The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fort Erie
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -2.30
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-1 2 1 $4.90 $4.90 -1.10
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 5-1-2 3 0 $1.85 -1.20
FE-2   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $31.30 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-5 2 0 $47.35 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 2-5-3 3 0 $17.79 -1.20
    Daily Double (1/3/5)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 5-2 2 0 $45.70 -9.00
FE-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.30 $4.30 -1.70
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-1 2 1 $5.70 $5.70 -0.30
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 3-1-4 3 0 $2.96 -1.20
    Daily Double (3/4/5)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-3 2 0 $79.10 -9.00
FE-4   Win (3/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $4.80 -8.00
    Exacta (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-8 2 0 $8.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 7-8-4 3 0 $6.04 -4.80
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(3/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-7 2 0 $6.55 -12.00
FE-5   Win (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
    Exacta (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-3 2 0 $26.20 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 7-3-4 3 0 $34.41 -1.20
    Daily Double (3/4/5/8)-(2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-7 2 0 $7.80 -12.00
FE-6   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $9.70 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 0 $14.70 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 1-2-3 3 0 $7.19 -1.20
    Daily Double (2/5/7)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-1 2 0 $15.75 -9.00
FE-7   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.50 $5.50 -0.50
    Exacta (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-3 2 0 $9.25 -6.00
    Trifecta (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 4-3-6 3 0 $4.40 -1.20
    Daily Double (3/4/5)-(4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-1 2 0 $4.05 -9.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5)-(4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-4 2 0 $11.05 -9.00

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/16/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:23 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEA MAJESTIC G G 5 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 11 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 18% 4.40 0.85 W
ALWAY'S ROSIE 1 2 3 3   2nk 21 (dixon pa)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 2.50 48% 1.10 2.70 P
COSMIC SHOT 2 3 1nk 2nk   31 3(fournier mark)DAVID MICHAEL 120 4.00 3.70  
LIGHTNING MARIE 4 4 4 44   43 4(rabstein s)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 12.55  
TEXAS DANA 3 5 5 57   5512¾ (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 118 2.00 13% 6.90 7.20  
 
FE-2   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
:214 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER RETREAT 2 2 1nk 1nk   11 1hd (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 14.65  
STRIKING MOON 5 5 5 5   32hd (mileni nick)KING MARIE 122 1.20 68% 0.50 0.70 P
MONEY MATTERS 3 3 2nk 3.2   21 3(bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 8% 12.20 1.55 S
VINNIE VAN GO 4 1 3.2 2nk   44(robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
TWO YEAR CONTRACT 1 4 4 4   55(capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 8.00 15.25  
 
FE-3   07/16/2023 3300ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
:221 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMBALA 3 1 2½ 21   1nk 1(simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 2.00 27% 2.70 1.15 W
FOREST B 1 2 1½ 11   2nk 2(powell d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 13% 6.70 3.60 P
CHASING JOY 4 3 3 35   33(humber josep)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 6.00 6.40  
TOO MUCH VINO 2 5 512 511   48 4(tharrenos willia)JOHNSON KIRK 118 1.60 36% 1.80 2.40  
SILVER TUNES 5 4 4 47   5515 (siddo ba)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 8.95  
 
FE-4   07/16/2023 3300ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
:231 :463       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SONG AND MELODY 7 2 13 13   13 1(davis m)MAILHOT P 118 3.00 1.40  
TEQUILAS MELODY 8 5 33 23   23 2(rabstein)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 26% 2.80 4.60 P
ONLY AT MIDNITE 4 7 45 34   3310 (mandalfino r)RAMSAMMY E 118 12.00 5% 19.00 4.05 S
SAGED ENERGY 3 6 79 710¼   58 415¼ (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 10.00 25% 3.00 21.40  
WICKEN CENTS 6 8 812½ 812¾   7515½ (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 118 15.00 24.00  
LIGHTS AND SIRENS 1 3 5 59   6617¼ (jennings alison)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 8.10  
TANGERINE TWIST 5 1 23 44   4717¾ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.00 27% 2.80 4.45  
LADY OF THE FORT 2 4 6 610   810½ 820½ (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 118 6.00 22.40  
 
FE-5   07/16/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
:233 :472 1:121 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 6 6 67 610½ 5 3½ 1(simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 38% 1.70 2.40 W
PARTY OF NO 3 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 2(robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 5.85  
BOCELLI 4 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 3(keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 12.00 13.75  
THELONIOUS 2 4 5 4 3 44(humber josep)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 2.50 33% 2.10 1.40  
CALMING INFLUENCE 5 2 3 3 45 55 515¾ (jolin chri)BUCHANAN Z 112 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
DIMMI QUANDO 1 5 4 5 6 66 616¼ (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 122 3.50 8.40  
SCR  CRYPTIC CREED               (albu ken)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
 
FE-6   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
:224 :461 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAKY REBEL 1 1 13 13   112 (powell d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 3.85  
MIMI'S HOLIDAY 2 5 4 46   322 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00 3.40  
LOVE MY CHERYL 3 2 23 23   23(robillard juli)CHEYNE A 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.25 S
ISA BREEZE 4 3 5 5   46 4(simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 2.00 71% 0.40 0.90  
MISS MOLLY LALOU 5 4 3 36   56 511 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 5.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
 
FE-7   07/16/2023 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
:232 :464 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK BEANSTALK 2 3 1 1   11 12 (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 15% 5.60 1.75 W
LIL GREEN MACHINE 1 1 42 3   322 (davies ronal)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 4.80  
PAPERBACK HERO 4 4 3 2   21 3(agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 8.00 3.90  
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 3 5 5 5   45 4(davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 13% 6.70 3.05  
ROCKET JOE COPPER 5 2 2 4   55(agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 43% 1.30 3.50  
SCR  CHAIRMAN BOB               (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 122 10.00    
SCR  DOCTOR UPTOWN               (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.