The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $9.00 -4.00
    Exacta (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 5-6 2 0 $10.60 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 5-6-2 3 0 $31.50 0.00
TDN-2   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
    Exacta (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1 2 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Trifecta (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1-6 3 0 $16.10 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/3)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-4 2 0 $18.50 -6.00
TDN-3   Win (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $12.00 -8.00
    Exacta (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-1 2 0 $17.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-1-4 3 0 $73.90 -24.00
    Pick Three (2/3)-(1/4/2)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-4-6 3 0 $105.20 -24.00
TDN-4   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -1.00
    Exacta (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5 2 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
    Trifecta (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5-2 3 0 $25.10 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/4/2)-(1/7/5/4)-(3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 4-6-3 3 0 $59.00 -36.00
TDN-5   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $18.20 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-3 2 0 $23.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-3-6 3 0 $230.40 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/7/5/4)-(3/1/5)-(1/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 6-3-5 3 0 $127.50 -36.00
TDN-6   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Exacta (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-6 2 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Trifecta (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-6-3 3 1 $11.30 $11.30 5.30
    Pick Three (3/1/5)-(1/3/4)-(4/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 3-5-4 3 0 $63.30 -27.00
TDN-7   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $33.60 -4.00
    Exacta (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 5-6 2 0 $33.10 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 5-6-4 3 0 $112.20 0.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4)-(4/6/3)-(6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 5-4-5 3 0 $239.80 -18.00
TDN-8   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
    Exacta (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 5-2 2 0 $9.10 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 5-2-6 3 0 $21.00 0.00
    Daily Double (6/4)-(3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 5-5 2 0 $48.90 -4.00
    Pick Three (4/6/3)-(6/4)-(3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-5-5 3 0 $165.20 -12.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:224 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 3 2 3.2 1nk   1½ 1½ (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.50 3.50  
OUT MY DEAR 4 5 4¼ 3.2   2½ 2½ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 6.00 0.80  
RAINBOW SHIP 1 3 5 5   3½ 3(mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 119 10.00 25% 3.10 4.30 S
DANCIN' ROSIE 5 1 2nk 4   54 47 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 4.40  
A SMILE A DAY 2 4 1nk 2nk   4511¾ (crumley jevon)MARCANO Y 114 12.00 20% 4.00 8.70  
SCR  EXACTITUDE               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.50    
SCR  LEXY ANNA               (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-2   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:214 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANNEL FURY 3 3 22 21   11(jackson r)RIVERA R 121 4.00 12% 7.50 1.20 W
WILLISTON WAY 1 6 4 43   42(acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50 65% 0.50 1.50 P
LAKE RADIO 5 2 54 53   33(puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 8.00  
GOOD ON YA 4 5 33 32   54(londono j)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 13.70  
AYE AYE SIR 2 1 12 11   2510¾ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK 6 4 64 6   6611½ (lauer michael)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 5.40  
SCR  FREE SAILIN               (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
 
TDN-3   09/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
:241 :482 1:133     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIDSTREAM 6 2 2nk 1nk 12 14 1(faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 5.00  
OWN THE TOWN 1 4 4 45 3 34 2(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 37% 1.70 1.90 P
CANDY CRUSHEM 4 7 35 34 22 24 32 (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 6% 14.70 1.90 S
GILES 7 1 58 57 56 58 4(cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50 22% 3.60 4.70  
YOUVESAIDITALL 5 6 7 7 4 47 5(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.50 14% 6.20 10.20  
GEH SCHNELL 8 5 6 68 6 610 611 (manning richard )HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 51.20  
RAMIRIN 2 8 810¼ 811¾ 8 715 723½ (lopez jacin)HERNANDEZ H 118 12.00 53.90  
EL SICARIO 3 3 1nk 2nk 7 819 832½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 12.50  
 
TDN-4   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:231 :47 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAVORABLE RETURN 3 5 1½ 11   11(skeens jeremy)MARCANO Y 118 2.00 54% 0.80 1.50 W
SERGEANT COUNTZLER 5 1 53 5   34 2(meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.00 9% 10.00 1.80 P
MOTOWN COLLECTION 2 4 4 4   23(rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 7.70  
TWELVE MINUS ONE 6 3 2½ 21   449 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 13.40  
STREET TRAFFIC 4 2 3½ 3   56 512¼ (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 6.90  
ACESKINGSANQUEENS 7 7 68 6   610 613 (ott betty )FERNANDEZ R 123 20.00 70.40  
LEFTLANEOUTLAW 1 6 710½ 713½   725 750¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 15% 5.50 6.10  
 
TDN-5   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
:221 :46 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE DRIVE 5 1 31 31   3.2 11 (guidry terra)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.00 8.10  
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 3 2 2½ 2½   2nk 21 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 20% 4.00 1.80 P
MA MOO POWER 6 5 5 59   53(hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00 43.10  
STONE COLD CAT 2 6 6 6   64(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50 9.10  
ROYAL'D 1 3 1½ 1½   1nk 57 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 58% 0.70 0.70  
ATTACK ANGLE 4 4 4 4   46(skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 121 10.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
 
TDN-6   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
:23 :47 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 4 1 4 4   1½ 1(rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.00 60% 0.70 0.70 W
DANCE DRAMA 6 4 2nk 1½   2½ 2(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 117 2.50 18% 4.60 1.70 P
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 3 3 3.2 3½   3½ 3(yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60 S
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 1 5 5 5   44(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 6.20  
ANGEL'S DESTINY 5 6 6 65   6514¾ (flores israel)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00 42.80  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 2 2 1nk 2½   5617½ (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 117 4.50 22.00  
 
TDN-7   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:224 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARAH JANE 4 2 21 2nk   2nk 1¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00 15.80  
BOOGIE BOOGEE 5 1 11 1nk   1nk 2¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 2.00 64% 0.60 0.20 P
CATABOUT 3 3 4 4   433 (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.80 S
BEAUTIFUL LASS 2 4 3 3½   33 4(morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 6.40  
NICEASAKITTENSEYES 1 5 54 5   55 5(atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 4.50  
SCR  FABULOUS CLOWN               (faulkner rodne)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50    
 
TDN-8   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
:221 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT EXPRESS 4 1 14 18   110 15 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 1.80 16% 5.10 1.20 W
TURNING PAGES 1 4 411½ 413½   310½ 25 (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 3.90  
WETZEL 5 2 24 28   210 310 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.50 2.80  
OHIO STRONG 3 3 3 3   412 419¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 5.70  
JEBIP 2 5 525½ 538½   537 539¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 38% 1.60 5.00  
SCR  OKLAHOMA JOE               (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 115 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.