.60  
1  DANZING CHICK 1 6 12½ 13½   3½ 55¾ (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 12.00 10.90  
2  PEARLINTHEROUGH 2 7 77¼ 77¼   76 67 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.00 35% 1.80 3.00  
6  DREAM TO WIN 6 1 32½ 54¾   64½ 78½ (brown glenroy)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00 27.00  
 
TDN-2   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PROSPECTIVE FORUM 3 3 11 12   12½ 13 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 13% 6.50 1.80 W
5  PRINCESS HALIME 5 1 31 32   32½ 23 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 1.80  
4  BLUSHING BETTY 4 2 21 22   22½ 35¾ (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 57% 0.70 1.40 S
1  JEN'S BATTLE 1 5 42 43½   44 46½ (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 8.00 15.90  
2  CEVICHE 2 4 54 55½   56½ 57 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 5.00 18.70  
 
TDN-3   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CLASSIC MO 8 1 12 13   16 13¼ (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 36% 1.80 1.50 W
5  SPIN DOCTOR 5 8 85¾ 54¼   26 23¼ (londono odin)HALDAR J 121 3.50 37% 1.70 1.90 P
1  JOES A ROCKIN 1 6 22 23   37 38¾ (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 ######  
9  MUSTANG WILLIE 9 2 64¼ 87   611 49 (roque elis)PANAIJO JORGE 119 5.00 23.50  
2  THE MAN CAN 2 7 32 33   49 511¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 32.10  
3  ACCURATE 3 4 42½ 43¼   510 612½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 2.80  
7  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER 7 3 54 76¾   712 714¾ (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 70.20  
4  FU ROO 4 5 74¾ 66¾   812½ 815¼ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
6  TRAITOR AMONGST US 6 9 97¾ 915   921½ 925 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 ★ 11.60  
 
TDN-4   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VIOLA 4 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 1¾ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 2.00 48% 1.10 0.70 W
2  HONORABLE WOMAN 2 5 31½ 32   31½ 2¾ (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 8.00 10.80  
1  IMMORTALLOVE 1 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 33 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 115 3.50 24% 3.10 2.00 S
3  MISS EASY 3 6 64½ 54¼   44 43¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 3.00 4.80  
5  COROMANDEL 5 2 53 64¾   55½ 59 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 31.40  
6  CHARLOTTES WAY 6 1 42 44   68 616 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 25.70  
 
TDN-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FALK 2 6 34 2½   2nk 12¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 15% 5.60 2.60 W
6  MISTERCHILLIWILLI 6 2 12 1½   1nk 22¼ (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 4.50 12% 7.50 2.90 P
5  NAPA DUDE 5 3 69 57½   45½ 34¼ (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 117 8.00 40.40  
1  FLAWLESS CAT 1 5 22 31   34 49 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 2.50 44% 1.30 0.80  
4  FEVER DREAM 4 1 44 45   55¾ 59 (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 12.00 41.20  
3  MARSICO 3 4 57 68½   610¼ 624½ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 8.20  
 
TDN-6   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:144     1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MANGORITA 4 2 22½ 32 2nk 1nk 13¼ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 2.00 18% 4.60 1.40 W
3  BELLAVALENCIA 2 3 33 21½ 1nk 2nk 23¼ (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.60 46% 1.20 0.90 P
4  ANGEL'S DESTINY 3 4 48 47½ 46½ 35 34¼ (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.50 3.60  
2  PRECISION PRADO 1 1 12½ 11½ 35½ 415 431¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 12.20  
SCR  DANCING FOR MONEY               (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 2.50    
 
TDN-7   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:124     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CALENDULA 5 2 1nk 11 2nk 2nk 1nk (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 24% 3.20 0.80 W
2  OPULENT WAYS 2 5 2nk 21 1nk 1nk 2nk (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 35% 1.80 2.00 P
6  COURTED 6 4 67¾ 59 46 35 37½ (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 28.20  
1  MANHATTAN LADY 1 1 55¾ 611 612¼ 511 414¾ (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00 11.70  
4  SWEET BELEN 4 6 41¾ 33 34½ 48½ 516¾ (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 19% 4.30 8.70  
3  NO SNIVELING 3 3 31½ 47 512 613 617¾ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 6.70  
 
TDN-8   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:13     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GONE IN A FLASH 6 1 11 11 11½ 12½ 15½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 4.70  
1  CASUAL ATTIRE 1 2 42½ 43 21½ 22½ 25½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.50 23% 3.30 6.00 P
3  NEED TO KNOW BASIS 3 3 53 53½ 52¾ 55 38 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.80 31% 2.30 1.40 S
5  INTO GOLD 5 5 31½ 31½ 41¾ 44½ 49½ (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.00 16% 5.40 3.10  
4  BLAZING BURROUGHS 4 6 64 64 63¼ 65½ 510¼ (dillion jimmy)PANAIJO JORGE 119 12.00 18.00  
2  CONDEMNATION 2 4 21 21 31½ 34½ 610¾ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 3.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.