Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-2   EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-3 $6.50 $0.50 8%
FE-3   TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20  4-6-7 $1.88 $0.68 57%
FE-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.00 $3.00 50%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:223 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LETS RUN TWO 4 4 11 12   12½ 14 (adamo anth)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 1.60 42% 1.40 1.60 W
1  J M R GEMMA 1 3 53½ 43½   33 24 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 1.30  
2  PENNIESFROMABOVE 2 1 21 22   22½ 37¾ (steer tom)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 28% 2.60 3.05 S
3  J M R BOLD VISION 3 2 42½ 54½   55 48¼ (chirco)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 5.00 8.25  
5  LIME 5 5 32 32   44½ 512½ (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 113 6.00 8% 11.60 21.15  
 
FE-2   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BANG BLUE 1 5 22 11   11½ 17¼ (ceccato sh)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 1.80 21% 3.80 1.55 W
3  BEA MAJESTIC G G 3 3 12 21   21½ 27¼ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.50 53% 0.90 2.95 P
4  GYPSY MAGIC 4 2 42¼ 37½   37½ 317¾ (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 1.75  
2  RUMOURS FLY 2 4 52¼ 47½   47½ 418½ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 13.25  
5  MIZZ GEMMA 5 1 32 511   510 524¾ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
 
FE-3   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :461       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SWEET FINALE 2 1 43 32   1nk 1¾ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 61% 0.60 0.80 W
6  SNELL FLICKA 4 4 1½ 11   2nk 2¾ (bl)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 6.00 11% 7.90 3.20 P
7  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 5 5 2½ 21   31 32½ (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 5% 17.50 2.95 S
1  WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 1 2 31 42   43 46¼ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 16.75  
5  MS. P'S BELLA 3 3 55 56   55½ 511¼ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 8.10  
SCR  BABY MO               (mattine mich)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.50    
SCR  NEW YORK MINT               (bennett )BUCHANAN Z 120 15.00    
SCR  SAVVY'S SISTER               (loescher pa)WENC C 120 8.00    
 
FE-4   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHELLY THE ROCKET 4 1 31 3.2   11½ 15½ (charalambous j)BYNOE DESEAN 115 1.60 39% 1.50 3.50 W
1  FOREST CHOICE 1 2 2nk 1nk   21½ 25½ (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.50 3.85  
3  VERMONT HOLIDAY 3 5 1nk 2nk   32½ 37¼ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 15.30  
2  PAPA'S SILVER 2 3 43½ 43¼   43½ 47¾ (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
6  PICTUREDAY JESSICA 6 6 65 65¾   67½ 513¼ (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 10.00 34.95  
5  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 5 4 54 54¾   56½ 613½ (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 31% 2.20 0.75  
 
FE-5   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JARA 5 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 1.90  
3  GIMBALA 3 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 2hd (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 2.50 41% 1.40 1.35 P
1  KHOZZY VALINTINE 1 5 57½ 46½   42½ 32¼ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.80 20% 4.00 2.75 S
5  HASN'T HIT ME YET 4 1 32½ 33   31½ 43½ (mayn)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00 6.10  
2  WEST PAW 2 4 46½ 510   57 514¼ (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 8.00 8% 11.30 26.75  
SCR  PACENZA               (humber jos)KING MARIE 120 6.00    
 
FE-6   07/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MIMI'S HOLIDAY 2 5 4¾ 3.2   11 13¼ (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 5.85  
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of HURRICANE MIMI by SLIGO BAY)
4  SUPER COOL STORM 3 3 3.2 4¼   43 23¼ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 26% 2.90 1.15 P
  (by SUPER SAVER out of COOL STORM by STORM CAT)
8  JIMMY IS A BREEZE 5 1 1nk 1nk   21 33¾ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.50 28% 2.60 1.50 S
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DYNA'S A BREEZE by DYNAFORMER)
7  ASHWICKEN 4 6 61¾ 51¼   32½ 47½ (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 120 5.00 19.50  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
9  TEQUILAS MELODY 6 2 51¾ 2nk   53 512¼ (rabste)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 22% 3.50 13.80  
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LADY TEQUILAS by U S RANGER)
1  TANGERINE TWIST 1 4 2nk 63¾   66½ 621¼ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 10.95  
  (by RELOAD out of SNAPALICIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  BRIENNE OF TARTH               (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BLUE VENUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  LADY OF THE FORT               (cath)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 12.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of LADY BLESSINGS by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
SCR  MENAGERIE               (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of HOLY FLAME by PULPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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