Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3 $16.10 $10.10 168%
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3-2 $31.10 $25.10 418%
TDN-2   DD (7/2/3)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-6 $11.10 $2.10 23%
TDN-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $9.20 $5.20 130%
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-1 $11.90 $9.90 495%
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(6/3/5)-(1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00  7-6-4 $97.80 $79.80 443%
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(6/3/5)-(1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00  7-5-4 $26.90 $8.90 49%
TDN-4   WIN (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(1/4)-(5/4/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00  6-4-4 $64.30 $46.30 257%
    PK4 (7/2/3)-(6/3/5)-(1/4)-(5/4/9) 54 $0.50 $27.00  7-5/6-4-4 $188.30 $161.30 597%
TDN-8   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $7.80 $3.80 95%
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $13.70 $7.70 128%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:00     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPPY GILMORE 5 2 2nk 2   21 1nk (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.50 30% 2.40 2.50 W
GOLDEN MONEY 2 3 3 34   3 2nk (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 21% 3.70 4.10 P
OAKEN 1 6 53 6   4 3 (urieta johann)GUERERE ANGEL 123 2.50 23% 3.40 2.00 S
TIZ A RUSH 6 1 65 5   54 4 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 17.50  
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 4 5 1nk 1   11 53 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 4.00 4.00  
KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE 3 4 42 44   64 6 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 5.10  
SCR  BOOT LEGGER               (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
SCR  VICTOR STORY               (jensen)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 10.00    
 
TDN-2   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLDAT TEMPTATION 5 1 4 1nk   1nk 12 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 30% 2.30 1.30 W
SAUNTER 3 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 22 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 24% 3.20 1.50 P
HOLY SKULL 4 3 2nk 32   34 3 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 3.10  
LA KADENZA 2 4 5 5   5 410¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 13.30  
RAG TOWN 1 5 31 4   48 512¾ (reust megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 10.10  
SCR  IMA SURE BET               (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
TDN-3   09/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:134     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAKS HONEY 4 3 31 32 1nk 21 1nk (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 19% 4.20 3.60 W
HENRY MAC 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 11 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.60 44% 1.30 0.40 P
VISUAL MISSION 5 2 5 54 33 34 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 7.10  
SEND ME ON 2 5 42 4 5 59 4 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 5.30  
HISTORICALLY 3 4 2½ 2½ 4 47 510¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 25.20  
 
TDN-4   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON OVER ICE 2 3 32 5   3½ 1nk (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 4.00 11% 7.80 2.60 W
K P SILVER BULLET 3 7 7 6   2½ 2nk (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 62% 0.60 1.30 P
CUGINE 4 5 6 7   6 3 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 9.80  
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 7 6 5 3   52 4 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
TWICE AS SMART 6 2 43 1   1½ 5 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.50 4.90  
FRANK N DUCKY 5 1 1 2   41 67 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 19.40  
DIAMONDS ENJOY 1 4 2 4   7 79 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 7.20  
SCR  UHAVETOBEKITTENME               (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00    
SCR  YOU ARE AWESOME               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
 
TDN-5   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICGIRL 1 3 3 23   2 1½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 1.10  
CAROL'S ROYALTY 2 4 12 13   1 2½ (romero jose )ROSARIO L 123 2.50 46% 1.20 1.80 P
MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 4 2 22 33   3 3 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 28% 2.60 8.80 S
YEGUITA QUEEN 3 5 5 5   5 412¼ (rutledge lance)DIAZ I 119 8.00 4.90  
CASCABRIA 5 1 4 4   4 512¾ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 4.50 6.90  
SCR  INDY PRINCESS KOKO               (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
SCR  MITESSE               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00    
 
TDN-6   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURBO POWER 2 1 11 1   11 11 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 2.00 2.50  
ORLEANS STORM 4 3 21 3   21 21 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 6.30  
VEGAS PLAYER 5 4 31 2   31 3 (poole m)BRACHO A 117 12.00 5% 19.00 18.70 S
NOSEY POWER 1 5 4 55   45 4 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 10% 8.70 15.00  
JOHN PHILIP 3 2 65 6   6 5 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.50 2.80  
KING PATRIOT 6 6 53 4   5 69 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 3.00 57% 0.70 1.30  
 
TDN-7   09/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN'S ROCK 4 4 45 4 3 2nk 1 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50 45% 1.20 1.90 W
STRIKE APPEAL 6 5 55 31 2nk 1nk 2 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 4.70  
LATIN SPICE 1 2 21 2nk 1nk 4¾ 3 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 25% 3.00 1.20 S
FAT DADDY 3 1 34 5 4 3.2 4 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 7% 13.80 5.40  
SURF AND TURF 5 3 6 6 53 5 53 (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 8.00 15.00  
NIGHT TIME RULER 2 6 11 1nk 69 620¾ 638½ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 20.30  
 
TDN-8   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICHI KITSU 4 5 5 5½   1nk 1 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 17% 4.70 2.90 W
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 5 2 4 4¼   2nk 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 2.50  
SPARKLING JEWEL 3 1 31 3.2   3.2 33 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 2.50 44% 1.30 1.00 S
MISSION GIRL 1 3 1nk 1nk   4 4 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 6.80  
CLIFTONS BALLERINA 2 4 2nk 2nk   5 512½ (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 121 4.50 11.60  
SCR  MIRACLE DRUG (IRE)               (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.