Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
TDN-2   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
TDN-3   Win (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
TDN-4   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.60  
TDN-5   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $4.40  
TDN-6   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-7   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TDN-8   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.60  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CORNER OFFICE 4 2 56½ 53   24 11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 23% 3.30 1.30 W
3  GIV'EM THE BIZ 3 1 1½ 11   14 21 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 121 2.00 31% 2.20 4.30 P
6  HOPPY GILMORE 5 4 34 32½   46½ 38 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 3.20  
2  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 2 5 44 42½   58½ 48¼ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 3.50  
1  STRIKE ONE 1 3 2½ 21   34½ 59 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 5.60  
SCR  ZAKARIA               (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-2   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MANNFORD 4 1 1½ 11½   14 14¾ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 46% 1.20 1.10 W
6  OL' L B 5 5 43 31½   24 24¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 1.80 22% 3.50 1.40 P
3  WEEKEND BUZZ 2 2 31½ 41¾   46½ 38 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 5.30  
4  OHIO PLAYER 3 4 2½ 21½   35½ 411 (brown glenro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 6.50  
2  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA 1 3 55 56¼   512½ 524¾ (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 21.80  
SCR  OHIO MUNNY               (galloway khad)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00    
 
TDN-3   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WAR ON THE RIVER 4 2 1½ 12   14 11½ (flores christian)DIAZ I 119 2.00 40% 1.50 2.90 W
8  PRESSLEY RIDGE 6 1 53½ 32   24 21½ (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 35% 1.80 2.90 P
4  RAISE YOU ONE 2 4 31½ 56½   49½ 38½ (mavec kathl)GONZALES J 118 10.00 17.30  
7  ORVILLE B 5 6 42 42½   35 49 (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 1.30  
5  WHY KENNY WHY 3 3 63½ 66¾   610½ 514¼ (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.00 4.70  
3  MARQUITOS M 1 5 2½ 22   510 615 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 17.00  
SCR  JOHN PHILIP               (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
SCR  MY TICKET               (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.50    
 
TDN-4   08/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DERBY INCLUDED 3 3 32 36½ 36 21½ 1¼ (cline c)DIAZ I 119 3.50 5.30  
7  MASTER OF WAR 6 1 55½ 510 510 33½ 2¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 10.00 7.90  
3  MUGSY MALONE 2 5 12 13 12½ 11½ 3¼ (meyers shane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 15% 5.80 2.10 S
2  SAMMY'S SMILE 1 4 44½ 49½ 410 55 42 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 21% 3.70 3.80  
6  DISTORTED LIMITS 5 2 22 23 22½ 44½ 53¼ (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 36% 1.80 1.90  
5  ACROSS THE AISLE 4 6 68 613 612 68 68¼ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 10.80  
SCR  HENRY THE CAT               (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 3.00    
 
TDN-5   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:123     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AZTEC 3 3 11½ 1½ 11½ 1½ 12½ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 121 2.50 1.20  
1  CENTSOFWANDER 1 4 31½ 51¾ 21½ 2½ 22½ (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 15% 5.50 6.70 P
4  R CARDINAL PRINCE 4 1 41¾ 2½ 32½ 35 36¾ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.50 12% 7.00 3.70 S
2  CYCLONE 2 6 67¼ 65¼ 66 47½ 48½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 47% 1.20 2.10  
6  BOSS BEAR 6 5 52¾ 41½ 54½ 58 513 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 25.40  
5  CAPTURE MI 5 2 21½ 31½ 42½ 69 615 (mckanas )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 11.20  
 
TDN-6   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KNOCK WOOD 2 4 2nk 1½   14 13 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 41% 1.50 1.00 W
5  EL SORDO 3 5 44½ 34½   24 23 (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00 2.10  
7  HARSH TRUTH 5 2 59 57   56½ 36½ (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 9.30  
6  ROUGE TU RICHES 4 1 33½ 44½   44½ 411¼ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 13.10  
1  MILAGRO DE JOVANNI 1 3 1nk 2½   34½ 512¾ (murillo-rodrig)HALDAR J 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.90  
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH               (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
SCR  SYNERGISTIC               (lopez jacinto)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00    
 
TDN-7   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COMPLY (NZ) 2 1 42½ 54 31 2nk 1½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.60 14% 5.90 2.10 W
1  STAR HAWK 1 2 32½ 44 41¼ 3.2 2½ (erdel john)DIAZ I 123 6.00 3.90  
5  STATESBORO 5 4 1½ 1½ 11 1nk 33¼ (londono j)HALDAR J 123 2.00 44% 1.30 3.10 S
3  OAKS HONEY 3 6 65 65 62¾ 53¼ 45¼ (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 6.90  
6  INDIAN FEVER 6 3 2½ 2½ 21 42¼ 56½ (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00 6.10  
4  SO DIALED IN 4 5 53 32½ 51¾ 65¼ 611¼ (skerrett j)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.50 13% 6.70 4.10  
 
TDN-8   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SERGER 3 4 11 11   12 11¼ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 6.00 1.80  
5  HELLO SWEETS 5 1 63 52¾   32 21¼ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 2.70  
6  NEXT GENERATION 6 2 31 21   22 31¾ (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 4.50 31% 2.20 2.30 DQ↓5
2  SPICE ICE 2 7 78 75¾   55½ 45 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 40.00  
4  SUGAR LOVES IT 4 3 21 31   43½ 55¾ (lopez ja)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 36% 1.80 8.00  
7  SORORITY SISTER 7 5 52 42½   66½ 69¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 8% 11.50 6.20  
1  THE BOOK OF RUTH 1 6 41½ 65¼   710 716 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 34.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.