Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(5/1/3)-(6/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(6/3/1)-(8/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(8/3/5)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5)-(3/5)-(3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/5)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/5/2)-(2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY GIULIANA Aug24 Aug08 Jul20 Jul11 Jun20 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 115 8.00    
2  CATCHAFALLNSTAR May29 May09 Apr26 Apr03 Nov21 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
3  JUMP INTO SANITY Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 Jun10 May25 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00    
4  KRISTIN Aug23 Jul18 Jun19 Jun10 May30 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 8.00    
SCR  SKIRTS KID Aug07 Jul04 Jun12 May29 Jul21 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
6  FLASH OF CHEROKEE Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
7  ELIKA Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 4.00 13% 6.50    
8  MY D'VALENTINE Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul13 Nov09 (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50    
 
TDN-2   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL BURRITO Sep06 Aug23 Feb22 Jan14 Dec17 (lopez jac)HERNANDEZ H 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
2  ANGEL'S SOUPERSTAR Sep06 Aug24 Jul31 Oct05 Sep21 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
3  PAPA DEL CIELO Sep05 Aug23 Aug13 May20 May06 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 12% 7.10    
4  HEART OF AN ANGEL Sep06 Aug08 Jul11     (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00    
5  LOCKDOWN LOVER Sep06 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Mar29 (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  EL BANDIDO Aug24 Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.00    
 
TDN-3   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDCAT PRIDE Mar02 Dec30 Nov30 Nov16   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 6.00 13% 6.50    
2  RED COMET Sep07 Aug24 Aug14 Jul31 Jul13 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
3  KID RUSSELL Aug14 Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 Jun15 (juarez lorenz)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
4  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun27 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
5  KNOCK WOOD Aug28 Aug09 Jul24 Jun19 May29 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00    
6  SWING STATE Aug31 Aug14 Jul31 Jul06 Jun06 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
TDN-4   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH EYE SEE Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 May15 Apr25 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
2  DIMPLED Aug23 Aug09 Jul10 Dec08 Nov23 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of DIMPLES by SMILE)
3  COUNTRY STYLE Aug31 Aug12 Jul25 Jul06 Jun20 (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
4  HOLLYS SUPER STAR Aug30 Aug09       (radosevich just)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00    
  (by GRITTANI out of SPANISH CANDY by SPANIARD)
5  WINDY VALLEY Aug31 Aug12       (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of ODESSA WIND by U S RANGER)
6  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Apr06 Mar27 Mar09 Feb23 Feb06 (patton luke)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
SCR  BOLD NICKY Jun19 May31 May11 Apr24 Mar27 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 8.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
8  SMARTASSET         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
 
TDN-5   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHLOES ANGEL Aug30 Aug10 Aug02 Jul17 Jun12 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00    
2  HIGH CUPPER Sep07 Aug08 Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
3  CHECK OUT LINE Aug31 Aug08 Jul17 Jun26 Jun13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 43% 1.40    
4  NORTHERN JOURNEY Aug31 Aug08 Jul17 May23 May09 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
5  SHEZA POP STAR Aug31 Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 Nov19 (radosevich jeff)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  SWEET EMPIRE Aug22 Aug08 Jun26 Jun12 May24 (radcliff dona)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
 
TDN-6   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BILLY BEACOUP Aug02 Jul17 May20 Aug23 Aug08 (patton luke)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
2  FARMHAND Jun19 May17 Jan30 Nov14 Oct27 (patton luke)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00    
3  ARMOR PIERCING Aug30 Aug09 Jul10 Jun06 May05 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 115 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  ALTAIR Sep06 Aug24 Jul31 Jul12 Jun27 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00    
5  MIGHTY FROSTED Sep06 Aug15 Jul17 Apr30 Nov05 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  FAST CALL Sep07 Aug15 Jul11 Aug18 Aug09 (bailey ricard)GUERERE ANGEL 119 3.00    
 
TDN-7   09/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING SCORE Sep04 Aug12 Jul12 Jun10 May09 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
2  WILDCAT BILL Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 May25 Dec06 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 2.00 7% 14.00    
3  GIV'EM THE BIZ Aug28 Aug12 Jul12 Jun20 May23 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
4  SERENDIPITOUS Sep04 Aug14 Jun21 Jun01 May17 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
5  WORTHY OPPONENT Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jul18 Jun10 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 15% 5.90    
6  OHIO EAGLE Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 Jun26 Jun07 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00    
 
TDN-8   09/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANCHORWOMAN Jul17 Jun27 Jun02 May06 Apr10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 ★    
2  LADY LOTTIE Aug14 Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 Jul08 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 1.80 65% 0.50    
3  DANZA MAGIC Sep04 Aug03 Jul13 Jun26 May24 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
4  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Sep04 Jul17 Jun30 Jun02 May10 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  SERGER Aug28 Aug03 Jul24 Jul04 May24 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 3.50    
6  LEXY ANNA Aug21 Jul17 Jun15 Jun01 May03 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.