Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.60 $1.60 27%
FE-5   WIN (4/3/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $11.30 $1.30 13%
    EXA (4/3/1/5/2)-(4/3/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-3 $25.60 $5.60 28%
FE-6   WIN (3/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $32.60 $24.60 308%
    DD (4/3/1/5/2)-(3/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-7 $38.10 $18.10 91%
FE-7   TRI (7/9/4/1/2)-(7/9/4/1/2)-(7/9/4/1/2) 60 $0.20 $12.00  7-9-1 $14.79 $2.79 23%
    DD (3/8/2/7)-(7/9/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-7 $70.60 $50.60 253%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   06/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:132 1:401   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THELONIOUS 5 5 42½ 42¼ 2nk 12½ 15¾ (humber jos)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 110 2.00 3.10  
2  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 2 4 64 65¾ 64¼ 34 25¾ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 2.85  
3  RADCLIFFE 3 2 11 1nk 1nk 22½ 38¾ (robillard jos)GOBAY WILBERT 120 3.00 3.80  
1  SUPER BREW 1 3 52½ 53¾ 42¾ 45½ 414¾ (four)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50 36% 1.80 2.05  
6  BOCELLI (IRE) 6 6 31½ 3.2 3.2 56½ 523¼ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 10% 9.30 7.55  
4  RAYO COLORADO 4 1 21 2nk 53¼ 617½ 644½ (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 12.00 31% 2.20 16.90  
 
FE-2   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Longrun Thoroughbred After Care Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:33
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STORMING LADY 4 5 51¼ 3½   11 12½ (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 41% 1.40 2.80 W
  (by FLAT OUT out of BEAU WATCH by BEAU GENIUS)
6  CANT BEAT THE KATZ 6 4 2nk 1nk   21 22½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 2.75  
  (by KATZ MY SONG out of BET U I WIN by LORDHYEXECUTIONER)
2  GIMBALA 2 1 3.2 62¾   33 37¼ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00 7.05  
  (by SPANIARD out of HIPPICRITICAL by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
1  HASN'T HIT ME YET 1 6 62¾ 52½   53¼ 410 (mayn)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 20.95  
  (by VERRAZANO out of STREET RUMOR by STREET SENSE)
3  CHASING JOY 3 2 1nk 2nk   43 515 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 19% 4.30 11.20  
  (by DRILL out of SEXY APPEAL by COLONIAL AFFAIR)
5  DETERMINED LOVE 5 3 4¼ 41   65¾ 623 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 3.00 15% 5.80 1.30  
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of STYLISH AFFAIR by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
FE-3   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:01
See original race card.
:223 :463       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORE 1 1 23 31   11 1nk (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 46% 1.20 0.55 W
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of COLBRA by SILVER TRAIN)
6  I LIVE BY FAITH 6 7 47 45   42½ 2nk (powell dal)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40 P
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
4  BEYOND TALENTED 4 5 59½ 511½   55 31 (humber jos)KING MARIE 118 6.00 8.75  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)
7  RELOAD BULLET 7 2 13 11   21 42 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
  (by RELOAD out of MISCHEVIOUS MIA by FORESTRY)
5  VERY DEBONAIRE 5 3 34 21   31 52¼ (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 2.50 27% 2.70 6.00  
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of ITALIAN BEAUTY by GIBOULEE)
2  I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 2 6 710½ 614½   67 69¾ (powell a)HEARN T 118 4.00 12.25  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RON'S LADY by ELHAYQ (IRE))
3  HIGH RESERVE 3 4 610 716½   713 711¾ (williams)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.50 32.60  
  (by HYPER out of MORE TO GIVE by PHILANTHROPIST)
 
FE-4   06/18/2023 4620ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:141     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PLUIE D'AVRIL 3 3 62¾ 42¾   1½ 14¼ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 8% 11.60 1.75 W
4  MUSICAL RIDE 4 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 24¼ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 20% 4.00 2.50 P
1  SUBZERO PLUS 1 2 2nk 52¾   42 35½ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 120 8.00 41.50  
5  REIGN BY REIN 5 4 31 2nk   31 46½ (ezra d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 3.35  
6  SAN NICOLA STAR 6 6 73¾ 75¾   77½ 58¼ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 17.05  
7  TICKLE HER TOE 7 7 42½ 3.2   52½ 68½ (capi louis)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 110 10.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
2  WEST PAW 2 5 52¾ 65¼   64½ 79½ (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 2.00 41% 1.40 4.65  
 
FE-5   06/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SUMMER RETREAT 4 1 11 11   11 1½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 37% 1.70 4.65 W
3  LIL GREEN MACHINE 3 4 21 31   31 2½ (davies ron)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 3.50 21% 3.80 5.50 P
9  PAPERBACK HERO 9 2 54 21   21 33 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 0.95  
1  PRIVATE LAKE 1 9 86¾ 44½   43½ 43 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 8% 11.10 7.60  
5  LOQUACIOUS 5 7 65 65¾   64¾ 55½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 8% 12.20 12.75  
2  FOUR KNIGHTS 2 8 75¼ 86¾   74¾ 65¾ (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.95  
6  HALF LIT 6 6 33½ 54¾   54½ 78½ (keen h)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 21.85  
7  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 7 5 97¾ 911¼   97¾ 812 (robillard josh)BYNOE DESEAN 117 12.00 20.45  
8  CALMING INFLUENCE 8 3 43½ 76¾   86¾ 912¼ (jolin chri)KING MARIE 122 8.00 26.15  
 
