Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(6/3)-(1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(1/4)-(5/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5/4/9)-(2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/9)-(5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9)-(2/5)-(6/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/1/5)-(4/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/1/3)-(4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOOT LEGGER Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Mar14 Mar01 (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
2  OAKEN Aug16 Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 Mar23 (urieta johann)GUERERE ANGEL 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  GOLDEN MONEY Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 21% 3.70    
4  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE Aug10 May08 Mar13 Jan11 Dec12 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00    
SCR  VICTOR STORY Aug22 Jun19 May17 May01 Dec30 (jensen)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 10.00    
6  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Aug21 Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 4.00    
7  HOPPY GILMORE Aug28 Jul20 Jun24 Aug30 Aug09 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
8  TIZ A RUSH Aug21 Jul31 Jul11 May20 Sep20 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
 
TDN-2   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAG TOWN Aug07 May02 Mar15 Nov11 Oct11 (reust megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
2  LA KADENZA Aug23 Aug01       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
3  SAUNTER Aug23 Aug04 Jul18 Jun19 May30 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  HOLY SKULL Aug29 Jul30 Jul07 Jun25 Apr22 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50    
SCR  IMA SURE BET Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jun26 Jun19 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
6  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Aug23 Jul18 Jun26 Jun10 May25 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
TDN-3   09/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY MAC Aug16 Jul22 Jul05 Jun13 Nov28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.60 44% 1.30    
2  SEND ME ON Aug16 Jul11 Jun02 May08 Nov15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80    
3  HISTORICALLY Aug02 Jun20 May18 May03   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
4  OAKS HONEY Aug28 Aug12 Jul05 Jun27 May31 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
5  VISUAL MISSION Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 Jun02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOU ARE AWESOME Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 Jun24 Jun01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
2  DIAMONDS ENJOY Aug17 Jul20 Jun24 May29 May01 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
SCR  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Aug17 Aug01 Jun10 May22 May09 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 20.00    
4  BOURBON OVER ICE Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 Apr08 Mar10 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 4.00 11% 7.80    
5  K P SILVER BULLET Jul20 Jul03 Jun15 May30 May15 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 62% 0.60    
6  CUGINE Aug17 Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 Feb07 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
7  FRANK N DUCKY Jul11 Jun13 May15 May06 Apr10 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
8  TWICE AS SMART Aug22 Jul31 Jul03 Jun12 May20 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.50    
9  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Aug22 Jul31 Jul03 Jun24 May23 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICGIRL Aug17 Jun21 May22 May15 Mar19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
2  CAROL'S ROYALTY Aug29 Aug16 Jul17 Dec08 Nov17 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  YEGUITA QUEEN Aug31 Aug11 Apr14 Mar03 Jan27 (rutledge lance)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
SCR  MITESSE Jul20 Jul03 May30 May10 Mar26 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00    
5  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Aug16 Jul10 Jun01 May15 Mar29 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
6  CASCABRIA Aug16 Jul26 Jun12 May29 Apr26 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 4.50    
SCR  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Aug21 Aug02 Jun21 May30 Feb15 (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOSEY POWER Aug22 Aug02 Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00 10% 8.70    
2  TURBO POWER Aug22 Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 2.00    
3  JOHN PHILIP Aug30 Aug22 Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
4  ORLEANS STORM Aug22 Aug10 Jul17 Jul04 Jun14 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
5  VEGAS PLAYER Aug24 Aug11 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 (poole m)BRACHO A 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  KING PATRIOT Sep23 Sep05 Jul11 Jun28   (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 3.00 57% 0.70    
 
TDN-7   09/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN SPICE Aug15 Jul24 Jul12 Jul05 Jun15 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 25% 3.00    
2  NIGHT TIME RULER Aug16 Jul18 Jun21 May30 May10 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
3  FAT DADDY Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May31 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 7% 13.80    
4  JOHN'S ROCK Aug16 Jul24 Jul05 Jun15 May31 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  SURF AND TURF Aug31 Aug15 Jul20 Jun26 Jun06 (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 8.00    
6  STRIKE APPEAL Aug22 Aug09 Jul20 Sep07 May24 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) Aug24 Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00    
2  MISSION GIRL Aug21 Jul17 Jun15 May17 Dec20 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
3  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Aug03 Jul17 Jun13 Feb15 Feb07 (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 121 4.50    
4  SPARKLING JEWEL Aug26 Aug02 Jul06 Jun17 Jun02 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  KICHI KITSU Aug02 May30 Apr27 Mar23 Feb23 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 17% 4.70    
6  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Aug22 Jul22 Jun21 May17 Oct31 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.