Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - September 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/4/2)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/7/5/4)-(3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/4)-(3/1/5)-(1/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(1/3/4)-(4/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(4/6/3)-(6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/4)-(3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEXY ANNA Aug21 Jul17 Jun15 Jun01 May03 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00    
2  RAINBOW SHIP Aug21 Aug02 Jul17 Jun15 May20 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 10.00 25% 3.10    
3  A SMILE A DAY Aug17 Jun15 Jun02 May20 May10 (crumley jevo)MARCANO Y 114 12.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  EXACTITUDE Aug17 Jul24 Jun24 May24 May03 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.50    
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Aug21 Aug08 Jul17 Jun13 May23 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.50    
6  OUT MY DEAR Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 Dec30 Dec13 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
7  DANCIN' ROSIE Aug21 Jun06 May20 Apr27 Apr11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLISTON WAY Aug06 Jul17 Jun11 May16 Apr30 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.50 65% 0.50    
2  AYE AYE SIR Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 May30 Nov19 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FREE SAILIN May19 Apr22 Mar30 Feb23 Dec10 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
4  CHANNEL FURY Aug09 Jul17 Jun11 May30 May08 (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 4.00 12% 7.50    
5  GOOD ON YA Aug17 Jul19 Jul05 May23 Feb08 (londono j)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00    
6  LAKE RADIO Aug06 Jul17 Jun05 May23 Apr23 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
7  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Aug20 Jul05 Apr25 Apr01 Mar07 (lauer michael)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
 
TDN-3   09/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OWN THE TOWN Aug14 Jul27 Jul12 Jun13 May11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  RAMIRIN Jul27 Jul12 Jun14 May22 Dec14 (lopez jacinto)COTO OSVIN 118 12.00    
3  EL SICARIO Aug17 Jul27 May30 May17 Mar30 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
4  CANDY CRUSHEM Jul27 Jul11 Nov28 Nov08 Oct25 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 6% 14.70    
5  YOUVESAIDITALL Aug31 Aug14 Jul27 Jul12 Jun24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.50 14% 6.20    
6  SKIDSTREAM Aug31 Aug16 May23 Mar14 Mar01 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
7  GILES Aug24 Aug03 Jul10 Jun24 May24 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
8  GEH SCHNELL Jul27 Jul03 Jun24 Jun13 May16 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
 
TDN-4   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEFTLANEOUTLAW         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 15% 5.50    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of BELLE'S CACHET by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
2  MOTOWN COLLECTION Aug23 Jul31 Feb14 Dec30 Dec07 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
3  FAVORABLE RETURN Jul18 May25 May15 Apr27   (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 118 2.00 54% 0.80    
  (by CUPID out of PROFIT GIRL by GENERAL MEETING)
4  STREET TRAFFIC Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 Jun27 Jun20 (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 2.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Jun10 May18 Feb04 Nov03 May12 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.00 9% 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MONDAYMORNINGBLUES by MORNING LINE)
6  TWELVE MINUS ONE Aug23 Aug07 Jul25 Jul10 Jun19 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  ACESKINGSANQUEENS Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun20 (ott bett)FERNANDEZ R 123 20.00    
  (by BRAHMS out of HAYES by ZIGIANTE)
 
TDN-5   09/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL'D Aug09 Jul18 Jun15 May24 Dec03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 58% 0.70    
2  STONE COLD CAT Aug21 Aug12 Jul11 May15 Apr27 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
3  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Jul10 Jun20 Jun07 May15 Dec20 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  ATTACK ANGLE Aug02 Jul12 Jun26 Jan12   (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRIVATE DRIVE Aug21 May16 May09 Apr25 Mar22 (guidry ter)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.00    
6  MA MOO POWER Aug21 May20 Nov22 Nov10 Oct31 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
 
TDN-6   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Aug22 Jul19 Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
2  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 Jul09 Jun10 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 117 4.50    
3  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jun05 May16 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Jul24 Mar30 Mar08 Feb20 Jan16 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.00 60% 0.70    
5  ANGEL'S DESTINY Aug29 Aug09 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00    
6  DANCE DRAMA Aug09 Jul25 Jun01     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 117 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
TDN-7   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICEASAKITTENSEYES Aug01 Jul17 Jul06 Jun15 May30 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
2  BEAUTIFUL LASS Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50    
SCR  FABULOUS CLOWN Aug29 Aug10 Aug02 Jun12 May06 (faulkner rod)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50    
4  CATABOUT Aug17 Jul13 Jun26 Jun06 May13 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SARAH JANE Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 Jul14 Jun19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
6  BOOGIE BOOGEE Aug16 Jul19 Jun19 May20 Apr26 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
TDN-8   09/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OKLAHOMA JOE Aug10 Jul22 Jun27 May26 Dec30 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 115 6.00    
2  TURNING PAGES Aug12 Jul12 Jun15 May16 Apr04 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00    
3  JEBIP Apr13 Apr03 Feb28 Feb01 Jan05 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  OHIO STRONG Feb01 Dec19 Dec01 Nov01 Oct13 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
5  WILDCAT EXPRESS Aug14 Jul27 Jun20 May20 May08 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 1.80 16% 5.10    
6  WETZEL Aug23 Aug12 Jul27 Jun27 Jun02 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.