Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-2   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.00 $1.00 17%
MNR-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00  1 $2.80 $0.80 40%
MNR-8   EXA (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-8 $31.00 $7.00 29%
    TRI (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-8-1 $42.60 $18.60 78%

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:222 :46 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLA OF TROUBLE 6 1 33 3   34 1hd (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 2.50 1.70  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of EBONY ORO by BOB AND JOHN)
TALLY'S RIVER 3 6 6 4   24 2hd (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.50 5.50  
  (by LONG RIVER out of SPLIT TALLY by TWO PUNCH)
BAYTOWN ANGEL 5 2 2nk 14   14 3 (mcente)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.80 58% 0.70 1.10 S
  (by PALACE MALICE out of HOMESICK ANGEL by DIVINE PARK)
RENT FREE 1 3 1nk 24   4 4 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.00 6.30  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of GITTEL by BERNSTEIN)
MACI'S WORLD 2 4 4 510½   511¼ 5 (stanoszek sa)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 12.00 34.50  
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLUE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
LUNA SOL 4 5 5 610½   611¾ 6 (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
  (by KHOZAN out of JIM'S CHARM by GONE ASTRAY)
SCR  QADIRA               (urieta johann)BRACHO A 118 15.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
MNR-2   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UCAPTURED AERO 5 1 1 11   12 1 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 31% 2.20 2.50 W
SECRET SEDUCTION 6 4 5 21   22 2 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 12.00 21.40  
CONSTITUTIONALIST 3 3 2 32   3 37 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 21% 3.80 2.80 S
TIPHARAH 1 6 43 5   4 410½ (lusk r)BRAVO MISAEL 113 6.00 9.90  
LOVE GONE WILD 4 2 32 45   5 511¾ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 27% 2.60 1.00  
QUITCHERSNIVELIN 2 5 6 6   68 613 (snatchko a)VEGA L 120 15.00 29.10  
SCR  RHYTHM FOREVER               (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00    
SCR  SOLDAT TEMPTATION               (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50    
 
MNR-3   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:002     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
W H LITTLE MISS GO 1 3 3 1nk   2nk 1 (johnston scot)NELSON TYRONE 120 4.00 52% 0.90 0.40 W
BOUJEE KITTEN 2 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2 (welsh gary )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00 4.90  
MOMMY BERTA 3 1 1½ 3.2   33 37 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 1.70  
SCR  PEARLINTHEROUGH               (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 120 1.60    
SCR  HOP TO A DECISION               (harigeorgiou konst)PAUCAR E 118 5.00    
SCR  RAHTID               (lawrence da)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  GOLD PASS               (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 3.50    
 
MNR-4   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MT. ZEROR 1 5 4 4   2½ 1 (silva pab)BRAVO MISAEL 111 1.20 38% 1.70 0.10 W
  (by KARAKONTIE out of UNTOUCH by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
DUST STORM 8 2 2nk 1½   1½ 2 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00 14.50  
  (by GET STORMY out of ZIP IT KIM by CITY ZIP)
FAR FROM HOME 3 1 3.2 3½   32 36 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00 21.70  
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
KNOCKOUT GUY 5 8 7 7   57 4 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 118 6.00 18% 4.50 9.10  
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MO TOWN BLUES 4 4 5 53   69 510½ (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 10.00 18.30  
  (by MO TOWN out of TRUFFLES by DON B.)
FINAL VERDICT 7 3 1nk 2½   45 614½ (lusk bria)HERNANDEZ H 118 15.00 9% 10.10 44.70  
  (by FINALE out of PREMIER ROMA by BURNING ROMA)
COMMISSIONER H 2 6 6 66   711 714¾ (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 118 10.00 6% 14.60 32.50  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SILENT SUE by SILENT NAME (JPN))
SOUTHPOINT 6 7 8 812½   815 818 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 30.00 ######  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ABSATOOTLY by MINESHAFT)
SCR  HOLLY LOVES STOOPS               (monta)MONSERRATE A 118 15.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of SHE LOVES ME NOW by CHIEF SEATTLE)
 
MNR-5   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIO MARIA 1 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 1nk (si)DA FAUSTO 123 2.50 34% 2.00 0.20 W
LOVE MY CHERYL 4 3 3 2nk   2½ 2nk (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00 4.20  
TESTED POSITIVE 3 4 4 4   3 37 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 8.00 6.60  
POLISHED GEM 2 1 2½ 34   410½ 421¾ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00 32% 2.10 8.10  
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND               (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00    
SCR  CHARGINA               (kocijan marcus)BRAVO MISAEL 113 10.00    
SCR  I SAID HEY               (lopez e)BRACHO A 120 3.50    
SCR  MY LEGAL BET               (simpson sha)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00    
 
MNR-6   10/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:132     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP NUGGET 2 6 5 5 2½ 12 18 (figuero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 61% 0.60 0.70 W
LA BRODY 3 4 4 3 4 4 28 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 4.00  
AND I KNOW 4 2 2nk 21 31 33 39 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 9% 10.00 4.20 S
MALIBU MARLEE 6 3 35 4 53 5 4 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
HERO'S DAUGHTER 1 1 1nk 11 1½ 22 514¼ (loudin-smith l)BRAVO MISAEL 115 10.00 30.10  
RUNAWAY MOM 5 5 6 6 68 613½ 620¼ (fletcher wes)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 10.00  
SCR  FLAXEN               (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 120 5.00    
 
MNR-7   10/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:131     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN GULCH 3 4 4 5 4 2½ 12 (van be)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.80 23% 3.30 1.40 W
APPRAISAL 4 3 2nk 1½ 12 1½ 22 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 2.50 22% 3.50 1.50 P
STRIKE THE TOP 5 5 5 31 22 3 3 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5.90  
SAVVY LAYLA 6 6 6 62 5 4 410¼ (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00 22% 3.50 14.00  
HEZA HANDFUL 2 1 31 41 32 56 514½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 4.90  
MARSALA MONARCH 1 2 1nk 2½ 611¾ 624 631¼ (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 15.00 36.90  
SCR  RED HURRICANE               (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00    
 
MNR-8   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTIAGO'S CAT 2 2 1nk 12   14 1½ (silva pab)BRAVO MISAEL 111 2.00 18% 4.40 0.90 W
MYSTIC MINISTER 8 5 4 33   24 2½ (fletche)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10 P
JOHN'S KID 1 7 7 47   46 3½ (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 121 3.00 39% 1.60 3.00 S
HUNTER JUMPER 7 3 34 78   58 4 (wolfe greg)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 5.50  
ANGELUS DIAMOND 6 8 812¾ 812   811 5 (sanders melind)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00 39.00  
RESVALON 4 4 5 6   6 63 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 118 10.00 67.10  
OLD FORTY FIVE 5 6 6 5   79 73 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 16% 5.20 6.30  
IN THE GOSPEL 3 1 2nk 22   34 8 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 6.00 27.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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