Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Fort Erie
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (5/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-5   Win (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-7   Win (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   07/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAY'S ROSIE Jun29         (dixon pa)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 2.50 48% 1.10    
COSMIC SHOT Dec01 Nov10 Oct10 Oct04 Sep20 (fournier mark)DAVID MICHAEL 120 4.00    
TEXAS DANA Jun17         (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 118 2.00 13% 6.90    
LIGHTNING MARIE Jun13 Sep12       (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 120 6.00    
BEA MAJESTIC G G Jul04 Jun13 May23 Oct11   (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 18% 4.40    
 
FE-2   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO YEAR CONTRACT Jun26 Jun06 May14 Apr23 Nov26 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 8.00    
SUMMER RETREAT Jul10 Jun18 Jun12 May30 Dec14 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00    
MONEY MATTERS Jul03 Jun27 Jun13 May30 May07 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 8% 12.20    
VINNIE VAN GO Jul10 Jun18 Mar15 Feb17 Feb08 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
STRIKING MOON Jun27 Jun13 Apr19 Mar23 Mar16 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 122 1.20 68% 0.50    
 
FE-3   07/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST B Jun06 Apr30 Dec01 Oct29 Oct01 (powell d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 13% 6.70    
TOO MUCH VINO May25 May05 Apr22 Jan18 Dec30 (tharrenos willia)JOHNSON KIRK 118 1.60 36% 1.80    
GIMBALA Jul04 Jun18 Jun06 Oct24 Oct06 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
CHASING JOY Jun18 May25 Apr22 Apr02 Mar15 (humber josep)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 6.00    
SILVER TUNES Jun23 Apr22 May26 Apr30 Apr10 (siddo ba)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00    
 
FE-4   07/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTS AND SIRENS Sep20 Aug16       (jennings alison)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00    
LADY OF THE FORT Jun12 Jul26 Jul04     (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 118 6.00    
SAGED ENERGY         (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 10.00 25% 3.00    
ONLY AT MIDNITE Jun26 Jun06 Oct22 Oct14 Jul02 (mandalfino r)RAMSAMMY E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
TANGERINE TWIST Jul04 May30 Jul19 Jun27   (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.00 27% 2.80    
WICKEN CENTS May30 Oct24 Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 118 15.00    
MY SONG AND MELODY May30 Apr12 Mar19 Feb25 Aug05 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 3.00    
TEQUILAS MELODY Jul04         (rabstein)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
FE-5   07/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIMMI QUANDO Jun27 Jun13 May05 Apr16 Mar26 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 122 3.50    
THELONIOUS Jul03 Jun18 Jun02 May20 Dec09 (humber josep)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 2.50 33% 2.10    
PARTY OF NO Oct03 Sep27 Sep13 Sep06 Aug30 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
BOCELLI (IRE) Jun18 May30 Nov06 Oct24 Oct11 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 12.00    
CALMING INFLUENCE Jul03 Jun18 Oct11 Oct03 Aug29 (jolin chris)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRYPTIC CREED Jun27 Jun13 Oct24 Oct17 Oct11 (albu ken)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Jun18 Jun13 May30 Nov11 Oct24 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
 
FE-6   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAKY REBEL Jul10 Jun06 May12 Apr22 Nov24 (powell d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50    
MIMI'S HOLIDAY Jul04 May23 Dec08 Nov18 Sep29 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00    
LOVE MY CHERYL Jul03 Jun18 Jun06 Jan02 Nov27 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
ISA BREEZE Jun26         (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 2.00 71% 0.40    
MISS MOLLY LALOU Jun27 Jun15 May25 May07 Dec10 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-7   07/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHAIRMAN BOB Jun26 Jun18 May20 May06 Apr23 (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 122 10.00    
SCR  DOCTOR UPTOWN Jun13 Nov03 Oct16 Sep12 Aug09 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00    
LIL GREEN MACHINE Jul03 Jun18 Jun12 Jun06 May14 (davies ronal)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00    
JACK BEANSTALK Jun26 Jun18 Jun01 Apr23 Oct04 (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Jul03 May30 Jan07 Dec21 Oct27 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
PAPERBACK HERO Jul03 Jun18 May30 Oct17 Oct04 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 8.00    
ROCKET JOE COPPER Jun26 Jun15 May14 Dec11 Nov25 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.