Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-3   WIN (8/6/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $11.80 $1.80 18%
    DD (4/3/5)-(8/6/7/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-6 $32.00 $17.00 113%
FE-7   WIN (9/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $8.50 $0.50 6%
    EXA (9/4/3/7)-(9/4/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-4 $19.40 $3.40 21%

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE MY CHERYL 5 3 4 2   1 1 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 118 4.00 7.40  
HEADING WEST 3 5 5 45   3 2 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.00 27% 2.70 0.90 P
MAKES SENSE TO ME 6 2 3 3   4 3 (powell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 23% 3.40 4.30 S
DEVIL IN HER HEART 4 4 1nk 1   2 4 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 6.00 13.60  
MIMI'S HOLIDAY 2 6 6 5   54 5 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00 27% 2.80 2.45  
WHATSWRONGWITHYOU 1 1 2nk 67   612 6100 (th)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 12.00 43.55  
 
FE-2   07/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOZZY VALINTINE 4 5 3 21   2½ 1nk (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.60 47% 1.20 1.95 W
MORE SAVVY 1 3 1 11   1½ 2nk (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 5.65  
TRISH THE DISH 3 2 43 5   55 3 (capi m)SALLES LEO 120 3.50 17% 5.00 9.80 S
FANCYSOUL 5 4 5 4   4 4 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50 13% 6.50 3.50  
GLITTER BAY 2 1 2 31   3 514¾ (bailey barbara)STEIN JUSTIN 120 6.00 1.45  
 
FE-3   07/25/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:131     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED INFERNO 5 5 714½ 810¼   11 1 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 34% 2.00 4.90 W
MISS D'S PRIDE 3 1 25 2   21 2 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 2.60  
LADY OF THE FORT 1 3 37 3   32 3 (cathcart stev)DAVID MICHAEL 115 15.00 57.55  
THIS CAT IS BY JAX 4 7 815½ 6   54 4 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 118 20.00 33.85  
AMEN TO THAT 2 2 514 48   4 59 (humber)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 20.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
WIN THE DRAW 8 9 915¾ 911¾   7 615½ (drake m)RAMSAMMY E 120 15.00 5% 19.00 8.35  
10  BROADWAY RUCKUS 9 4 413 5   87 723¾ (bail)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00 16.55  
PRINCE FOR A DAY 7 6 15 1   6 825½ (mustoe cindy)MUNOZ LARRY 120 2.00 38% 1.70 1.60  
FIRST ROUND 6 8 614½ 710   99 932½ (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00 8% 12.10 7.50  
SCR  BEST AND FINAL               (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 118 5.00    
 
FE-4   07/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:121     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERNIE'S MARTINI 1 4 33 21   11 1 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80 1.40  
  (by SKY MESA out of AQUINNAH by CITY PLACE)
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 6 5 6 5   5 2 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 45% 1.20 2.30 P
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 3 3 55 4   3 3 (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 8.10 S
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
I LIVE BY FAITH 7 1 13 11   21 4 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 6.30  
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 2 6 79 712¼   7 5 (powell a)SALLES LEO 118 15.00 13.85  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RON'S LADY by ELHAYQ (IRE))
WIKWEMIKONG GHOST 4 8 814 814¾   8 6 (desruissea)ANDERSON JODEIEN 118 10.00 40.65  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of PLEASED AS PUNCH by PLEASANT TAP)
TAYBO 8 2 23 6   6 710¾ (davis )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 10.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of ASCOT HAILEY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
BUSTA GROOVE 5 7 44 31   43 815¼ (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 108 6.00 26% 2.80 8.20  
  (by ARPISTA out of SYDNEY'S SPIRIT by GIANT GIZMO)
 
FE-5   07/25/2023 4620ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT GUROO 1 1 12 11   1 11 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 2.50 0.60  
BORN TO BE GOOD 7 5 4 5   32 21 (cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 48.65 DH
PLUIE D'AVRIL 8 6 65 21   2 21 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 8.90 DH
FRESH DREAMS 5 2 3 42   42 42 (keen h)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.45  
HASN'T HIT ME YET 2 3 54 6   6 5 (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 115 6.00 8.60  
MUSICAL RIDE 6 4 22 31   53 6 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 55% 0.80 7.65  
MONASTERY LANE 4 7 7 7   7 7 (dixon )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
LOOKIN TO FLY 3 8 820½ 816¾   8 811 (cohe)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 15.00 13% 6.40 46.20  
 
FE-6   07/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:224 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J M R GEMMA 6 5 3½ 1½   1 1 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 12.00 1.25  
SHELLY THE ROCKET 9 8 7 6   2 2 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 12% 7.20 2.50 P
ROAD MAP 2 1 5 7   7 33 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 29.45  
PENNIESFROMABOVE 3 2 6 5   4 4 (steer tom)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 6% 15.40 17.25  
KATY AND EMMA 7 6 42 3   5 5 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 20.00 55.90  
GREEN GABLES 5 4 1nk 2½   3 69 (macrae donald )JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 47% 1.10 3.65  
ONE LAST FLING 1 3 2nk 4   6 7 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 3.00 8% 11.30 9.80  
FORMENTOR 8 9 95 8   8 811¾ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 17.95  
READY TO RUMBLE 4 7 8 9   9 913¼ (thompson val)CHEYNE A 120 15.00 69.60  
 
FE-7   07/25/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:223 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUMLIN BIRD 3 7 42 3   3 11 (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.25 W
BABY MO 4 6 31 21   1½ 21 (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.00 9% 10.70 4.85 P
NEW YORK MINT 8 1 6 66   4 3 (bennet)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 40.55  
SHANGHAI KIMMY 5 8 5 4   54 43 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 5.35  
MS. P'S BELLA 6 3 7 7   65 54 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 14.75  
SWEET FINALE 9 2 8 811   7 6 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 4.00 58% 0.70 5.65  
EASY ACCESS 2 4 11 11   2½ 76 (ne)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00 41.75  
SAVVY'S SISTER 1 9 97 912   98 8 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00 2.90  
ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA 7 5 21 54   87 911¾ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.85  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.