Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(4/3)-(5/8/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5/8/4)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/4)-(5/8/6/4)-(5/8/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4)-(4/1/5)-(1/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/2/6)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(3/5)-(2/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/5/4)-(3/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZING CHICK Sep06 Jul03 Jun10 May29 May10 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 12.00    
2  PEARLINTHEROUGH Jun21 Apr30 Apr07 Mar05 Aug14 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
3  FALL CAMPAIGN Sep06 Aug14 Jun26 Jun12 May16 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 3.50    
4  SKY Sep06 Aug07 Jul20 Jun21 Apr10 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
5  MAY BEAU Sep06 Aug14 Jul20 Jul03 Jun21 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
6  DREAM TO WIN Sep06 Jul20 Jul03 Jun14 May23 (brown glenroy)GUERERE ANGEL 119 15.00    
7  VAVITE Sep06 Aug24 Aug07 Jul18 Jul04 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
TDN-2   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEN'S BATTLE Sep06 Aug17 Oct20 Sep23 Sep18 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
2  CEVICHE Aug29 Aug02 Jul25 May30 May09 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 5.00    
3  PROSPECTIVE FORUM Aug17 Jul25 Jun19 May30 Oct11 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 13% 6.50    
4  BLUSHING BETTY Aug29 Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 May30 (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 57% 0.70    
5  PRINCESS HALIME Sep05 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 May31 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00    
 
TDN-3   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOES A ROCKIN Jun07 May08 Apr06 Mar23 Feb21 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
2  THE MAN CAN Sep04 Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
3  ACCURATE Aug14 Jul18 Jun13 May24 May03 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
4  FU ROO Aug24 Aug09 Jul18 Dec12 Nov22 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPIN DOCTOR Sep04 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (londono odin)HALDAR J 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  TRAITOR AMONGST US May20 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 ★    
7  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Nov12 Oct14 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
8  CLASSIC MO Sep04 Aug03 Jun20 May31 May15 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 36% 1.80    
9  MUSTANG WILLIE Sep07 Aug23 Aug15 Aug03 Jul22 (roque elis)PANAIJO JORGE 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMMORTALLOVE Aug10 Apr12 Mar26     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 115 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  HONORABLE WOMAN Sep05 Aug01 Jun17     (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 8.00    
3  MISS EASY Sep05 Jul13 Jun20 May31 Nov01 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 3.00    
4  VIOLA Aug31 Aug13       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  COROMANDEL Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jun10 May25 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHARLOTTES WAY Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 May23 Apr15 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
 
TDN-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAWLESS CAT Sep06 Aug21 Jul26 Jun24 May29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  FALK Aug23 Jul11 May29 Apr21 Mar15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 15% 5.60    
3  MARSICO Aug30 Aug08 Jul31 Jul12 Mar18 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00    
4  FEVER DREAM Aug24 Aug08 Jul12 Jun21   (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
5  NAPA DUDE Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 Jun21 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 117 8.00    
6  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06   (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 115 4.50 12% 7.50    
 
TDN-6   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANCING FOR MONEY Aug07 Jun26 Jun14 May03 Mar01 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 2.50    
2  PRECISION PRADO Aug23 Jun12 Nov30 Nov02 Sep27 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
3  BELLAVALENCIA Aug21 Aug07 Jul20 Jun20 May25 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.60 46% 1.20    
4  ANGEL'S DESTINY Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 Jul18 Jul03 (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.50    
5  MANGORITA Aug08 Jul20 May06 Mar29 Mar21 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 2.00 18% 4.60    
 
TDN-7   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANHATTAN LADY Sep03 Aug23 Jul26 Jun18 May09 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 6.00    
2  OPULENT WAYS Aug23 Aug02 Jun14 May29 Oct11 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  NO SNIVELING Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
4  SWEET BELEN Aug29 Jul26 Jun20 Jun04 May23 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  CALENDULA Aug23 Aug02 Jun12 May22 Apr05 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 24% 3.20    
6  COURTED Aug29 Jul26 Jul17 Jun27 Jun06 (langley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASUAL ATTIRE Aug26 Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 Jun14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  CONDEMNATION Sep04 Aug09 Jul18 Jul06 Jun10 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
3  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Aug29 Jul13 Jun24 Jun02 May05 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.80 31% 2.30    
4  BLAZING BURROUGHS Aug26 Aug09 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 (dillion jimmy)PANAIJO JORGE 119 12.00    
5  INTO GOLD Aug24 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May23 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.00 16% 5.40    
6  GONE IN A FLASH Aug24 Aug09 Jun19 Jun01 Apr13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.