Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
TDN-2   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-3   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 5.20
TDN-4   Win (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
TDN-5   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $4.20  
TDN-6   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.00  
TDN-7   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TDN-8   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 3.80
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:00     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOPPY GILMORE 5 2 2nk 21½   21 1nk (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.50 30% 2.40 2.50 W
3  GOLDEN MONEY 2 3 31½ 34   32½ 2nk (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 21% 3.70 4.10 P
2  OAKEN 1 6 53 65¾   43½ 31¾ (urieta johanna)GUERERE ANGEL 123 2.50 23% 3.40 2.00 S
8  TIZ A RUSH 6 1 65 55½   54 42¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 17.50  
6  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 4 5 1nk 11½   11 53 (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 4.00 4.00  
4  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE 3 4 42 44   64 64¾ (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 5.10  
SCR  BOOT LEGGER               (londono j)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
SCR  VICTOR STORY               (jensen j)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 10.00    
 
TDN-2   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SOLDAT TEMPTATION 5 1 41¼ 1nk   1nk 12 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 30% 2.30 1.30 W
3  SAUNTER 3 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 22 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 24% 3.20 1.50 P
4  HOLY SKULL 4 3 2nk 32   34 34¼ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 3.10  
2  LA KADENZA 2 4 51¾ 57½   58¼ 410¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 13.30  
1  RAG TOWN 1 5 31 46½   48 512¾ (reust megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 10.10  
SCR  IMA SURE BET               (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
TDN-3   09/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:134     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OAKS HONEY 4 3 31 32 1nk 21 1nk (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 19% 4.20 3.60 W
1  HENRY MAC 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 11 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.60 44% 1.30 0.40 P
5  VISUAL MISSION 5 2 54½ 54 33 34 34¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 7.10  
2  SEND ME ON 2 5 42 43½ 56½ 59 47¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 5.30  
3  HISTORICALLY 3 4 2½ 2½ 43½ 47 510¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 25.20  
 
TDN-4   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOURBON OVER ICE 2 3 32 52¾   3½ 1nk (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 119 4.00 11% 7.80 2.60 W
5  K P SILVER BULLET 3 7 76½ 63¼   2½ 2nk (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 62% 0.60 1.30 P
6  CUGINE 4 5 65½ 73¾   62¼ 31¾ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 9.80  
9  UNIDENTIFIED MAN 7 6 53½ 31½   52 45½ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
8  TWICE AS SMART 6 2 43 11½   1½ 56¾ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.50 4.90  
7  FRANK N DUCKY 5 1 11½ 21½   41 67 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 19.40  
2  DIAMONDS ENJOY 1 4 21½ 42½   73¾ 79 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 7.20  
SCR  UHAVETOBEKITTENME               (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00    
SCR  YOU ARE AWESOME               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
 
TDN-5   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICGIRL 1 3 32½ 23   22½ 1½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 1.10  
2  CAROL'S ROYALTY 2 4 12 13   12½ 2½ (romero a)ROSARIO L 123 2.50 46% 1.20 1.80 P
5  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 4 2 22 33   36½ 37¾ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 28% 2.60 8.80 S
3  YEGUITA QUEEN 3 5 55½ 57½   59½ 412¼ (rutledge lance)DIAZ I 119 8.00 4.90  
6  CASCABRIA 5 1 43½ 43½   48½ 512¾ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 123 4.50 6.90  
SCR  INDY PRINCESS KOKO               (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
SCR  MITESSE               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00    
 
TDN-6   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TURBO POWER 2 1 11 11½   11 11 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 2.00 2.50  
4  ORLEANS STORM 4 3 21 31½   21 21 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 6.30  
5  VEGAS PLAYER 5 4 31 21½   31 31¾ (poole m)BRACHO A 117 12.00 5% 19.00 18.70 S
1  NOSEY POWER 1 5 42½ 55   45 45½ (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 10% 8.70 15.00  
3  JOHN PHILIP 3 2 65 66½   65¾ 56½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.50 2.80  
6  KING PATRIOT 6 6 53 44½   55½ 69 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 3.00 57% 0.70 1.30  
 
TDN-7   09/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JOHN'S ROCK 4 4 45 41½ 31½ 2nk 11¼ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50 45% 1.20 1.90 W
6  STRIKE APPEAL 6 5 55 31 2nk 1nk 21¼ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 4.70  
1  LATIN SPICE 1 2 21 2nk 1nk 4¾ 32¾ (vecchio cary)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 25% 3.00 1.20 S
3  FAT DADDY 3 1 34 51¾ 42½ 3.2 42¾ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 7% 13.80 5.40  
5  SURF AND TURF 5 3 67½ 65¾ 53 52¾ 53 (londono j)HALDAR J 123 8.00 15.00  
2  NIGHT TIME RULER 2 6 11 1nk 69 620¾ 638½ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 20.30  
 
TDN-8   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KICHI KITSU 4 5 52¼ 5½   1nk 11½ (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 17% 4.70 2.90 W
6  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 5 2 41¼ 4¼   2nk 21½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 2.50  
4  SPARKLING JEWEL 3 1 31 3.2   3.2 33 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 2.50 44% 1.30 1.00 S
2  MISSION GIRL 1 3 1nk 1nk   44¼ 46¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 6.80  
3  CLIFTONS BALLERINA 2 4 2nk 2nk   55¼ 512½ (shanyfelt valer)TOLEDO S 121 4.50 11.60  
SCR  MIRACLE DRUG (IRE)               (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.