Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
FE-2   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
FE-3   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
FE-4   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
FE-5   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.80  
FE-6   Win (8/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $13.70  
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:223 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LETS RUN TWO 4 4 11 12   12½ 14 (adamo anthon)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 1.60 42% 1.40 1.60 W
1  J M R GEMMA 1 3 53½ 43½   33 24 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 1.30  
2  PENNIESFROMABOVE 2 1 21 22   22½ 37¾ (steer tom)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 28% 2.60 3.05 S
3  J M R BOLD VISION 3 2 42½ 54½   55 48¼ (chircop )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 5.00 8.25  
5  LIME 5 5 32 32   44½ 512½ (robillard julie)BYNOE DESEAN 113 6.00 8% 11.60 21.15  
 
FE-2   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BANG BLUE 1 5 22 11   11½ 17¼ (ceccato shar)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 1.80 21% 3.80 1.55 W
3  BEA MAJESTIC G G 3 3 12 21   21½ 27¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.50 53% 0.90 2.95 P
4  GYPSY MAGIC 4 2 42¼ 37½   37½ 317¾ (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 1.75  
2  RUMOURS FLY 2 4 52¼ 47½   47½ 418½ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 13.25  
5  MIZZ GEMMA 5 1 32 511   510 524¾ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
 
FE-3   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :461       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SWEET FINALE 2 1 43 32   1nk 1¾ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 61% 0.60 0.80 W
6  SNELL FLICKA 4 4 1½ 11   2nk 2¾ (blak)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 6.00 11% 7.90 3.20 P
7  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 5 5 2½ 21   31 32½ (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 5% 17.50 2.95 S
1  WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 1 2 31 42   43 46¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 16.75  
5  MS. P'S BELLA 3 3 55 56   55½ 511¼ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 8.10  
SCR  BABY MO               (mattine michae)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50    
SCR  NEW YORK MINT               (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 120 15.00    
SCR  SAVVY'S SISTER               (loescher paul)WENC C 120 8.00    
 
FE-4   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHELLY THE ROCKET 4 1 31 3.2   11½ 15½ (charalambous joh)BYNOE DESEAN 115 1.60 39% 1.50 3.50 W
1  FOREST CHOICE 1 2 2nk 1nk   21½ 25½ (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.50 3.85  
3  VERMONT HOLIDAY 3 5 1nk 2nk   32½ 37¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 15.30  
2  PAPA'S SILVER 2 3 43½ 43¼   43½ 47¾ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
6  PICTUREDAY JESSICA 6 6 65 65¾   67½ 513¼ (powell a)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 10.00 34.95  
5  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 5 4 54 54¾   56½ 613½ (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 31% 2.20 0.75  
 
FE-5   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JARA 5 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 1.90  
3  GIMBALA 3 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 2hd (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 2.50 41% 1.40 1.35 P
1  KHOZZY VALINTINE 1 5 57½ 46½   42½ 32¼ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.80 20% 4.00 2.75 S
5  HASN'T HIT ME YET 4 1 32½ 33   31½ 43½ (maynar)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00 6.10  
2  WEST PAW 2 4 46½ 510   57 514¼ (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 8.00 8% 11.30 26.75  
SCR  PACENZA               (humber josep)KING MARIE 120 6.00    
 
FE-6   07/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MIMI'S HOLIDAY 2 5 4¾ 3.2   11 13¼ (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 5.85  
4  SUPER COOL STORM 3 3 3.2 4¼   43 23¼ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 26% 2.90 1.15 P
8  JIMMY IS A BREEZE 5 1 1nk 1nk   21 33¾ (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.50 28% 2.60 1.50 S
7  ASHWICKEN 4 6 61¾ 51¼   32½ 47½ (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 120 5.00 19.50  
9  TEQUILAS MELODY 6 2 51¾ 2nk   53 512¼ (rabstein)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 22% 3.50 13.80  
1  TANGERINE TWIST 1 4 2nk 63¾   66½ 621¼ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 10.95  
SCR  BRIENNE OF TARTH               (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00    
SCR  LADY OF THE FORT               (cathca)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 12.00    
SCR  MENAGERIE               (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.