The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 5.00
TDN-2   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
TDN-3   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
TDN-4   Win (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $36.60 -6.00
TDN-5   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 4.20
TDN-6   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 1.80
TDN-7   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
TDN-8   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -1.20

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:224 :47 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIKA 6 5 4 12   14 1¾ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 4.00 13% 6.50 4.50 W
LADY GIULIANA 1 3 31 54   32¾ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 115 8.00 3.30  
FLASH OF CHEROKEE 5 4 5 4   24 33 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 20% 4.10 2.90 S
CATCHAFALLNSTAR 2 7 718 719½   713½ 4(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 38% 1.60 1.80  
MY D'VALENTINE 7 1 2½ 32   45(casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50 10.00  
JUMP INTO SANITY 3 6 63 6   56(skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00 15.00  
KRISTIN 4 2 1½ 22   6716¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 8.00 16.40  
SCR  SKIRTS KID               (rettele richar)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:23 :472 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCKDOWN LOVER 5 1 1½ 1   113 (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.50 50% 1.00 1.80 W
EL BANDIDO 6 2 33 3   223 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.00 6.10  
HEART OF AN ANGEL 4 3 4 4   39 3(rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 30.40  
ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR 2 5 5 58   44(rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 23.60  
PAPA DEL CIELO 3 4 2½ 2   513 515¼ (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 12% 7.10 2.00  
EL BURRITO 1 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (lopez jacin)HERNANDEZ H 119 3.00 17% 5.00 2.00  
 
TDN-3   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWING STATE 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 13 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.00 45% 1.20 3.20 W
KID RUSSELL 3 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 23 (juarez lorenzo)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 17% 4.80 3.60 P
KNOCK WOOD 5 5 55 47   46 36 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00 8.50  
WILDCAT PRIDE 1 3 33 3   34 46 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 6.00 13% 6.50 3.10  
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 4 6 6 611   510½ 510¾ (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 1.50  
RED COMET 2 4 44 510   611½ 613¾ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 21.40  
 
TDN-4   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
:224 :473 1:004     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OH EYE SEE 1 6 44 3   32 1(lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00 17.30  
HOLLYS SUPER STAR 4 3 21 2   22(radosevich justin)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 6.70  
COUNTRY STYLE 3 1 11 1   13(patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 30% 2.30 1.80 S
DIMPLED 2 7 68 610   511 415½ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 28.10  
WINDY VALLEY 5 2 33 4   47 518½ (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 17% 5.00 2.70  
SMARTASSET 7 5 5 5   613 619 (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.00 33% 2.10 2.70  
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 6 4 7 710½   714½ 721½ (patton luke)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 7.20  
SCR  BOLD NICKY               (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 8.00    
 
TDN-5   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
:232 :472 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA POP STAR 5 2 11 12   14 16 (radosevich jeff)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 22% 3.50 3.10 W
CHLOES ANGEL 1 5 21 22   24 26 (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 1.50  
HIGH CUPPER 2 3 54 5   56 3(urieta johanna)HALDAR J 119 8.00 13.10  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 4 1 3 3   34(calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 11.40  
CHECK OUT LINE 3 4 4 43   4510 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 43% 1.40 1.30  
SCR  SWEET EMPIRE               (radcliff donald)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
 
TDN-6   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:231 :473 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMOR PIERCING 2 1 22 2   1nk 1½ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 115 2.00 31% 2.20 1.90 W
FARMHAND 1 3 12 1   2nk 2½ (patton luke)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 7.70  
ALTAIR 3 2 34 3   34 3(rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 1.10  
MIGHTY FROSTED 4 4 4100 4100   4100 4100 (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 31% 2.20 2.40  
SCR  BILLY BEACOUP               (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
SCR  FAST CALL               (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.00    
 
TDN-7   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:223 :463 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIV'EM THE BIZ 3 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 53% 0.90 1.60 W
WORTHY OPPONENT 5 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 2½ (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 15% 5.90 2.80 P
WILDCAT BILL 2 4 33 32   32 3¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 2.00 7% 14.00 4.50 S
OHIO EAGLE 6 1 6 55   54(zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 5.20  
SERENDIPITOUS 4 5 45 66   44 5(morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 45.30  
KEEPING SCORE 1 6 55 4   66(cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 3.40  
 
TDN-8   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
:221 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LOTTIE 2 3 2 2   1nk 11 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 1.80 65% 0.50 0.40 W
SERGER 5 4 43 33   321 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 6.20  
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 4 6 58 5   43(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 115 5.00 5% 19.00 14.40 S
ANCHORWOMAN 1 1 1 1   2nk 45 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 3.20  
DANZA MAGIC 3 5 6 610   55(yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 23.30  
LEXY ANNA 6 2 33 44   6611¾ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 17.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.