Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-3 $8.50 $6.50 325%
TDN-2   EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00  5-6 $4.10 $2.10 105%
TDN-3   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-8 $10.30 $4.30 72%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORNER OFFICE 4 2 5 53   24 11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 23% 3.30 1.30 W
GIV'EM THE BIZ 3 1 1½ 11   14 21 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 121 2.00 31% 2.20 4.30 P
HOPPY GILMORE 5 4 34 3   4 38 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 3.20  
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 2 5 44 4   5 4 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 3.50  
STRIKE ONE 1 3 2½ 21   3 59 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 5.60  
SCR  ZAKARIA               (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-2   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANNFORD 4 1 1½ 1   14 1 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 46% 1.20 1.10 W
OL' L B 5 5 43 3   24 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 1.80 22% 3.50 1.40 P
WEEKEND BUZZ 2 2 3 4   4 38 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 5.30  
OHIO PLAYER 3 4 2½ 2   3 411 (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 6.50  
ROLLIN ON TEQUILA 1 3 55 5   512½ 524¾ (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 21.80  
SCR  OHIO MUNNY               (galloway kh)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00    
 
TDN-3   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR ON THE RIVER 4 2 1½ 12   14 1 (flores christi)DIAZ I 119 2.00 40% 1.50 2.90 W
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of WAR PLAY by WAR IMAGE)
PRESSLEY RIDGE 6 1 5 32   24 2 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 35% 1.80 2.90 P
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BABY COLLETTE by PADDY O'PRADO)
RAISE YOU ONE 2 4 3 5   4 3 (mavec kat)GONZALES J 118 10.00 17.30  
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
ORVILLE B 5 6 42 4   35 49 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 1.30  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of REDISTHEROSE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
WHY KENNY WHY 3 3 6 6   610½ 514¼ (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.00 4.70  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
MARQUITOS M 1 5 2½ 22   510 615 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 17.00  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
SCR  JOHN PHILIP               (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
  (by THABAZIMBI out of BOFFO by BANKER'S GOLD)
SCR  MY TICKET               (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 3.50    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
 
TDN-4   08/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:122 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY INCLUDED 3 3 32 3 36 2 1¼ (cline c)DIAZ I 119 3.50 5.30  
MASTER OF WAR 6 1 5 510 510 3 2¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 10.00 7.90  
MUGSY MALONE 2 5 12 13 1 1 3¼ (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 15% 5.80 2.10 S
SAMMY'S SMILE 1 4 4 4 410 55 42 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 21% 3.70 3.80  
DISTORTED LIMITS 5 2 22 23 2 4 5 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 36% 1.80 1.90  
ACROSS THE AISLE 4 6 68 613 612 68 6 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 10.80  
SCR  HENRY THE CAT               (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 3.00    
 
TDN-5   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:123     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZTEC 3 3 1 1½ 1 1½ 1 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 121 2.50 1.20  
CENTSOFWANDER 1 4 3 5 2 2½ 2 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 15% 5.50 6.70 P
R CARDINAL PRINCE 4 1 4 2½ 3 35 3 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.50 12% 7.00 3.70 S
CYCLONE 2 6 6 6 66 4 4 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 47% 1.20 2.10  
BOSS BEAR 6 5 5 4 5 58 513 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 25.40  
CAPTURE MI 5 2 2 3 4 69 615 (mckana)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 11.20  
 
TDN-6   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCK WOOD 2 4 2nk 1½   14 13 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 41% 1.50 1.00 W
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CHUBBS LAST CALL by DIXIELAND HEAT)
EL SORDO 3 5 4 3   24 23 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00 2.10  
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
HARSH TRUTH 5 2 59 57   5 3 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 9.30  
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
ROUGE TU RICHES 4 1 3 4   4 411¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 13.10  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
MILAGRO DE JOVANNI 1 3 1nk 2½   3 512¾ (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.90  
  (by PANICUM out of REDHEADED WITCH by GOOD REWARD)
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH               (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
SCR  SYNERGISTIC               (lopez jacin)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
 
TDN-7   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPLY (NZ) 2 1 4 54 31 2nk 1½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.60 14% 5.90 2.10 W
STAR HAWK 1 2 3 44 4 3.2 2½ (erdel john)DIAZ I 123 6.00 3.90  
STATESBORO 5 4 1½ 1½ 11 1nk 3 (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 2.00 44% 1.30 3.10 S
OAKS HONEY 3 6 65 65 6 5 4 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 6.90  
INDIAN FEVER 6 3 2½ 2½ 21 4 5 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00 6.10  
SO DIALED IN 4 5 53 3 5 6 611¼ (skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.50 13% 6.70 4.10  
 
TDN-8   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERGER 3 4 11 11   12 1 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 6.00 1.80  
HELLO SWEETS 5 1 63 5   32 2 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 2.70  
NEXT GENERATION 6 2 31 21   22 3 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 4.50 31% 2.20 2.30 DQ↓5
SPICE ICE 2 7 78 7   5 45 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 40.00  
SUGAR LOVES IT 4 3 21 31   4 5 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 36% 1.80 8.00  
SORORITY SISTER 7 5 52 4   6 6 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 8% 11.50 6.20  
THE BOOK OF RUTH 1 6 4 6   710 716 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 34.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.