Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 5.00
TDN-2   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
TDN-3   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
TDN-4   Win (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $36.60  
TDN-5   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 4.20
TDN-6   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 1.80
TDN-7   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TDN-8   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ELIKA 6 5 41½ 12   14 1¾ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 4.00 13% 6.50 4.50 W
1  LADY GIULIANA 1 3 31 54   34½ 2¾ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 115 8.00 3.30  
6  FLASH OF CHEROKEE 5 4 51½ 42½   24 33 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 20% 4.10 2.90 S
2  CATCHAFALLNSTAR 2 7 718 719½   713½ 43¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 38% 1.60 1.80  
8  MY D'VALENTINE 7 1 2½ 32   44½ 54¾ (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50 10.00  
3  JUMP INTO SANITY 3 6 63 64½   55½ 67¾ (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00 15.00  
4  KRISTIN 4 2 1½ 22   67½ 716¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 8.00 16.40  
SCR  SKIRTS KID               (rettele richar)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOCKDOWN LOVER 5 1 1½ 12½   16½ 13 (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.50 50% 1.00 1.80 W
6  EL BANDIDO 6 2 33 33½   26½ 23 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.00 6.10  
4  HEART OF AN ANGEL 4 3 44½ 47½   39 36¼ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 30.40  
2  ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR 2 5 56½ 58   49½ 46¼ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 23.60  
3  PAPA DEL CIELO 3 4 2½ 22½   513 515¼ (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 12% 7.10 2.00  
1  EL BURRITO 1 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (lopez jacin)HERNANDEZ H 119 3.00 17% 5.00 2.00  
 
TDN-3   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SWING STATE 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 13 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.00 45% 1.20 3.20 W
3  KID RUSSELL 3 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 23 (juarez lorenzo)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 17% 4.80 3.60 P
5  KNOCK WOOD 5 5 55 47   46 36 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00 8.50  
1  WILDCAT PRIDE 1 3 33 33½   34 46 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 6.00 13% 6.50 3.10  
4  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 4 6 67½ 611   510½ 510¾ (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 1.50  
2  RED COMET 2 4 44 510   611½ 613¾ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 21.40  
 
TDN-4   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:004     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH EYE SEE 1 6 44 33½   32 13½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00 17.30  
4  HOLLYS SUPER STAR 4 3 21 21½   21½ 23½ (radosevich justin)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 6.70  
3  COUNTRY STYLE 3 1 11 11½   11½ 36¼ (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 30% 2.30 1.80 S
2  DIMPLED 2 7 68 610   511 415½ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 28.10  
5  WINDY VALLEY 5 2 33 43½   47 518½ (londono odin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 17% 5.00 2.70  
8  SMARTASSET 7 5 56½ 58½   613 619 (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.00 33% 2.10 2.70  
6  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 6 4 78½ 710½   714½ 721½ (patton luke)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 7.20  
SCR  BOLD NICKY               (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 8.00    
 
TDN-5   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHEZA POP STAR 5 2 11 12   14 16 (radosevich jeff)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 22% 3.50 3.10 W
1  CHLOES ANGEL 1 5 21 22   24 26 (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 1.50  
2  HIGH CUPPER 2 3 54 54½   56 37¼ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 119 8.00 13.10  
4  NORTHERN JOURNEY 4 1 32½ 32½   34½ 47¾ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 11.40  
3  CHECK OUT LINE 3 4 43½ 43   45½ 510 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 43% 1.40 1.30  
SCR  SWEET EMPIRE               (radcliff donald)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
 
TDN-6   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ARMOR PIERCING 2 1 22 21½   1nk 1½ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 115 2.00 31% 2.20 1.90 W
2  FARMHAND 1 3 12 11½   2nk 2½ (patton luke)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 7.70  
4  ALTAIR 3 2 34 33½   34 35¾ (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 1.10  
5  MIGHTY FROSTED 4 4 4100 4100   4100 4100 (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 31% 2.20 2.40  
SCR  BILLY BEACOUP               (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
SCR  FAST CALL               (bailey ricardo)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.00    
 
TDN-7   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GIV'EM THE BIZ 3 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 53% 0.90 1.60 W
5  WORTHY OPPONENT 5 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 2½ (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 15% 5.90 2.80 P
2  WILDCAT BILL 2 4 33 32   32 3¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 2.00 7% 14.00 4.50 S
6  OHIO EAGLE 6 1 65½ 55   54¼ 42½ (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 5.20  
4  SERENDIPITOUS 4 5 45 66   44 53½ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 45.30  
1  KEEPING SCORE 1 6 55 43½   66¼ 69½ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 3.40  
 
TDN-8   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LADY LOTTIE 2 3 21½ 21½   1nk 11 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 1.80 65% 0.50 0.40 W
5  SERGER 5 4 43 33   32½ 21 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 3.50 6.20  
4  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 4 6 58 58½   44½ 33¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 115 5.00 5% 19.00 14.40 S
1  ANCHORWOMAN 1 1 11½ 11½   2nk 45 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 ★ 3.20  
3  DANZA MAGIC 3 5 69½ 610   57½ 56¼ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 23.30  
6  LEXY ANNA 6 2 33 44   67¾ 611¾ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 17.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.