Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-3   EXA (7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $15.40 $3.40 28%
TDN-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $6.00 $2.00 50%
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-2 $6.00 $4.00 200%
TDN-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.20 $1.20 30%
TDN-8   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $6.00 $2.00 50%
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  3-5 $4.90 $2.90 145%
    DD (3/2)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00  3-3 $12.20 $8.20 205%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JOSH'N 5 3 2½ 1½   13 11¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 12.00 2.40  
3  AFLEET O ME 3 7 75 65¾   34 21¾ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50 15% 5.90 2.80 P
1  GOOD MUSIC 1 8 31½ 32   23 32½ (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 8% 11.70 4.00 S
6  KETTLE KING 6 4 85½ 87¼   66½ 48 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 119 10.00 16.50  
7  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 7 5 43 42   56 59½ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 8.00 22.30  
8  OXBOW'S RIDE 8 1 65 75¾   77 611 (patton luke)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 41.20  
2  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 2 6 54½ 55½   87¼ 711¼ (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 115 4.50 37% 1.70 16.00  
4  FAST AS FAST CAN B 4 2 1½ 2½   44 812¼ (guidry ter)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 19% 4.20 2.30  
 
TDN-2   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:133     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 4 7 74¼ 62¾ 31 11½ 12¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 2.70  
3  R CARDINAL PRINCE 3 5 4¾ 2½ 52¾ 21½ 22¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 2.40  
1  LEMON DROP SHOT 1 4 2½ 3½ 42½ 31½ 34 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 20% 4.10 4.70 S
2  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 51¾ 44¾ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 8.00 14.30  
5  CYCLONE 5 6 52¼ 51¾ 64¾ 63¼ 55¼ (puhl kim)DIAZ I 119 6.00 8% 12.30 4.60  
7  CENTSOFWANDER 7 2 62¾ 41½ 2nk 41¾ 67 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 44% 1.30 3.60  
6  GRAND DEAL 6 3 3½ 73¼ 711¾ 712¼ 720 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 119 20.00 38.10  
SCR  RED COMET               (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 12.00    
 
TDN-3   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:124     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RAVEN MOON 4 1 44½ 34 32 2½ 1½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 24% 3.10 2.30 W
1  MUGSY MALONE 1 5 11½ 11 12 1½ 2½ (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 13% 6.70 4.30 P
6  MASTER OF WAR 6 8 65 44½ 45 33 32¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 5.00 7.40  
3  DISTORTED LIMITS 3 4 54½ 65½ 55¼ 43½ 43½ (galloway khad)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 14% 6.20 6.30  
8  DECEITFUL 8 3 76½ 76½ 65¾ 53½ 54 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 2.60  
7  SAMMY'S SMILE 7 2 86¾ 810½ 810¼ 78 610 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.50 24% 3.10 7.10  
5  GOING IN STYLE 5 7 21½ 21 22 66½ 716¼ (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 115 10.00 20.10  
2  ST. LUKES 2 6 33 54½ 76¼ 813 8100 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 15.00 31.50  
 
TDN-4   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TWERK 4 1 43 45   2nk 12¾ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 19% 4.40 2.00 W
2  CLIFTONS BALLERINA 2 4 12 13   1nk 22¾ (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 119 1.60 36% 1.70 1.00 P
5  LADY FORTUNE 5 2 33 33   32½ 32¾ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 6.00  
1  APPEALING SENORITA 1 5 22 23   43½ 46 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 3.00 3.70  
3  SOLE FACTOR 3 3 57 510   59½ 514¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 17.90  
 
TDN-5   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MON CAMO 2 2 1½ 12½   13½ 15¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 43% 1.30 0.70 W
4  VENETIAN DREAM 4 4 2½ 22½   23½ 25¼ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 12.70  
8  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 8 3 51¾ 43   33½ 36 (du)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 16.20  
6  LAZARUS PROJECT 6 6 62¾ 64½   56 47¾ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 9.30  
1  MONTAUK COVE 1 8 41½ 32½   45 59 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 119 5.00 10% 9.40 8.50  
7  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 7 7 75¼ 75½   77½ 610¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 116 6.00 15% 5.60 3.60  
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 3 1 31½ 54   67 710¾ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00 9% 9.90 21.30  
5  EXALTED JOY 5 5 86¼ 87½   88½ 812½ (vecchio caryn)BRACHO A 119 12.00 17.70  
 
TDN-6   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:121     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREEZY MONEY 1 1 12½ 11½ 14 19 111¼ (vecchio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 1.60  
2  BOURBON WISDOM 2 4 45½ 33 35 29 211¼ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 1.70  
4  AUGER 4 3 22½ 21½ 24 310 318½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00 35% 1.80 3.90 S
6  WAR NOVEL 5 2 33½ 43 45 413 420 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 16.70  
3  SEE SPOT RUN 3 5 516½ 515 518 525 530¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 37% 1.70 3.70  
SCR  THRU THE VINE               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50    
 
TDN-7   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:00     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WEEKEND BUZZ 3 4 43½ 33   1½ 12¼ (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.20 59% 0.70 1.60 W
1  OHIO PLAYER 1 3 11½ 13   2½ 22¼ (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60 0.80  
5  PLATE IT UP 5 1 33½ 44   35 34½ (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 5.20  
4  FOREIGN 4 2 21½ 23   48½ 415½ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 123 12.00 16.90  
2  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA 2 5 55½ 56½   59 516¾ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 9% 9.60 9.90  
 
TDN-8   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BEVERLY PARK 3 4 45 23   22 1¾ (ginter j)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 34% 2.00 2.00 W
5  UOTTALIKEIT 4 1 13 13   12 2¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 40% 1.50 0.60 P
6  IT'S OFFICIAL 5 3 35 34   34 36¼ (juarez lorenz)BRACHO A 119 10.00 20.90  
2  DUKE OF DARKNESS 2 2 23 46   48 414½ (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 6.00  
1  BISCUITS AND GRITS 1 5 55¼ 59   511 520½ (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 11.50  
SCR  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN               (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.