Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $9.00  
TDN-2   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-3   Win (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $12.00  
TDN-4   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TDN-5   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $18.20  
TDN-6   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-7   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $33.60  
TDN-8   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 3 2 3.2 1nk   1½ 1½ (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.50 3.50  
6  OUT MY DEAR 4 5 4¼ 3.2   2½ 2½ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 6.00 0.80  
2  RAINBOW SHIP 1 3 51¼ 53¼   3½ 31¼ (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 119 10.00 25% 3.10 4.30 S
7  DANCIN' ROSIE 5 1 2nk 41¼   54 47 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 4.40  
3  A SMILE A DAY 2 4 1nk 2nk   42½ 511¾ (crumley jevon)MARCANO Y 114 12.00 20% 4.00 8.70  
SCR  EXACTITUDE               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.50    
SCR  LEXY ANNA               (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-2   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHANNEL FURY 3 3 22 21   11½ 13¼ (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 4.00 12% 7.50 1.20 W
1  WILLISTON WAY 1 6 43½ 43   42½ 23¼ (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50 65% 0.50 1.50 P
6  LAKE RADIO 5 2 54 53   32½ 33¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 8.00  
5  GOOD ON YA 4 5 33 32   52¾ 43¾ (londono j)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 13.70  
2  AYE AYE SIR 2 1 12 11   21½ 510¾ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
7  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK 6 4 64 64½   66¾ 611½ (lauer michael)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 5.40  
SCR  FREE SAILIN               (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
 
TDN-3   09/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SKIDSTREAM 6 2 2nk 1nk 12 14 11¼ (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 5.00  
1  OWN THE TOWN 1 4 45½ 45 33½ 34 21¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 37% 1.70 1.90 P
4  CANDY CRUSHEM 4 7 35 34 22 24 32 (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 6% 14.70 1.90 S
7  GILES 7 1 58 57 56 58 47½ (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50 22% 3.60 4.70  
5  YOUVESAIDITALL 5 6 78¾ 78¼ 45½ 47 57¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.50 14% 6.20 10.20  
8  GEH SCHNELL 8 5 68¼ 68 66½ 610 611 (manning richard )HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 51.20  
2  RAMIRIN 2 8 810¼ 811¾ 89½ 715 723½ (lopez jacin)HERNANDEZ H 118 12.00 53.90  
3  EL SICARIO 3 3 1nk 2nk 76½ 819 832½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 12.50  
 
TDN-4   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FAVORABLE RETURN 3 5 1½ 11   12½ 14½ (skeens jeremy)MARCANO Y 118 2.00 54% 0.80 1.50 W
5  SERGEANT COUNTZLER 5 1 53 53½   34 24½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.00 9% 10.00 1.80 P
2  MOTOWN COLLECTION 2 4 42½ 43½   22½ 34½ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 7.70  
6  TWELVE MINUS ONE 6 3 2½ 21   44½ 49 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 13.40  
4  STREET TRAFFIC 4 2 3½ 32½   56 512¼ (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 6.90  
7  ACESKINGSANQUEENS 7 7 68 67½   610 613 (ott betty )FERNANDEZ R 123 20.00 70.40  
1  LEFTLANEOUTLAW 1 6 710½ 713½   725 750¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 15% 5.50 6.10  
 
TDN-5   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRIVATE DRIVE 5 1 31 31   3.2 11 (guidry terra)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.00 8.10  
3  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 3 2 2½ 2½   2nk 21 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 20% 4.00 1.80 P
6  MA MOO POWER 6 5 59½ 59   53¾ 35½ (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00 43.10  
2  STONE COLD CAT 2 6 69½ 69½   63¾ 45¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50 9.10  
1  ROYAL'D 1 3 1½ 1½   1nk 57 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 58% 0.70 0.70  
4  ATTACK ANGLE 4 4 45½ 46½   42¾ 67¾ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 121 10.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
 
TDN-6   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 4 1 42¾ 42½   1½ 14¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.00 60% 0.70 0.70 W
6  DANCE DRAMA 6 4 2nk 1½   2½ 24¾ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 117 2.50 18% 4.60 1.70 P
3  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 3 3 3.2 3½   3½ 34¾ (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60 S
1  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 1 5 53¼ 54½   43½ 47½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 6.20  
5  ANGEL'S DESTINY 5 6 65¾ 65   67¼ 514¾ (flores israel)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00 42.80  
2  GHOSTLY REVIVAL 2 2 1nk 2½   53¾ 617½ (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 117 4.50 22.00  
 
TDN-7   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SARAH JANE 4 2 21 2nk   2nk 1¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00 15.80  
6  BOOGIE BOOGEE 5 1 11 1nk   1nk 2¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 2.00 64% 0.60 0.20 P
4  CATABOUT 3 3 43½ 43½   44½ 33 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.80 S
2  BEAUTIFUL LASS 2 4 32½ 3½   33 45½ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 6.40  
1  NICEASAKITTENSEYES 1 5 54 54½   55 58¼ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 4.50  
SCR  FABULOUS CLOWN               (faulkner rodne)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50    
 
TDN-8   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WILDCAT EXPRESS 4 1 14 18   110 15 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 1.80 16% 5.10 1.20 W
2  TURNING PAGES 1 4 411½ 413½   310½ 25 (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 3.90  
6  WETZEL 5 2 24 28   210 310 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.50 2.80  
4  OHIO STRONG 3 3 37½ 39½   412 419¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 5.70  
3  JEBIP 2 5 525½ 538½   537 539¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 38% 1.60 5.00  
SCR  OKLAHOMA JOE               (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 115 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.