Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (6/5)-(6/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(1)-(1/6/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(1/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
MNR-4   WIN (1/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/2)-(1/6/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/2)-(1/6/8/2)-(1/6/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/8/2)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
MNR-6   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(1/2/5/8) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(1/2/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (1/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENT FREE Sep10 Aug26       (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of GITTEL by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  QADIRA Sep05         (urieta johann)BRACHO A 118 15.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MACI'S WORLD Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 Jul20 May01 (stanoszek sa)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLUE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  TALLY'S RIVER         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.50    
  (by LONG RIVER out of SPLIT TALLY by TWO PUNCH)
5  LUNA SOL Sep27         (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of JIM'S CHARM by GONE ASTRAY)
6  BAYTOWN ANGEL Sep27 Sep11 Aug21     (mcente)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.80 58% 0.70    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of HOMESICK ANGEL by DIVINE PARK)
7  POLA OF TROUBLE Sep27 Sep08 Aug18     (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 2.50 ★    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of EBONY ORO by BOB AND JOHN)
 
MNR-2   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RHYTHM FOREVER Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Jan01 Dec17 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00    
2  TIPHARAH Oct02 Sep06 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 (lusk br)BRAVO MISAEL 113 6.00    
3  QUITCHERSNIVELIN Sep26 Sep19 Aug23 Aug04 Jul26 (snatchko a)VEGA L 120 15.00    
4  CONSTITUTIONALIST Sep19 Sep05 Aug24 Aug01 Jul23 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  LOVE GONE WILD Sep13 Aug29 Dec09 Nov06   (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 27% 2.60    
6  UCAPTURED AERO Sep20 Apr23 Feb20     (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Sep12 Aug23 Jul18 Jun26 Jun10 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50    
8  SECRET SEDUCTION Sep19 Aug21 Aug09 Jul26 Jul09 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 12.00    
 
MNR-3   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  W H LITTLE MISS GO Sep27 Sep11 Aug16 Jul23 Jul02 (johnston scot)NELSON TYRONE 120 4.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  RAHTID Sep24 Sep11 Aug28 Aug09 Jun22 (lawrence da)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
3  BOUJEE KITTEN Sep11 Aug28 Aug16 Jul24 Jul11 (welsh gary )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00    
SCR  PEARLINTHEROUGH Sep20 Jun21 Apr30 Apr07 Mar05 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 120 1.60    
SCR  GOLD PASS Sep27 Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 3.50    
6  MOMMY BERTA Sep11 Aug30 Jul11 Oct31 Oct12 (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  HOP TO A DECISION Oct04 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 Jul28 (harigeorgiou konst)PAUCAR E 118 5.00    
 
MNR-4   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MT. ZEROR Sep23 Aug06 Jul01 Apr28   (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 1.20 38% 1.70    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of UNTOUCH by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  COMMISSIONER H Sep18 Sep04 Aug11 Jun10 May19 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 118 10.00 6% 14.60    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SILENT SUE by SILENT NAME (JPN))
3  FAR FROM HOME Oct03 Sep08 Aug03 Jul13 Jun30 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  HOLLY LOVES STOOPS Dec04 Nov21       (monta)MONSERRATE A 118 15.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of SHE LOVES ME NOW by CHIEF SEATTLE)
5  MO TOWN BLUES Oct03 Sep17 Sep08 Aug11 Aug02 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 10.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of TRUFFLES by DON B.)
6  KNOCKOUT GUY Sep17 Aug06 Jul26 Jul16 Jul10 (fearon johnat)NELSON TYRONE 118 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  SOUTHPOINT Sep05 Aug08 Jul12 Jun19 May22 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 30.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ABSATOOTLY by MINESHAFT)
8  FINAL VERDICT         (lusk br)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00 9% 10.10    
  (by FINALE out of PREMIER ROMA by BURNING ROMA)
9  DUST STORM Aug02 Jul11 May23 Dec02 Oct15 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of ZIP IT KIM by CITY ZIP)
 
MNR-5   10/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIO MARIA Oct01 Sep24 Sep10 Nov12 Oct15 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  I SAID HEY Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 Jun03 Apr28 (lopez e)BRACHO A 120 3.50    
3  POLISHED GEM Sep19 May02 Apr10 Mar16 Feb06 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  MY LEGAL BET Sep10 Aug26 Aug18 Jun03 May07 (simpson sha)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00    
5  TESTED POSITIVE Sep24 Aug31 Aug18 Jul29 Jul06 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 8.00    
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND Sep12 Aug30 Aug01 Jun22 May16 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00    
SCR  CHARGINA Aug16 Aug07 Jul21 Jul02 Jun11 (kocijan)BRAVO MISAEL 113 10.00    
8  LOVE MY CHERYL Sep25 Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00    
 
MNR-6   10/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERO'S DAUGHTER Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 Jul05 Jun25 (loudin-)BRAVO MISAEL 115 10.00    
2  STARSHIP NUGGET Sep23 Sep07 Aug19 Jul26 Jul12 (figuero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  FLAXEN Sep14 Mar23 Mar07 Feb06 Jan03 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 120 5.00    
4  LA BRODY Oct03 Sep19 Sep06 Aug04 Jul22 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
5  AND I KNOW Sep23 Aug10 Jul01 Jun22 May27 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
6  RUNAWAY MOM Oct02 Sep06 Aug02 Jun24 Jun10 (fletcher wes)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00    
7  MALIBU MARLEE Sep19 Sep03 Jul26 Jul05 Jun18 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-7   10/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED HURRICANE Oct04 Sep05 Aug14 Aug08 Jun14 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00    
2  MARSALA MONARCH Sep18 Oct09 Sep13 Aug11 Jun19 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
3  HEZA HANDFUL Sep05 Jul18 Jun22 May29 May08 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
4  INDIAN GULCH Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 May08 Apr24 (van be)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.80 23% 3.30    
5  APPRAISAL Oct01 Sep05 Jul25 Jun12 May17 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
6  STRIKE THE TOP Oct01 Sep03 Aug23 Jul31 Jul10 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
7  SAVVY LAYLA Sep27 Sep18 Aug22 Jul27 May27 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00 22% 3.50    
 
MNR-8   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN'S KID Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug14 Jul23 (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  SANTIAGO'S CAT Sep04 Aug09 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 2.00 18% 4.40    
3  IN THE GOSPEL Sep27 Aug27 Aug16 Jul19 Nov23 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 6.00    
4  RESVALON Aug14 Jul18 Jul12 Jun21 Jun03 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 118 10.00    
5  OLD FORTY FIVE Sep27 Sep17 Sep04 Jul30 Jul17 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 16% 5.20    
6  ANGELUS DIAMOND Aug29 Jul24 Jul16 Jun27 May25 (sanders melind)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00    
7  HUNTER JUMPER Sep06 Aug21 Jun19 May15 May07 (wolfe greg)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00    
8  MYSTIC MINISTER Sep17 Sep05 Aug21 Jul18 Jul02 (fletche)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.