Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-3   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(2/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-4   WIN (2/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/7)-(4/3/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-5   WIN (4/3/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/5/2)-(4/3/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/5/2)-(4/3/1/5/2)-(4/3/1/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/1/5/2)-(3/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-6   WIN (3/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7)-(3/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/7)-(7/9/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-7   WIN (7/9/4/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/1/2)-(7/9/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/1/2)-(7/9/4/1/2)-(7/9/4/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/4/1/2)-(5/3/7/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FE-8   WIN (5/3/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/8/9)-(5/3/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/8/9)-(5/3/7/8/9)-(5/3/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   06/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER BREW May30 Oct27 Oct11 Sep19 Aug29 (four)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Jun13 May30 Nov11 Oct24 Oct11 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00    
3  RADCLIFFE May30 Apr30 Nov25 Oct24 Oct03 (robillard jos)GOBAY WILBERT 120 3.00    
4  RAYO COLORADO May30 Oct11 Sep19 Sep05 Aug30 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 12.00 31% 2.20    
5  THELONIOUS Jun02 May20 Dec09 Nov25 Oct24 (humber jos)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 110 2.00    
6  BOCELLI (IRE) May30 Nov06 Oct24 Oct11 Oct03 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 10% 9.30    
 
FE-2   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Longrun Thoroughbred After Care Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASN'T HIT ME YET May23 May14 Apr29 Oct29 Oct03 (mayn)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of STREET RUMOR by STREET SENSE)
2  GIMBALA Jun06 Oct24 Oct06 Sep13 Aug30 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00    
  (by SPANIARD out of HIPPICRITICAL by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
3  CHASING JOY May25 Apr22 Apr02 Mar15 Feb10 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by DRILL out of SEXY APPEAL by COLONIAL AFFAIR)
4  STORMING LADY Apr23 Mar30 Feb18 Jan29 Dec02 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BEAU WATCH by BEAU GENIUS)
5  DETERMINED LOVE Jun06 Jan28 Oct10 Aug08 Jul26 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of STYLISH AFFAIR by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  CANT BEAT THE KATZ Jun06 Apr12 Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00    
  (by KATZ MY SONG out of BET U I WIN by LORDHYEXECUTIONER)
 
FE-3   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORE May23 Oct24 Oct11 Oct04 Sep05 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of COLBRA by SILVER TRAIN)
2  I'M NO SLEEPY JOE May26 May12 Dec01 Nov17 Oct14 (powell a)HEARN T 118 4.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RON'S LADY by ELHAYQ (IRE))
3  HIGH RESERVE May28 Nov03 Oct10 Sep13 Aug29 (williams n)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 4.50    
  (by HYPER out of MORE TO GIVE by PHILANTHROPIST)
4  BEYOND TALENTED May20 Apr29 Dec11 Nov27 Oct16 (humber jos)KING MARIE 118 6.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)
5  VERY DEBONAIRE Jun06         (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of ITALIAN BEAUTY by GIBOULEE)
6  I LIVE BY FAITH Dec11 Oct28 Jun19     (powell a)ELLIS S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
7  RELOAD BULLET May23         (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RELOAD out of MISCHEVIOUS MIA by FORESTRY)
 
FE-4   06/18/2023 4620ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBZERO PLUS Jun06 May25 Apr22 Oct24 Sep19 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 120 8.00    
2  WEST PAW Jun10 Jun01 May13 Dec08 May08 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
3  PLUIE D'AVRIL Jun06 May23 Nov10 Oct28 Sep29 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 8% 11.60    
4  MUSICAL RIDE Jan18 Jan03 Oct11 Sep15 Aug13 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
5  REIGN BY REIN May30 Dec10 Dec01 Nov17 Oct17 (ezra d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
6  SAN NICOLA STAR Feb23 Feb10 Jan14 Dec01 Nov17 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00    
7  TICKLE HER TOE Jun06 May19 Apr30 Apr22 Dec08 (capi louis)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-5   06/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE LAKE Feb18 Feb01 Jan15 Dec30 Dec21 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 5.00 8% 11.10    
2  FOUR KNIGHTS May23 Nov04 Sep27 Sep05 Aug16 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIL GREEN MACHINE Jun12 Jun06 May14 Apr30 Mar26 (davies ron)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  SUMMER RETREAT Jun12 May30 Dec14 Nov22 Oct24 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
5  LOQUACIOUS Oct24 Oct03 Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 8% 12.20    
6  HALF LIT Jun06 Oct17 Oct11 Oct04 Sep06 (keen h)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00    
7  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Oct24 Oct17 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 (robillard josh)BYNOE DESEAN 117 12.00    
8  CALMING INFLUENCE Oct11 Oct03 Aug29 Aug14 Jul26 (jolin chri)KING MARIE 122 8.00    
9  PAPERBACK HERO May30 Oct17 Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00    
 
