Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $11.00 $5.00 83%
TDN-2   DD (2/6/7)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-5 $27.30 $18.30 203%
TDN-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $15.00 $9.00 150%
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(5/1/3)-(6/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00  7-5-6 $82.90 $55.90 207%
TDN-5   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $8.20 $4.20 105%
TDN-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.80 $1.80 45%
TDN-7   EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5-2 $27.10 $21.10 352%
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/5)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-3-3 $37.70 $25.70 214%
TDN-8   PK4 (3/5)-(3/5)-(3/5/2)-(2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-3-3-2 $52.35 $40.35 336%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIKA   (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 4.00 13% 6.50 4.50 W
LADY GIULIANA   (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 115 8.00 3.30  
FLASH OF CHEROKEE   (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 20% 4.10 2.90 S
CATCHAFALLNSTAR   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 38% 1.60 1.80  
MY D'VALENTINE   (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50 10.00  
JUMP INTO SANITY   (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00 15.00  
KRISTIN   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 8.00 16.40  
SCR  SKIRTS KID   (rettele rich)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCKDOWN LOVER   (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.50 50% 1.00 1.80 W
EL BANDIDO   (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.00 6.10  
HEART OF AN ANGEL   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 30.40  
ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR   (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 23.60  
PAPA DEL CIELO   (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 12% 7.10 2.00  
EL BURRITO   (lopez jac)HERNANDEZ H 119 3.00 17% 5.00 2.00  
 
TDN-3   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWING STATE   (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.00 45% 1.20 3.20 W
KID RUSSELL   (juarez lorenz)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 17% 4.80 3.60 P
KNOCK WOOD   (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00 8.50  
WILDCAT PRIDE   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 6.00 13% 6.50 3.10  
UNBRIDLED CAUSE   (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 1.50  
RED COMET   (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 21.40  
 
TDN-4   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OH EYE SEE   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00 17.30  
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
HOLLYS SUPER STAR   (radosevich just)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 6.70  
  (by GRITTANI out of SPANISH CANDY by SPANIARD)
COUNTRY STYLE   (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 30% 2.30 1.80 S
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
DIMPLED   (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 28.10  
  (by V. E. DAY out of DIMPLES by SMILE)
WINDY VALLEY   (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 17% 5.00 2.70  
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of ODESSA WIND by U S RANGER)
SMARTASSET   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 3.00 33% 2.10 2.70  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN   (patton luke)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 7.20  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
SCR  BOLD NICKY   (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 8.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
 
TDN-5   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA POP STAR   (radosevich jeff)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 22% 3.50 3.10 W
CHLOES ANGEL   (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 1.50  
HIGH CUPPER   (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 13.10  
NORTHERN JOURNEY   (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 11.40  
CHECK OUT LINE   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 43% 1.40 1.30  
SCR  SWEET EMPIRE   (radcliff dona)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
 
TDN-6   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMOR PIERCING   (diehl candace)DIAZ I 115 2.00 31% 2.20 1.90 W
FARMHAND   (patton luke)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 7.70  
ALTAIR   (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 1.10  
MIGHTY FROSTED   (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 31% 2.20 2.40  
SCR  BILLY BEACOUP   (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
SCR  FAST CALL   (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.00    
 
TDN-7   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIV'EM THE BIZ   (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 53% 0.90 1.60 W
WORTHY OPPONENT   (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 15% 5.90 2.80 P
WILDCAT BILL   (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 2.00 7% 14.00 4.50 S
OHIO EAGLE   (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 5.20  
SERENDIPITOUS   (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 45.30  
KEEPING SCORE   (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 3.40  
 
TDN-8   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LOTTIE   (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 1.80 65% 0.50 0.40 W
SERGER   (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 6.20  
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 5.00 5% 19.00 14.40 S
ANCHORWOMAN   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 3.20  
DANZA MAGIC   (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 23.30  
LEXY ANNA   (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 17.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.