FE-6   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NICOLE'S SONG 7 6 51½ 31   4¼ 1nk (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 5% 19.00 15.30 W
1  MAKES SENSE TO ME 1 3 41½ 52¼   2nk 2nk (powell dal)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 6.00 9.85  
3  UNABLE 3 4 1½ 2nk   1nk 33¼ (maynard de)KING MARIE 120 2.50 62% 0.60 0.65 S
6  LOVE MY CHERYL 6 7 83¾ 64¼   62¾ 44½ (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 118 8.00 26.00  
8  FEEL LIKE GUESSING 8 1 31 1nk   3.2 57 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 7% 12.40 8.25  
2  VERI UNIFIED 2 2 2½ 41¼   51¾ 68 (ryan j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
4  HEAR ME KNOCKING 4 8 62½ 74¾   74¼ 710¾ (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 118 4.00 10.70  
5  PICTUREDAY JESSICA 5 5 73½ 87¾   86¾ 813¼ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 110 10.00 40.30  
 
FE-7   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Longrun Thoroughbred Retirement Purse ($30K) 3UP C/G PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ALACRITOUS 7 1 1nk 12½   13 13¾ (buttigieg kevi)BYNOE DESEAN 120 4.50 57% 0.80 2.30 W
  (by NONIOS out of SHES THE REAL DEAL by SONGANDAPRAYER)
9  STRONG ENDING 9 4 74¼ 32½   23 23¾ (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.00 11% 8.10 4.25 P
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of WISE ENDING by END SWEEP)
1  VINNIE VAN GO 1 2 31 22½   34 37½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 S
  (by J P'S GUSTO out of VAN BRIT by VAN NISTELROOY)
3  JACK BEANSTALK 3 6 63¾ 77¼   56½ 48¼ (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 13.40  
  (by JACK MILTON out of SAM'S ROMAN AFFAIR by ROMAN RULER)
6  SEVEN IS A BREEZE 6 8 912¼ 810¼   87¾ 511¼ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 12.35  
  (by ALGORITHMS out of CATEGORY SEVEN by GULF STORM)
4  CHAIRMAN BOB 4 9 810¼ 910½   98¾ 615¾ (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 120 10.00 7% 13.30 11.00  
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of CLARE'S BERNARDINE by ACTION THIS DAY)
5  MOBILIZER 5 7 53½ 63¾   66½ 715¾ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 32.45  
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of KRZ EXEC by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
8  WOOD BE WILD 8 3 2nk 42¾   46 816¼ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 2.15  
  (by OLD FORESTER out of PSYCHEDELIA by WILD ZONE)
2  GUNZIG STINGER 2 5 43 53¾   76¾ 916½ (rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 120 12.00 5% 19.00 44.90  
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of WICKED ROMANCE by DEHERE)
 
FE-8   06/18/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:142     1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUS'S GAMBLE 1 1 13 1nk   12 1nk (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 2.25  
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of TREE POSE by OLD FORESTER)
2  DIAMOND HEIST 2 4 45 46   33½ 2nk (cret)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 6.00 8.95  
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of TALE OF HOUDINI by TALE OF EKATI)
3  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 3 9 811 56½   55½ 31½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.50 19% 4.20 4.20 S
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
4  STREET MAX 4 3 66 87¾   66 41¾ (powell dal)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 20.00 5.55  
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  PRINCE FOR A DAY 10 8 77½ 2nk   22 53¾ (mustoe cindy)MUNOZ LARRY 120 15.00 21.95  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FAIR HUNTRESS by TIZNOW)
6  FIRST ROUND 6 2 23 33½   44½ 65 (humber jos)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 108 10.00 31.60  
  (by CONQUEST CURLINATE out of ALESANDER B. N. by DONERAILE COURT)
8  WILBERFORCE 8 6 56 76¾   911 78½ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 6% 14.40 9.10  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
5  BUSTA GROOVE 5 10 1014½ 98¼   78 812¾ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 3.00 34% 1.90 3.60  
  (by ARPISTA out of SYDNEY'S SPIRIT by GIANT GIZMO)
9  CATRIN 9 5 913½ 109¼   810½ 914¼ (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 8.00 6% 14.40 39.50  
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of ADVENTUROUS NIGHT by OLD FORESTER)
7  WITCH'S NAUGHT 7 7 34½ 66¾   1013 1027¼ (bennett micha)DAVID MICHAEL 120 20.00 6% 14.40 21.50  
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of BEWITCHING LADY by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY               (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
SCR  UPTOWN LIGHTS               (giliforte layne)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AURORA LIGHTS by PULPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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