FE-6   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKES SENSE TO ME Jun06 May25 May05 Apr29 Nov24 (powell dal)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 6.00    
2  VERI UNIFIED Oct22 Sep02 Aug20 Jul16 May14 (ryan j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  UNABLE Jun01 May12 Apr22 Sep24 Aug28 (maynard desmond)HOYTE JASON 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
4  HEAR ME KNOCKING May27 Sep16 Aug13     (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 118 4.00    
5  PICTUREDAY JESSICA May27 Apr29 Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 10.00    
6  LOVE MY CHERYL Jun06 Jan02 Nov27 Nov01 Oct08 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 118 8.00    
7  NICOLE'S SONG May25 Nov19 Oct30 Oct07 Sep19 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  FEEL LIKE GUESSING May23 Mar29 Feb25 Feb04 Dec30 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 7% 12.40    
 
FE-7   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Longrun Thoroughbred Retirement Purse ($30K) 3UP C/G PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINNIE VAN GO Mar15 Feb17 Feb08 Jan22 Jan07 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by J P'S GUSTO out of VAN BRIT by VAN NISTELROOY)
2  GUNZIG STINGER Jun06 May23 Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 (rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of WICKED ROMANCE by DEHERE)
3  JACK BEANSTALK Jun01 Apr23 Oct04 Sep16 Aug30 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of SAM'S ROMAN AFFAIR by ROMAN RULER)
4  CHAIRMAN BOB May20 May06 Apr23 Dec10 Dec02 (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 120 10.00 7% 13.30    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of CLARE'S BERNARDINE by ACTION THIS DAY)
5  MOBILIZER May30 Sep13 Aug01 Jul12 Jun11 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of KRZ EXEC by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
6  SEVEN IS A BREEZE Oct04 Sep19 Sep06 Aug20 Jul02 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of CATEGORY SEVEN by GULF STORM)
7  ALACRITOUS May30 Apr23 Mar23 Feb20 Jan28 (buttigieg kevi)BYNOE DESEAN 120 4.50 57% 0.80    
  (by NONIOS out of SHES THE REAL DEAL by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  WOOD BE WILD Jun06 May14 Dec03 Nov04 Oct21 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of PSYCHEDELIA by WILD ZONE)
9  STRONG ENDING Feb19 Feb08 Dec22 Sep13 Sep05 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.00 11% 8.10    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of WISE ENDING by END SWEEP)
 
FE-8   06/18/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUS'S GAMBLE May23 Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Jul26 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50    
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of TREE POSE by OLD FORESTER)
2  DIAMOND HEIST         (cret)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 6.00    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of TALE OF HOUDINI by TALE OF EKATI)
3  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT May23         (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
4  STREET MAX May20 May06 Apr29 Nov05 Oct30 (powell dal)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  BUSTA GROOVE Jun03 May07       (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by ARPISTA out of SYDNEY'S SPIRIT by GIANT GIZMO)
6  FIRST ROUND May30 May07 Dec11     (humber jos)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 108 10.00    
  (by CONQUEST CURLINATE out of ALESANDER B. N. by DONERAILE COURT)
7  WITCH'S NAUGHT Jun06         (bennett micha)DAVID MICHAEL 120 20.00 6% 14.40    
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of BEWITCHING LADY by SCAT DADDY)
8  WILBERFORCE         (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 6% 14.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
9  CATRIN Sep20 Sep06 Aug21     (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 8.00 6% 14.40    
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of ADVENTUROUS NIGHT by OLD FORESTER)
10  PRINCE FOR A DAY Jun13 May23 Nov20 Oct30 Oct02 (mustoe cindy)MUNOZ LARRY 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FAIR HUNTRESS by TIZNOW)
SCR  UPTOWN LIGHTS May26 Apr29 Oct16 Sep30 Aug12 (giliforte layne)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AURORA LIGHTS by PULPIT)
SCR  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Jun06 May23 May12 Apr20 Mar26 (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.