Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/6)-(6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(6/8/7)-(6/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7)-(6/2/3)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/1/4)-(2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/1)-(5/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/2/4)-(4/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE ONE Aug17 Jul17 Jun20 Jun06 May20 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50    
2  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Jul31 Jul18 Jul05 Jun24 Jun02 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50    
3  GIV'EM THE BIZ Aug12 Jul12 Jun20 May23 May09 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  CORNER OFFICE Jul27 Jun24 Jun02 May11 Apr15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  ZAKARIA Aug09 Jul13 May06 Apr26 Mar28 (yo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
6  HOPPY GILMORE Jul20 Jun24 Aug30 Aug09 Jul21 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
TDN-2   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OHIO MUNNY Aug19 Jul11 May22 Apr25 Mar22 (galloway kh)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00    
2  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA May31 May15 Mar23 Mar01 Feb02 (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00    
3  WEEKEND BUZZ Jul18 Nov12 Aug30 Jul28 Jul13 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50    
4  OHIO PLAYER Jul31 Jul11 Jun15 Mar22 Mar09 (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00    
5  MANNFORD Jun20 Jun06 Apr26 Feb02 Jan16 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
6  OL' L B Jul31 Jul10 Jun07 May20 Jan26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 1.80 22% 3.50    
 
TDN-3   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY TICKET Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 Mar29 Feb23 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 3.50    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
SCR  JOHN PHILIP Aug22 Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 Oct27 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
  (by THABAZIMBI out of BOFFO by BANKER'S GOLD)
3  MARQUITOS M Aug08 Jul20       (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
4  RAISE YOU ONE Aug08 Jul20 Jul05     (mavec kat)GONZALES J 118 10.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
5  WHY KENNY WHY Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 May25 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
6  WAR ON THE RIVER Aug08         (flores)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of WAR PLAY by WAR IMAGE)
7  ORVILLE B Jul05         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of REDISTHEROSE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  PRESSLEY RIDGE         (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 35% 1.80    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BABY COLLETTE by PADDY O'PRADO)
 
TDN-4   08/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HENRY THE CAT Jul31 Jul11 May08 Mar23 Feb22 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 3.00    
2  SAMMY'S SMILE Aug12 Jul18 Jun19 Jun01 Nov12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
3  MUGSY MALONE Aug07 Jul18 Jun10 Jun02 May12 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 15% 5.80    
4  DERBY INCLUDED Aug09 Jul29 Jun19 Jun01 Apr13 (cline c)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
5  ACROSS THE AISLE Aug03 Jul18 Jun13 Mar02 Feb07 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00    
6  DISTORTED LIMITS Jul18 Jul05 Jun13 Feb07 Jan05 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  MASTER OF WAR Aug03 Jul24 Jun24 Jun13 May24 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 10.00    
 
TDN-5   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTSOFWANDER Aug03 Jul10 May30 Apr27 Mar29 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  CYCLONE Aug03 Jul10 Jun24 Jun05 May16 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 47% 1.20    
3  AZTEC Jul26 Jul05 Jun24 Jun05 May09 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 121 2.50    
4  R CARDINAL PRINCE Aug12 Aug03 Jul10 Jun24 Jun06 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.50 12% 7.00    
5  CAPTURE MI Aug10 Jul31 Jun03 May05 Apr16 (mckana)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
6  BOSS BEAR Aug03 Jul10 Jun06 May16 Oct14 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILAGRO DE JOVANNI         (murillo-rodr)HALDAR J 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by PANICUM out of REDHEADED WITCH by GOOD REWARD)
2  KNOCK WOOD Aug09 Jul24 Jun19 May29 May11 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 1.80 41% 1.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CHUBBS LAST CALL by DIXIELAND HEAT)
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 May25 Dec14 (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
SCR  SYNERGISTIC Aug09 Jul24 May29 May11 Apr25 (lopez jacin)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
5  EL SORDO Aug09 Jul24 Jun19     (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  ROUGE TU RICHES Aug09 Jul24 Feb16 Jan26 Dec19 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
7  HARSH TRUTH Aug09 Jul24 Jun19 May29 May11 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
TDN-7   08/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR HAWK Aug09 Feb08 Dec05 Nov10 Oct14 (erdel john)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
2  COMPLY (NZ) Aug16 Jul20 May10 Apr11 Mar13 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.60 14% 5.90    
3  OAKS HONEY Aug12 Jul05 Jun27 May31 Nov15 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
4  SO DIALED IN Aug16 Jul20 Jul10 Jun26 May30 (skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.50 13% 6.70    
5  STATESBORO Aug15 Jul14 Jun27     (londono odin)HALDAR J 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  INDIAN FEVER Jan25 Dec30 Sep07 Aug23 Jul18 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-8   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BOOK OF RUTH Dec19 Dec08 Nov08 Oct25 Oct04 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00    
2  SPICE ICE Aug14 Jul05 Jun19 Jun02 Jan31 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
3  SERGER Aug03 Jul24 Jul04 May24 Nov30 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
4  SUGAR LOVES IT Aug02 Jun20 Jun01 May15 Apr25 (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  HELLO SWEETS Aug14 Jun27 Jun12 May24 May06 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50    
6  NEXT GENERATION Jul07 Jun17 Sep12 Aug10 Jul20 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 4.50 31% 2.20    
7  SORORITY SISTER Aug02 Jul22 May25 Apr27 Apr10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 8% 11.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.