Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(8/6/7/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-3   WIN (8/6/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/2/9)-(8/6/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/2/9)-(8/6/7/2/9)-(8/6/7/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/7/2/9)-(6/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-4   WIN (6/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/3)-(6/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/3)-(6/5/8/3)-(6/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/8/3)-(6/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-5   WIN (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/4)-(5/9/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-6   WIN (5/9/1/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/3/8)-(5/9/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/3/8)-(5/9/1/3/8)-(5/9/1/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/1/3/8)-(9/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-7   WIN (9/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/7)-(9/4/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/7)-(9/4/5/3/7)-(9/4/5/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATSWRONGWITHYOU Jul10 Oct11 Sep19     (th)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 12.00    
2  MIMI'S HOLIDAY Jul16 Jul04 May23 Dec08 Nov18 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00 27% 2.80    
3  HEADING WEST Jul10 Jun13 May23 Mar18 Feb24 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  DEVIL IN HER HEART Jul10 Jun27 Jun06 Nov24 Oct17 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 6.00    
5  LOVE MY CHERYL Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun06 Jan02 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 118 4.00    
6  MAKES SENSE TO ME Jul03 Jun18 Jun06 May25 May05 (powell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
FE-2   07/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE SAVVY Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 May23 May14 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00    
2  GLITTER BAY Jul08 Jun26 Jun06 Apr23 Mar18 (bailey barbara)STEIN JUSTIN 120 6.00    
3  TRISH THE DISH Jul14 Jun29 May27 Mar24 Nov05 (capi m)SALLES LEO 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  KHOZZY VALINTINE Jul04 Jun10 May19 Jan11 Nov19 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.60 47% 1.20    
5  FANCYSOUL Jun26 Mar31 Mar05 Jan28 Jan08 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
 
FE-3   07/25/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY OF THE FORT Jul16 Jun12 Jul26 Jul04   (cathcart stev)DAVID MICHAEL 115 15.00    
2  AMEN TO THAT Jul03 May23       (humber jos)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISS D'S PRIDE Jul18 Jun13 Oct04 Sep19 Sep05 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
4  THIS CAT IS BY JAX Jun18         (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 118 20.00    
SCR  BEST AND FINAL Jul11 Jun13 May23 Aug14 Aug02 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 118 5.00    
6  UNBRIDLED INFERNO Jul11 Jun16 Nov25 Oct21 Sep30 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 34% 2.00    
7  FIRST ROUND Jul18 Jun18 May30 May07 Dec11 (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00 8% 12.10    
8  PRINCE FOR A DAY Jul18 Jun18 Jun13 May23 Nov20 (mustoe cindy)MUNOZ LARRY 120 2.00 38% 1.70    
9  WIN THE DRAW Jul07 Jun16 May28 Dec09 Nov26 (drake m)RAMSAMMY E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BROADWAY RUCKUS Jul11 May30 Mar18 Mar10 Feb26 (bail)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00    
 
FE-4   07/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERNIE'S MARTINI Jun22 Jun10 May20 Dec04   (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80    
  (by SKY MESA out of AQUINNAH by CITY PLACE)
2  I'M NO SLEEPY JOE Jul03 Jun18 May26 May12 Dec01 (powell a)SALLES LEO 118 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RON'S LADY by ELHAYQ (IRE))
3  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Jul11 Jul03 Jun06 May23 May12 (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
4  WIKWEMIKONG GHOST Jul07 Jun16       (desruissea)ANDERSON JODEIEN 118 10.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of PLEASED AS PUNCH by PLEASANT TAP)
5  BUSTA GROOVE Jun18 Jun03 May07     (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 108 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by ARPISTA out of SYDNEY'S SPIRIT by GIANT GIZMO)
6  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT Jul03 Jun18 May23     (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
7  I LIVE BY FAITH Jul03 Jun18 Dec11 Oct28 Jun19 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
8  TAYBO Jul07 Jun16 May26 Nov27   (davis )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of ASCOT HAILEY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
FE-5   07/25/2023 4620ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT GUROO Jun29 Jun15 May27 Dec01 Nov17 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 2.50    
2  HASN'T HIT ME YET Jul04 Jun18 May23 May14 Apr29 (maynard desmon)BYNOE DESEAN 115 6.00    
3  LOOKIN TO FLY Jun29 Mar17 Feb03 Jan04 Dec11 (cohe)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 15.00 13% 6.40    
4  MONASTERY LANE Jun15 Nov26 Nov05 Oct11 Sep15 (dixon )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FRESH DREAMS Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May23 Dec10 (keen h)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MUSICAL RIDE Jul11 Jun18 Jan18 Jan03 Oct11 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
7  BORN TO BE GOOD Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 May30 Dec08 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 118 10.00    
8  PLUIE D'AVRIL Jun29 Jun18 Jun06 May23 Nov10 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00    
 
FE-6   07/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE LAST FLING Jun13 May30 Mar31 Mar10 Feb15 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 3.00 8% 11.30    
2  ROAD MAP Jul11 May30 Nov10 Oct17 Sep18 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
3  PENNIESFROMABOVE Jul04 May30 Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 (steer tom)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 6% 15.40    
4  READY TO RUMBLE Jul10 Oct10 Sep06 Aug09 Jul17 (thompson val)CHEYNE A 120 15.00    
5  GREEN GABLES Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 Apr30 Nov24 (macrae donald )JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  J M R GEMMA Jul04 Jun26 Jun12 Nov10 Oct24 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 12.00    
7  KATY AND EMMA Jun27 Sep19 Aug30 Jun13 Apr29 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 20.00    
8  FORMENTOR Jul11 Jun26 Sep27 Sep13 Aug19 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHELLY THE ROCKET Jul04 Jun10 May12 Apr29 Oct06 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
FE-7   07/25/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVVY'S SISTER Jul11 Jun13 Jun06 May23 Nov04 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 120 5.00    
2  EASY ACCESS Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 May23 Sep19 (ne)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00    
3  CRUMLIN BIRD Jun27 May23 Dec10 Nov10 Oct24 (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BABY MO Jun16 May25 Nov03 Oct06 Sep16 (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.00 9% 10.70    
5  SHANGHAI KIMMY Oct24 Sep20 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 ★    
6  MS. P'S BELLA Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 Jun13 May23 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
7  ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA Jul10 Dec04 Nov21 Nov08 Oct26 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  NEW YORK MINT Jun27 May23 Oct10 Aug29 Aug14 (bennet)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00    
9  SWEET FINALE Jul04 Jun12 Oct17 Oct04 Sep06 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 4.00 58% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.