Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $13.80  
TDN-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $17.40 $17.40 13.40
TDN-3   Win (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $48.60  
TDN-4   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.60  
TDN-5   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $57.20  
TDN-6   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TDN-7   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.60  
TDN-8   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $10.60  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EXPRESS FASHION 6 3 65 54¼   42 1nk (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50 5.90  
3  IN TROUBLED WATERS 3 4 32 1nk   11 2nk (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 5.00 14% 6.10 2.50 P
7  KISS VALENTINA 7 1 43 32½   31 3¼ (castro a)BRACHO A 115 6.00 14.40  
1  GO GIRL 1 6 1nk 2nk   21 41 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 21.40  
2  RONNI'S WIND 2 7 76½ 64¾   53 55¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 39% 1.50 1.30  
5  I'M JAC'D 5 2 54 44   64 68¾ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 8.00 42.80  
4  VILLAGE CAT 4 5 2nk 78¾   719 7100 (jackson james )HALDAR J 117 3.50 21% 3.80 3.20  
SCR  BETTER HALF               (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 10.00    
 
TDN-2   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 2 3½ 1nk 1nk 1½ 11¾ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 7% 13.70 7.70 W
5  SPEEDY MOBILE 4 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 2½ 21¾ (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 7.10  
2  GOLD N SILVER 1 4 2nk 31 31½ 31½ 32¼ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 65% 0.50 0.70 S
3  DR. ZARNETT 2 3 4¾ 41½ 44 43½ 42½ (meyers shane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 1.60 1.40  
SCR  RUMBLE STRIP RON               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.00    
 
TDN-3   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BIG TIME FLIRT 4 3 21½ 22   22 1hd (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 15.00 23.30  
8  PRESSLEY RIDGE 7 7 65 32   32 2hd (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 39% 1.60 0.90 P
2  ORVILLE B 1 9 11½ 12   12 31¼ (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70 S
10  NIKAO 9 2 34 44   44½ 45½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 10.00 21.20  
9  MY BUDDY MICAH 8 1 86½ 88¼   68¾ 510½ (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 31.40  
4  MY TICKET 3 8 96¾ 99¾   89¾ 610¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 6.00 ★ 8.00  
7  SOMETHING ON TAP 6 5 75½ 76¾   58½ 713¼ (murillo-rodr)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 4.50 8.20  
3  WHY KENNY WHY 2 6 54½ 66¼   79¼ 813¾ (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 48.30  
6  FORMYBOYS 5 4 44 56   910¾ 916¾ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 35% 1.90 2.80  
SCR  RAISE YOU ONE               (mavec kathl)GONZALES J 118 10.00    
 
TDN-4   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STATUS SYMBOL 6 1 44½ 31   14 13¾ (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 2.30  
3  ARTIES CRYPTONITE 3 5 34 44½   44¼ 23¾ (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 10.80  
7  VICTOR STORY 7 3 57½ 56   55¼ 36 (jensen j)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 3.50 11% 8.50 3.30 S
2  SWEET CHELSEA 2 7 712 611   66¾ 48¼ (genovese richar)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 47.20  
5  CRISTALINDA 5 4 69½ 712   79¼ 510 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 10% 8.50 3.70  
4  BUSYBEING FABULOUS 4 2 2nk 2½   24 611¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00 30.00  
1  FRONT CIRCLE 1 6 1nk 1½   34 713½ (bookman donald)DIAZ R 119 6.00 49% 1.00 1.80  
 
TDN-5   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:244 :501 1:154     1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 5 3 11½ 11½ 11½ 14 13¼ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 27.60  
6  THELMA LUCILLE 6 2 21½ 21½ 21½ 24 23¼ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 12.50  
3  MY TWO JAKES 3 5 54 56 44 36½ 35 (gonzalez donacia)DIAZ I 119 8.00 15.10  
2  CANELA FINA 2 4 31½ 31½ 33½ 47½ 412 (dubie kat)PILARES P 119 2.50 27% 2.70 0.30  
4  POLLY PRISSY PANTS 4 1 43½ 44 56 511 512½ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 12% 7.20 5.30  
1  SNAZZY 1 6 65 610 618 618 618¼ (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 39% 1.60 5.30  
 
TDN-6   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LITTLE BIRD FLASH 5 3 21 1nk   1½ 14 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 2.00 7% 12.50 2.10 W
2  MITESSE 2 2 11 2nk   2½ 24 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 47% 1.10 0.50 P
1  INDY PRINCESS KOKO 1 5 57 54½   54 35¾ (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 23% 3.40 7.60 S
3  DESIGNATE 3 4 44 42½   33½ 45¾ (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 35.30  
6  PROUD MAID MARIAN 6 1 31½ 31½   43½ 58¼ (huffman candac)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 8.00 19.50  
4  FLAXEN 4 6 611 69   67½ 611 (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 11.70  
 
TDN-7   09/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KHALFANI 6 1 4¾ 1½   1½ 1nk (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 2.80  
4  YOU ARE AWESOME 4 4 62¼ 51½   2½ 2nk (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00 38% 1.60 0.90 P
2  KOSCIUSZKO 2 2 1nk 31   42 36 (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 3.00  
5  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 5 5 3½ 2½   31½ 47 (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
1  BROADWAY JONES 1 3 2nk 41   54 514 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 123 6.00 23.20  
3  MORE THAN GOOD 3 6 51¾ 65   68 616 (pool)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 32% 2.10 10.10  
 
TDN-8   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:143     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 3 1 31 31 1nk 14 15¼ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 115 2.50 4.30  
2  CANDYMONIUM 2 5 54½ 53 32 24 25¼ (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 1.80 35% 1.90 0.90 P
4  DONNA LIRICA 4 2 11 11 2nk 35 39¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 4.00  
5  MO RISSA 5 4 21 21 43½ 48½ 414½ (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 119 5.00 30% 2.30 2.50  
1  LITTLE EMPIRE 1 3 42½ 42½ 54½ 512 518½ (reust megan)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 34.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.