Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(2/4)-(8/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(8/6/2)-(1/7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/4/2)-(8/6/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(1/7/5)-(1/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(1/2/4)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(2/1/5)-(4/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(4/3/5)-(2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GIRL Aug24 Jun30 Jun22 May31 May06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00    
2  RONNI'S WIND Aug31 Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 Sep23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 39% 1.50    
3  IN TROUBLED WATERS Aug24 Aug10 Aug02 Jun27 Jun02 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 5.00 14% 6.10    
4  VILLAGE CAT Jul18 Jun14 May11 Apr25   (jackson r)RIVERA R 117 3.50 21% 3.80    
5  I'M JAC'D Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Jun14 May31 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 8.00    
6  EXPRESS FASHION Aug24 Aug10 May06 Apr05 Mar20 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.50    
7  KISS VALENTINA Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul03 Jun14 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 115 6.00    
SCR  BETTER HALF Aug26 Jul22 Jun30 Jun07 May11 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 10.00    
 
TDN-2   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUMBLE STRIP RON Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 Jul04 Jun10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.00    
2  GOLD N SILVER Aug02 Jul05 Jun14 May16 May02 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 65% 0.50    
3  DR. ZARNETT Aug26 Aug03 Jun24 May24 Apr25 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 1.60    
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Aug03 Jul11 Jun10 Apr25 Apr06 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 7% 13.70    
5  SPEEDY MOBILE Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 May08 Apr04 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAISE YOU ONE Aug28 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05   (mavec kat)GONZALES J 118 10.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
2  ORVILLE B Aug28 Jul05       (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of REDISTHEROSE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  WHY KENNY WHY Aug28 Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
4  MY TICKET Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 Mar29 Feb23 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 6.00 ★    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
5  BIG TIME FLIRT Aug22 Jun12 Apr24 Mar29 Mar13 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 15.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
6  FORMYBOYS         (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
7  SOMETHING ON TAP Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 Jun12 Apr12 (murillo-ro)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 4.50    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  PRESSLEY RIDGE Aug28         (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BABY COLLETTE by PADDY O'PRADO)
9  MY BUDDY MICAH Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 May25 Dec14 (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
10  NIKAO Aug31 Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS WILDCATIN' out of MADAME ROYALE by LUHUK)
 
TDN-4   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRONT CIRCLE Aug22 Jul19 Jun15 May10 Oct05 (bookman donald)DIAZ R 119 6.00 49% 1.00    
2  SWEET CHELSEA Jul27 Jun26 Jun13 May25 Oct13 (genovese rich)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
3  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Aug15 Jul26 Jun26 Feb07 Jan18 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
4  BUSYBEING FABULOUS Aug22 Jul19 Jun21 Jun05 May16 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
5  CRISTALINDA Aug08 Jun26 Jun13 May23 May09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 10% 8.50    
6  STATUS SYMBOL Aug17 Aug23 Aug01 Jul15 Jun30 (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
7  VICTOR STORY Aug22 Jun19 May17 May01 Dec30 (jensen)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 3.50 11% 8.50    
 
TDN-5   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNAZZY Aug29 Aug09 Jul19     (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MY UPTOWN GAL by CITY ZIP)
2  CANELA FINA Aug26 Aug09 Jun30 Jun19 Jun01 (dubie k)PILARES P 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
3  MY TWO JAKES Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  POLLY PRISSY PANTS Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 Jun19 May31 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 12% 7.20    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of LADY YELLOW TAIL by ARCH)
5  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 Jun19 May31 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  THELMA LUCILLE Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jul05 Jun10 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
 
TDN-6   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Aug21 Aug02 Jun21 May30 Feb15 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  MITESSE Jul20 Jul03 May30 May10 Mar26 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 47% 1.10    
3  DESIGNATE Mar20 Mar01 Dec11 Nov14 Nov01 (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
4  FLAXEN Mar23 Mar07 Feb06 Jan03 Dec15 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
5  LITTLE BIRD FLASH Aug29 Jul10 Mar14 Feb20 Jan24 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 2.00 7% 12.50    
6  PROUD MAID MARIAN Aug02 Jul10 Jun14 Feb09 Jan11 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 8.00    
 
TDN-7   09/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY JONES Jul28 Jul08 Jun30 May12 Mar05 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 123 6.00    
2  KOSCIUSZKO Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 Sep21 Sep12 (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
3  MORE THAN GOOD Aug16 Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 May17 (po)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 32% 2.10    
4  YOU ARE AWESOME Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 Jun24 Jun01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Aug17 Aug01 Jun10 May22 May09 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  KHALFANI Aug30 Aug08 Jul03 Jun10 May15 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50    
 
TDN-8   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE EMPIRE Sep05 Jul11 May25 Dec08 Oct05 (reust mega)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
2  CANDYMONIUM Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 Jun20 May25 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 114 1.80 35% 1.90    
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 Jun20 May25 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 2.50    
4  DONNA LIRICA Aug06 Jun20 Apr26 Apr01 Mar15 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 2.00    
5  MO RISSA Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 Jun10 May21 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 30% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.