Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (7/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-5   Win (2/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-7   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-8   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD MUSIC Aug31 Jul31 Jul06 May29 May11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 3.00 8% 11.70    
2  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Aug30 Apr12 Mar14 Feb27 Jan12 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 115 4.50 37% 1.70    
3  AFLEET O ME Aug24 Aug10 Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50 15% 5.90    
4  FAST AS FAST CAN B Jul27 Jul06 Apr25 Mar21 Mar01 (guidry terra)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  JOSH'N Aug31 Aug09 Jul19 May11 Apr25 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
6  KETTLE KING Aug24 Jul10 Jun20 Dec01 Oct10 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
7  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Aug10 Jul19 Jun20 Jun06 May22 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 8.00    
8  OXBOW'S RIDE Aug24 Aug10 Jul10 Jun20 May20 (patton luke)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON DROP SHOT Aug20 Jun25 May29 May03 Mar31 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
2  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Dec05 Nov10 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
3  R CARDINAL PRINCE Aug28 Aug12 Aug03 Jul10 Jun24 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
4  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Aug24 Jul26 Jul05 Jun05 Apr26 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00    
5  CYCLONE Aug28 Aug03 Jul10 Jun24 Jun05 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 119 6.00 8% 12.30    
6  GRAND DEAL Aug17 Jul31 Jul19 Jun15 May30 (schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 20.00    
7  CENTSOFWANDER Aug28 Aug03 Jul10 May30 Apr27 (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  RED COMET Sep07 Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 Jul13 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 12.00    
 
TDN-3   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUGSY MALONE Aug28 Aug07 Jul18 Jun10 Jun02 (meyers shane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
2  ST. LUKES Aug17 Jul24 Oct24 Oct11   (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 15.00    
3  DISTORTED LIMITS Aug28 Jul18 Jul05 Jun13 Feb07 (galloway khadee)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 14% 6.20    
4  RAVEN MOON Aug24 Aug16 Jul22 Jul08 Jun02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  GOING IN STYLE Aug20 Aug04 Jul15 Jun01 May14 (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 115 10.00    
6  MASTER OF WAR Aug28 Aug03 Jul24 Jun24 Jun13 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 5.00    
7  SAMMY'S SMILE Aug28 Aug12 Jul18 Jun19 Jun01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
8  DECEITFUL Aug24 Jul19 Mar22 Feb12 Jan08 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00    
 
TDN-4   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING SENORITA Sep06 Aug21 Aug10 Aug01 Jul24 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 3.00    
2  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Sep12 Aug03 Jul17 Jun13 Feb15 (shanyfelt valer)TOLEDO S 119 1.60 36% 1.70    
3  SOLE FACTOR Aug07 Jul17 Dec30 Nov17 Oct26 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
4  TWERK Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 May10 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 19% 4.40    
5  LADY FORTUNE Jun26 Mar15 Feb13 Jan24 Dec19 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK COVE Aug16 Aug01 Jun24 Jun05 May09 (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 119 5.00 10% 9.40    
2  MON CAMO Aug30 Jul26 Jun19 May17 Apr25 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Aug22 Jul26 Jun27 Jun07 May17 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00 9% 9.90    
4  VENETIAN DREAM Sep05 Aug23 Aug14 Sep12 Aug29 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
5  EXALTED JOY Sep02 Jul12 Jun30 Jun22 May21 (vecchio caryn)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
6  LAZARUS PROJECT Sep05 Aug29 Aug16 Jul18 Jul05 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
7  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Aug08 Jun01 May16 Apr25 Mar28 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 116 6.00 15% 5.60    
8  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Aug03 Jul10 Jun13 May17 May06 (dubi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREEZY MONEY Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jun21 (vecchio c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50    
2  BOURBON WISDOM Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 Jun24 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50    
3  SEE SPOT RUN Aug23 Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 May30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  AUGER Sep07 Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 Jun15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  THRU THE VINE Aug29 Jul24 Jul12 Jun21 May29 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50    
6  WAR NOVEL Aug29 Aug03 Jul11 May30 May23 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
 
TDN-7   09/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO PLAYER Aug28 Jul31 Jul11 Jun15 Mar22 (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.60    
2  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA Aug28 May31 May15 Mar23 Mar01 (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 9% 9.60    
3  WEEKEND BUZZ Aug28 Jul18 Nov12 Aug30 Jul28 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 1.20 59% 0.70    
4  FOREIGN Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 Feb02 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
5  PLATE IT UP Sep07 Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jun26 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00    
 
TDN-8   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BISCUITS AND GRITS Nov09 Sep21 Sep01 Jul25 Jul06 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
2  DUKE OF DARKNESS Jul10 Jun15 May15 Apr15 Feb20 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
3  BEVERLY PARK Sep05 Aug07 Jul31 Jul05 Jun23 (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Aug07 Jul10 Jun15 May06 Dec03 (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
5  UOTTALIKEIT Aug07 Jun20 May23 Apr04 Feb20 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  IT'S OFFICIAL Jul22 Jul10 Jun27 May03   (juarez lorenzo)BRACHO A 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.